Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, February 1, 2006

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	22	Timberwolves	18%	81	74
	1	Pistons	82%	93	90

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
MIN	90.2	82	89.5
DET	107.1	84	77.5

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+10

-17

DET

+17

-12

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

0.97 48.7%

DET

1.01 50.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	DET
Q4 - 0:00.0	DET		74 0%	90 100%
Q4 - 0:19.0	MIN	McCants Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	74 0%	90 100%
Q4 - 0:19.0	MIN	McCants Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	73 0%	90 100%
Q4 - 0:19.0	MIN	McCants REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	72 0%	90 100%
Q4 - 0:19.0	MIN	MISS McCants Layup	72 0%	90 100%
Q4 - 0:27.0	DET	Milicic 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)	72 0%	90 100%
Q4 - 0:44.0	MIN	Banks Driving Layup (9 PTS)	72 0.1%	88 99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0	MIN	Griffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	70 0.1%	88 99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0	DET	MISS Maxiell Layup	70 0.1%	88 99.9%
Q4 - 1:11	MIN	Banks Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	70 0.1%	88 99.9%
Q4 - 1:11	MIN	Banks Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	69 0.1%	88 99.9%
Q4 - 1:21	DET	Delfino Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	68 0.1%	88 99.9%
Q4 - 1:21	DET	Delfino Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	68 0.1%	87 99.9%
Q4 - 1:23	MIN	Delfino STEAL (1 STL)	68 0.1%	86 99.9%
Q4 - 1:53	DET	Delfino Driving Dunk (7 PTS)	68 0.1%	86 99.9%
Q4 - 2:16	MIN	McCants Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	68 0.1%	84 99.9%
Q4 - 2:16	MIN	McCants Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	67 0.1%	84 99.9%
Q4 - 2:25	MIN	Griffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	66 0.1%	84 99.9%
Q4 - 2:27	DET	MISS Maxiell 14' Jump Shot	66 0.1%	84 99.9%
Q4 - 2:48	MIN	Reed 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McCants 2 AST)	66 0.1%	84 99.9%
Q4 - 3:01	MIN	Griffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	64 0.1%	84 99.9%
Q4 - 3:03	DET	MISS Maxiell 12' Jump Shot	64 0.1%	84 99.9%
Q4 - 3:17	DET	Maxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	64 0.1%	84 99.9%
Q4 - 3:19	MIN	MISS McCants 26' 3PT Jump Shot	64 0.1%	84 99.9%
Q4 - 3:37	MIN	Timberwolves Rebound	64 0.1%	84 99.9%
Q4 - 3:37	DET	MISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2	64 0.1%	84 99.9%
Q4 - 3:37	DET	MISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2	64 0.1%	84 99.9%
Q4 - 3:41	MIN	Wallace STEAL (4 STL)	64 0.1%	84 99.9%
Q4 - 4:02	DET	Evans 20' Jump Shot (3 PTS)	64 0.1%	84 99.9%
Q4 - 4:30	MIN	Reed Driving Layup (2 PTS)	64 0.1%	82 99.9%
Q4 - 4:52	MIN	Timberwolves Rebound	62 0.1%	82 99.9%
Q4 - 4:53	DET	MISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot	62 0.1%	82 99.9%
Q4 - 5:11	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:8 Def:9)	62 0.1%	82 99.9%
Q4 - 5:13	DET	MISS Arroyo 12' Jump Shot	62 0.1%	82 99.9%
Q4 - 5:17	MIN	Wallace STEAL (3 STL)	62 0.1%	82 99.9%
Q4 - 5:26	DET	McDyess 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)	62 0.1%	82 99.9%
Q4 - 5:43	MIN	McCants 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	62 0.1%	80 99.9%
Q4 - 6:06	MIN	Banks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	60 0.1%	80 99.9%
Q4 - 6:08	DET	MISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot	60 0.1%	80 99.9%
Q4 - 6:30	MIN	Blount Dunk (8 PTS) (McCants 1 AST)	60 0.1%	80 99.9%
Q4 - 6:35	DET	Hamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)	58 0.1%	80 99.9%
Q4 - 6:54	DET	PISTONS Rebound	58 0.1%	80 99.9%
Q4 - 6:55	MIN	MISS McCants 26' 3PT Jump Shot	58 0.1%	80 99.9%
Q4 - 7:20	DET	Hamilton Layup (21 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)	58 0.1%	80 99.9%
Q4 - 7:30	MIN	McCants Dunk (6 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)	58 0.1%	78 99.9%
