FinalWin Prob.pScore
251%96
104
1249%95
113
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
102.010289.7
DEN logo DEN
111.9101117.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN104
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0DENNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)104
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0DALMISS Van Horn 25' 3PT Jump Shot104
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)104
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0DENMISS Buckner Free Throw 2 of 2104
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0DENBuckner Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)104
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0DALMartin STEAL (2 STL)104
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)104
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 0:32.0DENMISS Buckner Free Throw 2 of 2104
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 0:32.0DENMISS Buckner Free Throw 1 of 2104
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0DENNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)104
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0DALMISS Terry Driving Layup104
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)104
0.6%
112
99.4%
Q4 - 0:44.0DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2104
0.7%
111
99.3%
Q4 - 0:57.0DALNowitzki 28' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Terry 10 AST)104
0.9%
111
99.1%
Q4 - 1:01DENMiller 13' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS)101
0.3%
111
99.7%
Q4 - 1:22DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)101
1.0%
109
99.0%
Q4 - 1:22DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)100
0.9%
109
99.1%
Q4 - 1:22DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)99
0.6%
109
99.4%
Q4 - 1:24DENNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)99
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 1:24DENMISS Najera Follow Up Dunk99
0.5%
109
99.5%
Q4 - 1:27DENMISS Buckner Driving Layup99
0.6%
109
99.4%
Q4 - 1:53DALDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)99
0.7%
109
99.3%
Q4 - 1:53DALDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)98
0.6%
109
99.4%
Q4 - 1:55DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)97
0.4%
109
99.6%
Q4 - 1:57DENMISS Miller Driving Layup97
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 2:18DALBuckner STEAL (7 STL)97
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 2:20DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)97
0.6%
109
99.4%
Q4 - 2:22DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot97
0.5%
109
99.5%
Q4 - 2:46DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)97
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 2:49DALMISS Howard 5' Running Jump Shot97
0.4%
109
99.6%
Q4 - 2:53DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)97
0.8%
109
99.2%
Q4 - 2:59DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)97
0.5%
109
99.5%
Q4 - 3:01DENMISS Martin Layup97
0.7%
109
99.3%
Q4 - 3:11DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)97
0.5%
109
99.5%
Q4 - 3:27DENAnthony 17' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS) (Miller 10 AST)94
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 3:52DALDaniels 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 9 AST)94
0.7%
107
99.3%
Q4 - 4:08DENNajera Layup (6 PTS) (Anthony 10 AST)92
0.5%
107
99.5%
Q4 - 4:17DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
0.7%
105
99.3%
Q4 - 4:20DALMISS Daniels Driving Layup92
0.8%
105
99.2%
Q4 - 4:38DENMiller 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)92
1.0%
105
99.0%
Q4 - 4:59DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)92
1.3%
103
98.7%
Q4 - 5:01DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
2.5%
103
97.5%
Q4 - 5:05DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)92
3.2%
103
96.8%
Q4 - 5:08DALMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
2.5%
103
97.5%
Q4 - 5:25DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)92
3.1%
103
96.9%
Q4 - 5:27DENMISS Boykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
2.8%
103
97.2%
Q4 - 5:35DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)92
