Final Win Prob. pScore
2532%90
94
1768%96
102
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo Magic
108.08783.0
BOS logo Celtics
120.08589.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLBOS
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL94
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound94
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Hill 28' 3PT Jump Shot94
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0BOSSzczerbiak Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)94
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0BOSSzczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)94
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0ORLFrancis P.FOUL (P3.PN)94
100
Q4 - 0:06.0BOSSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0ORLMISS Francis 2' Layup94
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0ORLMagic Rebound94
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 0:09.0ORLWest BLOCK (1 BLK)94
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0BOSWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)94
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 0:14.0BOSWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)94
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLFrancis P.FOUL (P2.PN)94
98
Q4 - 0:14.0BOSWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 0:15.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 3PT Jump Shot94
1.0%
98
99.0%
Q4 - 0:18.0BOSGreene Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)94
2.5%
98
97.5%
Q4 - 0:21.0ORLFrancis 1' Layup (9 PTS)94
1.0%
98
99.0%
Q4 - 0:22.0ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)92
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 0:23.0ORLMISS Garrity 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 0:28.0BOSSzczerbiak Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)92
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 0:28.0ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Stevenson92
97
Q4 - 0:28.0ORLSUB: Garrity FOR Howard92
97
Q4 - 0:28.0BOSSUB: Greene FOR Gomes92
97
Q4 - 0:28.0BOSSzczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)92
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 0:28.0ORLDooling P.FOUL (P2.PN)92
96
Q4 - 0:29.0BOSSUB: Gomes FOR Greene92
96
Q4 - 0:29.0BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)92
96
Q4 - 0:29.0ORLStevenson 1' Layup (11 PTS)92
1.7%
96
98.3%
Q4 - 0:29.0BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)90
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 0:30.0ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)90
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 0:30.0BOSSUB: Greene FOR Gomes89
96
Q4 - 0:30.0ORLSUB: Dooling FOR Turkoglu89
96
Q4 - 0:30.0ORLSUB: Stevenson FOR Garrity89
96
Q4 - 0:30.0ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)89
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 0:30.0BOSSUB: Scalabrine FOR LaFrentz88
96
Q4 - 0:30.0BOSLaFrentz S.FOUL (P6.PN)88
96
Q4 - 0:44.0ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 1)88
96
Q4 - 0:46.0ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)88
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 0:48.0ORLMISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 1:02BOSGomes Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)88
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 1:22ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)88
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 1:30ORLSUB: Garrity FOR Stevenson88
96
Q4 - 1:30ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)88
96
Q4 - 1:30BOSLaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)88
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q4 - 1:30BOSLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)88
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 1:30ORLHoward L.B.FOUL (P4.PN)88
94
Q4 - 1:30BOSCELTICS Rebound88
2.2%
94
97.8%
Q4 - 1:30ORLMISS Hill 16' Jump Shot88
2.7%
94
97.3%
