FinalWin Prob.pScore
2132%90
84
1068%95
86
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
94.48992.4
HOU logo HOU
95.69086.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU84
0%
86
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0HOUROCKETS Rebound84
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q4 - 0:03.0MILMISS Simmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
3.2%
86
96.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)84
15.1%
86
84.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0HOUMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot84
11.2%
86
88.8%
Q4 - 0:36.0HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:13)84
6.7%
86
93.3%
Q4 - 0:37.0MILMISS Ford Free Throw 2 of 284
7.6%
86
92.4%
Q4 - 0:37.0MILFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)84
12.1%
86
87.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0HOUHoward Foul Turnover (P3.T12)83
10.2%
86
89.8%
Q4 - 1:03HOUROCKETS Rebound83
6.8%
86
93.2%
Q4 - 1:05MILMISS Simmons 18' Jump Shot83
8.3%
86
91.7%
Q4 - 1:13MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)83
13.3%
86
86.7%
Q4 - 1:14HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
11.2%
86
88.8%
Q4 - 1:27MILMagloire Layup (13 PTS) (Ford 7 AST)83
8.1%
86
91.9%
Q4 - 1:33MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)81
5.8%
86
94.2%
Q4 - 1:37MILMISS Ford 5' Jump Shot81
4.1%
86
95.9%
Q4 - 1:48MILBucks Rebound81
6.4%
86
93.6%
Q4 - 1:49HOUMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot81
5.6%
86
94.4%
Q4 - 2:10HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)81
3.9%
86
96.1%
Q4 - 2:11MILMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 281
4.2%
86
95.8%
Q4 - 2:11MILMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 281
5.3%
86
94.7%
Q4 - 2:11MILBucks Rebound81
7.3%
86
92.7%
Q4 - 2:12HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
6.0%
86
94.0%
Q4 - 2:28HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)81
3.8%
86
96.2%
Q4 - 2:30MILYao BLOCK (1 BLK)81
4.7%
86
95.3%
Q4 - 2:45HOUAlston 7' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)81
7.5%
86
92.5%
Q4 - 3:09MILSimmons Layup (26 PTS) (Kukoc 5 AST)81
10.6%
84
89.4%
Q4 - 3:12MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)79
8.4%
84
91.6%
Q4 - 3:15HOUMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot79
7.0%
84
93.0%
Q4 - 3:39MILSimmons Driving Layup (24 PTS)79
7.0%
84
93.0%
Q4 - 3:57HOUWesley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)77
4.9%
84
95.1%
Q4 - 4:15MILWelsch Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)77
3.3%
84
96.7%
Q4 - 4:15MILWelsch Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)76
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q4 - 4:15MILBucks Rebound75
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q4 - 4:16MILMISS Kukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 4:28MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q4 - 4:30HOUMISS McGrady 16' Jump Shot75
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q4 - 4:42HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)75
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q4 - 4:43MILMISS Welsch Free Throw 2 of 275
1.6%
84
98.4%
Q4 - 4:43MILWelsch Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)75
2.1%
84
97.9%
Q4 - 4:52MILBucks Rebound74
1.6%
84
98.4%
Q4 - 4:53MILMISS Ford 13' Jump Shot74
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 5:13MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)74
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q4 - 5:17HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 274
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 5:17MILAlston STEAL (4 STL)74
1.6%
84
98.4%
Q4 - 5:17HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)74
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 5:29MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)74
3.1%
83
96.9%
Q4 - 5:31HOUMISS Norris 17' Jump Shot74
2.8%
83
97.2%
Q4 - 5:44HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)74
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q4 - 5:45MILMISS Ford Layup74
