Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Cavaliers58%99106
29Hawks42%9697
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.1
45.9
37.1
38
62%
9
6
3
2
1
5
1
8
15-20
75%
10-17
9-17
59%
52%
1-5
20%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.3
37.5
25.1
11
49%
14
1
0
1
3
2
4
10
1-3
33%
5-10
4-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.2
33.6
26.4
3
32%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.8
28.2
29.0
9
46%
1
8
3
1
0
0
1
0
1-4
25%
4-8
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.6
20.1
28.9
18
67%
5
0
1
1
1
5
3
2
8-8
100%
5-10
6-11
50%
50%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.7
29.7
23.9
19
90%
7
0
0
1
0
0
2
5
7-8
88%
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
4-6
67%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.4
24.4
27.5
5
36%
1
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
49%
1-2
50%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.0
11.4
9.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.1
8.0
13.8
3
85%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
3-4
75%
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26.7
0.4
6.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
0.4
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.3
0.4
5.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 30.7
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.0
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 19.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.9
45.4
35.8
22
56%
8
4
1
1
1
2
1
7
4-6
67%
6-13
6-13
46%
48%
2-4
50%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 24.6
41.7
39.8
24
57%
5
7
2
1
0
4
2
3
2-2
100%
8-15
6-13
53%
48%
2-5
40%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 20.1
32.8
24.9
8
80%
5
0
0
1
2
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-5
3-7
80%
46%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.0
27.1
31.3
10
57%
7
2
2
1
0
2
2
5
4-4
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
45%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.1
10.6
9.1
6
75%
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
46%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 22.6
27.1
30.9
12
79%
2
1
0
1
2
2
1
1
4-6
67%
4-5
3-6
80%
52%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.7
23.0
19.6
9
56%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
1-3
33%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.3
11.1
19.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 19.6
10.9
21.9
2
26%
6
2
0
1
0
0
2
4
0-2
0%
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 22.4
7.7
1.8
2
114%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.5
2.5
2.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 32.0
6.7
0
1-2
43%
Donta Smith
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.