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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 8, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Bulls35%93110
10Nuggets65%98107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.9
43.1
36.2
30
70%
6
2
4
1
0
2
1
5
5-8
63%
2-6
5-13
33%
42%
7-12
58%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.1
40.3
36.4
9
38%
5
11
0
1
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
43%
1-4
25%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 23.4
36.6
31.9
8
59%
14
3
0
1
1
4
5
9
2-4
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
52%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.8
25.0
29.7
16
54%
7
2
2
1
0
1
4
3
1-2
50%
6-13
5-10
46%
48%
1-1
100%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 32.0
13.8
13.0
6
27%
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-11
2-4
27%
50%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 26.2
31.9
23.8
15
52%
7
2
1
0
0
2
0
7
6-8
75%
3-8
3-6
38%
44%
1-3
33%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.0
22.4
20.1
21
69%
4
1
1
1
0
2
4
0
5-5
100%
8-13
4-8
62%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.4
12.6
16.9
0
0%
2
5
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.6
11.8
4.9
5
43%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
1-4
25%
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
James Thomas
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.2
2.6
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.3
11.9
0
1-3
40%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 23.3
9.2
0
2-3
49%
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 35.4
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.9
Eddie Basden
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.7
38.5
35.6
31
54%
7
2
1
1
1
3
1
6
11-13
85%
10-22
8-18
45%
48%
0-1
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
37.5
29.1
6
50%
9
3
3
1
7
2
0
9
0-0
-
3-6
5-11
50%
48%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.9
37.0
35.3
22
74%
4
7
2
1
0
6
1
3
10-11
91%
6-10
5-11
60%
49%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.4
19.2
23.1
0
0%
1
1
2
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-1
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 29.9
14.4
16.4
4
50%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 29.7
28.7
24.7
12
43%
3
6
0
1
0
2
1
2
7-7
100%
1-7
3-7
14%
45%
1-4
25%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.6
25.6
22.6
13
75%
7
2
1
1
0
2
1
6
5-6
83%
4-6
2-4
67%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 26.7
23.6
21.4
14
119%
1
3
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
4-5
80%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.1
15.4
4.1
5
32%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
2-7
1-1
29%
50%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.1
32.0
1
6-12
50%
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 25.8
5.3
0
0-1
55%
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 32.7
4.0
0
0-1
44%
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23.4
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.1
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.