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q4 - 6:01HOUMcGrady Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)74
4.0%
83
96.0%
Q4 - 6:15MILMagloire Layup (11 PTS) (Kukoc 4 AST)74
2.8%
83
97.2%
Q4 - 6:30HOUMcGrady 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS)72
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q4 - 6:45HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)72
2.8%
81
97.2%
Q4 - 6:49MILMISS Ford 6' Running Jump Shot72
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q4 - 6:54MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)72
3.9%
81
96.1%
Q4 - 6:55HOUMISS Yao 15' Jump Shot72
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q4 - 7:18MILBell 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)72
3.6%
81
96.4%
Q4 - 7:41HOUNorris 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Head 4 AST)70
2.8%
81
97.2%
Q4 - 7:56HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q4 - 7:58MILMISS Welsch 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
3.8%
79
96.2%
Q4 - 8:04MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)70
5.6%
79
94.4%
Q4 - 8:07HOUMISS Yao 16' Jump Shot70
5.2%
79
94.8%
Q4 - 8:26HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)70
4.3%
79
95.7%
Q4 - 8:27MILMISS Ford 16' Jump Shot70
4.7%
79
95.3%
Q4 - 8:46MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
5.5%
79
94.5%
Q4 - 8:47HOUMISS Yao 15' Jump Shot70
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q4 - 9:03HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)70
4.9%
79
95.1%
Q4 - 9:05MILMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot70
5.2%
79
94.8%
Q4 - 9:18MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)70
6.2%
79
93.8%
Q4 - 9:20HOUMISS Hayes 7' Jump Shot70
5.7%
79
94.3%
Q4 - 9:42MILMagloire 8' Jump Shot (9 PTS)70
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q4 - 9:57MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)68
3.9%
79
96.1%
Q4 - 9:59HOUMISS Alston 19' Jump Shot68
3.6%
79
96.4%
Q4 - 10:13HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q4 - 10:14MILMISS Magloire Layup68
3.8%
79
96.2%
Q4 - 10:18MILBucks Rebound68
4.4%
79
95.6%
Q4 - 10:18MILMcGrady BLOCK (1 BLK)68
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q4 - 10:30MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)68
4.4%
79
95.6%
Q4 - 10:33HOUMISS McGrady 15' Jump Shot68
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q4 - 10:48HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)68
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q4 - 10:49MILMISS Simmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q4 - 10:55MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
4.4%
79
95.6%
Q4 - 10:57HOUMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q4 - 11:19MILGadzuric Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Kukoc 3 AST)68
3.9%
79
96.1%
Q4 - 11:28HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)66
3.2%
79
96.8%
Q4 - 11:28HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)66
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU66
3.9%
77
96.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound66
3.9%
77
96.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS McGrady Layup66
4.6%
77
95.4%
Q3 - 0:08.0HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
4.4%
77
95.6%
Q3 - 0:09.0MILMISS Simmons 4' Jump Shot66
4.7%
77
95.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0HOUMcGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)66
5.4%
77
94.6%
Q3 - 0:50.0MILBell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kukoc 2 AST)66
7.9%
74
92.1%
Q3 - 0:55.0MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
5.3%
74
94.7%
Q3 - 0:57.0HOUMISS Howard Layup63
5.0%
74
95.0%
Q3 - 0:59.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)63
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q3 - 1:01HOUMISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot63
5.6%
74
94.4%
Q3 - 1:23MILKukoc 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)63
4.8%
74
95.2%
Q3 - 1:43HOUBaxter Layup (2 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)61
4.0%
74
96.0%
Q3 - 2:03HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
