for complete access.
All Games Thursday, February 9, 2006
FinalWin Prob.pScore
5
Heat
33%94
76
2
Mavericks
67%100
112
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
84.49099.4
DAL logo DAL
127.38880.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA76
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0DALMbenga 10' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)76
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Fitch 18' Jump Shot76
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:52.0DALArmstrong Driving Layup (2 PTS)76
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 1:14MIAFitch Foul Turnover (P1.T19)76
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 1:14MIAFitch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 1:16DALMISS Armstrong 16' Jump Shot76
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 1:27MIAFitch 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)76
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 1:32DALMbenga 11' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)74
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 1:46DALMbenga REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 1:48MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot74
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 1:59DALMbenga 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)74
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 2:13DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 2:15MIAMISS Simien 13' Turnaround Jump Shot74
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 2:30DALMbenga Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)74
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37DALMAVERICKS Rebound74
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 2:37DALMISS Mbenga Layup74
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54MIASimien Layup (4 PTS) (Fitch 1 AST)74
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)72
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01DALMISS Van Horn 6' Jump Shot72
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 3:23MIAMISS Doleac 8' Hook Shot72
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40DALArmstrong Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)72
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52DALArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:54MIAMISS Kapono 3PT Jump Shot72
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)72
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09DALMAVERICKS Rebound72
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09DALMISS Daniels 10' Fadeaway Jumper72
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33MIAFitch Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)72
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33MIAMISS Fitch Free Throw 1 of 271
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:42MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:44DALMISS Armstrong Layup71
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47MIAArmstrong STEAL (1 STL)71
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59DALDaniels 9' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)71
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:16DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:18MIAMISS Simien 14' Jump Shot71
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:33DALDaniels 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Van Horn 1 AST)71
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:54DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)71
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:57MIADampier BLOCK (2 BLK)71
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 6:17DALVan Horn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)71
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 6:43MIADoleac 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 7:00DALDampier 4' Hook Shot (7 PTS)69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 7:16MIAAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:27MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:29DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:29DALMISS Dampier Layup69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:31DALMISS Daniels Layup69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:51MIAFitch 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:58MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 8:00DALMISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 8:20MIASimien 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)67
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 8:44DALStackhouse Slam Dunk (14 PTS)65
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 8:47MIAStackhouse STEAL (1 STL)65
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 9:01DALVan Horn 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)65
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 9:19MIAWalker 8' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)65
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 9:26DALDaniels Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)63
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 9:46DALArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 9:48MIAMISS Simien 9' Turnaround Hook Shot63
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 10:04DALDampier Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)63
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 10:22DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 10:24MIAMISS Kapono 17' Jump Shot63