Q4 - 7:35	DET	Hamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)	56 0.1%	78 99.9%
Q4 - 7:57	MIN	Hamilton STEAL (2 STL)	56 0.1%	78 99.9%
Q4 - 8:12	DET	McDyess Traveling Turnover (P3.T10)	56 0.1%	78 99.9%
Q4 - 8:21	DET	Evans Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	56 0.1%	78 99.9%
Q4 - 8:21	DET	MISS Evans Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2	56 0.1%	77 99.9%
Q4 - 8:24	DET	Hamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	56 0.1%	77 99.9%
Q4 - 8:26	MIN	Wallace BLOCK (3 BLK)	56 0.1%	77 99.9%
Q4 - 8:31	DET	Hamilton Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)	56 0.2%	77 99.8%
Q4 - 8:35	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)	56 0.1%	77 99.9%
Q4 - 8:38	MIN	MISS McCants 19' Jump Shot	56 0.1%	77 99.9%
Q4 - 8:57	DET	Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)	56 0.2%	77 99.8%
Q4 - 9:02	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)	56 0.3%	74 99.7%
Q4 - 9:03	DET	MISS Hamilton Layup	56 0.4%	74 99.6%
Q4 - 9:08	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)	56 0.3%	74 99.7%
Q4 - 9:10	DET	MISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot	56 0.4%	74 99.6%
Q4 - 9:21	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)	56 0.3%	74 99.7%
Q4 - 9:23	DET	MISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot	56 0.4%	74 99.6%
Q4 - 9:32	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)	56 0.3%	74 99.7%
Q4 - 9:34	MIN	MISS Griffin 16' Jump Shot	56 0.4%	74 99.6%
Q4 - 9:41	MIN	Blount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	56 0.4%	74 99.6%
Q4 - 9:43	MIN	MISS McCants 26' 3PT Jump Shot	56 0.4%	74 99.6%
Q4 - 10:02	DET	McDyess 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hamilton 6 AST)	56 0.5%	74 99.5%
Q4 - 10:09	DET	PISTONS Rebound	56 0.7%	72 99.3%
Q4 - 10:09	DET	MISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot	56 0.8%	72 99.2%
Q4 - 10:25	MIN	McCants Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	56 0.7%	72 99.3%
Q4 - 10:25	MIN	McCants Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	55 0.6%	72 99.4%
Q4 - 10:32	DET	Hamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)	54 0.5%	72 99.5%
Q4 - 10:47	DET	McDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	54 0.4%	72 99.6%
Q4 - 10:49	MIN	MISS Banks 25' 3PT Jump Shot	54 0.4%	72 99.6%
Q4 - 11:09	DET	Arroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	54 0.6%	72 99.4%
Q4 - 11:09	DET	Arroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	54 0.7%	71 99.3%
Q4 - 11:37	MIN	McCants Dunk (2 PTS) (Garnett 5 AST)	54 0.8%	70 99.2%
Q4 - 11:41	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)	52 0.6%	70 99.4%
Q4 - 11:43	DET	MISS Hamilton 12' Running Jump Shot	52 0.6%	70 99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0	MIN		52 0.5%	70 99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0	DET	Prince 21' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)	52 0.6%	70 99.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0	DET	Hamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	52 0.9%	68 99.1%
Q3 - 0:05.0	MIN	Wallace BLOCK (2 BLK)	52 1.0%	68 99.0%
Q3 - 0:20.0	DET	Arroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)	52 1.1%	68 98.9%
Q3 - 0:22.0	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	52 0.9%	68 99.1%
Q3 - 0:24.0	MIN	MISS Davis 19' Jump Shot	52 1.0%	68 99.0%
Q3 - 0:30.0	MIN	Hassell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	52 1.1%	68 98.9%
Q3 - 0:33.0	DET	MISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot	52 1.1%	68 98.9%
Q3 - 0:52.0	MIN	Garnett Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)	52 0.9%	68 99.1%
Q3 - 1:13	MIN	Blount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	49 0.7%	68 99.3%
Q3 - 1:16	DET	MISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot	49 0.7%	68 99.3%
Q3 - 1:35	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)	49 0.6%	68 99.4%
Q3 - 1:37	MIN	MISS Davis 20' Jump Shot	49 0.6%	68 99.4%
Q3 - 1:52	DET	Prince Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)	49 0.7%	68 99.3%
Q3 - 1:52	DET	Prince Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)	49 0.7%	67 99.3%