Q4 - 1:47BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)88
5.1%
94
94.9%
Q4 - 1:47BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)88
5.5%
93
94.5%
Q4 - 1:47ORLHill S.FOUL (P2.PN)88
92
Q4 - 1:59ORLTurkoglu Foul Turnover (P2.T16)88
7.6%
92
92.4%
Q4 - 1:59ORLTurkoglu OFF.Foul (P5)88
92
Q4 - 2:20ORLMagic Rebound88
14.0%
92
86.0%
Q4 - 2:22ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
9.0%
92
91.0%
Q4 - 2:28ORLMagic Rebound88
14.1%
92
85.9%
Q4 - 2:29ORLMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot88
9.0%
92
91.0%
Q4 - 2:46BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)88
14.2%
92
85.8%
Q4 - 2:46ORLSUB: Stevenson FOR Garrity88
91
Q4 - 2:46BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)88
15.2%
91
84.8%
Q4 - 2:46ORLGarrity S.FOUL (P3.PN)88
90
Q4 - 3:03ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)88
19.2%
90
80.8%
Q4 - 3:03ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)87
17.2%
90
82.8%
Q4 - 3:03BOSLaFrentz S.FOUL (P5.PN)86
90
Q4 - 3:18BOSGomes Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)86
14.9%
90
85.1%
Q4 - 3:18BOSGomes Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)86
16.4%
89
83.6%
Q4 - 3:18ORLTurkoglu S.FOUL (P4.T4)86
88
Q4 - 3:45ORLHill 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)86
22.1%
88
77.9%
Q4 - 4:02ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)84
88
Q4 - 4:05BOSWest 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)84
16.4%
88
83.6%
Q4 - 4:21ORLSzczerbiak STEAL (1 STL)84
21.8%
86
78.2%
Q4 - 4:33BOSSzczerbiak L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)84
86
Q4 - 4:33ORLMagic Rebound84
29.8%
86
70.2%
Q4 - 4:35BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 184
28.6%
86
71.4%
Q4 - 4:35ORLTurkoglu S.FOUL (P3.T3)84
86
Q4 - 4:35BOSPierce 1' Driving Layup (27 PTS)84
86
Q4 - 4:56ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)84
37.9%
84
62.1%
Q4 - 4:56BOSPierce S.FOUL (P4.T3)83
84
Q4 - 4:56ORLFrancis 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)83
84
Q4 - 5:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)81
24.0%
84
76.0%
Q4 - 5:19BOSMISS West 10' Jump Shot81
22.1%
84
77.9%
Q4 - 5:47ORLFrancis 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)81
18.0%
84
82.0%
Q4 - 5:51BOSPierce Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)79
13.7%
84
86.3%
Q4 - 5:57BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
10.0%
84
90.0%
Q4 - 5:59ORLMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot79
11.0%
84
89.0%
Q4 - 6:17BOSSzczerbiak 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (LaFrentz 2 AST)79
15.3%
84
84.7%
Q4 - 6:30ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Dooling79
81
Q4 - 6:30BOSSUB: LaFrentz FOR Scalabrine79
81
Q4 - 6:30BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)79
81
Q4 - 6:31ORLHill 3' Layup (11 PTS) (Dooling 5 AST)79
24.6%
81
75.4%
Q4 - 6:35ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
19.6%
81
80.4%
Q4 - 6:38BOSMISS Pierce 2' Layup77
18.1%
81
81.9%
Q4 - 6:51ORLDooling Traveling Turnover (P3.T14)77
15.0%
81
85.0%
Q4 - 7:00ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
19.6%
81
80.4%
Q4 - 7:01ORLMISS Dooling 14' Jump Shot77
17.2%
81
82.8%
Q4 - 7:10BOSSUB: West FOR Greene77
81
Q4 - 7:10BOSGreene P.FOUL (P1.T2)77
81
Q4 - 7:31ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)77
20.3%
81
79.7%
Q4 - 7:32BOSMISS Greene 2' Layup77
18.9%
81
81.1%
Q4 - 7:58ORLHoward 9' Hook Shot (22 PTS) (Dooling 4 AST)77
15.8%
81
84.2%
Q4 - 8:1375
81
Q4 - 8:13BOSSzczerbiak P.FOUL (P1.T1)75
81
Q4 - 8:22ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
13.6%
81
86.4%
Q4 - 8:24BOSMISS Pierce 1' Layup75
12.7%
81
87.3%
Q4 - 8:36ORLDooling 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)75
10.9%
81
89.1%
Q4 - 9:01BOSGomes Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)73
9.7%
81
90.3%
Q4 - 9:01ORLSUB: Francis FOR Stevenson73
80
Q4 - 9:01BOSGomes Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)73
10.2%
80
89.8%
Q4 - 9:01ORLDooling S.FOUL (P1.T2)73
79