5.2%
72
94.8%
Q3 - 2:04MILMISS Ford Layup61
5.5%
72
94.5%
Q3 - 2:08MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
6.3%
72
93.7%
Q3 - 2:10HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
5.9%
72
94.1%
Q3 - 2:14HOUBaxter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
5.2%
72
94.8%
Q3 - 2:15HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 261
6.1%
72
93.9%
Q3 - 2:15HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)61
5.5%
72
94.5%
Q3 - 2:15HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
6.2%
71
93.8%
Q3 - 2:16MILMISS Ford 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
6.6%
71
93.4%
Q3 - 2:36MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
7.5%
71
92.5%
Q3 - 2:37HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 261
7.3%
71
92.7%
Q3 - 2:37HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)61
6.5%
71
93.5%
Q3 - 2:56MILFord Layup (11 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)61
7.3%
70
92.7%
Q3 - 3:00HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)59
6.3%
70
93.7%
Q3 - 3:14HOUROCKETS Rebound59
5.6%
70
94.4%
Q3 - 3:14MILMISS Bogut 5' Jump Shot59
5.9%
70
94.1%
Q3 - 3:31HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)59
6.7%
70
93.3%
Q3 - 3:31HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)59
6.9%
69
93.1%
Q3 - 3:46MILSimmons 12' Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS) (Welsch 2 AST)59
7.8%
68
92.2%
Q3 - 4:11HOUWesley 23' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)57
7.1%
68
92.9%
Q3 - 4:38MILSimmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Welsch 1 AST)57
8.1%
66
91.9%
Q3 - 5:01HOUWesley 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)54
6.4%
66
93.6%
Q3 - 5:16HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
8.5%
63
91.5%
Q3 - 5:16MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 254
8.7%
63
91.3%
Q3 - 5:16MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)54
9.5%
63
90.5%
Q3 - 5:27HOUAlston Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)53
8.6%
63
91.4%
Q3 - 5:37MILWesley STEAL (1 STL)53
7.3%
63
92.7%
Q3 - 6:08HOUYao 8' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)53
9.0%
63
91.0%
Q3 - 6:27MILWelsch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)53
10.3%
61
89.7%
Q3 - 6:27MILWelsch Layup (14 PTS)53
10.3%
61
89.7%
Q3 - 6:29MILMISS Ford Layup51
8.1%
61
91.9%
Q3 - 6:34HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)51
9.0%
61
91.0%
Q3 - 6:42HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)51
7.7%
61
92.3%
Q3 - 6:43MILMISS Ford 16' Jump Shot51
8.0%
61
92.0%
Q3 - 6:48MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
9.0%
61
91.0%
Q3 - 6:51HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot51
8.6%
61
91.4%
Q3 - 6:58HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
7.7%
61
92.3%
Q3 - 6:59MILMISS Welsch 16' Jump Shot51
8.0%
61
92.0%
Q3 - 7:15HOUYao Layup (17 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)51
9.3%
61
90.7%
Q3 - 7:33MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)51
10.5%
59
89.5%
Q3 - 7:33MILBucks Rebound51
12.3%
59
87.7%
Q3 - 7:34MILMISS Ford 3PT Jump Shot51
11.0%
59
89.0%
Q3 - 8:01HOUMcGrady 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)51
12.5%
59
87.5%
Q3 - 8:21MILSimmons 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)51
14.0%
57
86.0%
Q3 - 8:28MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
12.5%
57
87.5%
Q3 - 8:29MILMISS Bogut 16' Jump Shot49
11.3%
57
88.7%
Q3 - 8:50HOUMcGrady Layup (10 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)49
12.5%
57
87.5%
Q3 - 8:53MILAlston STEAL (3 STL)49
14.0%
55
86.0%
Q3 - 9:10HOUMcGrady 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Yao 3 AST)49
16.1%
55
83.9%
Q3 - 9:24MILFord Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)49
18.1%
53
81.9%
Q3 - 9:26HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)49
20.5%
53
79.5%
Q3 - 9:39HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
18.1%
53
81.9%
Q3 - 9:41MILMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 249
18.4%
53
81.6%
Q3 - 9:41MILMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 249
19.7%
53