2.2%
103
97.8%
Q4 - 5:37DALMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
2.4%
103
97.6%
Q4 - 5:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)92
3.1%
103
96.9%
Q4 - 5:47DALMISS Van Horn 27' 3PT Jump Shot92
2.4%
103
97.6%
Q4 - 5:55DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)92
3.1%
103
96.9%
Q4 - 5:55DENElson Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)92
3.1%
103
96.9%
Q4 - 5:59DENMISS Miller Reverse Layup92
5.2%
101
94.8%
Q4 - 6:06DALVan Horn 9' Jump Shot (21 PTS)92
5.6%
101
94.4%
Q4 - 6:18DENNajera Layup (4 PTS)90
4.4%
101
95.6%
Q4 - 6:26DALNajera STEAL (2 STL)90
5.5%
99
94.5%
Q4 - 6:28DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
7.7%
99
92.3%
Q4 - 6:31DENMISS Boykins 10' Running Jump Shot90
6.9%
99
93.1%
Q4 - 6:53DALVan Horn 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Terry 8 AST)90
5.5%
99
94.5%
Q4 - 7:03DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)87
4.5%
99
95.5%
Q4 - 7:05DENMISS Boykins 28' 3PT Jump Shot87
4.1%
99
95.9%
Q4 - 7:27DALDaniels Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 5 AST)87
3.3%
99
96.7%
Q4 - 7:36DENBoykins 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)85
2.6%
99
97.4%
Q4 - 7:39DALBoykins STEAL (2 STL)85
3.3%
97
96.7%
Q4 - 7:41DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)85
4.4%
97
95.6%
Q4 - 7:43DENMISS Boykins 21' Jump Shot85
4.0%
97
96.0%
Q4 - 7:57DALTerry Traveling Turnover (P3.T20)85
3.2%
97
96.8%
Q4 - 8:13DENBoykins 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)85
5.4%
97
94.6%
Q4 - 8:28DALVan Horn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)85
8.7%
94
91.3%
Q4 - 8:51DENKleiza Foul Turnover (P1.T14)82
5.4%
94
94.6%
Q4 - 9:07DENNUGGETS Rebound82
5.1%
94
94.9%
Q4 - 9:07DENMISS Najera Dunk82
6.0%
94
94.0%
Q4 - 9:16DALVan Horn 11' Jump Shot (13 PTS)82
5.1%
94
94.9%
Q4 - 9:30DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
4.1%
94
95.9%
Q4 - 9:34DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup80
3.8%
94
96.2%
Q4 - 9:46DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
3.2%
94
96.8%
Q4 - 9:48DENMISS Anthony 16' Fadeaway Jumper80
3.8%
94
96.2%
Q4 - 9:59DALDaniels Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T19)80
3.2%
94
96.8%
Q4 - 10:02DENBoykins Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)80
4.8%
94
95.2%
Q4 - 10:11DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)80
3.8%
94
96.2%
Q4 - 10:33DENBoykins 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)77
2.5%
94
97.5%
Q4 - 10:43DENElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
3.0%
92
97.0%
Q4 - 10:47DALMISS Stackhouse 7' Running Jump Shot77
3.3%
92
96.7%
Q4 - 10:57DENNajera Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)77
3.8%
92
96.2%
Q4 - 11:14DALStackhouse 7' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)77
3.6%
92
96.4%
Q4 - 11:31DENElson Foul Turnover (P1.T11)75
2.9%
92
97.1%
Q4 - 11:42DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
2.3%
92
97.7%
Q4 - 11:42DALVan Horn 6' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS)75
2.3%
92
97.7%
Q4 - 11:46DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Fadeaway Jumper73
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL73
1.9%
92
98.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound73
1.9%
92
98.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot73
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q3 - 0:17.0DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)73
2.3%
92
97.7%
Q3 - 0:17.0DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)73
2.5%
91
97.5%
Q3 - 0:31.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)73
2.8%
90
97.2%
Q3 - 0:35.0DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
3.3%
90
96.7%
Q3 - 0:45.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)73
2.8%
90
97.2%
Q3 - 0:45.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)72
2.8%
90
97.2%
Q3 - 0:59.0DENMartin Slam Dunk (32 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)71
2.3%
90
97.7%
Q3 - 1:02DALNajera STEAL (1 STL)71
3.4%
88
96.6%
Q3 - 1:09DALMavericks Rebound71
4.2%
88
95.8%
Q3 - 1:09DALBuckner BLOCK (1 BLK)71
3.6%
88
96.4%
Q3 - 1:09DENBoykins Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)71
