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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 29, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Suns48%100106
7Cavaliers52%101113
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 27.7
47.5
41.2
22
64%
7
2
3
2
2
3
0
7
5-5
100%
7-13
7-13
54%
52%
1-2
50%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 32.0
38.9
34.8
24
55%
5
6
1
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
8-15
4-9
53%
50%
2-6
33%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 23.2
36.8
24.8
7
33%
2
8
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-4
50%
1-6
3-6
17%
51%
1-3
33%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 23.8
33.9
33.7
8
67%
6
3
1
1
4
1
1
5
0-0
-
4-6
5-10
67%
50%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 33.3
21.7
24.0
7
90%
5
2
0
0
1
1
3
2
1-2
50%
3-3
3-6
100%
47%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.3
36.1
20.3
20
70%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
4-5
80%
2-4
2-3
50%
45%
4-8
50%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.7
20.5
14.5
16
73%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-6
2-5
83%
44%
2-5
40%
Pat Burke
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.1
4.7
3.8
2
35%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.4
35.7
1
3-6
46%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 35.3
2.4
0
0-0
42%
Dijon Thompson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 22.9
1.4
0
0-0
46%
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 22.8
0.7
0
0-0
35%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.2
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 33.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.1
42.8
40.9
44
57%
11
7
1
2
1
6
1
10
7-12
58%
14-26
9-19
54%
51%
3-7
43%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.2
39.0
25.7
15
77%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
3-4
2-5
75%
45%
2-4
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.3
24.1
30.2
5
30%
10
0
0
1
0
0
5
5
1-1
100%
2-8
4-9
25%
51%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.8
22.3
28.8
4
29%
2
3
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
44%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.7
18.7
29.4
10
71%
5
3
0
1
0
0
2
3
6-7
86%
2-4
6-12
50%
49%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.7
34.1
24.4
14
55%
7
0
1
1
0
1
3
4
4-4
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
48%
2-8
25%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.4
32.0
27.5
11
55%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
3-8
38%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.3
19.1
2.6
6
69%
7
0
1
0
0
1
2
5
2-3
67%
2-3
0-1
67%
48%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.0
7.9
12.2
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.2
7.9
0
1-1
51%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26.7
3.1
0
0-1
39%
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
2.8
0
0-1
45%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.0
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 30.8
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 19.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.