80.3%
Q3 - 9:53HOUYao 7' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)49
20.5%
53
79.5%
Q3 - 10:07HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)49
22.6%
51
77.4%
Q3 - 10:08HOUMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot49
24.6%
51
75.4%
Q3 - 10:11HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)49
22.6%
51
77.4%
Q3 - 10:11HOUMISS McGrady 16' Jump Shot49
24.6%
51
75.4%
Q3 - 10:22MILSimmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)49
22.7%
51
77.3%
Q3 - 10:46HOUAlston 6' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)46
18.3%
51
81.7%
Q3 - 11:08MILWelsch 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)46
20.3%
49
79.7%
Q3 - 11:14MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
16.2%
49
83.8%
Q3 - 11:16HOUMISS Yao 16' Jump Shot43
15.7%
49
84.3%
Q3 - 11:38MILSimmons 9' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)43
14.4%
49
85.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL41
12.8%
49
87.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
13.0%
49
87.0%
Q2 - 0:05.0HOUMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
12.7%
49
87.3%
Q2 - 0:27.0HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
12.0%
49
88.0%
Q2 - 0:28.0MILMISS Ford 17' Jump Shot41
12.3%
49
87.7%
Q2 - 0:32.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)41
13.0%
49
87.0%
Q2 - 0:32.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
13.3%
48
86.7%
Q2 - 0:44.0MILFord Driving Layup (9 PTS)41
15.1%
47
84.9%
Q2 - 1:00HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
13.0%
47
87.0%
Q2 - 1:00HOUMcGrady Layup (4 PTS)39
13.0%
47
87.0%
Q2 - 1:01HOUMISS Head Layup39
16.2%
45
83.8%
Q2 - 1:06MILMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)39
15.6%
45
84.4%
Q2 - 1:35HOUNorris 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Yao 2 AST)39
16.5%
45
83.5%
Q2 - 1:57HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
19.3%
43
80.7%
Q2 - 1:58MILMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 239
19.4%
43
80.6%
Q2 - 1:58MILMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
20.7%
43
79.3%
Q2 - 2:00HOUNorris Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)38
18.3%
43
81.7%
Q2 - 2:21MILMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
17.2%
43
82.8%
Q2 - 2:21MILMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
16.7%
43
83.3%
Q2 - 2:52HOUHead 4' Running Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)36
15.3%
43
84.7%
Q2 - 3:10HOUBaxter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
17.3%
41
82.7%
Q2 - 3:11MILMISS Magloire Layup36
17.8%
41
82.2%
Q2 - 3:23HOUNorris 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)36
19.2%
41
80.8%
Q2 - 3:39MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)36
20.9%
39
79.1%
Q2 - 3:39MILMISS Ford Free Throw 1 of 235
20.5%
39
79.5%
Q2 - 3:44MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
21.2%
39
78.8%
Q2 - 3:46HOUMISS Yao 5' Jump Shot35
20.5%
39
79.5%
Q2 - 4:04HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
19.2%
39
80.8%
Q2 - 4:06MILMISS Magloire 11' Jump Shot35
19.7%
39
80.3%
Q2 - 4:15MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
21.0%
39
79.0%
Q2 - 4:17HOUMISS Yao 15' Jump Shot35
20.4%
39
79.6%
Q2 - 4:35MILFord 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)35
19.2%
39
80.8%
Q2 - 4:52HOUBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
17.4%
39
82.6%
Q2 - 4:52HOUBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
17.9%
38
82.1%
Q2 - 5:05MILSimmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)33
19.1%
37
80.9%
Q2 - 5:22HOUYao Layup (13 PTS)30
16.0%
37
84.0%
Q2 - 5:40HOUBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
17.4%
35
82.6%
Q2 - 5:41MILMISS Ford 12' Jump Shot30
18.0%
35
82.0%
Q2 - 5:50MILBucks Rebound30
19.3%
35
80.7%
Q2 - 5:51MILMISS Magloire 4' Jump Shot30
18.0%
35
82.0%
Q2 - 6:10HOUYao 9' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS) (Head 3 AST)30
19.5%
35
80.5%
Q2 - 6:28MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)30
20.9%
33
79.1%
Q2 - 6:28MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 229
20.4%
33
79.6%
Q2 - 6:42HOUYao Dunk (9 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)29