Q4 - 9:05BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
12.1%
79
87.9%
Q4 - 9:07ORLMISS Stevenson 2' Reverse Layup73
12.8%
79
87.2%
Q4 - 9:28BOSGomes 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Scalabrine 1 AST)73
14.7%
79
85.3%
Q4 - 9:49ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)73
18.1%
77
81.9%
Q4 - 10:13ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
22.2%
77
77.8%
Q4 - 10:15BOSMISS Scalabrine 16' Jump Shot73
21.1%
77
78.9%
Q4 - 10:41ORLHill 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)73
18.6%
77
81.4%
Q4 - 11:00BOSGomes Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)71
15.3%
77
84.7%
Q4 - 11:00BOSGomes Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)71
16.1%
76
83.9%
Q4 - 11:00ORLHoward S.FOUL (P3.T1)71
75
Q4 - 11:22ORLGomes STEAL (2 STL)71
19.3%
75
80.7%
Q4 - 11:37BOSScalabrine 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Szczerbiak 5 AST)71
22.6%
75
77.4%
Q4 - 12:0071
72
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL71
31.2%
72
68.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)71
35.3%
72
64.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0BOSMISS Pierce 15' Jump Shot71
34.1%
72
65.9%
Q3 - 0:19.0BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)71
31.4%
72
68.6%
Q3 - 0:21.0ORLMISS Stevenson 20' Jump Shot71
32.6%
72
67.4%
Q3 - 0:45.0ORLMagic Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 1)71
72
Q3 - 0:45.0BOSGomes 1' Layup (6 PTS) (West 9 AST)71
35.4%
72
64.6%
Q3 - 0:50.0ORLGomes STEAL (1 STL)71
40.7%
70
59.3%
Q3 - 1:17BOSSzczerbiak Driving Dunk (17 PTS) (West 8 AST)71
44.4%
70
55.6%
Q3 - 1:21ORLWest STEAL (2 STL)71
49.7%
68
50.3%
Q3 - 1:26ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
54.2%
68
45.8%
Q3 - 1:28BOSMISS Pierce 18' Jump Shot71
52.9%
68
47.1%
Q3 - 1:50ORLScalabrine STEAL (1 STL)71
49.8%
68
50.2%
Q3 - 2:03BOSWest Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)71
52.9%
68
47.1%
Q3 - 2:16ORLGarrity 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)71
48.3%
68
51.7%
Q3 - 2:37BOSPierce Driving Dunk (25 PTS) (Szczerbiak 4 AST)69
43.6%
68
56.4%
Q3 - 2:50ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)69
48.4%
66
51.6%
Q3 - 2:50ORLSUB: Garrity FOR Battie68
66
Q3 - 2:50ORLSUB: Dooling FOR Francis68
66
Q3 - 2:50BOSSUB: Scalabrine FOR LaFrentz68
66
Q3 - 2:50ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)68
66
Q3 - 2:50BOSGomes S.FOUL (P3.T4)68
66
Q3 - 2:50ORLHoward 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)68
66
Q3 - 3:05ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)66
38.4%
66
61.6%
Q3 - 3:06BOSMISS Pierce 15' Jump Shot66
37.1%
66
62.9%
Q3 - 3:34ORLFrancis 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)66
34.1%
66
65.9%
Q3 - 3:46ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
30.4%
66
69.6%
Q3 - 3:48BOSMISS LaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
29.2%
66
70.8%
Q3 - 4:01ORLWest STEAL (1 STL)64
26.3%
66
73.7%
Q3 - 4:18ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)64
30.5%
66
69.5%
Q3 - 4:19BOSMISS Szczerbiak 15' Jump Shot64
29.2%
66
70.8%
Q3 - 4:36ORLHoward 3' Layup (17 PTS)64
26.3%
66
73.7%
Q3 - 4:37ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)62
23.6%
66
76.4%
Q3 - 4:39ORLMISS Howard 3' Jump Shot62
21.1%
66
78.9%
Q3 - 4:46ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
23.6%
66
76.4%
Q3 - 4:48ORLMISS Francis 21' Jump Shot62
21.1%
66
78.9%
Q3 - 4:56ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
23.6%
66
76.4%
Q3 - 4:58BOSMISS West 20' Jump Shot62
22.5%
66
77.5%
Q3 - 5:11ORLTurkoglu 1' Layup (16 PTS)62
20.3%
66
79.7%
Q3 - 5:25BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)60
66
Q3 - 5:25BOSPierce Foul Turnover (P1.T5)60
18.0%
66
82.0%
Q3 - 5:25BOSPierce OFF.Foul (P3)60
66
Q3 - 5:34ORLBattie 1' Layup (4 PTS)60
15.4%
66
84.6%
Q3 - 5:35ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)58
13.6%
66
86.4%
Q3 - 5:36ORLMISS Turkoglu 13' Jump Shot58
12.1%
66
87.9%
Q3 - 6:01BOSSzczerbiak 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (West 7 AST)58