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 10:35DALHarris Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)63
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 10:40MIADaniels STEAL (1 STL)63
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 10:45MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 10:47DALMISS Harris 18' Jump Shot63
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 11:11MIAWalker Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)63
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 11:13MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 11:15MIAMISS Kapono 16' Jump Shot63
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 11:25MIAHeat Rebound63
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 11:25MIADampier BLOCK (1 BLK)63
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 11:40DALStackhouse Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)63
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 11:46MIAHarris STEAL (1 STL)63
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA63
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)63
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)63
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)63
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q3 - 0:36.0DALVan Horn Driving Layup (9 PTS)63
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAPayton 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)63
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q3 - 1:12DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Terry 7 AST)60
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q3 - 1:22DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q3 - 1:24MIANowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)60
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q3 - 1:36DALStackhouse Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)60
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q3 - 1:59MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)60
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q3 - 2:14MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q3 - 2:16DALMISS Van Horn Driving Layup58
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q3 - 2:32MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)58
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q3 - 2:48DALHoward 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Stackhouse 3 AST)56
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q3 - 3:08DALMAVERICKS Rebound56
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q3 - 3:08MIAStackhouse BLOCK (1 BLK)56
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q3 - 3:20DALVan Horn Illegal Screen Turnover (P1.T7)56
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q3 - 3:31MIAO'Neal 10' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)56
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q3 - 3:39MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)54
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 3:41DALMISS Terry 16' Jump Shot54
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 3:57MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)54
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 3:57MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)53
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 3:57MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)52
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 3:57DALMISS Howard 11' Jump Shot52
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 4:16MIAWade 11' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)52
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 4:33DALNowitzki 13' Fadeaway Jumper (24 PTS)50
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 4:52DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)50
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q3 - 4:54MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q3 - 5:17DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Terry 6 AST)50
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q3 - 5:42MIAWade 12' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)50
0.7%
75
99.3%
Q3 - 6:00DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)48
0.6%
75
99.4%
Q3 - 6:00DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)48
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 6:17DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)48
0.8%
73
99.2%
Q3 - 6:18MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 248
0.8%
73
99.2%
Q3 - 6:18MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)48
0.9%
73
99.1%
Q3 - 6:37DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)47
0.8%
73
99.2%
Q3 - 6:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)47
1.1%
70
98.9%
Q3 - 6:57MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 246
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q3 - 7:10MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
1.2%
70
98.8%
Q3 - 7:29DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
1.1%
70
98.9%
Q3 - 7:29MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)46
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q3 - 7:29MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 245
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q3 - 7:43DALNowitzki Driving Layup (15 PTS)45
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q3 - 7:59DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
1.2%
68
98.8%
Q3 - 8:01MIAMISS O'Neal Layup45
1.4%
68
98.6%
Q3 - 8:19DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)45
