Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Grizzlies35%8982
4Heat65%9494
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.4
39.7
29.7
12
68%
3
3
3
1
3
1
1
2
2-4
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
50%
2-4
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.6
37.5
34.8
11
48%
7
7
0
1
1
6
2
5
5-8
63%
3-8
6-13
38%
49%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.9
33.1
35.0
22
63%
4
0
3
1
0
3
2
2
1-1
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
46%
5-9
56%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34.3
26.9
30.5
2
10%
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-7
29%
0-2
2-5
0%
46%
0-5
0%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 30.2
17.3
30.3
2
33%
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.9
32.0
33.1
12
55%
5
3
1
1
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
2-6
33%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 31.4
20.5
12.7
7
58%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
42%
1-3
33%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 26.6
16.7
4.1
10
61%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
4-5
80%
3-6
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.1
7.0
9.3
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.7
4.0
9.0
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
40%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 23.5
3.6
11.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 25.9
1.7
12.5
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 32.4
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.3
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.0
41.0
37.4
25
60%
4
4
2
2
3
3
0
4
13-20
65%
6-10
8-16
60%
49%
0-2
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.2
37.3
32.6
14
56%
2
6
2
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
49%
1-4
25%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.6
35.0
26.9
8
48%
11
3
3
1
2
0
1
10
2-3
67%
3-7
3-6
43%
50%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 33.9
30.9
27.9
20
61%
15
1
2
0
1
3
5
10
4-8
50%
8-13
7-12
62%
56%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.0
29.0
34.9
5
31%
5
1
0
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
1-5
20%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.5
26.1
23.4
5
43%
3
2
2
1
0
1
2
1
2-4
50%
0-2
2-3
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.5
23.7
24.3
8
58%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.0
15.4
16.7
9
100%
5
0
0
0
3
1
2
3
7-8
88%
1-1
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.1
1.6
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.0
3.5
0
0-1
42%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.9
3.1
0
0-1
47%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.6
2.6
0
0-1
42%
Gerald Fitch
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.5
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24.4
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.