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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 22, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Jazz44%8782
25Hornets56%8976
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.0
43.1
28.5
15
59%
11
2
1
1
8
2
1
10
3-4
75%
6-10
4-7
60%
49%
0-1
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.7
27.1
34.5
7
34%
10
1
0
1
0
2
0
10
3-5
60%
2-6
5-11
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.0
19.0
29.5
2
13%
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-8
4-9
13%
44%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.2
17.6
23.8
2
20%
4
1
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
46%
0-0
-
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.3
16.9
21.1
3
54%
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
3-4
75%
0-1
2-5
0%
40%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.7
31.1
24.5
17
70%
4
3
3
1
0
3
1
3
1-5
20%
5-8
3-6
63%
41%
2-2
100%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 24.3
30.4
23.3
14
60%
8
3
1
1
0
2
1
7
4-4
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.1
29.0
19.0
14
51%
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
3
5-6
83%
3-8
2-5
38%
43%
1-3
33%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.7
25.7
21.3
8
40%
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
3-9
4-7
33%
49%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 33.0
6.5
0
1-1
48%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.0
4.5
0
1-2
42%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 18.9
4.0
0
0-1
42%
Robert Whaley
C · 6'10" 260 · 23.9
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.7
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 20.8
39.5
32.4
18
51%
2
7
7
2
1
3
0
2
6-6
100%
6-13
4-8
46%
47%
0-2
0%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 36.4
35.7
26.4
8
34%
10
1
0
1
1
2
3
7
2-2
100%
3-11
3-7
27%
47%
0-0
-
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 22.7
26.8
21.9
9
53%
1
2
2
1
1
3
0
1
1-1
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 28.4
25.4
33.4
14
57%
7
0
0
1
0
2
0
7
4-5
80%
5-9
5-10
56%
45%
0-1
0%
Jackson Vroman
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.7
14.6
13.4
5
66%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
3-4
75%
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.8
36.0
16.9
9
35%
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2
3-4
75%
3-8
2-4
38%
43%
0-3
0%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 34.4
33.9
23.8
0
0%
13
0
1
0
2
2
2
11
0-0
-
0-4
3-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 25.6
19.6
16.2
11
70%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
3-5
60%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.6
8.6
6.1
2
35%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.5
30.9
1
6-12
51%
Arvydas Macijauskas
G · 6'4" 214 · 26.1
5.3
0
1-1
45%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 20.5
4.5
0
0-1
45%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 27.8
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.