Q3 - 2:05	DET	Prince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	49 1.0%	66 99.0%
Q3 - 2:07	DET	MISS Hamilton Layup	49 1.1%	66 98.9%
Q3 - 2:11	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)	49 1.0%	66 99.0%
Q3 - 2:13	DET	MISS Prince 7' Hook Shot	49 1.1%	66 98.9%
Q3 - 2:37	MIN	Banks Layup (5 PTS) (Garnett 4 AST)	49 1.0%	66 99.0%
Q3 - 2:51	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)	47 0.8%	66 99.2%
Q3 - 2:53	DET	MISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot	47 0.8%	66 99.2%
Q3 - 3:04	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	47 0.8%	66 99.2%
Q3 - 3:07	MIN	MISS Hassell 29' 3PT Jump Shot	47 0.8%	66 99.2%
Q3 - 3:37	DET	Hamilton Layup (16 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)	47 0.9%	66 99.1%
Q3 - 3:58	MIN	Blount 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)	47 1.1%	64 98.9%
Q3 - 4:19	DET	Wallace Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)	45 1.0%	64 99.0%
Q3 - 4:29	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	45 1.2%	62 98.8%
Q3 - 4:31	DET	MISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot	45 1.3%	62 98.7%
Q3 - 4:48	MIN	Hassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)	45 1.2%	62 98.8%
Q3 - 4:48	MIN	Hassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	44 1.1%	62 98.9%
Q3 - 5:02	MIN	Blount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	43 1.1%	62 98.9%
Q3 - 5:03	DET	MISS Billups Layup	43 1.1%	62 98.9%
Q3 - 5:18	MIN	Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)	43 0.9%	62 99.1%
Q3 - 5:31	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)	40 0.7%	62 99.3%
Q3 - 5:33	DET	MISS Prince 5' Hook Shot	40 0.6%	62 99.4%
Q3 - 5:42	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	40 0.6%	62 99.4%
Q3 - 5:44	MIN	MISS Banks 21' Jump Shot	40 0.6%	62 99.4%
Q3 - 5:58	MIN	Blount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	40 0.7%	62 99.3%
Q3 - 6:00	DET	MISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot	40 0.6%	62 99.4%
Q3 - 6:05	DET	PISTONS Rebound	40 0.6%	62 99.4%
Q3 - 6:07	DET	MISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot	40 0.7%	62 99.3%
Q3 - 6:13	DET	Wallace Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)	40 0.6%	62 99.4%
Q3 - 6:27	MIN	Garnett Foul Turnover (P2.T14)	40 0.8%	61 99.2%
Q3 - 6:29	MIN	Hassell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	40 0.9%	61 99.1%
Q3 - 6:31	MIN	Wallace BLOCK (2 BLK)	40 0.8%	61 99.2%
Q3 - 6:53	DET	Hamilton Layup (14 PTS)	40 0.9%	61 99.1%
Q3 - 6:56	DET	Hamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	40 1.0%	59 99.0%
Q3 - 6:57	DET	MISS Wallace Layup	40 1.2%	59 98.8%
Q3 - 7:18	MIN	Hassell 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)	40 1.1%	59 98.9%
Q3 - 7:25	DET	Hamilton Dunk (12 PTS)	38 1.0%	59 99.0%
Q3 - 7:30	MIN	Hamilton STEAL (1 STL)	38 1.1%	57 98.9%
Q3 - 7:45	DET	Wallace Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T6)	38 1.3%	57 98.7%
Q3 - 8:00	MIN	Hassell Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)	38 1.1%	57 98.9%
Q3 - 8:05	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	38 1.4%	57 98.6%
Q3 - 8:07	DET	MISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot	38 1.3%	57 98.7%
Q3 - 8:22	MIN	Griffin Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)	38 1.2%	57 98.8%
Q3 - 8:39	DET	Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)	38 1.4%	57 98.6%
Q3 - 9:03	MIN	Garnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	38 1.9%	54 98.1%
Q3 - 9:03	MIN	MISS Garnett Free Throw 1 of 2	37 1.9%	54 98.1%
Q3 - 9:25	DET	Prince Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)	37 1.9%	54 98.1%
Q3 - 9:37	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	37 2.6%	51 97.4%
Q3 - 9:40	MIN	MISS Griffin 17' Jump Shot	37 2.7%	51 97.3%
Q3 - 10:07	DET	Hamilton 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)	37 3.1%	51 96.9%
Q3 - 10:14	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	37 3.5%	49 96.5%
Q3 - 10:16	MIN	MISS Garnett 5' Jump Shot	37 3.6%	49 96.4%