4.2%
88
95.8%
Q3 - 1:11DALBoykins STEAL (1 STL)71
3.4%
88
96.6%
Q3 - 1:28DENAnthony 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS)71
4.1%
88
95.9%
Q3 - 1:46DALNowitzki Dunk (12 PTS) (Stackhouse 4 AST)71
4.9%
86
95.1%
Q3 - 1:47DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)69
4.1%
86
95.9%
Q3 - 1:48DALAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)69
3.6%
86
96.4%
Q3 - 1:52DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)69
4.1%
86
95.9%
Q3 - 2:01DALStackhouse 4' Jump Shot (18 PTS)69
3.9%
86
96.1%
Q3 - 2:02DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)67
3.3%
86
96.7%
Q3 - 2:05DALMISS Stackhouse 7' Jump Shot67
2.9%
86
97.1%
Q3 - 2:26DENBoykins 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anthony 9 AST)67
3.3%
86
96.7%
Q3 - 2:32DALBuckner STEAL (6 STL)67
3.9%
84
96.1%
Q3 - 2:57DENAnthony Driving Layup (19 PTS) (Buckner 2 AST)67
4.7%
84
95.3%
Q3 - 3:03DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
6.2%
82
93.8%
Q3 - 3:05DALMISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
6.6%
82
93.4%
Q3 - 3:17DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
7.4%
82
92.6%
Q3 - 3:19DENMISS Buckner 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
7.0%
82
93.0%
Q3 - 3:35DALVan Horn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Terry 7 AST)67
6.2%
82
93.8%
Q3 - 3:47DENMartin 17' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Miller 9 AST)64
4.4%
82
95.6%
Q3 - 4:10DALTerry 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Stackhouse 3 AST)64
5.7%
80
94.3%
Q3 - 4:22DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
5.0%
80
95.0%
Q3 - 4:24DENMISS Miller 14' Jump Shot62
4.7%
80
95.3%
Q3 - 4:36DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)62
4.1%
80
95.9%
Q3 - 4:36DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 261
3.9%
80
96.1%
Q3 - 4:55DENMartin Driving Finger Roll (28 PTS) (Miller 8 AST)61
4.2%
80
95.8%
Q3 - 5:06DENNUGGETS Rebound61
5.5%
78
94.5%
Q3 - 5:08DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot61
5.7%
78
94.3%
Q3 - 5:33DENMiller 6' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)61
6.4%
78
93.6%
Q3 - 5:43DALHoward Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)61
7.4%
76
92.6%
Q3 - 5:55DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
8.7%
76
91.3%
Q3 - 5:57DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot61
8.3%
76
91.7%
Q3 - 6:09DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
8.2%
76
91.8%
Q3 - 6:12DALMISS Stackhouse 17' Turnaround Jump Shot61
8.6%
76
91.4%
Q3 - 6:30DENMiller 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)61
9.5%
76
90.5%
Q3 - 6:47DALStackhouse 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)61
10.8%
74
89.2%
Q3 - 7:03DENMartin Dunk (26 PTS) (Anthony 8 AST)59
10.1%
74
89.9%
Q3 - 7:07DALBuckner STEAL (5 STL)59
11.4%
72
88.6%
Q3 - 7:26DENMartin 8' Running Jump Shot (24 PTS)59
13.3%
72
86.7%
Q3 - 7:51DALTerry 5' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)59
14.9%
70
85.1%
Q3 - 8:06DENBuckner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)57
13.9%
70
86.1%
Q3 - 8:09DALMiller STEAL (4 STL)57
12.0%
70
88.0%
Q3 - 8:13DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)57
13.9%
70
86.1%
Q3 - 8:20DENNUGGETS Rebound57
12.0%
70
88.0%
Q3 - 8:22DALMISS Griffin 19' Jump Shot57
12.5%
70
87.5%
Q3 - 8:44DENMartin 15' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Anthony 7 AST)57
13.9%
70
86.1%
Q3 - 8:56DALHoward 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Terry 6 AST)57
15.5%
68
84.5%
Q3 - 9:20DENMartin 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)55
14.5%
68
85.5%
Q3 - 9:31DENElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
16.3%
66
83.7%
Q3 - 9:33DALMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot55
17.0%
66
83.0%
Q3 - 9:57DENBuckner Layup (7 PTS) (Anthony 6 AST)55
18.5%
66
81.5%
Q3 - 10:09DALGriffin 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)55
21.5%
64
78.5%
Q3 - 10:23DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
19.4%
64
80.6%
Q3 - 10:24DENMISS Elson Layup53
18.7%
64
81.3%
Q3 - 10:29DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
17.0%
64
83.0%
Q3 - 10:31DALMISS Terry 11' Jump Shot53
