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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 8, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20SuperSonics40%96102
24Hornets60%99109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.0
38.8
34.2
12
50%
1
9
4
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
6-9
4-10
67%
44%
0-3
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.6
37.5
37.8
18
40%
5
6
0
1
0
3
0
5
3-3
100%
3-12
5-11
25%
47%
3-9
33%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.5
36.8
35.6
34
72%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
4-6
67%
6-12
5-11
50%
49%
6-9
67%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.3
33.1
15.8
12
71%
11
2
1
0
2
2
5
6
0-1
0%
6-8
2-4
75%
52%
0-0
-
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.2
22.8
23.1
8
68%
5
1
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-2
0%
4-5
3-6
80%
50%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.0
25.2
16.5
10
63%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
5-8
2-3
63%
47%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.1
19.8
19.0
6
56%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 25.7
14.9
12.0
0
0%
8
0
0
0
0
2
3
5
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Mateen Cleaves
G · 6'2" 210 · 28.4
6.1
8.5
2
26%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-2
0%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.5
5.1
20.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-7
0%
43%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.2
13.8
0
1-3
45%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 30.3
3.6
0
0-1
48%
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.7
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 29.9
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 30.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 22.7
45.5
20.7
16
53%
2
12
0
1
0
5
0
2
3-5
60%
5-7
2-5
71%
48%
1-6
17%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.4
38.2
31.1
26
57%
10
2
2
1
1
0
3
7
10-11
91%
8-16
7-13
50%
54%
0-2
0%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 36.3
35.2
30.3
21
80%
9
0
3
1
0
2
3
6
5-5
100%
8-11
3-7
73%
49%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 28.3
35.0
32.8
15
58%
6
0
1
1
1
0
0
6
7-9
78%
4-9
5-11
44%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 20.8
20.3
36.9
9
90%
1
6
1
2
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
5-10
75%
50%
1-1
100%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.7
27.2
22.3
14
64%
1
2
0
0
3
0
0
1
0-2
0%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
4-7
57%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 34.4
19.0
18.4
4
50%
8
0
0
0
0
0
4
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 20.4
8.1
3.3
0
0%
0
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 25.6
7.2
3.1
4
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Jackson Vroman
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.7
3.7
5.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 27.8
0.6
30.9
0
0%
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
5-10
-
48%
0-0
-
Arvydas Macijauskas
G · 6'4" 214 · 26.1
1.8
0
0-0
53%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.8
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 21.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.