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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 9, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Heat33%9476
2Mavericks67%100112
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.1
32.5
37.7
16
51%
1
8
2
2
2
4
0
1
4-6
67%
6-13
8-16
46%
49%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.7
31.1
29.0
8
57%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
4-7
57%
50%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 33.9
27.3
27.9
23
79%
8
1
0
0
1
3
1
7
5-6
83%
9-12
7-12
75%
56%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.2
18.4
28.6
4
69%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
3-5
-
48%
1-2
50%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.1
14.9
30.4
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-2
0%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.5
24.1
30.4
5
63%
2
3
0
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
1-1
100%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.1
21.7
8.5
4
50%
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.5
20.5
23.5
5
36%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
0-3
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.7
18.4
1.8
2
33%
6
1
2
0
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
42%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.0
12.4
4.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.9
10.1
8.0
4
33%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
Gerald Fitch
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.5
8.6
14.0
5
64%
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
1-4
67%
42%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.2
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.0
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.6
31.4
35.7
27
76%
4
1
0
1
2
0
0
4
3-4
75%
9-13
7-14
69%
48%
2-3
67%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.8
29.2
36.7
14
62%
3
3
0
1
0
3
3
0
3-3
100%
4-9
6-13
44%
49%
1-1
100%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.4
29.2
34.0
16
80%
1
7
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
49%
4-5
80%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.6
24.1
20.9
2
33%
2
3
3
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.0
12.4
15.8
4
67%
5
0
2
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
41%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.3
25.5
24.5
14
64%
1
3
1
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
3-8
50%
44%
2-4
50%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.6
25.0
21.1
7
72%
11
1
0
0
2
1
4
7
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
53%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.3
23.4
19.7
14
71%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.1
16.1
9.2
6
60%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
48%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.6
10.1
2.0
2
33%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
43%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.0
8.8
19.6
0
0%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.1
4.8
1.3
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
0-0
75%
51%
0-0
-
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 24.0
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 21.1
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.