17.7%
64
82.3%
Q3 - 10:44DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)53
19.4%
64
80.6%
Q3 - 10:44DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)53
19.8%
63
80.2%
Q3 - 10:53DENElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
21.4%
62
78.6%
Q3 - 10:55DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 253
21.8%
62
78.2%
Q3 - 10:55DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)53
23.3%
62
76.7%
Q3 - 10:59DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
21.7%
62
78.3%
Q3 - 11:01DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot52
21.7%
62
78.3%
Q3 - 11:16DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
20.1%
62
79.9%
Q3 - 11:18DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
20.8%
62
79.2%
Q3 - 11:40DALMavericks Rebound52
22.4%
62
77.6%
Q3 - 11:40DENMISS Martin Reverse Layup52
21.7%
62
78.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN52
20.0%
62
80.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound52
20.0%
62
80.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Miller 82' 3PT Jump Shot52
21.7%
62
78.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
21.5%
62
78.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Turnaround Jump Shot52
22.0%
62
78.0%
Q2 - 0:14.0DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)52
23.1%
62
76.9%
Q2 - 0:14.0DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 252
23.5%
61
76.5%
Q2 - 0:32.0DALVan Horn 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)52
23.7%
61
76.3%
Q2 - 0:54.0DENAnthony Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T6)50
20.7%
61
79.3%
Q2 - 1:09DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)50
20.2%
61
79.8%
Q2 - 1:09DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)49
19.9%
61
80.1%
Q2 - 1:24DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)48
17.3%
61
82.7%
Q2 - 1:24DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)48
17.8%
60
82.2%
Q2 - 1:24DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
20.2%
59
79.8%
Q2 - 1:26DENMISS Anthony 22' Jump Shot48
20.9%
59
79.1%
Q2 - 1:46DENNUGGETS Rebound48
20.1%
59
79.9%
Q2 - 1:48DALMISS Armstrong 3PT Jump Shot48
20.5%
59
79.5%
Q2 - 2:08DENAnthony Layup (14 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)48
22.5%
59
77.5%
Q2 - 2:11DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
24.9%
57
75.1%
Q2 - 2:13DALMISS Nowitzki 27' 3PT Jump Shot48
25.5%
57
74.5%
Q2 - 2:38DENMartin 7' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Anthony 5 AST)48
27.0%
57
73.0%
Q2 - 2:44DALAnthony STEAL (1 STL)48
29.8%
55
70.2%
Q2 - 2:53DALMavericks Rebound48
32.2%
55
67.8%
Q2 - 2:55DENMISS Buckner 20' Jump Shot48
31.5%
55
68.5%
Q2 - 3:12DALNowitzki 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)48
30.5%
55
69.5%
Q2 - 3:26DENMiller Foul Turnover (P2.T5)46
28.3%
55
71.7%
Q2 - 3:40DALNowitzki Driving Layup (8 PTS)46
25.6%
55
74.4%
Q2 - 4:10DENMartin Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)44
24.4%
55
75.6%
Q2 - 4:19DALArmstrong Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T11)44
26.6%
53
73.4%
Q2 - 4:28DENMartin Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)44
28.8%
53
71.2%
Q2 - 4:41DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)44
31.3%
51
68.7%
Q2 - 4:41DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)43
31.0%
51
69.0%
Q2 - 5:04DENAnthony 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)42
29.4%
51
70.6%
Q2 - 5:21DALNowitzki Layup (4 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)42
31.6%
49
68.4%
Q2 - 5:34DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)40
29.4%
49
70.6%
Q2 - 5:48DALGriffin Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)40
34.1%
46
65.9%
Q2 - 5:59DALMavericks Rebound38
31.8%
46
68.2%
Q2 - 6:02DALMISS Van Horn 19' Jump Shot38
30.6%
46
69.4%
Q2 - 6:25DENMartin 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)38
32.6%
46
67.4%
Q2 - 6:36DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
34.5%
44
65.5%
Q2 - 6:39DALMISS Howard 10' Turnaround Jump Shot38
35.4%
44
64.6%
Q2 - 6:54DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
37.5%
44
62.5%
Q2 - 6:56DENMISS Boykins 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