1.5%
68
98.5%
Q3 - 8:34MIADiop STEAL (2 STL)45
2.0%
65
98.0%
Q3 - 8:43DALHoward 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)45
2.4%
65
97.6%
Q3 - 8:48MIADiop STEAL (1 STL)45
2.7%
63
97.3%
Q3 - 9:05DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)45
3.3%
63
96.7%
Q3 - 9:27MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)45
4.4%
60
95.6%
Q3 - 9:39DALDiop 8' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)42
3.3%
60
96.7%
Q3 - 9:57MIAWade Running Layup (7 PTS)42
3.8%
58
96.2%
Q3 - 10:09DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)40
3.6%
58
96.4%
Q3 - 10:09DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)40
3.7%
57
96.3%
Q3 - 10:27MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)40
4.0%
56
96.0%
Q3 - 10:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
4.7%
56
95.3%
Q3 - 10:27MIANowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)40
4.2%
56
95.8%
Q3 - 10:54DALTerry 23' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)40
4.6%
56
95.4%
Q3 - 11:18MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)40
5.5%
54
94.5%
Q3 - 11:39DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Griffin 3 AST)38
4.8%
54
95.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA38
6.2%
51
93.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0DALStackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)38
7.5%
51
92.5%
Q2 - 0:14.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
9.9%
48
90.1%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot38
10.1%
48
89.9%
Q2 - 0:34.0DALHoward Driving Layup (7 PTS)38
10.7%
48
89.3%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)38
12.4%
46
87.6%
Q2 - 1:10DALNowitzki 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)36
11.0%
46
89.0%
Q2 - 1:28MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P3.T8)36
13.0%
44
87.0%
Q2 - 1:42MIAHeat Rebound36
13.7%
44
86.3%
Q2 - 1:44DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot36
13.5%
44
86.5%
Q2 - 2:01DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)36
13.0%
44
87.0%
Q2 - 2:03MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
13.4%
44
86.6%
Q2 - 2:21DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)36
14.3%
44
85.7%
Q2 - 2:21DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 236
14.5%
43
85.5%
Q2 - 2:39MIAO'Neal 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)36
14.5%
43
85.5%
Q2 - 2:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
12.8%
43
87.2%
Q2 - 2:53DALMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot34
12.5%
43
87.5%
Q2 - 3:10MIAO'Neal Follow Up Dunk (11 PTS)34
11.9%
43
88.1%
Q2 - 3:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
10.8%
43
89.2%
Q2 - 3:13MIAMISS Payton 6' Running Jump Shot32
10.0%
43
90.0%
Q2 - 3:24DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)32
10.8%
43
89.2%
Q2 - 3:50MIAPayton Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)32
9.6%
43
90.4%
Q2 - 3:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
8.7%
43
91.3%
Q2 - 3:54DALMISS Griffin Layup30
8.4%
43
91.6%
Q2 - 3:58MIAGriffin STEAL (3 STL)30
7.7%
43
92.3%
Q2 - 4:10DALDiop Foul Turnover (P1.T5)30
9.0%
43
91.0%
Q2 - 4:23DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
8.1%
43
91.9%
Q2 - 4:24MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 230
8.2%
43
91.8%
Q2 - 4:24MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
8.8%
43
91.2%
Q2 - 4:43DALNowitzki 12' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)29
8.1%
43
91.9%
Q2 - 4:55DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
9.0%
41
91.0%
Q2 - 4:57MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot29
9.2%
41
90.8%
Q2 - 5:13DALTerry Driving Layup (5 PTS)29
10.2%
41
89.8%
Q2 - 5:25DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
11.1%
39
88.9%
Q2 - 5:27DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot29
12.0%
39
88.0%
Q2 - 5:43MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)29
11.1%
39
88.9%
Q2 - 5:56MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
9.2%
39
90.8%
Q2 - 5:58DALMISS Diop 7' Hook Shot26
8.9%
39
91.1%
Q2 - 6:15MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)26
8.4%
39
91.6%
Q2 - 6:15MIAMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 225
8.3%
39
91.7%
Q2 - 6:19MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
8.6%
39
91.4%
Q2 - 6:21DALMISS Harris 16' Jump Shot25
8.3%
39
91.7%
Q2 - 6:31DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)25
7.6%
39
92.4%
Q2 - 6:32MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot25
7.9%
39
92.1%
Q2 - 6:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
8.6%
39
91.4%
Q2 - 6:52DALMISS Griffin 17' Jump Shot25
8.3%
39
91.7%
Q2 - 6:58DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
7.6%
39
92.4%
Q2 - 7:00MIAMISS Walker Reverse Layup25
7.9%
39
92.1%
Q2 - 7:23DALDampier Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)25
9.0%
39
91.0%
Q2 - 7:41MIAO'Neal Layup (9 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)25
9.9%
37
90.1%
Q2 - 7:49DALDaniels 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)23
9.0%
37
91.0%
Q2 - 8:12MIAWalker Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
10.0%
35
90.0%
Q2 - 8:25MIAMISS Posey Free Throw Technical21
9.2%
35
90.8%
Q2 - 8:38DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)21
9.2%
35
90.8%
Q2 - 8:38DALDampier Slam Dunk (3 PTS)21
9.2%
35
90.8%
Q2 - 8:41DALMISS Stackhouse Layup21
10.7%
33
89.3%
Q2 - 8:50DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
10.0%
33
90.0%
Q2 - 8:52MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
10.3%
33
89.7%
Q2 - 9:07DALNowitzki 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)21
