FinalWin Prob.pScore
1327%93
98
573%101
114
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
104.394103.2
MIA logo MIA
121.39487.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA98
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0BOSAllen 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Greene 1 AST)98
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Simien 19' Jump Shot96
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)96
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0BOSMISS Gomes 20' Jump Shot96
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Kapono Free Throw 2 of 296
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Kapono Free Throw 1 of 296
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04BOSPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)96
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04BOSPerkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)95
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)94
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18MIAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35BOSGreene Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)94
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35BOSGreene Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42MIAKapono Driving Layup (2 PTS)92
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55BOSPayton STEAL (1 STL)92
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)92
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43BOSGomes 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)92
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 290
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)89
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22MIAWalker Dunk (8 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25BOSAnderson STEAL (1 STL)88
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)88
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47BOSAllen Foul Turnover (P1.T11)88
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50MIAAnderson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)88
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 3:53MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:55MIAMISS O'Neal Dunk88
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07BOSLaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)88
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07BOSLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20BOSPierce Free Throw Technical (29 PTS)86
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20MIAWalker Slam Dunk (6 PTS)85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20MIAMISS O'Neal Layup85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 1 (28 PTS)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:38BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39BOSAnderson BLOCK (2 BLK)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40BOSSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:42BOSMISS Allen 21' Jump Shot82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59MIAWade Slam Dunk (32 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:05BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:23MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)82
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:23MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 282
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 5:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:24MIAMISS Wade Layup82
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 5:42BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)82
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:42BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:53MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)80
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:04MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 6:06BOSMISS West 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 6:23MIAWalker Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)80
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 6:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 6:30BOSO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)80
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 6:34BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)80
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 6:36BOSMISS Szczerbiak 20' Jump Shot80
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 6:44BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)80
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 6:46MIAMISS Anderson 13' Jump Shot80
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 7:03MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 7:05BOSMISS Pierce 20' Jump Shot80
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 7:19MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)80
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 7:40MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
1.7%
91
98.3%
Q4 - 7:42BOSAnderson BLOCK (1 BLK)80
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 7:49BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)80
2.3%
91
97.7%
Q4 - 7:51MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
2.1%
91
97.9%
Q4 - 8:08BOSPerkins 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)80
2.2%
91
97.8%
Q4 - 8:23MIAPayton 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)78
1.7%
91
98.3%
Q4 - 8:37MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
2.2%
89
97.8%
Q4 - 8:39BOSMISS Szczerbiak 20' Jump Shot78
2.3%
89
97.7%
Q4 - 8:51MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)78
2.8%
89
97.2%
Q4 - 8:51MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)78
3.0%
88
97.0%
Q4 - 8:51MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
3.5%
87
96.5%
Q4 - 8:53MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup78
4.2%
87
95.8%
Q4 - 9:08MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
4.0%
87
96.0%
Q4 - 9:10BOSMISS Olowokandi Layup78
4.3%
87
95.7%
Q4 - 9:27BOSCeltics Rebound78
5.1%
87
94.9%
Q4 - 9:28MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
4.7%
87
95.3%
Q4 - 9:55BOSSzczerbiak Layup (16 PTS) (Scalabrine 1 AST)78
4.0%
87
96.0%
Q4 - 9:59BOSScalabrine REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
3.2%
87
96.8%
Q4 - 10:01MIAMISS Payton 12' Turnaround Jump Shot76
3.4%
87
96.6%
Q4 - 10:25BOSScalabrine Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)76
2.9%
87
97.1%
Q4 - 10:25BOSScalabrine Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)75
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q4 - 10:39MIAWalker Driving Layup (2 PTS)74
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q4 - 10:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)74
2.8%
85
97.2%
Q4 - 10:57BOSMISS Greene 20' Jump Shot74
3.1%
85
96.9%
Q4 - 11:17MIAWade Dunk (30 PTS)74
4.0%
85
96.0%
Q4 - 11:38MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
4.9%
83
95.1%
Q4 - 11:40BOSMISS Olowokandi 13' Jump Shot74
5.2%
83
94.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA74
6.1%
83
93.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound74
4.9%
83
95.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Mourning 6' Jump Shot74
5.7%
83
94.3%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
5.4%
83
94.6%
Q3 - 0:11.0BOSMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)74
5.7%
83
94.3%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)74
6.5%
83
93.5%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)74
6.7%
82
93.3%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
7.9%
81
92.1%
Q3 - 0:36.0BOSMISS Pierce Layup74
8.3%
81
91.7%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)74
9.5%
81
90.5%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)74
9.8%
80
90.2%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)74
11.4%
79
88.6%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Wade Driving Finger Roll74
13.0%
79
87.0%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
11.4%
79
88.6%
Q3 - 1:01BOSMISS Pierce 17' Jump Shot74
12.4%
79
87.6%
Q3 - 1:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)74
14.0%
79
86.0%
Q3 - 1:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)74
14.5%
78
85.5%
Q3 - 1:18MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
16.5%
77
83.5%
Q3 - 1:19BOSMISS Pierce 22' Jump Shot74
17.3%
77
82.7%
Q3 - 1:24BOSOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
19.4%
77
80.6%
Q3 - 1:26MIAMISS Wade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot74
18.5%
77
81.5%
Q3 - 1:45BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)74
16.4%
77
83.6%
Q3 - 1:45BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)73
16.0%
77
84.0%
Q3 - 1:54MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS)72
14.0%
77
86.0%
Q3 - 2:18BOSScalabrine 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Pierce 4 AST)72
16.4%
75
83.6%
Q3 - 2:58BOSCeltics Rebound69
16.6%
73
83.4%
Q3 - 2:58BOSPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)69
14.0%
73
86.0%
Q3 - 2:58BOSMISS Perkins Free Throw 1 of 268
13.3%
73
86.7%
Q3 - 2:58BOSCeltics Rebound68
14.2%
73
85.8%
Q3 - 2:59MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot68
13.4%
73
86.6%
Q3 - 3:04MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
12.4%
73
87.6%
Q3 - 3:06BOSMISS Scalabrine 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
13.0%
73
87.0%
Q3 - 3:18BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)68
14.5%
73
85.5%
Q3 - 3:20MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
13.8%
73
86.2%
Q3 - 3:29MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
12.3%
73
87.7%
Q3 - 3:31BOSMISS West 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
13.0%
73
87.0%
Q3 - 3:53MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)68
14.5%
73
85.5%
Q3 - 3:53MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 268
14.9%
72
85.1%
Q3 - 4:11BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)68
14.3%
72
85.7%
Q3 - 4:11BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)67
13.9%
72
86.1%
Q3 - 4:16BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
12.6%
72
87.4%
Q3 - 4:18MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot66
11.9%
72
88.1%
Q3 - 4:38BOSLaFrentz 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (West 4 AST)66
10.6%
72
89.4%
Q3 - 4:57BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
7.9%
72
92.1%
Q3 - 4:59MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot63
7.5%
72
92.5%
Q3 - 5:08MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
7.0%
72
93.0%
Q3 - 5:10BOSMISS Szczerbiak 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
7.3%
72
92.7%
Q3 - 5:20MIAO'Neal 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (17 PTS) (Posey 4 AST)63
8.2%
72
91.8%
Q3 - 5:39BOSSzczerbiak Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)63
9.4%
70
90.6%
Q3 - 5:39BOSSzczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)62
9.3%
70
90.7%
Q3 - 5:56MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)61
8.2%
70
91.8%
Q3 - 5:56MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)61
8.4%
69
91.6%
Q3 - 6:18BOSWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)61
9.7%
68
90.3%
Q3 - 6:18BOSMISS West Free Throw 1 of 260
9.5%
68
90.5%
Q3 - 6:21BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
9.8%
68
90.2%
Q3 - 6:23MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
9.3%
68
90.7%
Q3 - 6:42BOSLaFrentz 4' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (West 3 AST)60
8.4%
68
91.6%
Q3 - 6:52MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)58
7.3%
68
92.7%
Q3 - 6:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
9.7%
65
90.3%
Q3 - 7:01BOSMISS LaFrentz 3PT Jump Shot58
10.3%
65
89.7%
Q3 - 7:07BOSWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
11.5%
65
88.5%
Q3 - 7:09BOSMISS West 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
10.3%
65
89.7%
Q3 - 7:21BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
11.5%
65
88.5%
Q3 - 7:24MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot58
11.0%
65
89.0%
Q3 - 7:42BOSSzczerbiak Layup (12 PTS) (LaFrentz 1 AST)58
9.8%
65
90.2%
Q3 - 8:00MIAO'Neal Dunk (15 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)56
8.7%
65
91.3%
Q3 - 8:10BOSPierce 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS)56
10.0%
63
90.0%
Q3 - 8:25MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)54
8.9%
63
91.1%
Q3 - 8:42BOSPierce 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS)54
10.0%
61
90.0%
Q3 - 8:46BOSWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
8.9%
61
91.1%
Q3 - 8:50MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot52
8.5%
61
91.5%
Q3 - 9:14BOSLaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)52
7.7%
61
92.3%
Q3 - 9:23BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
5.9%
61
94.1%
Q3 - 9:25MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot49
5.7%
61
94.3%
Q3 - 9:43BOSLaFrentz 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
5.1%
61
94.9%
Q3 - 9:51BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
4.5%
61
95.5%
Q3 - 9:53BOSMISS West 19' Jump Shot47
4.0%
61
96.0%
Q3 - 10:05BOSPierce Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)47
4.7%
61
95.3%
Q3 - 10:20MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (19 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)46
4.1%
61
95.9%
Q3 - 10:33BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Perkins 1 AST)46
4.6%
59
95.4%
Q3 - 10:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)43
3.5%
59
96.5%
Q3 - 10:57MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)43
3.6%
58
96.4%
Q3 - 11:12BOSWest Driving Layup (7 PTS)43
4.1%
57
95.9%
Q3 - 11:25MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)41
3.6%
57
96.4%
Q3 - 11:25MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)41
3.7%
56
96.3%
Q3 - 11:38BOSSzczerbiak Traveling Turnover (P3.T10)41
4.1%
55
95.9%
Q3 - 11:41MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)41
4.8%
55
95.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA41
4.1%
55
95.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
4.1%
55
95.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Szczerbiak Free Throw 2 of 241
4.2%
55
95.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSSzczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)41
4.7%
55
95.3%
Q2 - 0:21.0BOSWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
4.4%
55
95.6%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Williams Tip Shot40
4.3%
55
95.7%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
4.0%
55
96.0%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup40
4.3%
55
95.7%
Q2 - 0:37.0BOSLaFrentz Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Olowokandi 1 AST)40
4.0%
55
96.0%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)38
3.4%
55
96.6%
Q2 - 1:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
4.3%
53
95.7%
Q2 - 1:16BOSMISS West 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
4.4%
53
95.6%
Q2 - 1:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)38
4.6%
53
95.4%
Q2 - 1:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)38
4.7%
52
95.3%
Q2 - 1:36BOSHaslem STEAL (1 STL)38
5.5%
51
94.5%
Q2 - 2:01MIAHaslem 6' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)38
6.3%
51
93.7%
Q2 - 2:17BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)38
7.1%
49
92.9%
Q2 - 2:17BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 237
6.9%
49
93.1%
Q2 - 2:32MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)37
7.0%
49
93.0%
Q2 - 2:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
7.9%
47
92.1%
Q2 - 2:47BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
8.2%
47
91.8%
Q2 - 3:13MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)37
9.2%
47
90.8%
Q2 - 3:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
11.2%
44
88.8%
Q2 - 3:24BOSWade BLOCK (1 BLK)37
11.7%
44
88.3%
Q2 - 3:44BOSOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
12.6%
44
87.4%
Q2 - 3:45MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 237
12.4%
44
87.6%
Q2 - 3:45MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)37
11.9%
44
88.1%
Q2 - 4:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
12.7%
43
87.3%
Q2 - 4:03BOSMISS Szczerbiak Free Throw 2 of 237
12.8%
43
87.2%
Q2 - 4:03BOSSzczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)37
13.8%
43
86.2%
Q2 - 4:14BOSCeltics Rebound36
12.6%
43
87.4%
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
12.3%
43
87.7%
Q2 - 4:34BOSWest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)36
11.4%
43
88.6%
Q2 - 4:42MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Posey 3 AST)36
12.6%
43
87.4%
Q2 - 4:49BOSScalabrine Layup (5 PTS)36
14.0%
41
86.0%
Q2 - 4:52BOSScalabrine REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
12.6%
41
87.4%
Q2 - 5:02BOSMISS Pierce 27' 3PT Jump Shot34
11.8%
41
88.2%
Q2 - 5:31MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)34
12.7%
41
87.3%
Q2 - 5:52BOSGreene Foul Turnover (P1.T7)34
13.9%
39
86.1%
Q2 - 5:55BOSOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
15.5%
39
84.5%
Q2 - 5:57MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup34
15.0%
39
85.0%
Q2 - 6:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
14.0%
39
86.0%
Q2 - 6:10BOSMISS Szczerbiak 19' Jump Shot34
14.4%
39
85.6%
Q2 - 6:24MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)34
15.6%
39
84.4%
Q2 - 6:49BOSScalabrine Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)34
13.9%
39
86.1%
Q2 - 6:49BOSScalabrine Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)33
13.7%
39
86.3%
Q2 - 7:08MIAHaslem Dunk (9 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)32
13.2%
39
86.8%
Q2 - 7:29BOSOlowokandi Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)32
14.3%
37
85.7%
Q2 - 7:41BOSScalabrine REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
15.7%
37
84.3%
Q2 - 7:42MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
15.3%
37
84.7%
Q2 - 8:02BOSScalabrine Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)32
14.3%
37
85.7%
Q2 - 8:08MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)32
15.8%
37
84.2%
Q2 - 8:18BOSScalabrine Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)32
14.3%
37
85.7%
Q2 - 8:18BOSMISS Scalabrine Free Throw 1 of 231
14.0%
37
86.0%
Q2 - 8:35BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
14.5%
37
85.5%
Q2 - 8:37MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
14.0%
37
86.0%
Q2 - 8:53BOSOlowokandi 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)31
13.1%
37
86.9%
Q2 - 9:07MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)29
12.1%
37
87.9%
Q2 - 9:13BOSWade STEAL (2 STL)29
11.0%
37
89.0%
Q2 - 9:19BOSPierce Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)29
12.1%
37
87.9%
Q2 - 9:35MIAPayton Foul Turnover (P1.T2)28
11.1%
37
88.9%
Q2 - 9:37MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
10.0%
37
90.0%
Q2 - 9:39BOSMISS Greene 20' Jump Shot28
10.4%
37
89.6%
Q2 - 9:47MIAWade Follow Up Dunk (9 PTS)28
11.1%
37
88.9%
Q2 - 9:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
12.0%
35
88.0%
Q2 - 9:52MIAMISS Walker 5' Hook Shot28
12.9%
35
87.1%
Q2 - 9:54MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
12.0%
35
88.0%
Q2 - 9:56MIAMISS Walker 6' Jump Shot28
12.9%
35
87.1%
Q2 - 10:06MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
12.2%
35
87.8%
Q2 - 10:08BOSMISS Allen Layup28
12.6%
35
87.4%
Q2 - 10:18BOSScalabrine REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
13.4%
35
86.6%
Q2 - 10:19BOSMISS Pierce 19' Jump Shot28
12.5%
35
87.5%
Q2 - 10:39MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)28
13.4%
35
86.6%
Q2 - 11:08BOSPierce 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS)28
15.6%
32
84.4%
Q2 - 11:14BOSOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
14.4%
32
85.6%
Q2 - 11:16MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot26
14.0%
32
86.0%
Q2 - 11:31MIAHEAT Rebound26
13.3%
32
86.7%
Q2 - 11:32MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
14.1%
32
85.9%
Q2 - 11:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
13.3%
32
86.7%
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot26
14.1%
32
85.9%
Q2 - 12:00MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Technical26
13.3%
32
86.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
13.3%
32
86.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound26
13.3%
32
86.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
14.1%
32
85.9%
Q1 - 0:05.0BOSPierce Driving Layup (7 PTS)26
13.4%
32
86.6%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIASimien 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)24
12.1%
32
87.9%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
13.4%
30
86.6%
Q1 - 0:39.0BOSMISS Szczerbiak 8' Jump Shot24
13.7%
30
86.3%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAPayton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)24
14.3%
30
85.7%
Q1 - 1:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
17.1%
27
82.9%
Q1 - 1:15BOSMISS Pierce 15' Jump Shot24
17.4%
27
82.6%
Q1 - 1:33MIAPayton Driving Layup (2 PTS)24
18.2%
27
81.8%
Q1 - 1:52BOSPierce 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)24
20.0%
25
80.0%
Q1 - 2:05MIAHEAT Turnover: Backcourt (T#1)22
18.3%
25
81.7%
Q1 - 2:24BOSPierce 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS)22
17.1%
25
82.9%
Q1 - 2:46MIAO'Neal Layup (8 PTS)20
15.7%
25
84.3%
Q1 - 2:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
17.1%
23
82.9%
Q1 - 2:59BOSMISS Pierce Layup20
17.4%
23
82.6%
Q1 - 3:05BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
18.4%
23
81.6%
Q1 - 3:07MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot20
17.9%
23
82.1%
Q1 - 3:22MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
16.9%
23
83.1%
Q1 - 3:24BOSMISS West Layup20
17.4%
23
82.6%
Q1 - 3:28BOSCeltics Rebound20
18.4%
23
81.6%
Q1 - 3:29BOSO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)20
17.4%
23
82.6%
Q1 - 3:44BOSCeltics Rebound20
18.4%
23
81.6%
Q1 - 3:46MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
17.9%
23
82.1%
Q1 - 3:56MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
16.9%
23
83.1%
Q1 - 3:57BOSMISS LaFrentz 22' Jump Shot20
17.4%
23
82.6%
Q1 - 4:17MIAWilliams Driving Layup (4 PTS)20
18.2%
23
81.8%
Q1 - 4:22MIAHEAT Rebound20
19.3%
21
80.7%
Q1 - 4:23BOSMISS Szczerbiak 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
19.8%
21
80.2%
Q1 - 4:49MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)20
21.0%
21
79.0%
Q1 - 5:03BOSSzczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)20
21.8%
19
78.2%
Q1 - 5:18MIAPosey Driving Layup (2 PTS)17
19.2%
19
80.8%
Q1 - 5:35BOSWest Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)17
20.4%
17
79.6%
Q1 - 5:47BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
22.0%
17
78.0%
Q1 - 5:48MIAMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 117
21.8%
17
78.2%
Q1 - 5:55BOSLaFrentz Dunk (4 PTS) (West 2 AST)17
23.3%
15
76.7%
Q1 - 6:06MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)15
21.7%
15
78.3%
Q1 - 6:26BOSPierce Foul Turnover (P1.T2)15
23.0%
13
77.0%
Q1 - 6:32MIAWade Reverse Layup (4 PTS)15
24.6%
13
75.4%
Q1 - 6:53BOSWest Driving Layup (5 PTS)15
26.1%
11
73.9%
Q1 - 7:04BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
24.1%
11
75.9%
Q1 - 7:06MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
23.6%
11
76.4%
Q1 - 7:27BOSWest 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)13
22.6%
11
77.4%
Q1 - 7:47MIAWade Running Dunk (2 PTS)10
20.2%
11
79.8%
Q1 - 7:50BOSWade STEAL (1 STL)10
21.3%
9
78.7%
Q1 - 8:10MIAHaslem Layup (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)10
22.5%
9
77.5%
Q1 - 8:13MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
23.7%
7
76.3%
Q1 - 8:14BOSMISS Szczerbiak 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
24.2%
7
75.8%
Q1 - 8:23BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
25.3%
7
74.7%
Q1 - 8:25MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Turnaround Jump Shot10
24.8%
7
75.2%
Q1 - 8:41BOSLaFrentz 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
23.7%
7
76.3%
Q1 - 8:43BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
22.6%
7
77.4%
Q1 - 8:45BOSMISS Szczerbiak 13' Jump Shot8
21.5%
7
78.5%
Q1 - 9:03MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
22.5%
7
77.5%
Q1 - 9:22BOSSzczerbiak 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)8
23.5%
5
76.5%
Q1 - 9:31BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
21.2%
5
78.8%
Q1 - 9:33MIAMISS Williams Reverse Layup5
20.7%
5
79.3%
Q1 - 9:45BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)5
19.6%
5
80.4%
Q1 - 9:45BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 24
19.4%
5
80.6%
Q1 - 9:53BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
20.0%
5
80.0%
Q1 - 9:55MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot4
19.5%
5
80.5%
Q1 - 10:05BOSSzczerbiak 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)4
18.5%
5
81.5%
Q1 - 10:17MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
17.5%
5
82.5%
Q1 - 10:17MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 22
17.7%
4
82.3%
Q1 - 10:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
17.4%
4
82.6%
Q1 - 10:18MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Bank Shot2
18.2%
4
81.8%
Q1 - 10:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.4%
4
82.6%
Q1 - 10:33BOSMISS Pierce 16' Fadeaway Jumper2
17.7%
4
82.3%
Q1 - 10:41MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)2
18.6%
4
81.4%
Q1 - 10:41MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)2
19.1%
3
80.9%
Q1 - 10:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
19.6%
2
80.4%
Q1 - 10:50BOSMISS Perkins 18' Jump Shot2
20.0%
2
80.0%
Q1 - 10:52BOSWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
21.0%
2
79.0%
Q1 - 10:55BOSMISS Perkins 9' Hook Shot2
20.0%
2
80.0%
Q1 - 11:19MIAO'Neal 8' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)2
20.8%
2
79.2%
Q1 - 11:39BOSPerkins 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
22.1%
0
77.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Perkins: Tip to Pierce0
20.8%
0
79.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.08 53.8%
MIA
1.11 55.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
13
23
57%
MIA
23
34
68%
Midrange
BOS
11
32
34%
MIA
13
30
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
MIA
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
Free Throws
BOS
32
39
82%
MIA
27
36
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce3155%15.5 / 28
R. LaFrentz1890%9.0 / 10
W. Szczerbiak1644%8.0 / 18
B. Scalabrine1083%5.0 / 6
D. West840%4.0 / 10
K. Perkins744%3.5 / 8
M. Olowokandi233%1.0 / 3
T. Allen233%1.0 / 3
O. Greene233%1.0 / 3
R. Gomes250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3471%17.0 / 24
S. O'Neal2162%10.5 / 17
U. Haslem1765%8.5 / 13
A. Walker1250%6.0 / 12
J. Posey880%4.0 / 5
G. Payton750%3.5 / 7
A. Mourning583%2.5 / 3
J. Williams422%2.0 / 9
S. Anderson250%1.0 / 2
W. Simien250%1.0 / 2
J. Kapono233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
81
+10
-13
91
MIA
89
+13
-5
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.08 53.8%
MIA
1.11 55.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.8
108.0
BOS 104.3
MIA 121.3 +17.0
Pace
92.6
92.2
BOS 103.2 +16.0
MIA 87.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.9
BOS 14.0 +2.6
MIA 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
51.7%
BOS 45.2%
MIA 53.7% +8.5%
TO %
17.0%
15.0%
BOS 12.6%
MIA 6.7% +5.9%
ORB %
25.7%
26.8%
BOS 20.9%
MIA 27.0% +6.1%
FTrt
34.9
36.3
BOS 53.4 +9.0
MIA 44.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
55.7%
BOS 43.3%
MIA 58.5% +15.2%
STL %
7.5%
6.9%
BOS 3.2%
MIA 5.3% +2.1%
BLK %
8.1%
8.5%
BOS 1.6%
MIA 10.9% +9.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.6%
53.9%
BOS 53.8%
MIA 55.3% +1.5%
Rim FG%
57.3%
64.2%
BOS 56.5%
MIA 67.6% +11.1%
Mid FG%
41.6%
38.9%
BOS 34.4%
MIA 43.3% +8.9%
3P %
36.2%
34.5%
BOS 33.3% +3.9%
MIA 29.4%
FT %
75.5%
70.0%
BOS 82.1% +7.1%
MIA 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.4%
39.3%
BOS 31.5%
MIA 42.0% +10.5%
Mid Att. %
40.2%
38.0%
BOS 43.8%
MIA 37.0% +6.8%
3P Att. %
20.4%
22.7%
BOS 24.7% +3.7%
MIA 21.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes21.925.9
Points98114
Rebounds3644
Assists1324
Steals35
Blocks16
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)5 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (5)34 (1)
Field Goals30-7341-81
At-the-Rim FG13-2323-34
Midrange FG11-3213-30
2-Point FG24-5536-64
3-Point FG6-185-17
Free Throws32-3927-36
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 235 · 28
40.7
31
55%
4
4
1
0
2
1
1
3
14-16
88%
7-17
41%
1-4
25%
G · 6'7" 240 · 29
39.5
16
44%
1
0
0
0
3
1
1
0
5-7
71%
4-11
36%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 180 · 23
35.1
8
40%
4
4
0
0
2
3
2
2
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
1-5
20%
F · 6'11" 240 · 30
26.0
18
90%
3
1
1
0
0
4
1
2
2-2
100%
5-6
83%
2-3
67%
C · 6'10" 270 · 21
24.3
7
44%
13
1
0
0
0
5
2
11
3-4
75%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 270 · 31
21.0
2
33%
4
1
0
0
2
5
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 28
19.0
10
83%
4
1
0
1
1
2
2
2
5-6
83%
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
· 6'4" 213 · 24
14.3
2
33%
2
0
1
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 208 · 24
13.7
2
33%
0
1
0
0
1
3
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 245 · 23
3.2
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 280 · 21
#27 · F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'0" 180 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
54%
36
13
3
1
13
0
9
27
32-39
82%
24-55
44%
6-18
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.