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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 11, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Warriors30%9599
5Cavaliers70%10291
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.1
41.6
34.5
31
53%
8
1
0
1
0
2
2
6
4-8
50%
9-20
5-11
45%
48%
3-6
50%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.0
22.3
32.7
10
54%
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
4-5
80%
3-4
3-6
75%
49%
0-3
0%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.9
21.0
21.7
3
31%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-4
2-3
25%
50%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.4
18.9
9.3
6
100%
5
2
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 26.8
10.7
34.2
0
0%
0
2
0
2
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
5-10
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 31.5
37.7
21.5
18
98%
4
6
2
1
1
2
0
4
3-5
60%
3-3
2-5
100%
42%
3-4
75%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 25.4
28.7
28.0
14
48%
4
5
0
1
2
3
1
3
3-6
50%
4-8
3-7
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 19.9
26.6
20.9
11
87%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
1-3
33%
5-5
2-4
100%
57%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.3
18.7
12.7
4
33%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
45%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 34.6
13.7
2.9
2
25%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
44%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.8
23.2
0
3-6
45%
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.7
2.1
0
0-1
47%
Chris Taft
F · 6'10" 261 · 20.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.1
43.8
42.9
33
80%
5
6
1
2
2
2
1
4
8-8
100%
5-11
10-19
45%
51%
5-6
83%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.7
36.1
29.1
14
38%
8
2
0
1
1
3
1
7
4-5
80%
5-15
5-11
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.8
32.1
26.9
12
75%
0
3
3
1
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
6-8
2-5
75%
45%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.4
23.3
24.9
1
10%
7
2
1
1
0
2
3
4
1-2
50%
0-4
4-8
0%
51%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.2
20.7
29.3
2
13%
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
0-3
0%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.5
34.9
30.2
11
55%
3
7
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
3-9
33%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.7
26.4
26.1
12
46%
7
0
0
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
49%
2-9
22%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.7
12.4
4.2
4
40%
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
47%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.4
10.2
16.0
2
27%
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
2-4
50%
0-2
2-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.2
3.2
0
0-1
51%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26.8
2.3
0
0-0
41%
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 19.9
1.5
0
0-0
54%
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.3
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.1
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.