21.3%
33
78.7%
Q2 - 6:54HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
22.8%
31
77.2%
Q2 - 6:57MILMISS Simmons 18' Jump Shot29
23.5%
31
76.5%
Q2 - 7:07MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
25.2%
31
74.8%
Q2 - 7:07HOUMISS Bowen Layup29
24.5%
31
75.5%
Q2 - 7:13MILHayes STEAL (1 STL)29
23.1%
31
76.9%
Q2 - 7:32HOUHead Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
25.2%
31
74.8%
Q2 - 7:32HOUMISS Head Free Throw 1 of 229
25.7%
30
74.3%
Q2 - 7:37HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
25.0%
30
75.0%
Q2 - 7:38MILMISS Welsch 22' Jump Shot29
25.7%
30
74.3%
Q2 - 7:56HOUHayes Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)29
27.2%
30
72.8%
Q2 - 8:04MILHead STEAL (1 STL)29
28.9%
28
71.1%
Q2 - 8:24HOUHayes Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)29
31.4%
28
68.6%
Q2 - 8:24HOUHayes Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
32.0%
27
68.0%
Q2 - 8:33HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
33.4%
26
66.6%
Q2 - 8:34MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
34.2%
26
65.8%
Q2 - 8:57HOUYao 6' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS)29
36.1%
26
63.9%
Q2 - 9:09HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
37.6%
24
62.4%
Q2 - 9:10MILMISS Kukoc 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
38.4%
24
61.6%
Q2 - 9:35HOUBowen Layup (2 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)29
40.3%
24
59.7%
Q2 - 9:47MILWelsch Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)29
42.5%
22
57.5%
Q2 - 9:47MILWelsch Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)28
42.0%
22
58.0%
Q2 - 10:04HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)27
40.2%
22
59.8%
Q2 - 10:13HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
44.7%
19
55.3%
Q2 - 10:15MILMISS Kukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
45.5%
19
54.5%
Q2 - 10:32HOUHayes Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Head 1 AST)27
47.5%
19
52.5%
Q2 - 10:37HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
49.7%
17
50.3%
Q2 - 10:39MILHayes BLOCK (1 BLK)27
50.5%
17
49.5%
Q2 - 10:56HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
52.4%
17
47.6%
Q2 - 10:56HOUHayes Tip Shot (2 PTS)27
52.4%
17
47.6%
Q2 - 10:58HOUMISS Head 6' Jump Shot27
56.5%
15
43.5%
Q2 - 11:06HOUBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
53.6%
15
46.4%
Q2 - 11:07HOUMISS Bowen 20' Jump Shot27
55.2%
15
44.8%
Q2 - 11:20HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
53.6%
15
46.4%
Q2 - 11:21MILMISS Ford 10' Jump Shot27
54.3%
15
45.7%
Q2 - 11:26MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
56.0%
15
44.0%
Q2 - 11:27HOUMISS Yao 13' Jump Shot27
55.3%
15
44.7%
Q2 - 11:45HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
53.7%
15
46.3%
Q2 - 11:46MILMISS Welsch Layup27
54.4%
15
45.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU27
56.1%
15
43.9%
Q1 - 0:19.0HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
53.1%
15
46.9%
Q1 - 0:20.0HOUMISS McGrady 11' Jump Shot27
54.4%
15
45.6%
Q1 - 0:37.0MILKukoc 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)27
53.1%
15
46.9%
Q1 - 0:55.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
47.8%
15
52.2%
Q1 - 0:55.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
48.3%
14
51.7%
Q1 - 1:02HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
50.6%
13
49.4%
Q1 - 1:03MILMISS Ford 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
51.1%
13
48.9%
Q1 - 1:20HOUHoward 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)24
52.4%
13
47.6%
Q1 - 1:42MILSimmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)24
55.3%
11
44.7%
Q1 - 2:03HOUHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)21
50.0%
11
50.0%
Q1 - 2:13HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
47.8%
11
52.2%
Q1 - 2:14MILMISS Kukoc 3PT Jump Shot21
48.5%
11
51.5%
Q1 - 2:26HOUHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)21
50.0%
11
50.0%
Q1 - 2:44MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
47.9%
11
52.1%
Q1 - 2:44MILFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
47.3%
11
52.7%
