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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 30, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Cavaliers63%99103
30Bobcats37%9491
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.1
31.6
41.1
30
63%
6
6
5
2
1
4
1
5
6-11
55%
9-13
10-19
69%
51%
2-6
33%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.8
26.6
26.1
2
20%
4
7
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.4
25.8
27.7
1
6%
12
1
2
1
1
2
2
10
1-2
50%
0-7
4-8
0%
51%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.2
25.4
30.4
7
88%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.7
18.4
25.2
19
86%
5
1
0
1
1
4
2
3
7-7
100%
6-8
5-10
75%
49%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.4
29.5
29.0
7
39%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
1-5
20%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.7
23.7
27.8
14
64%
6
0
0
1
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
48%
2-5
40%
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
22.4
2.4
10
96%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
4-5
80%
3-3
0-0
100%
45%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.3
20.4
9.5
6
43%
10
1
2
0
0
1
3
7
0-0
-
3-7
1-2
43%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26.7
8.5
2.6
2
26%
1
2
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0-0
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.2
7.8
5.7
5
87%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
2-2
1-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.0
10.6
0
1-2
43%
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 30.8
1.3
0
0-0
47%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.0
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 19.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 30.2
35.4
17.7
7
32%
3
14
2
1
2
4
1
2
1-2
50%
3-10
3-6
30%
43%
0-0
-
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.0
28.7
30.5
11
50%
4
2
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
47%
3-8
38%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.3
25.6
31.4
9
47%
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
2
3-6
50%
3-7
6-12
43%
52%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 27.7
22.9
29.4
12
67%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
6-9
4-9
67%
46%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 21.6
12.5
34.8
3
28%
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
1-3
33%
1-3
4-10
33%
41%
0-1
0%
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 25.1
27.0
20.4
6
33%
5
1
2
1
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
3-9
2-5
33%
45%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.2
25.7
15.1
8
100%
12
3
0
0
1
2
6
6
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 25.4
18.5
28.3
12
54%
5
0
2
1
0
5
1
4
3-5
60%
3-5
3-6
60%
45%
1-4
25%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.3
17.1
17.5
9
45%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
43%
1-5
20%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.3
14.1
13.6
14
69%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
5-7
1-3
71%
44%
0-1
0%
Kevin Burleson
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.8
12.6
7.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.5
11.3
1
2-3
52%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 25.7
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 23.3
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.