13.9%
66
86.1%
Q3 - 6:11ORLStevenson P.FOUL (P2.T3)58
63
Q3 - 6:17BOSCELTICS Rebound58
18.0%
63
82.0%
Q3 - 6:19ORLMISS Francis 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
18.8%
63
81.2%
Q3 - 6:26BOSGomes P.FOUL (P2.T3)58
63
Q3 - 6:40BOSPierce 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS)58
20.7%
63
79.3%
Q3 - 7:06ORLTurkoglu 18' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)58
23.2%
61
76.8%
Q3 - 7:30BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)56
20.7%
61
79.3%
Q3 - 7:30BOSCELTICS Rebound56
60
Q3 - 7:30BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 256
21.1%
60
78.9%
Q3 - 7:30ORLHoward S.FOUL (P2.T2)56
60
Q3 - 7:39BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)56
20.6%
60
79.4%
Q3 - 7:41ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Jump Shot56
21.4%
60
78.6%
Q3 - 8:08BOSLaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (West 6 AST)56
23.4%
60
76.6%
Q3 - 8:18BOSSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
29.0%
57
71.0%
Q3 - 8:20ORLMISS Francis 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
30.0%
57
70.0%
Q3 - 8:37BOSLaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (West 5 AST)56
32.4%
57
67.6%
Q3 - 8:56ORLStevenson 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)56
39.1%
54
60.9%
Q3 - 9:01ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
35.4%
54
64.6%
Q3 - 9:04BOSMISS Pierce 3PT Jump Shot54
34.4%
54
65.6%
Q3 - 9:15ORLLaFrentz STEAL (1 STL)54
32.1%
54
67.9%
Q3 - 9:26BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)54
35.5%
54
64.5%
Q3 - 9:26BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)54
36.0%
53
64.0%
Q3 - 9:26ORLHoward S.FOUL (P1.T1)54
52
Q3 - 9:41ORLHoward 1' Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)54
38.8%
52
61.2%
Q3 - 10:05BOSLaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Szczerbiak 3 AST)52
35.0%
52
65.0%
Q3 - 10:25ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)52
41.7%
49
58.3%
Q3 - 10:25ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)51
41.2%
49
58.8%
Q3 - 10:25BOSPierce S.FOUL (P2.T2)50
49
Q3 - 10:31BOSPierce 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (West 4 AST)50
38.3%
49
61.7%
Q3 - 10:50ORLStevenson 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Battie 1 AST)50
41.8%
47
58.2%
Q3 - 11:02ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
37.9%
47
62.1%
Q3 - 11:03ORLMISS Howard 3' Jump Shot48
35.6%
47
64.4%
Q3 - 11:16BOSWest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)48
38.0%
47
62.0%
Q3 - 11:30ORLTurkoglu Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)48
34.6%
47
65.4%
Q3 - 11:3047
47
Q3 - 11:34ORLHoward 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)47
31.5%
47
68.5%
Q3 - 11:43BOSLaFrentz L.B.FOUL (P4.T1)45
47
Q3 - 11:43ORLMagic Rebound45
28.8%
47
71.2%
Q3 - 11:44ORLMISS Battie 18' Jump Shot45
26.7%
47
73.3%
Q3 - 12:0045
47
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS45
28.8%
47
71.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL45
47
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLDooling 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS)45
25.8%
47
74.2%
Q2 - 0:12.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
23.2%
47
76.8%
Q2 - 0:13.0BOSMISS West Free Throw 2 of 243
23.0%
47
77.0%
Q2 - 0:13.0BOSWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)43
21.3%
47
78.7%
Q2 - 0:13.0BOS43
46
Q2 - 0:13.0ORLAugmon P.FOUL (P2.PN)43
46
Q2 - 0:23.0ORLSUB: Stevenson FOR Turkoglu43
46
Q2 - 0:23.0BOSSUB: Greene FOR Jones43
46
Q2 - 0:23.0BOSCELTICS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)43
46
Q2 - 0:30.0ORLGarrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)43
23.8%
46
76.2%
Q2 - 0:40.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
18.8%
46
81.2%
Q2 - 0:42.0BOSMISS Gomes 18' Jump Shot40
18.3%
46
81.7%
Q2 - 1:00ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)40
17.2%
46
82.8%
Q2 - 1:00BOSSUB: Jones FOR Olowokandi39
46
Q2 - 1:00ORLSUB: Dooling FOR Francis39