Q1 - 2:51MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
45.4%
11
54.6%
Q1 - 2:52HOUMISS Alston 19' Jump Shot19
44.7%
11
55.3%
Q1 - 2:58HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
43.2%
11
56.8%
Q1 - 3:00MILMISS Bell 21' Jump Shot19
43.9%
11
56.1%
Q1 - 3:11HOUAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)19
44.5%
11
55.5%
Q1 - 3:31MILSimmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)19
48.8%
8
51.2%
Q1 - 3:41MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
44.6%
8
55.4%
Q1 - 3:42HOUMISS McGrady 15' Jump Shot16
43.8%
8
56.2%
Q1 - 3:53MILAlston STEAL (2 STL)16
42.1%
8
57.9%
Q1 - 4:03MILSimmons Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)16
43.9%
8
56.1%
Q1 - 4:23HOUWesley Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)15
41.7%
8
58.3%
Q1 - 4:40MILMagloire 5' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)15
39.2%
8
60.8%
Q1 - 5:00MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
37.5%
8
62.5%
Q1 - 5:02HOUMISS Wesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
35.7%
8
64.3%
Q1 - 5:09HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
34.3%
8
65.7%
Q1 - 5:11HOUMISS Wesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
35.8%
8
64.2%
Q1 - 5:18HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
34.3%
8
65.7%
Q1 - 5:19MILMISS Ford 20' Jump Shot13
35.0%
8
65.0%
Q1 - 5:26MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
36.5%
8
63.5%
Q1 - 5:27HOUMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot13
35.8%
8
64.2%
Q1 - 5:43MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
34.3%
8
65.7%
Q1 - 5:43MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
33.7%
8
66.3%
Q1 - 5:43MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
32.7%
8
67.3%
Q1 - 5:45MILMISS Bogut 6' Jump Hook Shot11
31.3%
8
68.7%
Q1 - 5:49MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
32.7%
8
67.3%
Q1 - 5:51MILMISS Simmons 27' 3PT Jump Shot11
31.3%
8
68.7%
Q1 - 6:19HOUWesley 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
32.1%
8
67.9%
Q1 - 6:24HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
33.8%
6
66.2%
Q1 - 6:27HOUMISS Yao 13' Jump Shot11
35.1%
6
64.9%
Q1 - 6:59MILFord Driving Layup (2 PTS)11
33.8%
6
66.2%
Q1 - 7:08MILBucks Rebound9
31.5%
6
68.5%
Q1 - 7:08HOUMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot9
30.9%
6
69.1%
Q1 - 7:25MILWelsch Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)9
29.7%
6
70.3%
Q1 - 7:25MILWelsch Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)8
29.4%
6
70.6%
Q1 - 7:28MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
28.3%
6
71.7%
Q1 - 7:30HOUMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
27.8%
6
72.2%
Q1 - 7:48MILMagloire 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
26.7%
6
73.3%
Q1 - 7:59HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)5
25.3%
6
74.7%
Q1 - 8:26MILWelsch 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)5
23.7%
6
76.3%
Q1 - 8:33MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
21.2%
6
78.8%
Q1 - 8:35HOUMISS Yao 7' Jump Shot2
20.8%
6
79.2%
Q1 - 8:51MILWelsch Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
19.8%
6
80.2%
Q1 - 9:00MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)0
18.8%
6
81.2%
Q1 - 9:02HOUMISS Yao 11' Jump Shot0
18.3%
6
81.7%
Q1 - 9:16HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
17.3%
6
82.7%
Q1 - 9:18MILMISS Ford 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
17.7%
6
82.3%
Q1 - 9:37MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
18.7%
6
81.3%
Q1 - 9:39HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
18.3%
6
81.7%
Q1 - 9:46HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.3%
6
82.7%
Q1 - 9:47MILMISS Simmons Layup0
17.7%
6
82.3%
Q1 - 9:49MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
18.7%
6
81.3%
Q1 - 9:50MILMISS Magloire 5' Jump Hook Shot0
17.7%
6
82.3%
Q1 - 10:01MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
18.6%
6
81.4%
Q1 - 10:02MILMISS Simmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
17.8%
6
82.2%
Q1 - 10:18MILBucks Rebound0
18.6%
6
81.4%
Q1 - 10:18HOUMISS Howard 11' Jump Shot0
18.3%
6
81.7%
Q1 - 10:30HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.4%
6
82.6%
Q1 - 10:31MILMISS Bogut 7' Hook Shot0
17.8%
6
82.2%
Q1 - 10:52HOUAlston 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
18.6%
6
81.4%
Q1 - 10:56MILAlston STEAL (1 STL)0
19.6%
4
80.4%
Q1 - 11:09HOUHoward 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
20.9%
4
79.1%
Q1 - 11:29MILBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
22.3%
2
77.7%
Q1 - 11:40HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
23.5%
2
76.5%
Q1 - 11:40HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
23.7%
1
76.3%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Yao vs. Magloire: Tip to Howard0
24.9%
0
75.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.92 46.2%
HOU
0.96 47.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
11
26
42%
HOU
12
17
71%
Midrange
MIL
8
25
32%
HOU
17
45
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
9
13.5
24
38%
56%
HOU
3
4.5
13
23%
35%
Free Throws
MIL
19
29
66%
HOU
19
23
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Simmons2668%13.0 / 19
J. Welsch1771%8.5 / 12
J. Magloire1343%6.5 / 15
T. Ford1226%6.0 / 23
C. Bell542%2.5 / 6
T. Kukoc542%2.5 / 6
A. Bogut429%2.0 / 7
D. Gadzuric2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady2244%11.0 / 25
Yao2153%10.5 / 20
R. Alston945%4.5 / 10
C. Hayes880%4.0 / 5
D. Wesley758%3.5 / 6
M. Norris675%3.0 / 4
J. Howard429%2.0 / 7
R. Bowen450%2.0 / 4
L. Head338%1.5 / 4
L. Baxter2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
79
+12
-10
91
HOU
79
+11
-11
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.92 46.2%
HOU
0.96 47.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
101.4
MIL 94.4
HOU 95.6 +1.2
Pace
91.6
88.2
MIL 92.4 +5.6
HOU 86.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.1
MIL 15.6 +1.0
HOU 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
47.1%
MIL 43.3%
HOU 44.7% +1.4%
TO %
15.2%
15.4%
MIL 11.1% +1.3%
HOU 12.4%
ORB %
27.4%
25.5%
MIL 15.6%
HOU 24.4% +8.8%
FTrt
32.2
31.7
MIL 38.7 +8.0
HOU 30.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
58.3%
MIL 60.7%
HOU 65.6% +4.9%
STL %
7.9%
8.1%
MIL 5.6%
HOU 8.9% +3.3%
BLK %
5.4%
6.6%
MIL 6.5% +0.6%
HOU 5.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
50.3%
MIL 46.2%
HOU 47.8% +1.6%
Rim FG%
54.9%
56.1%
MIL 42.3%
HOU 70.6% +28.3%
Mid FG%
39.6%
39.3%
MIL 32.0%
HOU 37.8% +5.8%
3P %
38.0%
33.2%
MIL 37.5% +14.4%
HOU 23.1%
FT %
73.8%
75.9%
MIL 65.5%
HOU 82.6% +17.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.7%
32.1%
MIL 34.7% +12.0%
HOU 22.7%
Mid Att. %
40.0%
45.3%
MIL 33.3% +26.7%
HOU 60.0%
3P Att. %
20.3%
22.6%
MIL 32.0% +14.7%
HOU 17.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILHOU
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points8486
Rebounds3848
Assists1721
Steals58
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (5)10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (4)38 (3)
Field Goals28-7532-75
At-the-Rim FG11-2612-17
Midrange FG8-2517-45
2-Point FG19-5129-62
3-Point FG9-243-13
Free Throws19-2919-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 165 · 23
48.0
12
26%
8
7
2
0
3
1
1
7
4-6
67%
4-16
25%
0-4
0%
G · 6'7" 208 · 26
38.6
17
71%
1
2
2
0
1
3
1
0
7-8
88%
2-5
40%
2-3
67%
C · 6'11" 265 · 28
38.1
13
43%
15
0
0
1
2
0
3
12
3-8
38%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 235 · 26
34.5
26
68%
1
0
0
1
0
3
1
0
1-1
100%
5-10
50%
5-9
56%
F · 7'0" 260 · 21
27.8
4
29%
6
1
0
1
3
4
1
5
4-6
67%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 27
23.0
5
42%
1
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 235 · 37
21.7
5
42%
6
5
1
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
C · 6'11" 240 · 28
8.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
5
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 26
G · 6'5" 204 · 30
G · 6'6" 205 · 25
C · 6'11" 245 · 38
#8 · F-C · 6'10" 225 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · G · 6'1" 198 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#23 · F · 6'9" 235 · 19
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
46%
38
17
5
4
10
0
7
31
19-29
66%
19-51
37%
9-24
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.