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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 24, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Pacers35%9066
10Cavaliers65%9596
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 27.8
36.9
37.5
17
50%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
7-13
5-10
54%
45%
1-4
25%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27.3
30.3
26.7
7
24%
15
3
1
0
2
2
2
13
1-6
17%
3-11
5-12
27%
45%
0-1
0%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 22.8
29.8
13.9
12
61%
11
0
0
0
0
0
4
7
3-4
75%
3-6
1-3
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 27.9
26.9
25.2
6
33%
4
2
0
1
1
6
0
4
0-0
-
3-9
3-8
33%
45%
0-0
-
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.4
19.3
12.4
5
21%
5
0
0
0
0
4
2
3
1-9
11%
2-8
2-3
25%
52%
0-0
-
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 26.9
32.5
29.6
2
15%
1
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-4
3-6
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Sarunas Jasikevicius
· 6'4" 197 · 29.9
24.1
21.7
8
35%
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-7
1-3
29%
46%
1-4
25%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 30.7
19.4
25.8
3
38%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.0
15.1
25.4
4
69%
5
1
0
1
2
2
3
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.4
5.8
2.5
2
33%
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
36%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.3
25.1
1
2-5
44%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 30.9
4.1
0
0-1
46%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.2
Jonathan Bender
F · 7'0" 230 · 25.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.1
35.4
38.9
23
45%
7
8
2
2
2
1
0
7
7-10
70%
5-16
9-17
31%
51%
2-5
40%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.2
33.0
22.2
16
81%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-2
0%
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
4-5
80%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.6
30.3
28.0
18
63%
9
2
2
1
4
2
0
9
4-5
80%
7-12
5-11
58%
49%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.8
29.3
29.3
4
42%
3
5
0
1
1
2
1
2
2-4
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.3
24.8
25.3
14
71%
10
1
2
1
1
0
3
7
2-2
100%
6-9
4-7
67%
51%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.4
25.2
29.6
2
20%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.7
21.3
26.4
6
43%
7
1
0
1
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
0-2
0%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.1
14.3
13.2
6
41%
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
1
2-3
67%
2-6
1-2
33%
51%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.0
10.1
9.3
2
53%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
5.8
5.1
1
17%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.3
5.3
5.7
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26.7
5.2
6.7
2
33%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
40%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.0
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 19.9
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 30.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.