11.3%
33
88.7%
Q2 - 9:18DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
12.2%
31
87.8%
Q2 - 9:20MIAMISS Anderson 19' Jump Shot21
12.6%
31
87.4%
Q2 - 9:34MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
13.5%
31
86.5%
Q2 - 9:36DALMISS Stackhouse 13' Jump Shot21
13.1%
31
86.9%
Q2 - 9:51DALMAVERICKS Rebound21
12.2%
31
87.8%
Q2 - 9:51MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot21
12.6%
31
87.4%
Q2 - 10:11MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
13.7%
31
86.3%
Q2 - 10:14DALMISS Harris 6' Running Jump Shot21
13.3%
31
86.7%
Q2 - 10:48DALMAVERICKS Rebound21
12.4%
31
87.6%
Q2 - 10:49MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
12.8%
31
87.2%
Q2 - 11:13DALHoward Running Dunk (5 PTS)21
13.6%
31
86.4%
Q2 - 11:29DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
14.8%
29
85.2%
Q2 - 11:31MIAMISS Doleac 15' Jump Shot21
15.2%
29
84.8%
Q2 - 11:39DALStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)21
16.1%
29
83.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
14.8%
29
85.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound21
16.1%
29
83.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
16.1%
29
83.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Anderson Layup21
15.2%
29
84.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot21
15.2%
29
84.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0DALStackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)21
16.0%
29
84.0%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)21
19.1%
26
80.9%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
20.2%
26
79.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 221
20.1%
26
79.9%
Q1 - 0:35.0DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
19.2%
26
80.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
20.6%
25
79.4%
Q1 - 0:36.0DALMISS Van Horn 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
21.4%
25
78.6%
Q1 - 0:46.0DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
20.6%
25
79.4%
Q1 - 0:46.0DALMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot21
21.4%
25
78.6%
Q1 - 1:04DALMAVERICKS Rebound21
20.6%
25
79.4%
Q1 - 1:05DALMISS Van Horn Layup21
21.5%
25
78.5%
Q1 - 1:29MIAAnderson Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)21
20.6%
25
79.4%
Q1 - 1:32MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
18.8%
25
81.2%
Q1 - 1:35DALMISS Stackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
18.5%
25
81.5%
Q1 - 1:53DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
17.7%
25
82.3%
Q1 - 1:55MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot19
18.0%
25
82.0%
Q1 - 2:02MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
19.0%
25
81.0%
Q1 - 2:03DALMISS Howard 10' Jump Shot19
18.6%
25
81.4%
Q1 - 2:04DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)19
17.7%
25
82.3%
Q1 - 2:08DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
18.6%
25
81.4%
Q1 - 2:12DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
17.7%
25
82.3%
Q1 - 2:15MIAMISS Wade 14' Turnaround Jump Shot19
18.1%
25
81.9%
Q1 - 2:39DALVan Horn Running Layup (7 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)19
19.0%
25
81.0%
Q1 - 2:49MIAAnderson Running Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)19
20.6%
23
79.4%
Q1 - 3:12DALStackhouse 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
19.3%
23
80.7%
Q1 - 3:26MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)17
20.5%
21
79.5%
Q1 - 3:30DALHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T3)17
22.2%
21
77.8%
Q1 - 3:45MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)17
20.5%
21
79.5%
Q1 - 4:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
19.2%
21
80.8%
Q1 - 4:05DALMISS Stackhouse 17' Turnaround Jump Shot15
18.7%
21
81.3%
Q1 - 4:23MIAO'Neal 4' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)15
17.6%
21
82.4%
Q1 - 4:35DALVan Horn Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)13
16.7%
21
83.3%
Q1 - 4:35DALVan Horn Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)13
16.8%
20
83.2%
Q1 - 4:54MIAHaslem Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)13
17.7%
19
82.3%
Q1 - 5:05DALNowitzki Running Layup (6 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)11
16.8%
19
83.2%
Q1 - 5:14MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)11
17.9%
17
82.1%
Q1 - 5:33DALVan Horn 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)9
16.8%
17
83.2%
Q1 - 5:52MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)9
19.1%
14
80.9%
Q1 - 5:59MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
16.8%
14
83.2%
Q1 - 6:02DALMISS Terry 13' Running Jump Shot6
16.6%
14
83.4%
Q1 - 6:10DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
15.8%
14
84.2%
Q1 - 6:10DALMISS Howard Layup6
16.6%
14
83.4%
Q1 - 6:19MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS)6
15.8%
14
84.2%
Q1 - 6:31DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)4
14.8%
14
85.2%
Q1 - 6:55MIAWade 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
16.9%
11
83.1%
Q1 - 7:17DALDiop Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Griffin 2 AST)2
16.3%
11
83.7%
Q1 - 7:35DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
17.2%
9
82.8%
Q1 - 7:38MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
17.5%
9
82.5%
Q1 - 8:00DALGriffin Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
18.4%
9
81.6%
Q1 - 8:10MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T4)2
19.4%
7
80.6%
Q1 - 8:32DALHoward Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)2
20.8%
7
79.2%
Q1 - 8:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
19.4%
7
80.6%