Q3 - 10:38	DET	Billups Driving Layup (6 PTS)	37 4.0%	49 96.0%
Q3 - 10:50	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	37 4.5%	47 95.5%
Q3 - 10:51	MIN	MISS Garnett Layup	37 4.8%	47 95.2%
Q3 - 10:58	MIN	Hassell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	37 5.3%	47 94.7%
Q3 - 11:01	DET	MISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot	37 5.0%	47 95.0%
Q3 - 11:09	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	37 4.6%	47 95.4%
Q3 - 11:10	DET	MISS Wallace Tip Shot	37 5.0%	47 95.0%
Q3 - 11:12	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	37 4.6%	47 95.4%
Q3 - 11:14	DET	MISS Hamilton 8' Jump Shot	37 5.0%	47 95.0%
Q3 - 11:28	DET	PISTONS Rebound	37 4.6%	47 95.4%
Q3 - 11:30	MIN	MISS Garnett 15' Jump Shot	37 4.8%	47 95.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0	DET		37 5.3%	47 94.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0	DET	PISTONS Rebound	37 4.6%	47 95.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0	DET	MISS Delfino 51' 3PT Jump Shot	37 5.0%	47 95.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0	MIN	Banks Driving Layup (3 PTS)	37 5.0%	47 95.0%
Q2 - 0:06.0	DET	Billups Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	35 4.2%	47 95.8%
Q2 - 0:06.0	DET	MISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 2	35 4.2%	46 95.8%
Q2 - 0:19.0	DET	McDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	35 4.3%	46 95.7%
Q2 - 0:22.0	MIN	MISS Garnett 11' Jump Shot	35 4.5%	46 95.5%
Q2 - 0:35.0	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	35 4.7%	46 95.3%
Q2 - 0:37.0	DET	MISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot	35 4.6%	46 95.4%
Q2 - 0:46.0	MIN	Garnett Reverse Layup (10 PTS)	35 4.3%	46 95.7%
Q2 - 1:02	DET	McDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	33 3.8%	46 96.2%
Q2 - 1:02	DET	MISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 2	33 4.0%	45 96.0%
Q2 - 1:02	DET	McDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	33 4.1%	45 95.9%
Q2 - 1:03	DET	MISS Billups Layup	33 4.2%	45 95.8%
Q2 - 1:21	MIN	Davis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	33 4.0%	45 96.0%
Q2 - 1:21	MIN	Davis Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	32 3.9%	45 96.1%
Q2 - 1:30	DET	McDyess Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)	31 3.4%	45 96.6%
Q2 - 1:59	MIN	Hassell 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jaric 2 AST)	31 4.0%	43 96.0%
Q2 - 2:22	DET	Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)	29 3.6%	43 96.4%
Q2 - 2:43	MIN	Timberwolves Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)	29 4.6%	40 95.4%
Q2 - 2:43	MIN	Timberwolves Rebound	29 5.1%	40 94.9%
Q2 - 2:43	MIN	MISS Hassell Layup	29 4.8%	40 95.2%
Q2 - 3:10	DET	Delfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)	29 5.4%	40 94.6%
Q2 - 3:22	DET	Delfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	29 6.6%	37 93.4%
Q2 - 3:25	DET	MISS Billups Layup	29 7.2%	37 92.8%
Q2 - 3:33	DET	Evans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	29 6.6%	37 93.4%
Q2 - 3:37	MIN	McDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)	29 6.9%	37 93.1%
Q2 - 3:55	DET	Billups Tip Shot (3 PTS)	29 7.5%	37 92.5%
Q2 - 3:56	DET	Billups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	29 8.3%	35 91.7%
Q2 - 3:57	DET	MISS Evans Layup	29 9.0%	35 91.0%
Q2 - 4:01	MIN	Evans STEAL (2 STL)	29 8.3%	35 91.7%
Q2 - 4:09	MIN	Jaric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	29 9.2%	35 90.8%
Q2 - 4:11	DET	MISS McDyess 15' Jump Shot	29 8.9%	35 91.1%
Q2 - 4:32	MIN	Evans STEAL (1 STL)	29 8.3%	35 91.7%
Q2 - 4:54	DET	McDyess 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)	29 9.2%	35 90.8%
Q2 - 5:11	MIN	Blount Driving Layup (4 PTS)	29 10.1%	33 89.9%
Q2 - 5:26	MIN	Hassell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	27 9.2%	33 90.8%
Q2 - 5:28	MIN	MISS Davis 17' Jump Shot	27 8.5%	33 91.5%
Q2 - 5:57	DET	Delfino Driving Layup (2 PTS)	27 9.2%	33 90.8%
Q2 - 6:13	DET	Evans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	27 10.1%	31 89.9%
Q2 - 6:15	MIN	MISS Banks 18' Jump Shot	27 10.5%	31 89.5%
