Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Mavericks	52%	99	104	102.0	102	89.7
	6	Nuggets	48%	98	113	111.9	101	117.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dirk Nowitzki F · 7'0" 245 · 28	37.2	19	59%	8	5	0	0	6	1	1	7	6-7	86%	5-9	56%	1-4	25%	+5.1
Jason Terry G · 6'2" 185 · 28	34.8	16	53%	4	10	2	1	4	4	0	4	0-0	-	5-8	63%	2-7	29%	+11.5
Josh Howard F · 6'7" 210 · 26	27.8	9	45%	4	3	1	0	4	3	0	4	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%	+0.2
Adrian Griffin G · 6'5" 230 · 32	13.5	4	50%	1	1	1	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-	+3.3
DeSagana Diop C · 7'0" 280 · 24	12.8	2	100%	2	0	0	1	2	2	1	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.1

Jerry Stackhouse F · 6'6" 218 · 31	31.6	20	56%	5	4	0	0	3	1	4	1	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	2-5	40%	+8.4
Keith Van Horn F · 6'10" 245 · 30	31.1	21	70%	7	2	1	0	0	2	1	6	0-0	-	6-10	60%	3-5	60%	+14.3
Erick Dampier C · 6'11" 265 · 31	21.5	7	88%	5	1	0	2	0	1	1	4	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-0	-	+7.1
Marquis Daniels F · 6'6" 200 · 25	18.5	6	75%	0	1	2	0	2	2	0	0	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-	+3.5
Darrell Armstrong G · 6'1" 180 · 38	11.3	0	0%	0	1	0	0	3	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%	−3.8
DJ Mbenga C · 7'0" 255 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh Powell F · 6'9" 240 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Rawle Marshall #1 · G-F · 6'7" 190 · 24	Inactive · INACTIVE
Pavel Podkolzin #24 · C · 7'5" 260 · 21	Inactive · INACTIVE
Devin Harris #34 · G · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	58%	36	28	7	4	24	0	9	27	14-17	82%	33-57	58%	8-23	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

1 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dirk Nowitzki F · 7'0" 245 · 28	37.2	19	59%	8	5	0	0	6	1	1	7	6-7	86%	5-9	56%	1-4	25%	+5.1
Jason Terry G · 6'2" 185 · 28	34.8	16	53%	4	10	2	1	4	4	0	4	0-0	-	5-8	63%	2-7	29%	+11.5
Josh Howard F · 6'7" 210 · 26	27.8	9	45%	4	3	1	0	4	3	0	4	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%	+0.2
Adrian Griffin G · 6'5" 230 · 32	13.5	4	50%	1	1	1	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-	+3.3
DeSagana Diop C · 7'0" 280 · 24	12.8	2	100%	2	0	0	1	2	2	1	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-	+0.1

Jerry Stackhouse F · 6'6" 218 · 31	31.6	20	56%	5	4	0	0	3	1	4	1	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	2-5	40%	+8.4
Keith Van Horn F · 6'10" 245 · 30	31.1	21	70%	7	2	1	0	0	2	1	6	0-0	-	6-10	60%	3-5	60%	+14.3
Erick Dampier C · 6'11" 265 · 31	21.5	7	88%	5	1	0	2	0	1	1	4	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-0	-	+7.1
Marquis Daniels F · 6'6" 200 · 25	18.5	6	75%	0	1	2	0	2	2	0	0	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-	+3.5
Darrell Armstrong G · 6'1" 180 · 38	11.3	0	0%	0	1	0	0	3	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%	−3.8
DJ Mbenga C · 7'0" 255 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh Powell F · 6'9" 240 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Rawle Marshall #1 · G-F · 6'7" 190 · 24	Inactive · INACTIVE
Pavel Podkolzin #24 · C · 7'5" 260 · 21	Inactive · INACTIVE
Devin Harris #34 · G · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	58%	36	28	7	4	24	0	9	27	14-17	82%	33-57	58%	8-23	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

6 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Carmelo Anthony F · 6'8" 240 · 22	39.0	24	52%	1	10	1	1	4	3	0	1	10-14	71%	7-15	47%	0-1	0%	+11.7
Kenyon Martin F · 6'9" 225 · 28	37.4	34	81%	9	2	2	0	0	3	3	6	6-6	100%	14-18	78%	0-0	-	+24.0
Greg Buckner G · 6'4" 210 · 29	37.3	8	36%	1	2	7	1	1	3	0	1	2-5	40%	3-6	50%	0-3	0%	+10.4
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 30	37.2	17	71%	3	10	4	0	4	1	0	3	1-1	100%	8-11	73%	0-1	0%	+14.4
Francisco Elson C · 7'0" 240 · 30	30.8	4	50%	7	0	0	0	1	3	1	6	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-	+1.0

