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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 13, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Grizzlies51%9481
17Warriors49%9379
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.6
40.9
38.1
23
40%
13
6
0
1
2
2
4
9
3-6
50%
10-26
7-14
38%
50%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34.3
35.9
33.0
10
45%
7
2
1
1
0
4
3
4
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
47%
2-6
33%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 31.5
29.3
28.2
10
36%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
0-8
2-5
0%
45%
2-4
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.4
24.8
35.7
5
43%
6
1
2
1
1
2
1
5
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 30.3
20.1
10.4
4
50%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.1
30.4
12.9
9
42%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-4
25%
4-9
1-3
44%
45%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.9
23.4
25.9
10
50%
3
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
45%
2-5
40%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 23.6
23.0
11.4
8
40%
7
1
0
0
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
4-10
2-4
40%
47%
0-0
-
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 26.0
7.7
6.7
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 26.7
4.5
11.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.0
15.8
0
2-3
52%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.8
11.0
1
1-2
42%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 32.4
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.3
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 31.5
40.1
26.4
21
63%
4
9
2
1
0
1
0
4
5-6
83%
8-14
2-5
57%
42%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.9
37.8
21.2
4
52%
10
1
0
0
5
3
2
8
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.1
35.5
36.3
10
36%
10
2
1
1
1
3
0
10
2-2
100%
1-6
6-12
17%
48%
2-7
29%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.0
33.2
28.7
7
26%
4
1
3
1
1
5
1
3
1-3
33%
3-8
3-5
38%
50%
0-4
0%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.4
24.1
12.3
10
52%
5
1
0
0
1
2
3
2
6-6
100%
2-7
2-3
29%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 25.4
29.4
27.8
15
48%
8
2
0
1
1
1
1
7
4-4
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
48%
1-4
25%
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.7
17.0
1.7
6
43%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
0-0
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.3
15.8
14.6
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 34.6
7.0
6.6
4
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 26.8
25.9
1
3-7
45%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 19.9
22.4
1
2-4
58%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.8
17.9
0
2-5
45%
Chris Taft
F · 6'10" 261 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.