46
Q2 - 1:00ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)39
16.6%
46
83.4%
Q2 - 1:00BOSOlowokandi P.FOUL (P3.PN)38
46
Q2 - 1:19BOSPierce 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)38
15.2%
46
84.8%
Q2 - 1:29ORLPierce STEAL (1 STL)38
17.5%
44
82.5%
Q2 - 1:36ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
18.9%
44
81.1%
Q2 - 1:37BOSMISS Gomes 18' Jump Shot38
18.4%
44
81.6%
Q2 - 1:47ORLFrancis P.FOUL (P1.T4)38
44
Q2 - 2:06BOSOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
17.2%
44
82.8%
Q2 - 2:07ORLMISS Turkoglu 4' Jump Shot38
17.8%
44
82.2%
Q2 - 2:31BOSWest 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Szczerbiak 2 AST)38
19.2%
44
80.8%
Q2 - 2:53ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)38
23.4%
41
76.6%
Q2 - 2:53ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)37
22.7%
41
77.3%
Q2 - 2:53ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)36
41
Q2 - 2:53BOSOlowokandi P.FOUL (P2.PN)36
41
Q2 - 3:03BOSWest 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pierce 4 AST)36
21.4%
41
78.6%
Q2 - 3:18ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)36
25.5%
38
74.5%
Q2 - 3:18ORLMagic Rebound35
38
Q2 - 3:18ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 235
24.8%
38
75.2%
Q2 - 3:18BOSOlowokandi P.FOUL (P1.PN)35
38
Q2 - 3:25ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
25.9%
38
74.1%
Q2 - 3:27BOSMISS Olowokandi 9' Jump Shot35
25.0%
38
75.0%
Q2 - 3:44BOSOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
23.2%
38
76.8%
Q2 - 3:46ORLMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot35
24.0%
38
76.0%
Q2 - 4:09BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)35
25.6%
38
74.4%
Q2 - 4:09BOSCELTICS Rebound35
37
Q2 - 4:09BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 235
26.0%
37
74.0%
Q2 - 4:09ORLAugmon S.FOUL (P1.T3)35
37
Q2 - 4:19ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)35
25.4%
37
74.6%
Q2 - 4:19ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
24.7%
37
75.3%
Q2 - 4:19ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Dooling33
37
Q2 - 4:19BOSGomes L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)33
37
Q2 - 4:19ORLMagic Rebound33
23.3%
37
76.7%
Q2 - 4:20BOSMISS Szczerbiak 7' Running Jump Shot33
22.6%
37
77.4%
Q2 - 4:25BOSJump Ball Pierce vs. Augmon: Tip to Szczerbiak33
37
Q2 - 4:44ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
21.1%
37
78.9%
Q2 - 4:44BOSSUB: Olowokandi FOR LaFrentz32
37
Q2 - 4:44ORLMagic Rebound32
37
Q2 - 4:44ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 232
20.5%
37
79.5%
Q2 - 4:44BOSLaFrentz S.FOUL (P3.T4)32
37
Q2 - 5:06ORLAugmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
21.3%
37
78.7%
Q2 - 5:08BOSMISS West 18' Jump Shot32
20.8%
37
79.2%
Q2 - 5:33ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)32
19.4%
37
80.6%
Q2 - 5:33ORLMagic Rebound31
37
Q2 - 5:33ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 231
18.9%
37
81.1%
Q2 - 5:33BOSSUB: Gomes FOR Scalabrine31
37
Q2 - 5:33BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)31
37
Q2 - 5:33BOSLaFrentz S.FOUL (P2.T3)31
37
Q2 - 5:42ORLAugmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
19.4%
37
80.6%
Q2 - 5:44BOSMISS Szczerbiak 14' Jump Shot31
18.8%
37
81.2%
Q2 - 6:04ORLSUB: Augmon FOR Hill31
37
Q2 - 6:04ORLFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)31
17.7%
37
82.3%
Q2 - 6:24BOSSzczerbiak 23' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)31
19.8%
37
80.2%
Q2 - 6:48ORLDooling 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
21.3%
35
78.7%
Q2 - 7:02BOSSUB: Pierce FOR Greene29
35
Q2 - 7:02ORLMagic Rebound29
19.6%
35
80.4%
Q2 - 7:02BOSMISS Szczerbiak 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
19.0%
35
81.0%
Q2 - 7:20ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)29
17.8%
35
82.2%
Q2 - 7:30BOSScalabrine P.FOUL (P2.T2)29
35
Q2 - 7:44BOSLaFrentz Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)29
19.6%
35
80.4%
Q2 - 8:02ORLHill Foul Turnover (P1.T3)29
18.1%
35