Eduardo Najera F · 6'8" 235 · 30	25.0	6	60%	7	0	2	0	1	1	2	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-	+5.1
Earl Boykins G · 5'5" 133 · 30	19.5	13	50%	1	1	2	0	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	5-9	56%	1-4	25%	+2.9
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 21	10.9	5	83%	2	1	0	0	1	4	1	1	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-	+2.7
Earl Watson G · 6'1" 199 · 27	2.8	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	+0.7
Marcus Camby C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32	DND - INJ - Low Back Strain
DerMarr Johnson F-G · 6'9" 210 · 26	DNP - Coach's Decision
Voshon Lenard G · 6'4" 215 · 33	DNP - Coach's Decision
Nene #31 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23	Inactive · INACTIVE
Julius Hodge #32 · G · 6'7" 220 · 22	Inactive · INACTIVE
Bryon Russell #9 · G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35	Inactive · INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	59%	31	26	18	2	15	0	7	24	22-29	76%	44-71	62%	1-10	10%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.16 57.8%

DEN

1.18 58.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

12

20

60%

DEN

19

31

61%

Midrange

DAL

21

37

57%

DEN

25

40

63%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

8

12.0

23

35%

52%

DEN

1

1.5

10

10%

15%

Free Throws

DAL

14

17

82%

DEN

22

29

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Van Horn	21	70%	10.5 / 15
J. Stackhouse	20	56%	10.0 / 18
D. Nowitzki	19	59%	9.5 / 16
J. Terry	16	53%	8.0 / 15
J. Howard	9	45%	4.5 / 10
E. Dampier	7	88%	3.5 / 4
M. Daniels	6	75%	3.0 / 4
A. Griffin	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Diop	2	100%	1.0 / 1
D. Armstrong	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Martin	34	81%	17.0 / 21
C. Anthony	24	52%	12.0 / 23
A. Miller	17	71%	8.5 / 12
E. Boykins	13	50%	6.5 / 13
G. Buckner	8	36%	4.0 / 11
E. Najera	6	60%	3.0 / 5
L. Kleiza	5	83%	2.5 / 3
F. Elson	4	50%	2.0 / 4
E. Watson	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 111.3 17 105.6	DAL 102.0 DEN 111.9 +9.9
Pace	25 88.2 2 93.9	DAL 89.7 DEN 117.1 +27.4
Avg. Poss. Time	5 16.9 29 14.7	DAL 16.1 DEN 12.3 −3.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 49.5% 15 48.8%	DAL 56.3% +0.1% DEN 56.2%
TO %	8 14.4% 19 15.1%	DAL 21.5% DEN 13.8% −7.7%
ORB %	2 31.8% 16 26.8%	DAL 27.3% +6.7% DEN 20.6%
FTrt	5 36.4 10 34.7	DAL 21.3 DEN 35.8 +14.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 50.0% 5 62.4%	DAL 68.3% +10.5% DEN 57.8%
STL %	9 8.1% 2 8.9%	DAL 6.9% DEN 17.8% +10.9%
BLK %	3 9.4% 7 8.8%	DAL 5.6% +2.1% DEN 3.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 53.3% 15 52.3%	DAL 57.8% DEN 58.9% +1.1%
Rim FG%	24 55.4% 5 59.2%	DAL 60.0% DEN 61.3% +1.3%
Mid FG%	2 43.4% 15 39.7%	DAL 56.8% DEN 62.5% +5.7%
3P %	9 37.4% 30 32.5%	DAL 34.8% +24.8% DEN 10.0%
FT %	6 78.3% 16 74.4%	DAL 82.4% +6.5% DEN 75.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 32.5% 8 38.8%	DAL 25.0% DEN 38.3% +13.3%
Mid Att. %	28 50.0% 17 45.1%	DAL 46.3% −3.1% DEN 49.4%
3P Att. %	21 17.5% 23 16.1%	DAL 28.7% +16.4% DEN 12.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DAL	DEN
Possessions	102	101
Possession Minutes	27.3	20.7
Points	104	113
Rebounds	36	31
Assists	28	26
Steals	7	18
Blocks	4	2
Turnovers (Team)	24 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (3)	7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (2)	24 (4)
Field Goals	41-80	45-81
At-the-Rim FG	12-20	19-31
Midrange FG	21-37	25-40
2-Point FG	33-57	44-71
3-Point FG	8-23	1-10
Free Throws	14-17	22-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

	ATL	132 ◀
	ORL	125

	MIL	116
	WAS	128 ◀

	MIN	131 ◀
	MIA	106

	CHA	110 ◀
	BKN	103

	CHI	92
	TOR	135 ◀

	UTA	103
	MEM	123 ◀

	IND	123 ◀
	NOP	120

	PHX	83
	POR	124 ◀

	GSW	105
	LAL	127 ◀

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg