FinalWin Prob.pScore
155%93
98
545%92
100
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
115.38582.4
MIA logo MIA
114.98789.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0DET98
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAWade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (37 PTS)98
7.4%
100
92.6%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)98
40.0%
98
60.0%
Q4 - 0:26.0DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot98
47.9%
98
52.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0DETPistons Rebound98
63.5%
98
36.5%
Q4 - 0:42.0DETMISS Billups 22' Jump Shot98
49.3%
98
50.7%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (35 PTS)98
62.0%
98
38.0%
Q4 - 1:03DETPayton STEAL (1 STL)98
73.0%
96
27.0%
Q4 - 1:24MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)98
82.5%
96
17.5%
Q4 - 1:36DETBillups 22' Jump Shot (29 PTS)98
87.2%
94
12.8%
Q4 - 1:57MIAWade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (31 PTS)96
80.5%
94
19.5%
Q4 - 2:17DETHamilton 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)96
85.3%
92
14.7%
Q4 - 2:38MIAWade Layup (29 PTS)93
73.9%
92
26.1%
Q4 - 2:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)93
78.2%
90
21.8%
Q4 - 2:42MIAMISS Anderson Driving Layup93
85.5%
90
14.5%
Q4 - 3:07DETBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)93
76.4%
90
23.6%
Q4 - 3:27MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)90
62.4%
90
37.6%
Q4 - 3:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)90
64.2%
89
35.8%
Q4 - 3:27DETHaslem STEAL (2 STL)90
67.7%
88
32.3%
Q4 - 3:45MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)90
75.3%
88
24.7%
Q4 - 4:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)90
86.5%
85
13.5%
Q4 - 4:08DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot90
87.9%
85
12.1%
Q4 - 4:27MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)90
90.6%
85
9.4%
Q4 - 4:45DETWallace 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)90
93.3%
83
6.7%
Q4 - 5:02DETPistons Rebound88
88.3%
83
11.7%
Q4 - 5:03MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot88
87.2%
83
12.8%
Q4 - 5:15MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
84.3%
83
15.7%
Q4 - 5:17DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot88
85.7%
83
14.3%
Q4 - 5:35MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (31 PTS)88
88.5%
83
11.5%
Q4 - 5:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)88
91.4%
81
8.6%
Q4 - 5:39MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot88
93.1%
81
6.9%
Q4 - 5:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)88
91.4%
81
8.6%
Q4 - 5:56MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Turnaround Jump Shot88
93.1%
81
6.9%
Q4 - 6:14MIAHEAT Rebound88
89.5%
81
10.5%
Q4 - 6:15DETMISS Billups 22' Jump Shot88
90.4%
81
9.6%
Q4 - 6:28DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)88
92.4%
81
7.6%
Q4 - 6:30MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot88
91.6%
81
8.4%
Q4 - 6:44DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)88
89.6%
81
10.4%
Q4 - 6:44DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)87
89.3%
81
10.7%
Q4 - 7:04MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (29 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)86
85.2%
81
14.8%
Q4 - 7:33DETWallace Finger Roll (19 PTS)86
88.1%
79
11.9%
Q4 - 7:52DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)84
85.4%
79
14.6%
Q4 - 7:53MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 284
84.9%
79
15.1%
Q4 - 7:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)84
82.4%
79
17.6%
Q4 - 7:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
84.9%
78
15.1%
Q4 - 8:00DETMISS Prince 21' Jump Shot84
86.1%
78
13.9%
Q4 - 8:21DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)84
86.8%
78
13.2%
Q4 - 8:23MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot84
85.8%
78
14.2%
Q4 - 8:49DETPistons Turnover: Backcourt (T#13)84
83.5%
78
16.5%
Q4 - 8:52DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
86.8%
78
13.2%
Q4 - 8:54DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
84.6%
78
15.4%
Q4 - 9:13MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)84
85.8%
78
14.2%
Q4 - 9:13MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 284
87.0%
77
13.0%
Q4 - 9:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)84
85.6%
77
14.4%
Q4 - 9:15MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot84
87.7%
77
12.3%
Q4 - 9:27MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
85.6%
77
14.4%
Q4 - 9:29DETMISS Delfino 21' Jump Shot84
86.6%
77
13.4%
Q4 - 9:49MIAPayton 9' Jump Shot (13 PTS)84
88.5%
77
11.5%
Q4 - 9:51MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)84
90.6%
75
9.4%
Q4 - 9:53MIAMISS Anderson 6' Jump Shot84
92.0%
75
8.0%
Q4 - 10:01DETAnderson STEAL (2 STL)84
89.4%
75
10.6%
Q4 - 10:06DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
91.6%
75
8.4%
Q4 - 10:08MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot84
91.0%
75
9.0%
Q4 - 10:20MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
89.5%
75
10.5%
Q4 - 10:22DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
90.2%
75
9.8%
Q4 - 10:31DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
91.6%
75
8.4%
Q4 - 10:33MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
91.0%
75
9.0%
Q4 - 10:43DETMcDyess Foul Turnover (P1.T11)84
89.6%
75
10.4%
Q4 - 10:57MIAO'Neal Dunk (26 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)84
91.7%
75
8.3%
Q4 - 11:08MIAHEAT Rebound84
92.2%
73
7.8%
Q4 - 11:09DETMISS Billups 15' Fadeaway Jumper84
92.7%
73
7.3%
Q4 - 11:31MIAO'Neal Dunk (24 PTS)84
93.7%
73
6.3%
Q4 - 11:32MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)84
94.8%
71
5.2%
Q4 - 11:34MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot84
95.6%
71
4.4%
Q4 - 11:46MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)84
94.9%
71
5.1%
Q4 - 11:48MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
95.6%
71
4.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA84
94.9%
71
5.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound84
94.9%
71
5.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Walker 28' 3PT Jump Shot84
95.6%
71
4.4%
Q3 - 0:09.0DETDelfino Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)84
94.2%
71
5.8%
Q3 - 0:12.0DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
95.2%
71
4.8%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Payton 15' Jump Shot84
94.9%
71
5.1%
Q3 - 0:29.0DETWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Billups 10 AST)84
94.2%
71
5.8%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)81
91.6%
71
8.4%
Q3 - 1:07DETHamilton Driving Layup (22 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)81
88.9%
71
11.1%
Q3 - 1:13DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)79
86.9%
71
13.1%
Q3 - 1:15MIAMISS Anderson 20' Jump Shot79
86.2%
71
13.8%
Q3 - 1:31DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)79
84.5%
71
15.5%
Q3 - 1:35DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
78.7%
71
21.3%
Q3 - 1:37DETMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot76
76.3%
71
23.7%
Q3 - 1:52MIAAnderson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)76
78.7%
71
21.3%
Q3 - 2:12MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. Prince: Tip to Walker76
80.4%
69
19.6%
Q3 - 2:12DETMISS Prince 13' Turnaround Jump Shot76
81.4%
69
18.6%
Q3 - 2:33DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
83.5%
69
16.5%
Q3 - 2:35MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
82.6%
69
17.4%
Q3 - 2:49DETHamilton Traveling Turnover (P4.T9)76
80.5%
69
19.5%
Q3 - 2:53DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
83.5%
69
16.5%
Q3 - 2:55MIAMISS Payton 17' Jump Shot76
82.7%
69
17.3%
Q3 - 3:01DETAnderson STEAL (1 STL)76
80.0%
69
20.0%
Q3 - 3:17MIAHaslem Tip Shot (6 PTS)76
82.8%
69
17.2%
Q3 - 3:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
85.1%
67
14.9%
Q3 - 3:21MIAMISS Mourning 8' Hook Shot76
86.7%
67
13.3%
Q3 - 3:48DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)76
85.1%
67
14.9%
Q3 - 4:07MIAPayton Driving Layup (11 PTS)74
82.2%
67
17.8%
Q3 - 4:12MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
84.2%
65
15.8%
Q3 - 4:14DETMISS Wallace 7' Jump Shot74
85.0%
65
15.0%
Q3 - 4:29DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
86.7%
65
13.3%
Q3 - 4:30MIAMISS Walker Layup74
86.0%
65
14.0%
Q3 - 4:32MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
84.3%
65
15.7%
Q3 - 4:34MIAMISS Mourning 6' Jump Shot74
86.0%
65
14.0%
Q3 - 4:56DETPrince 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)74
84.3%
65
15.7%
Q3 - 5:11DETPistons Rebound71
78.8%
65
21.2%
Q3 - 5:14MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 271
78.4%
65
21.6%
Q3 - 5:14MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)71
77.0%
65
23.0%
Q3 - 5:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
78.6%
64
21.4%
Q3 - 5:27DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot71
79.5%
64
20.5%
Q3 - 5:48MIAPayton 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)71
81.5%
64
18.5%
Q3 - 6:08DETBillups 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS)71
82.9%
62
17.1%
Q3 - 6:28MIAPayton 9' Running Hook Shot (7 PTS)69
80.8%
62
19.2%
Q3 - 6:41DETHamilton Layup (18 PTS) (Billups 9 AST)69
83.0%
60
17.0%
Q3 - 6:44DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
80.8%
60
19.2%
Q3 - 6:45MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot67
80.0%
60
20.0%
Q3 - 6:58DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)67
78.0%
60
22.0%
Q3 - 6:58DETMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 266
77.7%
60
22.3%
Q3 - 7:04MIAWade Driving Layup (19 PTS)66
77.3%
60
22.7%
Q3 - 7:08DETHaslem STEAL (1 STL)66
79.6%
58
20.4%
Q3 - 7:23MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T4)66
82.3%
58
17.7%
Q3 - 7:39DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)66
79.6%
58
20.4%
Q3 - 7:39DETPistons Rebound66
82.4%
58
17.6%
Q3 - 7:40DETMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot66
80.5%
58
19.5%
Q3 - 7:41DETPistons Rebound66
82.4%
58
17.6%
Q3 - 7:42DETMISS Prince Driving Layup66
80.5%
58
19.5%
Q3 - 8:06MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS)66
82.1%
58
17.9%
Q3 - 8:12MIAHEAT Rebound66
83.9%
56
16.1%
Q3 - 8:13MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup66
85.5%
56
14.5%
Q3 - 8:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
83.9%
56
16.1%
Q3 - 8:18DETO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)66
84.6%
56
15.4%
Q3 - 8:30DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
86.1%
56
13.9%
Q3 - 8:31MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 266
85.8%
56
14.2%
Q3 - 8:31MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)66
85.0%
56
15.0%
Q3 - 8:49DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P2.T5)66
85.8%
55
14.2%
Q3 - 8:55DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
87.8%
55
12.2%
Q3 - 8:57MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot66
87.2%
55
12.8%
Q3 - 9:16DETWallace Dunk (3 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)66
85.3%
55
14.7%
Q3 - 9:33MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T3)64
83.5%
55
16.5%
Q3 - 9:43DETO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)64
81.3%
55
18.7%
Q3 - 9:46DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
83.5%
55
16.5%
Q3 - 9:47DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
82.0%
55
18.0%
Q3 - 10:11MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)64
83.1%
55
16.9%
Q3 - 10:23DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)64
84.8%
53
15.2%
Q3 - 10:46MIAWade Driving Layup (13 PTS)61
81.0%
53
19.0%
Q3 - 10:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
82.9%
51
17.1%
Q3 - 10:57DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
83.6%
51
16.4%
Q3 - 11:01DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
84.6%
51
15.4%
Q3 - 11:02DETMISS Billups 15' Jump Shot61
83.2%
51
16.8%
Q3 - 11:24MIAWade 10' Jump Shot (11 PTS)61
84.6%
51
15.4%
Q3 - 11:47DETWallace Layup (14 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)61
86.3%
49
13.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA59
84.6%
49
15.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)59
82.3%
49
17.7%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAHaslem Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)57
79.6%
49
20.4%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAHEAT Rebound57
82.3%
47
17.7%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot57
83.2%
47
16.8%
Q2 - 0:44.0DETWallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)57
82.3%
47
17.7%
Q2 - 0:50.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
77.5%
47
22.5%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
76.9%
47
23.1%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
75.7%
47
24.3%
Q2 - 0:58.0DETO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)54
76.3%
47
23.7%
Q2 - 1:20MIAWade Layup (9 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)54
76.7%
47
23.3%
Q2 - 1:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
80.0%
45
20.0%
Q2 - 1:24MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot54
80.7%
45
19.3%
Q2 - 1:36DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)54
80.0%
45
20.0%
Q2 - 1:36DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)53
79.7%
45
20.3%
Q2 - 1:47MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)52
76.7%
45
23.3%
Q2 - 1:47MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 252
77.8%
44
22.2%
Q2 - 2:07DETBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)52
76.8%
44
23.2%
Q2 - 2:27MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)49
71.9%
44
28.1%
Q2 - 2:44DETHamilton 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)49
74.6%
42
25.4%
Q2 - 3:05MIAO'Neal Layup (20 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)47
71.6%
42
28.4%
Q2 - 3:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
73.7%
40
26.3%
Q2 - 3:14DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot47
74.5%
40
25.5%
Q2 - 3:38DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
76.2%
40
23.8%
Q2 - 3:40MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
75.5%
40
24.5%
Q2 - 3:54DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)47
73.7%
40
26.3%
Q2 - 3:54DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 246
72.7%
40
27.3%
Q2 - 4:14DETPistons Rebound46
73.4%
40
26.6%
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot46
72.7%
40
27.3%
Q2 - 4:33DETMcDyess Dunk (8 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)46
71.1%
40
28.9%
Q2 - 4:35DETArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
68.7%
40
31.3%
Q2 - 4:37DETMISS Prince 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
66.9%
40
33.1%
Q2 - 4:43DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
68.7%
40
31.3%
Q2 - 4:45MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot44
67.9%
40
32.1%
Q2 - 5:06DETDelfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)44
65.9%
40
34.1%
Q2 - 5:26MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)41
60.9%
40
39.1%
Q2 - 5:26MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)41
61.4%
39
38.6%
Q2 - 5:38DETMcDyess Dunk (6 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)41
63.4%
38
36.6%
Q2 - 5:48DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
60.9%
38
39.1%
Q2 - 5:50MIAMISS Payton 12' Jump Shot39
60.0%
38
40.0%
Q2 - 5:58MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
58.0%
38
42.0%
Q2 - 6:00DETMISS Prince 11' Fadeaway Jumper39
58.9%
38
41.1%
Q2 - 6:18DETPistons Rebound39
61.1%
38
38.9%
Q2 - 6:19MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot39
60.1%
38
39.9%
Q2 - 6:45DETDelfino Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)39
57.9%
38
42.1%
Q2 - 6:45DETDelfino Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)38
57.2%
38
42.8%
Q2 - 6:45DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
55.8%
38
44.2%
Q2 - 6:46DETMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot37
53.5%
38
46.5%
Q2 - 6:54DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
55.8%
38
44.2%
Q2 - 6:56DETMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot37
53.5%
38
46.5%
Q2 - 7:09DETPistons Rebound37
55.8%
38
44.2%
Q2 - 7:10DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
53.9%
38
46.1%
Q2 - 7:35MIAO'Neal Dunk (18 PTS)37
55.8%
38
44.2%
Q2 - 7:58DETMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)37
58.2%
36
41.8%
Q2 - 8:18MIAO'Neal Dunk (16 PTS)35
55.7%
36
44.3%
Q2 - 8:19MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
57.9%
34
42.1%
Q2 - 8:20MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot35
59.9%
34
40.1%
Q2 - 8:31DETPrince 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)35
57.9%
34
42.1%
Q2 - 8:50MIAWalker Tip Shot (2 PTS)33
55.7%
34
44.3%
Q2 - 8:51MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
57.9%
32
42.1%
Q2 - 8:52MIAMISS Payton 6' Hook Shot33
59.9%
32
40.1%
Q2 - 8:57MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
58.0%
32
42.0%
Q2 - 8:58DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
58.8%
32
41.2%
Q2 - 9:16MIAO'Neal Layup (14 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)33
60.6%
32
39.4%
Q2 - 9:30MIAHEAT Rebound33
62.7%
30
37.3%
Q2 - 9:32MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Hook Shot33
64.6%
30
35.4%
Q2 - 9:52DETWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)33
62.7%
30
37.3%
Q2 - 10:10MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
58.0%
30
42.0%
Q2 - 10:10MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
58.9%
29
41.1%
Q2 - 10:10MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
60.1%
28
39.9%
Q2 - 10:13MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
62.0%
28
38.0%
Q2 - 10:27DETHamilton 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)30
60.1%
28
39.9%
Q2 - 10:44MIAPayton Driving Finger Roll (5 PTS)28
58.0%
28
42.0%
Q2 - 10:48MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
60.2%
26
39.8%
Q2 - 10:50DETMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot28
61.0%
26
39.0%
Q2 - 11:11MIAMourning 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
62.4%
26
37.6%
Q2 - 11:26DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)28
64.7%
24
35.3%
Q2 - 11:26DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)27
64.4%
24
35.6%
Q2 - 11:29DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
62.5%
24
37.5%
Q2 - 11:30MIAMISS Wade 3' Jump Shot26
61.8%
24
38.2%
Q2 - 11:48DETMcDyess 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)26
60.2%
24
39.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
57.8%
24
42.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound24
55.4%
24
44.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 30' 3PT Jump Shot24
57.1%
24
42.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
55.6%
24
44.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0DETMISS Evans 20' Jump Shot24
56.1%
24
43.9%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAPayton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)24
57.4%
24
42.6%
Q1 - 0:38.0DETDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
62.5%
21
37.5%
Q1 - 0:38.0DETDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
61.7%
21
38.3%
Q1 - 0:40.0DETDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
59.7%
21
40.3%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
59.1%
21
40.9%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
57.9%
21
42.1%
Q1 - 0:51.0DETMISS Evans 8' Jump Shot22
58.4%
21
41.6%
Q1 - 1:10MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (12 PTS)22
59.7%
21
40.3%
Q1 - 1:26DETWallace Foul Turnover (P2.T3)22
62.5%
19
37.5%
Q1 - 1:29DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
64.2%
19
35.8%
Q1 - 1:31MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper22
63.7%
19
36.3%
Q1 - 1:53DETWallace Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)22
62.5%
19
37.5%
Q1 - 2:01DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
64.5%
19
35.5%
Q1 - 2:03MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup22
63.9%
19
36.1%
Q1 - 2:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
62.5%
19
37.5%
Q1 - 2:15DETMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot22
63.1%
19
36.9%
Q1 - 2:32MIAWade Alley Oop Layup (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)22
64.5%
19
35.5%
Q1 - 2:44DETBillups 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS)22
66.8%
17
33.2%
Q1 - 2:58MIAO'Neal 4' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)20
64.5%
17
35.5%
Q1 - 3:08DETBillups 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS)20
66.1%
15
33.9%
Q1 - 3:25MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (8 PTS)18
64.4%
15
35.6%
Q1 - 3:42DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)18
66.2%
13
33.8%
Q1 - 3:42DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 217
65.7%
13
34.3%
Q1 - 3:48DETBillups Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)17
66.4%
13
33.6%
Q1 - 4:01MIAO'Neal 3' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)16
64.4%
13
35.6%
Q1 - 4:18DETBillups Dunk (5 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)16
66.0%
11
34.0%
Q1 - 4:22MIAPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
64.4%
11
35.6%
Q1 - 4:22MIAHEAT Rebound14
61.9%
11
38.1%
Q1 - 4:24MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot14
63.6%
11
36.4%
Q1 - 4:30MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
61.9%
11
38.1%
Q1 - 4:31DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
62.7%
11
37.3%
Q1 - 4:55MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)14
64.4%
11
35.6%
Q1 - 4:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
66.0%
9
34.0%
Q1 - 4:59MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot14
67.6%
9
32.4%
Q1 - 5:06DETWilliams STEAL (1 STL)14
65.7%
9
34.3%
Q1 - 5:11DETBillups Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)14
67.8%
9
32.2%
Q1 - 5:29MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)13
65.9%
9
34.1%
Q1 - 5:29MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)13
66.3%
8
33.7%
Q1 - 5:42DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)13
67.6%
7
32.4%
Q1 - 5:55MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)11
66.0%
7
34.0%
Q1 - 6:10DETWallace 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)11
63.5%
7
36.5%
Q1 - 6:30MIAWilliams 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
61.7%
7
38.3%
Q1 - 6:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
63.5%
5
36.5%
Q1 - 6:40DETMISS Prince 21' Jump Shot9
64.1%
5
35.9%
Q1 - 6:53DETPistons Rebound9
65.4%
5
34.6%
Q1 - 6:54DETO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)9
64.1%
5
35.9%
Q1 - 7:14MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)9
65.1%
5
34.9%
Q1 - 7:19MIAHEAT Rebound9
66.6%
3
33.4%
Q1 - 7:20MIAMISS Williams 6' Jump Shot9
67.9%
3
32.1%
Q1 - 7:37DETBillups 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)9
66.6%
3
33.4%
Q1 - 7:58DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
65.1%
3
34.9%
Q1 - 7:59MIAMISS O'Neal Layup7
64.5%
3
35.5%
Q1 - 8:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
63.5%
3
36.5%
Q1 - 8:09DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot7
64.1%
3
35.9%
Q1 - 8:24DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
65.4%
3
34.6%
Q1 - 8:25MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 27
65.1%
3
34.9%
Q1 - 8:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
64.0%
3
36.0%
Q1 - 8:48DETWallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)7
65.2%
2
34.8%
Q1 - 8:56DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
61.9%
2
38.1%
Q1 - 8:57DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
60.5%
2
39.5%
Q1 - 9:15MIAWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
61.9%
2
38.1%
Q1 - 9:39DETHamilton 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
63.2%
0
36.8%
Q1 - 9:46DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
61.9%
0
38.1%
Q1 - 9:48MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot2
61.2%
0
38.8%
Q1 - 10:09DETHamilton 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
59.6%
0
40.4%
Q1 - 10:21DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
58.1%
0
41.9%
Q1 - 10:23DETMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot0
56.6%
0
43.4%
Q1 - 10:38DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
58.1%
0
41.9%
Q1 - 10:39MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot0
57.4%
0
42.6%
Q1 - 10:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
56.0%
0
44.0%
Q1 - 10:55DETWade BLOCK (1 BLK)0
56.6%
0
43.4%
Q1 - 11:06DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
57.9%
0
42.1%
Q1 - 11:08MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Bank Shot0
57.4%
0
42.6%
Q1 - 11:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
56.2%
0
43.8%
Q1 - 11:24DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot0
56.7%
0
43.3%
Q1 - 11:39DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
57.9%
0
42.1%
Q1 - 11:41MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot0
57.4%
0
42.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Wallace: Tip to Williams0
56.2%
0
43.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.13 56.3%
MIA
0.96 48.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
8
10
80%
MIA
26
34
76%
Midrange
DET
17
46
37%
MIA
15
44
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
11
16.5
20
55%
83%
MIA
1
1.5
12
8%
13%
Free Throws
DET
15
18
83%
MIA
15
21
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2966%14.5 / 22
R. Hamilton2566%12.5 / 19
R. Wallace2166%10.5 / 16
A. McDyess880%4.0 / 5
T. Prince521%2.5 / 12
C. Delfino583%2.5 / 3
B. Wallace350%1.5 / 3
D. Davis2100%1.0 / 1
C. Arroyo0-0.0 / 1
M. Evans0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3760%18.5 / 31
S. O'Neal3157%15.5 / 27
G. Payton1350%6.5 / 13
U. Haslem643%3.0 / 7
A. Mourning550%2.5 / 5
J. Williams440%2.0 / 5
A. Walker217%1.0 / 6
S. Anderson225%1.0 / 4
J. Posey0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
72
+14
-13
86
MIA
83
+21
-4
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.13 56.3%
MIA
0.96 48.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.1
108.0
DET 115.3 +0.4
MIA 114.9
Pace
87.4
92.2
DET 82.4
MIA 89.9 +7.5
Avg. Poss. Time
17.3
15.9
DET 17.5
MIA 16.0 +1.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
51.7%
DET 54.6% +7.4%
MIA 47.2%
TO %
12.2%
15.0%
DET 15.2%
MIA 4.8% +10.4%
ORB %
28.9%
26.8%
DET 28.1%
MIA 34.1% +6.0%
FTrt
29.7
36.3
DET 23.7 +0.4
MIA 23.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.1%
55.7%
DET 72.2% +36.5%
MIA 35.7%
STL %
8.0%
6.9%
DET 1.2%
MIA 8.0% +6.8%
BLK %
9.0%
8.5%
DET 6.4%
MIA 7.1% +0.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.33 and 2.33.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
53.9%
DET 56.3% +8.2%
MIA 48.1%
Rim FG%
59.0%
64.2%
DET 80.0% +3.5%
MIA 76.5%
Mid FG%
41.0%
38.9%
DET 37.0% +2.9%
MIA 34.1%
3P %
38.4%
34.5%
DET 55.0% +46.7%
MIA 8.3%
FT %
72.7%
70.0%
DET 83.3% +11.9%
MIA 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.3%
39.3%
DET 13.2%
MIA 37.8% +24.6%
Mid Att. %
49.6%
38.0%
DET 60.5%
MIA 48.9% +11.6%
3P Att. %
22.1%
22.7%
DET 26.3% +13.0%
MIA 13.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions8587
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points98100
Rebounds3637
Assists2615
Steals17
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)4 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)14 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (4)23 (3)
Field Goals36-7642-90
At-the-Rim FG8-1026-34
Midrange FG17-4615-44
2-Point FG25-5641-78
3-Point FG11-201-12
Free Throws15-1815-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 230 · 31
44.3
21
66%
3
2
0
3
0
4
0
3
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
4-9
44%
G · 6'3" 210 · 29
40.7
29
66%
2
10
0
0
4
1
1
1
5-6
83%
6-14
43%
4-6
67%
F · 6'9" 212 · 26
40.4
5
21%
10
3
0
0
0
0
2
8
0-0
-
1-10
10%
1-2
50%
G · 6'7" 193 · 28
38.7
25
66%
4
5
0
1
5
2
1
3
4-4
100%
9-15
60%
1-2
50%
C · 6'9" 240 · 31
33.1
3
50%
7
3
1
1
2
3
1
6
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31
14.9
8
80%
3
0
0
0
1
4
2
1
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23
12.8
5
83%
5
0
0
0
1
3
1
4
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 200 · 27
7.3
0
0%
1
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37
3.7
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 275 · 21
G · 6'2" 195 · 35
#54 · F · 6'7" 260 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · C-F · 6'9" 240 · 19
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · G · 6'5" 185 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
56%
36
26
1
5
13
0
9
27
15-18
83%
25-56
45%
11-20
55%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.