Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Wizards	47%	96	79	92.9	85	81.6
	18	Bulls	53%	97	90	103.4	87	90.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gilbert Arenas G · 6'4" 215 · 24	48.0	23	50%	5	4	0	0	4	5	0	5	9-13	69%	4-11	36%	2-6	33%
Caron Butler F · 6'7" 228 · 26	45.4	12	29%	16	1	1	0	3	4	11	5	0-0	-	6-21	29%	0-0	-
Antawn Jamison F · 6'9" 235 · 30	42.3	21	44%	10	2	2	0	3	3	4	6	1-2	50%	7-14	50%	2-9	22%
Brendan Haywood C · 7'0" 263 · 26	35.9	12	55%	13	0	1	1	3	5	5	8	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Jared Jeffries G · 6'11" 240 · 24	12.5	0	0%	3	2	0	1	1	4	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%

Antonio Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 31	35.5	8	50%	2	4	2	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Etan Thomas C · 6'10" 260 · 28	7.5	3	50%	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	1-3	33%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Michael Ruffin F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29	5.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Calvin Booth C · 6'11" 230 · 30	4.6	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Andray Blatche C-F · 6'11" 260 · 19	2.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Donell Taylor G · 6'5" 193 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Awvee Storey F-G · 6'6" 225 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jarvis Hayes #24 · F · 6'8" 228 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Peter John Ramos #34 · C · 7'3" 275 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	79	40%	53	13	7	5	16	0	22	31	13-20	65%	27-67	40%	4-19	21%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

12 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gilbert Arenas G · 6'4" 215 · 24	48.0	23	50%	5	4	0	0	4	5	0	5	9-13	69%	4-11	36%	2-6	33%
Caron Butler F · 6'7" 228 · 26	45.4	12	29%	16	1	1	0	3	4	11	5	0-0	-	6-21	29%	0-0	-
Antawn Jamison F · 6'9" 235 · 30	42.3	21	44%	10	2	2	0	3	3	4	6	1-2	50%	7-14	50%	2-9	22%
Brendan Haywood C · 7'0" 263 · 26	35.9	12	55%	13	0	1	1	3	5	5	8	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Jared Jeffries G · 6'11" 240 · 24	12.5	0	0%	3	2	0	1	1	4	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%

Antonio Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 31	35.5	8	50%	2	4	2	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Etan Thomas C · 6'10" 260 · 28	7.5	3	50%	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	1-3	33%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Michael Ruffin F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29	5.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Calvin Booth C · 6'11" 230 · 30	4.6	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Andray Blatche C-F · 6'11" 260 · 19	2.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Donell Taylor G · 6'5" 193 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Awvee Storey F-G · 6'6" 225 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jarvis Hayes #24 · F · 6'8" 228 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Peter John Ramos #34 · C · 7'3" 275 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	79	40%	53	13	7	5	16	0	22	31	13-20	65%	27-67	40%	4-19	21%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

18 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyson Chandler C · 7'1" 240 · 23	36.0	12	67%	20	2	1	2	1	5	11	9	8-11	73%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 21	35.3	15	50%	4	0	1	1	0	3	1	3	3-5	60%	6-12	50%	0-1	0%
Kirk Hinrich G · 6'4" 190 · 25	34.7	12	46%	4	5	3	0	3	3	0	4	4-5	80%	4-6	67%	0-5	0%
Ben Gordon G · 6'3" 205 · 23	33.8	26	54%	6	3	0	0	4	3	1	5	5-6	83%	6-18	33%	3-4	75%
Othella Harrington F · 6'9" 235 · 32	15.8	4	40%	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Chris Duhon G · 6'1" 190 · 23	27.2	1	13%	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Darius Songaila F · 6'9" 248 · 28	24.1	7	32%	2	3	0	0	3	0	2	0	1-1	100%	3-11	27%	0-0	-
Andres Nocioni · 6'7" 225 · 26	20.4	9	56%	4	2	0	0	2	2	1	3	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Malik Allen F · 6'10" 255 · 28	10.2	4	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
James Thomas F · 6'9" 245 · 25	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jannero Pargo G · 6'1" 185 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Michael Sweetney F · 6'8" 270 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Eddie Basden #13 · G · 6'5" 215 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tim Thomas #2 · F · 6'10" 240 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Eric Piatkowski #52 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	47%	47	19	6	3	13	0	17	30	26-34	76%	26-63	41%	4-16	25%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	CHI
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	CHI

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.81 40.3%

CHI

0.95 47.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

10

27

37%

CHI

14

22

64%

Midrange

WAS

17

40

43%

CHI

12

41

29%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

4

6.0

19

21%

32%

CHI

4

6.0

16

25%

38%

Free Throws

WAS

13

20

65%

CHI

26

34

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Arenas	23	50%	11.5 / 23
A. Jamison	21	44%	10.5 / 24
C. Butler	12	29%	6.0 / 21
B. Haywood	12	55%	6.0 / 11
A. Daniels	8	50%	4.0 / 8
E. Thomas	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Jeffries	0	-	0.0 / 4
A. Blatche	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Gordon	26	54%	13.0 / 24
L. Deng	15	50%	7.5 / 15
T. Chandler	12	67%	6.0 / 9
K. Hinrich	12	46%	6.0 / 13
A. Nocioni	9	56%	4.5 / 8
D. Songaila	7	32%	3.5 / 11
O. Harrington	4	40%	2.0 / 5
M. Allen	4	50%	2.0 / 4
C. Duhon	1	13%	0.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 108.6 21 104.5	WAS 92.9 CHI 103.4 +10.5
Pace	5 93.0 6 92.6	WAS 81.6 CHI 90.8 +9.2
Avg. Poss. Time	23 15.3 28 14.9	WAS 17.6 CHI 15.9 −1.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 48.4% 16 48.7%	WAS 38.4% CHI 40.5% +2.1%
TO %	6 14.3% 23 15.6%	WAS 15.2% CHI 12.2% −3.0%
ORB %	6 29.5% 19 26.3%	WAS 42.3% +6.9% CHI 35.4%
FTrt	3 37.5 29 29.2	WAS 23.3 CHI 43.0 +19.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	29 51.2% 7 60.1%	WAS 41.9% CHI 63.3% +21.4%
STL %	3 8.6% 30 6.6%	WAS 8.2% +1.3% CHI 6.9%
BLK %	22 6.6% 19 6.8%	WAS 7.9% +3.4% CHI 4.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 52.4% 22 51.4%	WAS 40.3% CHI 47.4% +7.1%
Rim FG%	11 58.0% 29 53.9%	WAS 37.0% CHI 63.6% +26.6%
Mid FG%	27 37.8% 9 41.3%	WAS 42.5% +13.2% CHI 29.3%
3P %	15 35.7% 5 37.9%	WAS 21.1% CHI 25.0% +3.9%
FT %	12 75.7% 17 73.8%	WAS 65.0% CHI 76.5% +11.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	16 36.3% 24 32.1%	WAS 31.4% +3.5% CHI 27.8%
Mid Att. %	12 42.8% 19 46.0%	WAS 46.5% −5.4% CHI 51.9%
3P Att. %	16 20.9% 13 21.9%	WAS 22.1% +1.8% CHI 20.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	CHI
Possessions	85	87
Possession Minutes	25.0	23.0
Points	79	90
Rebounds	53	47
Assists	13	19
Steals	7	6
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	22 (4)	17 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (5)	30 (2)
Field Goals	31-86	30-79
At-the-Rim FG	10-27	14-22
Midrange FG	17-40	12-41
2-Point FG	27-67	26-63
3-Point FG	4-19	4-16
Free Throws	13-20	26-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg