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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 8, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs69%97125
23Raptors31%90118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.7
41.0
34.6
32
71%
5
13
0
1
0
6
0
5
8-8
100%
12-18
7-13
67%
54%
0-1
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.7
40.7
32.3
12
61%
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
3
3-4
75%
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
3-6
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.5
34.5
28.5
14
51%
2
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
5-6
83%
3-9
4-7
33%
53%
1-2
50%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.7
32.7
20.3
14
70%
8
2
0
0
1
0
3
5
0-0
-
7-10
2-5
70%
50%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.5
23.6
8.0
3
75%
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
1-2
50%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.9
32.5
21.2
23
75%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-3
67%
6-8
2-4
75%
46%
3-6
50%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.5
25.1
11.4
16
81%
5
2
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-2
0%
8-9
2-3
89%
47%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.4
19.9
20.0
5
43%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-5
3-5
40%
51%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.6
10.1
13.4
4
67%
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.2
4.7
9.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.1
0.2
9.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.8
35.3
1
8-15
52%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 30.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.9
50.9
39.4
30
68%
14
4
0
1
1
2
7
7
8-9
89%
11-18
8-16
61%
48%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 28.5
50.2
38.1
25
58%
4
1
1
1
0
3
1
3
5-8
63%
4-9
3-7
44%
44%
4-9
44%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 30.6
44.8
34.1
36
56%
4
7
2
1
0
1
1
3
8-10
80%
11-21
5-10
52%
45%
2-7
29%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 21.5
40.5
27.9
8
40%
4
1
0
1
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
5-9
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 37.3
33.2
7.1
7
41%
7
0
0
0
0
2
5
2
1-6
17%
3-6
1-2
50%
39%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
16.2
17.6
2
35%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 25.8
13.3
13.5
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.2
8.6
14.7
6
94%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
4-5
80%
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.7
7.2
20.8
2
100%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 27.6
13.3
0
1-3
41%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.6
3.5
0
0-1
40%
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 34.9
1.6
0
0-0
35%
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.5
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.