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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 31, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Bulls23%8894
2Mavericks77%9798
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 23.3
43.5
30.3
12
71%
16
1
1
1
1
3
10
6
6-10
60%
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.1
41.0
33.6
28
52%
3
7
0
1
0
2
1
2
6-7
86%
8-19
3-7
42%
43%
2-5
40%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.8
33.1
31.6
14
51%
4
3
2
1
0
1
0
4
2-4
50%
3-7
5-11
43%
42%
2-5
40%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.8
27.5
32.9
2
13%
7
0
2
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
1-8
5-10
13%
48%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 32.0
17.6
13.8
9
65%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 26.2
29.3
22.2
14
50%
8
1
0
0
1
2
4
4
2-2
100%
3-10
2-5
30%
44%
2-3
67%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.4
23.5
24.0
5
37%
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
1-2
1-3
50%
41%
0-3
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.3
11.9
6.2
2
17%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
39%
0-2
0%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.6
5.3
11.1
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.0
3.8
24.4
4
106%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-1
4-8
100%
50%
0-0
-
James Thomas
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.2
3.6
1.8
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 23.3
5.7
0
1-2
48%
Eddie Basden
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.0
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 35.3
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.8
38.8
33.7
22
63%
9
3
1
1
0
2
2
7
6-8
75%
5-12
6-12
42%
49%
2-2
100%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.4
38.2
34.7
13
39%
3
5
3
1
0
1
0
3
8-8
100%
1-9
4-9
11%
50%
1-4
25%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.6
36.8
34.9
21
69%
7
1
0
1
0
3
0
7
5-5
100%
5-9
7-14
56%
49%
2-4
50%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.6
26.3
26.2
4
72%
6
4
1
1
0
1
2
4
2-4
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.0
20.0
22.3
6
61%
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
40%
0-1
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.2
23.6
24.2
9
32%
1
0
2
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-10
3-8
20%
44%
1-3
33%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.3
22.1
14.0
12
79%
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
5
5-6
83%
2-2
2-4
100%
48%
1-3
33%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.6
14.3
20.7
4
40%
6
0
1
0
1
1
3
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
53%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.9
11.1
13.4
3
34%
0
3
1
1
1
2
0
0
1-1
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
50%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.1
8.9
26.2
4
67%
2
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
4-8
67%
48%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.6
8.8
0
1-1
44%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.1
1.9
0
0-1
52%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.0
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 21.0
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.