Q2 - 6:28	DET	McDyess Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)	27 11.4%	31 88.6%
Q2 - 6:43	MIN	Reed Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)	27 10.1%	31 89.9%
Q2 - 7:10	DET	McDyess 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)	27 11.4%	31 88.6%
Q2 - 7:19	DET	McDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	27 12.4%	29 87.6%
Q2 - 7:21	MIN	Wallace BLOCK (1 BLK)	27 12.8%	29 87.2%
Q2 - 7:46	DET	Hamilton 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	27 13.7%	29 86.3%
Q2 - 7:50	DET	Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	27 14.9%	27 85.1%
Q2 - 7:52	MIN	MISS McCants 16' Jump Shot	27 15.3%	27 84.7%
Q2 - 7:54	MIN	Timberwolves Rebound	27 16.4%	27 83.6%
Q2 - 7:54	MIN	Evans BLOCK (1 BLK)	27 15.3%	27 84.7%
Q2 - 8:16	MIN	Blount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	27 16.3%	27 83.7%
Q2 - 8:18	DET	MISS Arroyo 27' 3PT Jump Shot	27 15.8%	27 84.2%
Q2 - 8:40	MIN	Reed Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)	27 14.8%	27 85.2%
Q2 - 8:43	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	27 16.3%	27 83.7%
Q2 - 8:45	DET	MISS Wallace Layup	27 15.8%	27 84.2%
Q2 - 9:05	DET	Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	27 14.6%	27 85.4%
Q2 - 9:07	MIN	MISS Garnett 18' Jump Shot	27 15.0%	27 85.0%
Q2 - 9:24	DET	Arroyo 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)	27 16.0%	27 84.0%
Q2 - 9:43	MIN	Garnett Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)	27 17.3%	25 82.7%
Q2 - 10:01	DET	Arroyo 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)	27 19.0%	25 81.0%
Q2 - 10:19	DET	McDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	27 20.4%	23 79.6%
Q2 - 10:20	MIN	MISS Banks Free Throw 2 of 2	27 20.6%	23 79.4%
Q2 - 10:20	MIN	Banks Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	27 21.7%	23 78.3%
Q2 - 10:31	DET	McDyess Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)	26 20.6%	23 79.4%
Q2 - 10:35	DET	Evans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	26 18.8%	23 81.2%
Q2 - 10:37	DET	MISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot	26 20.0%	23 80.0%
Q2 - 11:00	MIN	Garnett 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Banks 2 AST)	26 18.8%	23 81.2%
Q2 - 11:19	DET	Hamilton Driving Layup (6 PTS)	24 16.9%	23 83.1%
Q2 - 11:40	MIN	Garnett 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)	24 18.4%	21 81.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0	DET		22 17.0%	21 83.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0	DET	McDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	22 15.6%	21 84.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0	MIN	Wallace BLOCK (1 BLK)	22 15.9%	21 84.1%
Q1 - 0:23.0	DET	Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	22 16.6%	21 83.4%
Q1 - 0:23.0	DET	MISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2	22 16.9%	20 83.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0	MIN	Blount 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Banks 1 AST)	22 16.9%	20 83.1%
Q1 - 0:47.0	DET	Wallace Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)	20 15.3%	20 84.7%
Q1 - 0:53.0	MIN	Wallace STEAL (2 STL)	20 14.4%	20 85.6%
Q1 - 1:11	DET	Prince Driving Layup (13 PTS)	20 15.3%	20 84.7%
Q1 - 1:17	DET	Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	20 16.9%	18 83.1%
Q1 - 1:19	MIN	MISS Blount 16' Jump Shot	20 17.2%	18 82.8%
Q1 - 1:33	DET	Prince 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)	20 17.9%	18 82.1%
Q1 - 1:56	MIN	Davis Layup (6 PTS)	20 19.7%	16 80.3%
Q1 - 2:00	DET	Wallace Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)	18 17.9%	16 82.1%
Q1 - 2:23	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18 16.7%	16 83.3%
Q1 - 2:25	MIN	MISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot	18 17.1%	16 82.9%
Q1 - 2:45	DET	Hamilton 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)	18 17.9%	16 82.1%
Q1 - 3:03	MIN	Davis Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Hassell 2 AST)	18 18.8%	14 81.2%
Q1 - 3:06	MIN	Hassell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	16 17.7%	14 82.3%
