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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 27, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Cavaliers49%9293
15Pacers51%9389
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.1
45.1
39.5
30
57%
7
9
3
2
1
6
1
6
5-8
63%
11-21
9-17
52%
50%
1-2
50%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.6
36.2
25.5
27
71%
6
0
0
1
4
2
2
4
15-16
94%
6-12
5-10
50%
48%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.3
33.6
28.8
7
44%
5
0
1
1
0
0
3
2
1-2
50%
3-7
4-8
43%
50%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.8
30.6
28.2
9
92%
2
3
3
1
0
3
1
1
1-2
50%
4-4
2-5
100%
43%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.2
22.8
28.3
5
36%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
44%
1-2
50%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.4
30.9
25.9
7
60%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
2-4
50%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.7
23.5
25.5
4
20%
6
2
0
1
0
2
0
6
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
1-7
14%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.0
15.2
10.3
2
50%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-0
-
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.2
2.0
11.4
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26.7
4.1
0
0-1
39%
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
3.7
0
0-1
42%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.3
3.6
0
0-1
47%
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 19.9
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.0
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 30.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 27.8
42.1
36.7
14
34%
5
2
4
1
0
3
0
5
1-2
50%
5-16
5-10
31%
47%
1-4
25%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 22.8
41.9
18.8
21
88%
14
2
1
1
2
4
3
11
2-2
100%
5-7
2-4
71%
48%
3-4
75%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 30.7
33.5
23.6
2
18%
4
2
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-1
0%
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
0-4
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.3
24.3
18.5
2
33%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 31.0
17.0
4.0
6
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Sarunas Jasikevicius
· 6'4" 197 · 29.9
28.8
22.1
14
90%
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
47%
2-4
50%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.5
26.1
14.4
10
51%
4
0
0
0
2
3
3
1
2-4
50%
4-8
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 26.9
26.1
30.2
20
67%
2
3
2
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
6-11
3-6
55%
47%
2-3
67%
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.4
0.2
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 27.9
25.7
1
4-8
46%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.0
22.0
1
2-4
54%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27.3
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 28.6
Jonathan Bender
F · 7'0" 230 · 25.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.