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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 13, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs46%9187
6Cavaliers54%92101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.8
36.5
30.8
19
56%
10
5
1
1
1
1
3
7
5-7
71%
7-14
6-13
50%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.7
32.5
36.3
4
29%
1
4
1
1
0
7
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
7-14
29%
52%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.7
30.8
36.0
8
62%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.5
28.3
32.1
12
49%
7
3
0
2
0
3
0
7
2-3
67%
5-9
4-8
56%
51%
0-2
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.7
20.5
20.8
6
60%
4
2
0
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
0-0
-
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.2
18.7
12.1
5
50%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
42%
1-1
100%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.9
18.1
20.4
7
72%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
44%
2-4
50%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.4
16.8
19.7
8
69%
4
0
0
0
1
3
2
2
2-4
50%
3-4
2-5
75%
49%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.1
13.1
5.4
6
63%
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
2-4
50%
2-2
0-1
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.6
9.3
5.0
12
113%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-3
33%
1-1
1-1
100%
45%
3-3
100%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.5
8.9
6.7
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 30.9
6.4
9.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.1
40.7
42.2
44
60%
3
5
4
2
0
2
2
1
5-8
63%
18-30
9-18
60%
49%
1-3
33%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.8
36.4
28.0
6
43%
3
6
0
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
43%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.4
30.3
24.0
10
43%
10
0
2
1
1
0
7
3
2-4
50%
4-10
4-7
40%
49%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.7
29.1
30.8
17
44%
11
1
0
1
1
0
6
5
1-1
100%
8-19
5-11
42%
48%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.2
18.5
26.1
4
40%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.7
26.0
7.3
8
57%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-7
1-2
57%
43%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.5
24.9
31.0
5
83%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.7
18.1
25.6
3
30%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
1-4
25%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.4
12.4
13.8
0
0%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26.8
2.1
1.7
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
38%
0-0
-
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 19.9
1.6
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.2
2.8
0
0-0
50%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.1
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.3
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.