36.6%
44
63.4%
Q2 - 7:06DALHoward 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
35.5%
44
64.5%
Q2 - 7:19DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw Technical36
33.3%
44
66.7%
Q2 - 7:32DENNajera Layup (2 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST)36
33.2%
44
66.8%
Q2 - 7:48DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
35.4%
42
64.6%
Q2 - 7:50DALMISS Van Horn 21' Jump Shot36
36.2%
42
63.8%
Q2 - 8:11DENBoykins 17' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)36
38.2%
42
61.8%
Q2 - 8:28DENNUGGETS Rebound36
40.4%
40
59.6%
Q2 - 8:29DALMISS Stackhouse 12' Turnaround Jump Shot36
41.2%
40
58.8%
Q2 - 8:47DENBoykins 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
43.2%
40
56.8%
Q2 - 9:00DALTerry Layup (6 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)36
45.5%
38
54.5%
Q2 - 9:05DENBoykins Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)34
43.4%
38
56.6%
Q2 - 9:18DALStackhouse 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)34
40.7%
38
59.3%
Q2 - 9:24DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
36.2%
38
63.8%
Q2 - 9:26DENMISS Watson 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
35.4%
38
64.6%
Q2 - 9:35DALVan Horn 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)31
33.6%
38
66.4%
Q2 - 9:50DENWatson 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
31.6%
38
68.4%
Q2 - 10:09DALStackhouse 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)29
33.7%
36
66.3%
Q2 - 10:25DENAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)27
31.8%
36
68.2%
Q2 - 10:36DALHoward Dunk (4 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)27
29.4%
36
70.6%
Q2 - 10:52DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
27.7%
36
72.3%
Q2 - 10:53DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot25
27.0%
36
73.0%
Q2 - 11:05DALVan Horn 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)25
26.1%
36
73.9%
Q2 - 11:31DENKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
24.2%
36
75.8%
Q2 - 11:31DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
24.7%
35
75.3%
Q2 - 11:37DALStackhouse Layup (7 PTS) (Van Horn 2 AST)23
26.0%
34
74.0%
Q2 - 11:40DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
24.2%
34
75.8%
Q2 - 11:43DENMISS Kleiza Driving Dunk21
23.6%
34
76.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL21
22.4%
34
77.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)21
24.3%
34
75.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 221
24.7%
33
75.3%
Q1 - 0:16.0DALTerry 14' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)21
24.7%
33
75.3%
Q1 - 0:34.0DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
22.6%
33
77.4%
Q1 - 0:36.0DENMISS Boykins 20' Jump Shot19
22.2%
33
77.8%
Q1 - 0:52.0DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
21.4%
33
78.6%
Q1 - 0:54.0DALMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot19
21.7%
33
78.3%
Q1 - 1:16DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
22.8%
33
77.2%
Q1 - 1:16DENMartin Tip Shot (8 PTS)19
22.8%
33
77.2%
Q1 - 1:20DENMISS Buckner Layup19
25.9%
31
74.1%
Q1 - 1:26DENElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
24.9%
31
75.1%
Q1 - 1:30DALMISS Stackhouse Layup19
25.3%
31
74.7%
Q1 - 1:34DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
26.3%
31
73.7%
Q1 - 1:36DENMISS Boykins 13' Running Jump Shot19
25.9%
31
74.1%
Q1 - 1:44DALBuckner STEAL (4 STL)19
24.9%
31
75.1%
Q1 - 1:48DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
26.3%
31
73.7%
Q1 - 1:51DENMISS Elson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot19
25.9%
31
74.1%
Q1 - 2:05DALStackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)19
25.2%
31
74.8%
Q1 - 2:19DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
21.7%
31
78.3%
Q1 - 2:21DENMISS Martin 18' Jump Shot16
21.2%
31
78.8%
Q1 - 2:30DALStackhouse 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
20.2%
31
79.8%
Q1 - 2:53DENMartin 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Buckner 1 AST)14
18.6%
31
81.4%
Q1 - 3:06DALTerry 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)14
21.0%
29
79.0%
Q1 - 3:09DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
19.7%
29
80.3%
Q1 - 3:13DALMISS Stackhouse 17' Jump Shot12
18.6%
29
81.4%
Q1 - 3:16DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
19.7%
29
80.3%
Q1 - 3:18DENMISS Anthony Layup12
19.2%
29
80.8%
Q1 - 3:27DALDampier 7' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Van Horn 1 AST)12
18.1%
29
81.9%
Q1 - 3:44DENBuckner Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)10
16.9%
29
83.1%
Q1 - 3:46DALBuckner STEAL (3 STL)10
19.4%
26
80.6%
Q1 - 3:57DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
21.0%
26
79.0%
Q1 - 3:59DENMISS Buckner 3PT Jump Shot10
20.5%
26
79.5%
Q1 - 4:19DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
19.9%
26
80.1%
Q1 - 4:19DALDampier Layup (4 PTS)10
19.9%
26
80.1%
Q1 - 4:22DALMISS Van Horn 18' Jump Shot8
17.7%
26
82.3%
Q1 - 4:38DENMiller Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
18.8%
26
81.2%
Q1 - 4:41DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
17.2%
26
82.8%
Q1 - 4:43DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
17.7%
26
82.3%
Q1 - 5:01DENAnthony 17' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)8
19.9%
26
80.1%
Q1 - 5:07DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
21.1%
24
78.9%
Q1 - 5:10DALMISS Nowitzki Driving Layup8
21.6%
24
78.4%
Q1 - 5:31DENBuckner Finger Roll (2 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)8
22.6%
24
77.4%
Q1 - 5:36DALMiller STEAL (3 STL)8
24.0%
22
76.0%
Q1 - 5:51DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
25.7%
22
74.3%
Q1 - 5:53DENMISS Buckner 3PT Jump Shot8
25.1%
22
74.9%
Q1 - 6:00DALBuckner STEAL (2 STL)8
23.9%
22
76.1%
Q1 - 6:19DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)8
26.4%
22
73.6%
Q1 - 6:19DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 28
26.7%
21
73.3%
Q1 - 6:34DALDampier 4' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)8
26.4%
21
73.6%
Q1 - 6:52DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
24.9%
21
75.1%
Q1 - 6:52DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
25.3%
20
74.7%
Q1 - 6:54DALMartin STEAL (1 STL)6
26.3%
19
73.7%
Q1 - 7:11DENMiller 10' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)6
29.4%
19
70.6%
Q1 - 7:17DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)6
30.8%
17
69.2%
Q1 - 7:39DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)6
32.5%
17
67.5%
Q1 - 7:39DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)6
32.8%
16
67.2%
Q1 - 7:41DALMiller STEAL (2 STL)6
34.0%
15
66.0%
Q1 - 8:02DENMiller Layup (7 PTS)6
36.4%
15
63.6%
Q1 - 8:07DALMiller STEAL (1 STL)6
38.0%
13
62.0%
Q1 - 8:16DENAnthony Dunk (4 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)6
40.0%
13
60.0%
Q1 - 8:19DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
41.6%
11
58.4%
Q1 - 8:21DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
42.2%
11
57.8%
Q1 - 8:32DENElson Dunk (2 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)6
43.7%
11
56.3%
Q1 - 8:41DALBuckner STEAL (1 STL)6
45.3%
9
54.7%
Q1 - 8:57DENMartin 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)6
47.4%
9
52.6%
Q1 - 9:03DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
48.7%
7
51.3%
Q1 - 9:06DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Turnaround Jump Shot6
49.5%
7
50.5%
Q1 - 9:21DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T1)6
51.2%
7
48.8%
Q1 - 9:33DALDiop Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
48.8%
7
51.2%
Q1 - 9:33DALDiop Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
48.0%
7
52.0%
Q1 - 9:51DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
47.4%
7
52.6%
Q1 - 9:54DENMISS Martin 14' Turnaround Jump Shot4
46.7%
7
53.3%
Q1 - 10:07DALDiop Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
45.1%
7
54.9%
Q1 - 10:23DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
47.2%
7
52.8%
Q1 - 10:23DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
47.6%
6
52.4%
Q1 - 10:30DALHoward 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)4
48.8%
5
51.2%
Q1 - 10:32DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
47.2%
5
52.8%
Q1 - 10:34DALMISS Griffin Reverse Layup2
45.8%
5
54.2%
Q1 - 10:51DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)2
47.2%
5
52.8%
Q1 - 11:02DALNowitzki 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
50.9%
2
49.1%
