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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 10, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Cavaliers52%9989
16Wizards48%98101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.1
45.4
42.3
18
34%
9
8
1
2
0
2
1
8
6-8
75%
6-20
10-19
30%
51%
0-3
0%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.8
34.5
22.2
11
51%
5
4
1
1
0
1
4
1
2-2
100%
3-8
2-4
38%
44%
1-2
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.4
28.2
22.8
14
63%
9
0
0
1
0
0
3
6
4-5
80%
5-9
4-7
56%
50%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.2
26.1
31.8
5
50%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.7
23.6
32.9
14
51%
3
1
0
1
1
2
1
2
4-6
67%
5-11
6-12
45%
49%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.5
33.6
28.5
11
61%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
3-7
43%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.7
25.8
26.8
11
61%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
48%
3-6
50%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.4
14.1
17.0
3
80%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.7
5.9
1.8
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26.8
1.4
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
40%
0-0
-
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 19.9
1.4
0.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.2
3.3
0
0-1
51%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.1
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.3
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.1
46.6
41.0
32
57%
8
10
2
2
3
5
0
8
7-7
100%
8-20
7-14
40%
48%
3-5
60%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 25.9
41.8
41.1
18
57%
10
0
0
2
0
5
0
10
2-2
100%
8-14
7-15
57%
46%
0-1
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
40.3
40.0
28
74%
5
1
0
1
1
0
1
4
7-11
64%
6-10
6-13
60%
47%
3-4
75%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 26.2
30.9
25.0
14
54%
10
0
0
1
0
0
5
5
0-0
-
7-13
3-5
54%
54%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 24.2
27.0
18.1
2
100%
3
4
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 30.9
26.1
29.5
4
30%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
0-2
3-5
0%
48%
0-3
0%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29.1
21.0
12.9
1
27%
5
1
1
0
0
1
3
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.9
4.9
10.0
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 23.5
1.4
9.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 28.8
5.7
0
1-2
47%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.8
2.0
0
0-0
45%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 19.5
1.9
0
0-1
49%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.5
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 20.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.