Q1 - 3:08	DET	MISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot	16 17.2%	14 82.8%
Q1 - 3:24	MIN	Garnett Layup (4 PTS) (Jaric 1 AST)	16 16.3%	14 83.7%
Q1 - 3:36	MIN	Jaric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	14 15.2%	14 84.8%
Q1 - 3:38	MIN	MISS Jaric 17' Jump Shot	14 14.3%	14 85.7%
Q1 - 4:03	DET	Prince 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)	14 14.9%	14 85.1%
Q1 - 4:25	MIN	Garnett 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hassell 1 AST)	14 17.0%	11 83.0%
Q1 - 4:43	DET	Wallace 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	12 16.1%	11 83.9%
Q1 - 5:07	MIN	Davis Driving Layup (2 PTS)	12 16.5%	9 83.5%
Q1 - 5:19	MIN	Jaric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	10 15.5%	9 84.5%
Q1 - 5:21	DET	MISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot	10 15.1%	9 84.9%
Q1 - 5:45	MIN	Hassell Driving Layup (8 PTS)	10 14.3%	9 85.7%
Q1 - 5:52	DET	Hamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	8 13.4%	9 86.6%
Q1 - 6:11	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	8 12.3%	9 87.7%
Q1 - 6:13	MIN	MISS Garnett Layup	8 12.6%	9 87.4%
Q1 - 6:25	DET	Hamilton 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)	8 13.2%	9 86.8%
Q1 - 6:29	MIN	Prince STEAL (1 STL)	8 14.2%	7 85.8%
Q1 - 6:32	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	8 15.2%	7 84.8%
Q1 - 6:35	MIN	MISS Hassell 19' Jump Shot	8 14.5%	7 85.5%
Q1 - 6:52	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	8 15.2%	7 84.8%
Q1 - 6:53	DET	MISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 2	8 15.1%	7 84.9%
Q1 - 6:53	DET	Prince Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	8 14.4%	7 85.6%
Q1 - 7:18	MIN	Hassell Dunk (6 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)	8 14.8%	6 85.2%
Q1 - 7:25	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	6 13.9%	6 86.1%
Q1 - 7:28	DET	MISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot	6 13.6%	6 86.4%
Q1 - 7:43	MIN	Griffin Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)	6 13.0%	6 87.0%
Q1 - 7:49	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	6 13.9%	6 86.1%
Q1 - 7:51	DET	MISS Prince Layup	6 13.6%	6 86.4%
Q1 - 8:10	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 12.7%	6 87.3%
Q1 - 8:12	MIN	MISS Garnett 16' Jump Shot	6 13.0%	6 87.0%
Q1 - 8:14	MIN	Hassell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	6 13.7%	6 86.3%
Q1 - 8:17	MIN	MISS Davis 19' Jump Shot	6 13.0%	6 87.0%
Q1 - 8:35	MIN	Griffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 13.7%	6 86.3%
Q1 - 8:37	DET	MISS Wallace 5' Hook Shot	6 13.4%	6 86.6%
Q1 - 9:01	MIN	Hassell 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	6 12.5%	6 87.5%
Q1 - 9:18	DET	Billups Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	4 12.0%	6 88.0%
Q1 - 9:18	DET	MISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 2	4 12.0%	5 88.0%
Q1 - 9:33	DET	Billups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 11.7%	5 88.3%
Q1 - 9:36	MIN	MISS Griffin 16' Jump Shot	4 12.0%	5 88.0%
Q1 - 9:51	DET	Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)	4 12.8%	5 87.2%
Q1 - 10:13	MIN	Griffin Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)	4 14.3%	2 85.7%
Q1 - 10:17	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	2 13.5%	2 86.5%
Q1 - 10:20	MIN	MISS Griffin 19' Jump Shot	2 12.8%	2 87.2%
Q1 - 10:34	MIN	Jaric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 13.5%	2 86.5%
Q1 - 10:37	DET	MISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot	2 13.2%	2 86.8%
Q1 - 10:56	MIN	Hassell 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	2 12.5%	2 87.5%
Q1 - 11:15	DET	Prince 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)	0 11.7%	2 88.3%
Q1 - 11:20	MIN	Wallace STEAL (1 STL)	0 12.6%	0 87.4%
Q1 - 11:37	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 13.3%	0 86.7%
Q1 - 11:39	DET	MISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot	0 13.1%	0 86.9%
Q1 - 12:00	DET	Jump Ball Wallace vs. Garnett: Tip to Prince	0 12.6%	0 87.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

0.97 48.7%

DET

1.01 50.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

59%

DET

50%

Midrange

MIN

37%

DET

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

1.5

14%

21%

DET

9.0

40%

60%

Free Throws

MIN

88%

DET

64%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Garnett	14	50%	7.0 / 14
T. Hassell	14	58%	7.0 / 12
R. McCants	12	46%	6.0 / 13
R. Davis	11	50%	5.5 / 11
M. Banks	9	45%	4.5 / 10
M. Blount	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Reed	4	100%	2.0 / 2
E. Griffin	2	20%	1.0 / 5
M. Jaric	0	-	0.0 / 1
M. Madsen	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton	21	44%	10.5 / 24
T. Prince	20	77%	10.0 / 13
A. McDyess	11	61%	5.5 / 9
R. Wallace	9	75%	4.5 / 6
C. Billups	9	38%	4.5 / 12
C. Delfino	9	90%	4.5 / 5
C. Arroyo	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Evans	3	75%	1.5 / 2
D. Milicic	2	100%	1.0 / 1
B. Wallace	0	-	0.0 / 5
J. Maxiell	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+10

-17

DET

+17

-12

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

0.97 48.7%

DET

1.01 50.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	102.5 110.1	MIN 90.2 +16.9 DET 107.1
Pace	88.8 87.4	MIN 89.5 +11.9 DET 77.5
Avg. Poss. Time	16.4 17.3	MIN 16.1 +2.5 DET 18.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	48.0% 49.7%	MIN 44.7% DET 49.4% +4.7%
TO %	15.3% 12.2%	MIN 19.7% DET 12.2% +7.5%
ORB %	25.2% 28.9%	MIN 23.5% DET 35.9% +12.4%
FTrt	29.9 29.7	MIN 25.8 DET 28.6 +2.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	59.4% 66.1%	MIN 55.2% DET 62.9% +7.7%
STL %	7.6% 8.0%	MIN 8.5% DET 11.9% +3.4%
BLK %	9.0% 9.0%	MIN 3.2% DET 11.9% +8.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.33 and 2.33.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	50.9% 52.1%	MIN 48.7% DET 50.6% +1.9%
Rim FG%	58.4% 59.0%	MIN 58.6% +8.6% DET 50.0%
Mid FG%	41.3% 41.0%	MIN 36.7% DET 44.4% +7.7%
3P %	32.9% 38.4%	MIN 14.3% DET 40.0% +25.7%
FT %	75.8% 72.7%	MIN 88.2% +24.6% DET 63.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	32.2% 28.3%	MIN 43.9% +10.2% DET 33.8%
Mid Att. %	52.9% 49.6%	MIN 45.5% +1.3% DET 46.8%
3P Att. %	14.9% 22.1%	MIN 10.6% DET 19.5% +8.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	DET
Possessions	82	84
Possession Minutes	22.0	26.0
Points	74	90
Rebounds	33	40
Assists	16	22
Steals	7	10
Blocks	2	7
Turnovers (Team)	17 (1)	12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (2)	14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (2)	26 (2)
Field Goals	29-66	35-77
At-the-Rim FG	17-29	13-26
Midrange FG	11-30	16-36
2-Point FG	28-59	29-62
3-Point FG	1-7	6-15
Free Throws	15-17	14-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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22 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Garnett F · 6'11" 240 · 30	34.5	14	50%	12	5	2	1	2	1	2	10	2-3	67%	6-13	46%	0-0	-
Ricky Davis G · 6'7" 195 · 26	30.9	11	50%	0	2	1	1	3	0	0	0	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	1-2	50%
Trenton Hassell F · 6'5" 227 · 27	30.9	14	58%	6	2	0	0	3	3	3	3	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	0-1	0%
Eddie Griffin C · 6'9" 222 · 24	22.6	2	20%	4	0	0	0	3	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Marko Jaric G · 6'7" 224 · 27	19.0	0	0%	4	2	0	0	1	4	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Marcus Banks G · 6'2" 205 · 24	30.6	9	45%	1	2	1	0	1	3	0	1	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Mark Blount C-F · 7'0" 250 · 30	30.5	8	80%	5	1	1	0	1	4	1	4	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Rashad McCants G · 6'4" 215 · 21	17.2	12	46%	1	2	2	0	0	2	1	0	6-6	100%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Justin Reed F · 6'8" 240 · 24	17.1	4	100%	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Mark Madsen F · 6'9" 255 · 30	6.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Troy Hudson G · 6'1" 178 · 30
Anthony Carter G · 6'1" 190 · 31
Bracey Wright #6 · G · 6'3" 201 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ronald Dupree #12 · F · 6'7" 209 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Richie Frahm #24 · G · 6'5" 202 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	74	49%	33	16	7	2	17	0	8	25	15-17	88%	28-59	47%	1-7	14%