Q1 - 11:22DENMiller 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)0
49.0%
2
51.0%
Q1 - 11:37DENElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
50.9%
0
49.1%
Q1 - 11:39DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
51.4%
0
48.6%
Q1 - 11:41DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
52.6%
0
47.4%
Q1 - 11:43DALMISS Howard 6' Running Jump Shot0
51.4%
0
48.6%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Elson vs. Diop: Tip to Nowitzki0
52.6%
0
47.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.16 57.8%
DEN
1.18 58.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
12
20
60%
DEN
19
31
61%
Midrange
DAL
21
37
57%
DEN
25
40
63%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
8
12.0
23
35%
52%
DEN
1
1.5
10
10%
15%
Free Throws
DAL
14
17
82%
DEN
22
29
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Van Horn2170%10.5 / 15
J. Stackhouse2056%10.0 / 18
D. Nowitzki1959%9.5 / 16
J. Terry1653%8.0 / 15
J. Howard945%4.5 / 10
E. Dampier788%3.5 / 4
M. Daniels675%3.0 / 4
A. Griffin450%2.0 / 4
D. Diop2100%1.0 / 1
D. Armstrong0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Martin3481%17.0 / 21
C. Anthony2452%12.0 / 23
A. Miller1771%8.5 / 12
E. Boykins1350%6.5 / 13
G. Buckner836%4.0 / 11
E. Najera660%3.0 / 5
L. Kleiza583%2.5 / 3
F. Elson450%2.0 / 4
E. Watson250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
78
+12
-24
90
DEN
86
+9
-15
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.16 57.8%
DEN
1.18 58.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
105.6
DAL 102.0
DEN 111.9 +9.9
Pace
88.2
93.9
DAL 89.7
DEN 117.1 +27.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.9
14.7
DAL 16.1
DEN 12.3 +3.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.5%
48.8%
DAL 56.3% +0.1%
DEN 56.2%
TO %
14.4%
15.1%
DAL 21.5%
DEN 13.8% +7.7%
ORB %
31.9%
26.9%
DAL 27.3% +6.7%
DEN 20.6%
FTrt
36.4
34.7
DAL 21.3
DEN 35.8 +14.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
50.0%
62.4%
DAL 68.3% +10.5%
DEN 57.8%
STL %
8.1%
8.9%
DAL 6.9%
DEN 17.8% +10.9%
BLK %
9.4%
8.8%
DAL 5.6% +2.1%
DEN 3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.3%
52.3%
DAL 57.8%
DEN 58.9% +1.1%
Rim FG%
55.4%
59.2%
DAL 60.0%
DEN 61.3% +1.3%
Mid FG%
43.4%
39.7%
DAL 56.8%
DEN 62.5% +5.7%
3P %
37.4%
32.5%
DAL 34.8% +24.8%
DEN 10.0%
FT %
78.3%
74.4%
DAL 82.4% +6.5%
DEN 75.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.5%
38.8%
DAL 25.0%
DEN 38.3% +13.3%
Mid Att. %
50.0%
45.1%
DAL 46.3% +3.1%
DEN 49.4%
3P Att. %
17.5%
16.1%
DAL 28.7% +16.4%
DEN 12.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALDEN
Possessions102101
Possession Minutes27.320.7
Points104113
Rebounds3631
Assists2826
Steals718
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)24 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)24 (4)
Field Goals41-8045-81
At-the-Rim FG12-2019-31
Midrange FG21-3725-40
2-Point FG33-5744-71
3-Point FG8-231-10
Free Throws14-1722-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 245 · 28
37.2
19
59%
8
5
0
0
6
1
1
7
6-7
86%
5-9
56%
1-4
25%
G · 6'2" 185 · 28
34.8
16
53%
4
10
2
1
4
4
0
4
0-0
-
5-8
63%
2-7
29%
F · 6'7" 210 · 26
27.8
9
45%
4
3
1
0
4
3
0
4
1-2
50%
4-8
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 230 · 32
13.5
4
50%
1
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 280 · 24
12.8
2
100%
2
0
0
1
2
2
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 218 · 31
31.6
20
56%
5
4
0
0
3
1
4
1
2-2
100%
6-12
50%
2-5
40%
F · 6'10" 245 · 30
31.1
21
70%
7
2
1
0
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
6-10
60%
3-5
60%
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
21.5
7
88%
5
1
0
2
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 200 · 25
18.5
6
75%
0
1
2
0
2
2
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 38
11.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
3
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 25
F · 6'9" 240 · 23
#1 · G-F · 6'7" 190 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · C · 7'5" 260 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · G · 6'3" 185 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
58%
36
28
7
4
24
0
9
27
14-17
82%
33-57
58%
8-23
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.