Q1 - 8:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
19.2%
7
80.8%
Q1 - 9:07DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)0
18.3%
7
81.7%
Q1 - 9:23MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T3)0
19.2%
5
80.8%
Q1 - 9:40DALHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
20.7%
5
79.3%
Q1 - 10:01DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.3%
5
80.7%
Q1 - 10:03MIADiop BLOCK (1 BLK)0
19.7%
5
80.3%
Q1 - 10:21DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)0
20.6%
5
79.4%
Q1 - 10:21DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
23.0%
2
77.0%
Q1 - 10:22DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot0
24.1%
2
75.9%
Q1 - 10:32MIAGriffin STEAL (2 STL)0
23.0%
2
77.0%
Q1 - 10:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.5%
2
75.5%
Q1 - 10:43DALMISS Terry 15' Jump Shot0
24.1%
2
75.9%
Q1 - 11:00DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.0%
2
77.0%
Q1 - 11:02MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
23.5%
2
76.5%
Q1 - 11:18DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)0
24.4%
2
75.6%
Q1 - 11:22MIAGriffin STEAL (1 STL)0
25.9%
0
74.1%
Q1 - 11:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.2%
0
72.8%
Q1 - 11:25DALMISS Nowitzki 11' Jump Shot0
26.8%
0
73.2%
Q1 - 11:37DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.9%
0
74.1%
Q1 - 11:39MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot0
26.3%
0
73.7%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Diop vs. O'Neal: Tip to Williams0
27.2%
0
72.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 48.1%
DAL
1.27 63.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
22
64%
DAL
16
26
62%
Midrange
MIA
15
35
43%
DAL
18
38
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
2
3.0
9
22%
33%
DAL
11
16.5
16
69%
103%
Free Throws
MIA
12
19
63%
DAL
11
13
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2382%11.5 / 14
D. Wade1650%8.0 / 16
U. Haslem857%4.0 / 7
G. Payton563%2.5 / 4
A. Walker536%2.5 / 7
G. Fitch563%2.5 / 4
J. Williams467%2.0 / 3
S. Anderson450%2.0 / 4
W. Simien433%2.0 / 6
M. Doleac233%1.0 / 3
J. Posey0-0.0 / 2
J. Kapono0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2775%13.5 / 18
J. Terry1680%8.0 / 10
J. Howard1464%7.0 / 11
J. Stackhouse1464%7.0 / 11
K. Van Horn1470%7.0 / 10
E. Dampier770%3.5 / 5
M. Daniels660%3.0 / 5
D. Mbenga675%3.0 / 4
D. Diop467%2.0 / 3
A. Griffin233%1.0 / 3
D. Armstrong233%1.0 / 3
D. Harris0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
72
+6
-18
78
DAL
76
+11
-12
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 48.1%
DAL
1.27 63.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
111.3
MIA 84.4 +42.8
DAL 127.3
Pace
92.2
88.2
MIA 99.4 +19.0
DAL 80.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.9
MIA 14.5 +3.4
DAL 17.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
49.5%
MIA 48.5%
DAL 63.1% +14.6%
TO %
15.0%
14.4%
MIA 20.4%
DAL 14.0% +6.4%
ORB %
26.8%
31.9%
MIA 12.5%
DAL 25.0% +12.5%
FTrt
36.3
36.4
MIA 28.8 +12.5
DAL 16.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.7%
50.0%
MIA 61.3% +8.0%
DAL 53.3%
STL %
6.9%
8.1%
MIA 6.7%
DAL 10.2% +3.5%
BLK %
8.5%
9.4%
MIA 12.5% +2.0%
DAL 10.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
53.3%
MIA 48.1%
DAL 63.6% +15.5%
Rim FG%
64.2%
55.4%
MIA 63.6% +2.1%
DAL 61.5%
Mid FG%
38.9%
43.4%
MIA 42.9%
DAL 47.4% +4.5%
3P %
34.5%
37.4%
MIA 22.2%
DAL 68.8% +46.6%
FT %
70.0%
78.3%
MIA 63.2%
DAL 84.6% +21.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
32.5%
MIA 33.3% +0.8%
DAL 32.5%
Mid Att. %
38.0%
50.0%
MIA 53.0%
DAL 47.5% +5.5%
3P Att. %
22.7%
17.5%
MIA 13.6%
DAL 20.0% +6.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsMIADAL
Possessions9088
Possession Minutes21.726.3
Points76112
Rebounds2836
Assists1924
Steals69
Blocks86
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)12 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (2)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (1)28 (3)
Field Goals31-6645-80
At-the-Rim FG14-2216-26
Midrange FG15-3518-38
2-Point FG29-5734-64
3-Point FG2-911-16
Free Throws12-1911-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
5 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24
32.5
16
50%
1
8
2
2
4
1
0
1
4-6
67%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
31.1
8
57%
4
1
0
0
2
3
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34
27.3
23
82%
8
1
0
1
3
2
1
7
5-6
83%
9-12
75%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30
18.4
4
67%
1
2
0
0
2
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
1-2
50%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29
14.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-1
0%
0-0
-
0-2
0%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38
24.1
5
63%
2
3
0
1
3
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32
21.7
4
50%
1
0
0
2
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29
20.5
5
36%
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
1
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-3
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
18.4
2
33%
6
1
2
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
12.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
10.1
4
33%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
Gerald Fitch
G · 6'3" 188 · 23
8.6
5
63%
1
1
1
1
1
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Alonzo Mourning
#33 · C · 6'10" 261 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Earl Barron
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
76
48%
28
19
6
8
18
0
4
24
12-19
63%
29-57
51%
2-9
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.