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22 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Garnett F · 6'11" 240 · 30	34.5	14	50%	12	5	2	1	2	1	2	10	2-3	67%	6-13	46%	0-0	-
Ricky Davis G · 6'7" 195 · 26	30.9	11	50%	0	2	1	1	3	0	0	0	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	1-2	50%
Trenton Hassell F · 6'5" 227 · 27	30.9	14	58%	6	2	0	0	3	3	3	3	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	0-1	0%
Eddie Griffin C · 6'9" 222 · 24	22.6	2	20%	4	0	0	0	3	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Marko Jaric G · 6'7" 224 · 27	19.0	0	0%	4	2	0	0	1	4	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Marcus Banks G · 6'2" 205 · 24	30.6	9	45%	1	2	1	0	1	3	0	1	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Mark Blount C-F · 7'0" 250 · 30	30.5	8	80%	5	1	1	0	1	4	1	4	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Rashad McCants G · 6'4" 215 · 21	17.2	12	46%	1	2	2	0	0	2	1	0	6-6	100%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Justin Reed F · 6'8" 240 · 24	17.1	4	100%	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Mark Madsen F · 6'9" 255 · 30	6.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Troy Hudson G · 6'1" 178 · 30
Anthony Carter G · 6'1" 190 · 31
Bracey Wright #6 · G · 6'3" 201 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ronald Dupree #12 · F · 6'7" 209 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Richie Frahm #24 · G · 6'5" 202 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	74	49%	33	16	7	2	17	0	8	25	15-17	88%	28-59	47%	1-7	14%

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1 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ben Wallace C · 6'9" 240 · 31	36.5	0	0%	17	1	4	3	1	1	8	9	0-2	0%	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Richard Hamilton G · 6'7" 193 · 28	36.4	21	44%	5	6	2	0	5	2	1	4	0-0	-	9-22	41%	1-2	50%
Rasheed Wallace F · 6'11" 230 · 31	32.5	9	75%	3	2	0	2	2	3	0	3	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Chauncey Billups G · 6'3" 210 · 29	28.6	9	38%	2	7	0	0	0	1	1	1	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	1-5	20%
Tayshaun Prince F · 6'9" 212 · 26	26.1	20	77%	2	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	4-5	80%	5-8	63%	2-3	67%
Maurice Evans G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27	20.7	3	75%	3	0	2	1	0	4	1	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Antonio McDyess F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31	19.7	11	61%	6	1	0	1	3	1	1	5	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Carlos Arroyo G · 6'2" 200 · 27	19.4	6	50%	0	4	0	0	1	4	0	0	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Carlos Delfino G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23	13.0	9	90%	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Darko Milicic C · 7'0" 275 · 21	3.6	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jason Maxiell F · 6'7" 260 · 23	3.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Dale Davis C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37
Lindsey Hunter #10 · G · 6'2" 195 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Amir Johnson #25 · C-F · 6'9" 240 · 19	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Alex Acker #6 · G · 6'5" 185 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	51%	40	22	10	7	12	0	14	26	14-22	64%	29-62	47%	6-15	40%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE