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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 6, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Bucks27%9186
6Cavaliers73%9989
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 22.9
43.6
38.2
12
38%
8
11
1
1
0
3
5
3
2-2
100%
5-14
4-11
36%
41%
0-1
0%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.5
41.1
31.3
18
46%
2
1
2
1
0
3
1
1
5-6
83%
5-11
5-12
45%
46%
1-6
17%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.7
39.1
33.4
21
53%
8
2
1
1
1
1
3
5
2-2
100%
5-11
3-8
45%
46%
3-8
38%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.7
39.0
30.8
10
41%
11
1
0
0
0
1
3
8
2-5
40%
4-10
4-8
40%
47%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 21.2
37.8
32.7
6
38%
8
3
0
1
1
3
5
3
2-2
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
52%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.9
15.0
18.5
8
68%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
1-1
2-4
100%
42%
2-4
50%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 30.5
11.5
23.1
6
50%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 37.4
7.3
14.4
5
133%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-1
100%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 26.0
5.6
17.1
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.0
8.5
0
1-3
51%
Jermaine Jackson
G · 6'5" 204 · 29.7
2.2
0
0-0
45%
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 38.1
0.8
0
0-0
45%
Reece Gaines
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.1
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 23.1
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 18.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.1
45.4
41.0
22
51%
9
12
0
2
2
4
0
9
2-4
50%
7-13
9-18
54%
52%
2-7
29%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.7
37.3
28.1
13
69%
7
5
1
1
5
2
2
5
1-1
100%
6-9
5-10
67%
50%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.4
31.2
26.2
15
56%
7
2
1
1
0
4
3
4
1-1
100%
7-13
4-8
54%
52%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.2
27.6
28.8
15
72%
4
4
1
1
0
0
2
2
1-1
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
47%
2-3
67%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.8
26.0
28.2
2
25%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.7
27.2
19.1
6
38%
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
50%
0-4
0%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.5
27.1
26.3
7
50%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
1-4
25%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.4
18.2
16.0
9
67%
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
3-4
75%
3-5
2-3
60%
50%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.7
5.0
0
0-1
48%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.2
4.7
0
0-1
53%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26.8
3.5
0
0-1
42%
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 19.9
1.2
0
0-0
55%
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.3
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.0
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.