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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 11, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Jazz28%8488
10Rockets72%91102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.0
37.9
29.5
20
56%
2
6
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-4
50%
9-16
3-8
56%
43%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.7
35.4
32.0
14
42%
11
1
0
1
1
3
4
7
2-4
50%
6-13
5-10
46%
47%
0-2
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.0
34.0
36.0
11
50%
8
1
1
2
3
4
2
6
5-7
71%
3-6
4-9
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.1
26.6
16.6
11
70%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
42%
2-2
100%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.2
26.5
23.5
4
41%
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
46%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.6
26.6
20.4
10
63%
5
4
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
41%
2-3
67%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.7
22.9
27.3
9
55%
6
2
1
1
0
2
2
4
3-5
60%
3-6
4-9
50%
49%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 32.9
12.3
16.4
0
0%
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 24.2
12.3
18.7
6
100%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
3-6
100%
49%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.0
2.8
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-2
1-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 18.9
2.8
4.0
3
75%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
1-1
100%
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.3
23.9
1
2-5
40%
Robert Whaley
C · 6'10" 260 · 23.8
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.6
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.6
41.7
38.1
9
41%
6
13
0
2
0
4
0
6
1-2
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
2-6
33%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 26.7
38.0
36.8
25
52%
6
3
3
1
1
2
0
6
5-5
100%
7-17
8-17
41%
48%
2-5
40%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 35.2
32.0
33.3
17
81%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-1
0%
4-6
2-4
67%
44%
3-4
75%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 25.4
30.9
32.9
27
72%
8
0
1
0
2
2
2
6
5-6
83%
11-16
8-14
69%
54%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.0
27.5
29.9
6
33%
6
3
0
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
3-9
4-9
33%
47%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 22.7
23.5
7.9
2
50%
4
1
2
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.2
21.2
19.9
3
38%
4
3
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 39.6
12.8
7.6
7
67%
4
0
0
0
2
0
2
2
3-5
60%
2-3
0-1
67%
49%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 25.8
9.9
7.1
4
45%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-1
0%
2-2
1-2
100%
42%
0-2
0%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 30.2
1.4
7.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.5
1.2
4.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.6
3.5
0
0-0
45%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26.2
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 32.9
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.