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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 10, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Hawks33%10091
19SuperSonics67%10599
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 24.6
42.3
37.4
10
27%
6
11
2
1
0
2
1
5
2-4
50%
4-13
6-12
31%
50%
0-4
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.0
36.0
30.9
17
72%
8
6
2
1
2
2
5
3
3-4
75%
7-10
4-8
70%
46%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.0
31.7
34.5
26
75%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
7-10
6-13
70%
49%
3-6
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 20.2
22.0
27.4
2
14%
3
3
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-7
4-7
14%
48%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.1
17.8
13.9
2
33%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 22.6
33.1
27.9
17
73%
4
2
1
1
0
6
3
1
5-6
83%
6-9
3-6
67%
54%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 19.6
28.6
20.7
4
25%
9
0
1
1
2
1
0
9
2-2
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
49%
0-1
0%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.3
20.9
20.0
12
46%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
49%
2-7
29%
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 22.4
7.6
7.2
1
57%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 32.0
6.7
0
1-2
44%
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.5
2.1
0
0-0
53%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.8
Donta Smith
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.6
40.0
37.1
22
46%
6
4
1
1
2
0
4
2
4-4
100%
3-12
5-11
25%
50%
4-10
40%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.0
39.6
35.5
9
28%
1
8
3
2
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
4-14
5-10
29%
47%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.3
32.2
22.3
17
75%
15
1
1
0
1
3
6
9
3-3
100%
7-10
3-5
70%
56%
0-0
-
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.2
31.7
22.9
6
52%
13
0
1
0
3
2
3
10
4-4
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
55%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.5
12.0
35.7
2
20%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
6-11
33%
51%
0-2
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.1
36.0
19.2
26
73%
4
2
3
1
0
1
2
2
12-13
92%
7-11
2-5
64%
51%
0-1
0%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.5
16.5
14.7
4
50%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.2
15.8
10.7
5
32%
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.0
15.7
19.7
8
103%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Mateen Cleaves
G · 6'2" 210 · 28.4
0.5
7.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 25.7
13.4
0
2-3
50%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 30.3
2.9
0
0-1
52%
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.7
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 29.9
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.