81.9%
Q2 - 8:02ORLHill OFF.Foul (P1)29
35
Q2 - 8:16BOSLaFrentz 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Szczerbiak 1 AST)29
19.8%
35
80.2%
Q2 - 8:32ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)29
23.5%
32
76.5%
Q2 - 8:32BOSSUB: West FOR Gomes28
32
Q2 - 8:32BOSSUB: LaFrentz FOR Pierce28
32
Q2 - 8:32ORLSUB: Francis FOR Stevenson28
32
Q2 - 8:3228
32
Q2 - 8:32BOSPierce S.FOUL (P1.T1)28
32
Q2 - 8:32ORLHill 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)28
32
Q2 - 8:36ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
19.7%
32
80.3%
Q2 - 8:38BOSMISS Pierce 2' Reverse Layup26
19.2%
32
80.8%
Q2 - 8:52ORLHill 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
18.1%
32
81.9%
Q2 - 9:18BOSSzczerbiak 6' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)24
16.5%
32
83.5%
Q2 - 9:20BOSSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
18.1%
30
81.9%
Q2 - 9:21BOSMISS Greene 18' Jump Shot24
19.2%
30
80.8%
Q2 - 9:45ORLDooling 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
18.1%
30
81.9%
Q2 - 9:55ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
16.6%
30
83.4%
Q2 - 9:56BOSMISS Pierce 19' Jump Shot22
16.1%
30
83.9%
Q2 - 10:03ORLGarrity P.FOUL (P2.T2)22
30
Q2 - 10:18ORLHill 3' Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)22
15.4%
30
84.6%
Q2 - 10:32BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)20
14.1%
30
85.9%
Q2 - 10:32BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)20
14.3%
29
85.7%
Q2 - 10:32ORLSUB: Howard FOR Battie20
28
Q2 - 10:32BOSSUB: Szczerbiak FOR West20
28
Q2 - 10:32ORLGarrity S.FOUL (P1.T1)20
28
Q2 - 10:54ORLDooling 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)20
15.3%
28
84.7%
Q2 - 11:12ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
14.4%
28
85.6%
Q2 - 11:14BOSMISS Scalabrine 1' Layup18
14.0%
28
86.0%
Q2 - 11:37ORLStevenson 1' Driving Finger Roll (5 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)18
13.2%
28
86.8%
Q2 - 12:0016
28
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL16
12.1%
28
87.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
12.2%
28
87.8%
Q1 - 0:04.0BOSMISS Scalabrine 27' 3PT Jump Shot16
12.0%
28
88.0%
Q1 - 0:27.0BOSScalabrine REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
11.4%
28
88.6%
Q1 - 0:28.0ORLMISS Stevenson Free Throw 2 of 216
11.5%
28
88.5%
Q1 - 0:28.0BOSSUB: Allen FOR LaFrentz16
28
Q1 - 0:28.0ORLSUB: Dooling FOR Howard16
28
Q1 - 0:28.0ORLStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
12.2%
28
87.8%
Q1 - 0:28.0BOSSUB: Greene FOR Szczerbiak15
28
Q1 - 0:28.0BOSScalabrine S.FOUL (P1.T2)15
28
Q1 - 0:40.0ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
11.2%
28
88.8%
Q1 - 0:42.0BOSMISS LaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 115
11.1%
28
88.9%
Q1 - 0:42.0BOSSUB: Scalabrine FOR Gomes15
28
Q1 - 0:42.0ORLStevenson S.FOUL (P1.T4)15
28
Q1 - 0:42.0BOSLaFrentz 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (West 3 AST)15
28
Q1 - 0:50.0BOSSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
12.4%
26
87.6%
Q1 - 0:52.0ORLMISS Battie 15' Jump Shot15
12.7%
26
87.3%
Q1 - 1:18BOSSzczerbiak 1' Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)15
13.6%
26
86.4%
Q1 - 1:27BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
15.2%
24
84.8%
Q1 - 1:29ORLMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot15
15.4%
24
84.6%
Q1 - 1:57BOSGomes 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)15
16.0%
24
84.0%
Q1 - 1:58BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)15
17.8%
22
82.2%
Q1 - 1:59BOSMISS LaFrentz 17' Jump Shot15
18.4%
22
81.6%
Q1 - 2:02ORLSUB: Hill FOR Turkoglu15
22
Q1 - 2:15BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
18.0%
22
82.0%
Q1 - 2:17ORLMISS Francis 2' Layup15
18.3%
22
81.7%
Q1 - 2:41BOSPierce 1' Layup (11 PTS)15
19.1%
22
80.9%
Q1 - 2:42BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
20.8%
20
79.2%
Q1 - 2:44BOSMISS Pierce 3' Layup15
21.7%
20
78.3%
Q1 - 2:55ORLBattie 2' Layup (2 PTS)15
20.8%
20
79.2%
Q1 - 2:57ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
19.1%
20
80.9%
Q1 - 3:00ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
18.3%
20
81.7%
Q1 - 3:16BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)13
19.2%
20
80.8%
Q1 - 3:16ORLTurkoglu S.FOUL (P2.T3)13
19
Q1 - 3:16BOSPierce 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)13
19
Q1 - 3:20ORLTurkoglu P.FOUL (P1.T2)13
17
Q1 - 3:35ORLTurkoglu 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)13
22.2%
17
77.8%
Q1 - 3:53BOSPierce 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (LaFrentz 1 AST)11
20.6%
17
79.4%
Q1 - 4:15ORLBattie Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)11
22.8%
15
77.2%
Q1 - 4:29ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)11
15
Q1 - 4:36BOSSzczerbiak 2' Finger Roll (6 PTS)11
24.4%
15
75.6%
Q1 - 4:51BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)11
25.8%
13
74.2%
Q1 - 4:55ORLMISS Francis 19' Jump Shot11
26.3%
13
73.7%
Q1 - 5:09BOSPierce 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (West 2 AST)11
27.7%
13
72.3%
Q1 - 5:18BOSSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
29.0%
11
71.0%
Q1 - 5:20ORLMISS Howard 7' Turnaround Jump Shot11
29.6%
11
70.4%
Q1 - 5:47BOSPierce 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)11
30.9%
11
69.1%
Q1 - 6:07ORLStevenson 2' Running Finger Roll (2 PTS)11
32.0%
9
68.0%
Q1 - 6:19ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
30.5%
9
69.5%
Q1 - 6:20BOSMISS Pierce 1' Layup9
30.0%
9
70.0%
Q1 - 6:33BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
29.0%
9
71.0%
Q1 - 6:35ORLMISS Battie 14' Jump Shot9
29.5%
9
70.5%
Q1 - 6:57BOSGomes 2' Layup (2 PTS)9
30.6%
9
69.4%
Q1 - 6:58BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)9
32.0%
7
68.0%
Q1 - 7:00BOSMISS Gomes 2' Layup9
33.1%
7
66.9%
Q1 - 7:18ORLBattie L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)9
7
Q1 - 7:18BOSCELTICS Rebound9
31.7%
7
68.3%
Q1 - 7:19ORLMISS Stevenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
32.2%
7
67.8%
Q1 - 7:35BOSWest 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)9
33.3%
7
66.7%
Q1 - 7:48BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)9
4
Q1 - 7:56ORLTurkoglu 2' Layup (7 PTS)9
36.0%
4
64.0%
Q1 - 7:59BOSSzczerbiak Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)7
34.7%
4
65.3%
Q1 - 8:11ORLTurkoglu 5' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)7
33.0%
4
67.0%
Q1 - 8:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
31.6%
4
68.4%
Q1 - 8:19BOSMISS West 2' Layup5
31.2%
4
68.8%
Q1 - 8:41BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)5
30.5%
4
69.5%
Q1 - 8:43ORLMISS Francis 12' Jump Shot5
30.8%
4
69.2%
Q1 - 9:06BOSSzczerbiak 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (West 1 AST)5
31.5%
4
68.5%
Q1 - 9:23ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)5
32.7%
2
67.3%
Q1 - 9:37ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
30.6%
2
69.4%
Q1 - 9:39BOSMISS LaFrentz 21' Jump Shot2
30.4%
2
69.6%
Q1 - 9:56BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
30.0%
2
70.0%
Q1 - 9:58ORLMISS Stevenson 18' Jump Shot2
30.3%
2
69.7%
Q1 - 10:17BOSWest Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
30.8%
2
69.2%
Q1 - 10:17BOSWest OFF.Foul (P1)2
2
Q1 - 10:18BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
30.2%
2
69.8%
Q1 - 10:20BOSMISS LaFrentz 20' Jump Shot2
30.7%
2
69.3%
Q1 - 10:37ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
30.4%
2
69.6%
Q1 - 10:37ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
30.2%
2
69.8%
Q1 - 10:37BOSLaFrentz P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 10:38ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
29.9%
2
70.1%
Q1 - 10:39ORLMISS Battie 7' Jump Shot0
29.6%
2
70.4%
Q1 - 10:48ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.1%
2
69.9%
Q1 - 10:50BOSMISS Pierce 21' Jump Shot0
30.0%
2
70.0%
Q1 - 10:59BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.9%
2
70.1%
Q1 - 11:01ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
30.1%
2
69.9%
Q1 - 11:16BOSSzczerbiak 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
30.7%
2
69.3%
Q1 - 11:27ORLHoward Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
31.1%
0
68.9%
Q1 - 11:44ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.6%
0
68.4%
Q1 - 11:45BOSMISS Gomes 16' Jump Shot0
31.6%
0
68.4%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball LaFrentz vs. Howard: Tip to Szczerbiak0
31.8%
0
68.2%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventORLBOS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.11 55.3%
BOS
1.26 63.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
21
29
72%
BOS
12
21
57%
Midrange
ORL
12
29
41%
BOS
11
31
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
2
3.0
12
17%
25%
BOS
10
15.0
14
71%
107%
Free Throws
ORL
22
26
85%
BOS
26
31
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2467%12.0 / 18
H. Turkoglu1653%8.0 / 15
G. Hill1568%7.5 / 11
D. Stevenson1155%5.5 / 10
K. Dooling1071%5.0 / 7
S. Francis941%4.5 / 11
P. Garrity583%2.5 / 3
T. Battie433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce3157%15.5 / 27
W. Szczerbiak2480%12.0 / 15
R. LaFrentz1680%8.0 / 10
R. Gomes1464%7.0 / 11
D. West1470%7.0 / 10
B. Scalabrine338%1.5 / 4
O. Greene0-0.0 / 2
M. Olowokandi0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
71
+14
-16
85
BOS
75
+5
-10
80
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.11 55.3%
BOS
1.26 63.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
104.8
ORL 108.0
BOS 120.0 +12.0
Pace
88.1
92.6
ORL 83.0
BOS 89.6 +6.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.6
15.1
ORL 17.4
BOS 16.1 −1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
50.4%
ORL 51.4%
BOS 57.6% +6.2%
TO %
16.2%
17.0%
ORL 17.3%
BOS 11.2% −6.1%
ORB %
28.6%
25.7%
ORL 32.1% +16.9%
BOS 15.2%
FTrt
36.9
34.9
ORL 37.1
BOS 47.0 +9.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.4%
58.1%
ORL 45.7%
BOS 63.6% +17.9%
STL %
7.3%
7.5%
ORL 5.7%
BOS 9.4% +3.7%
BLK %
7.2%
8.1%
ORL 5.8% +4.1%
BOS 1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.5%
53.6%
ORL 55.3%
BOS 63.0% +7.7%
Rim FG%
57.7%
57.3%
ORL 72.4% +15.3%
BOS 57.1%
Mid FG%
41.0%
41.6%
ORL 41.4% +5.9%
BOS 35.5%
3P %
37.6%
36.2%
ORL 16.7%
BOS 71.4% +54.7%
FT %
73.0%
75.5%
ORL 84.6% +0.7%
BOS 83.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.9%
39.4%
ORL 41.4% +9.6%
BOS 31.8%
Mid Att. %
47.2%
40.2%
ORL 41.4% −5.5%
BOS 47.0%
3P Att. %
12.9%
20.4%
ORL 17.1%
BOS 21.2% +4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLBOS
Possessions8785
Possession Minutes25.222.8
Points94102
Rebounds3724
Assists1621
Steals58
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)5 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)19 (3)
Field Goals35-7033-66
At-the-Rim FG21-2912-21
Midrange FG12-2911-31
2-Point FG33-5823-52
3-Point FG2-1210-14
Free Throws22-2626-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 265 · 20
45.6
24
67%
11
2
0
2
3
4
2
9
14-17
82%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 210 · 29
37.7
9
41%
4
4
0
0
2
3
2
2
1-1
100%
4-9
44%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 220 · 27
32.4
16
53%
3
2
1
0
3
5
0
3
3-3
100%
5-9
56%
1-5
20%
G · 6'5" 218 · 25
32.1
11
55%
4
1
2
0
1
2
1
3
1-2
50%
5-8
63%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 30
22.6
4
33%
8
1
0
0
1
1
3
5
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 238 · 29
25.5
5
83%
2
0
0
0
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 225 · 33
20.0
15
68%
1
1
1
1
2
2
0
1
3-3
100%
6-8
75%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 195 · 26
18.0
10
71%
2
5
1
0
3
2
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 38
6.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 24
C · 7'1" 260 · 26
F · 6'9" 221 · 27
#14 · G · 6'0" 190 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · C · 6'11" 275 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · F · 6'8" 220 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
55%
37
16
5
3
16
0
9
28
22-26
85%
33-58
57%
2-12
17%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.