FinalWin Prob.pScore
2620%89
93
580%100
107
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
102.29186.2
MIA logo MIA
117.69196.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL93
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T20)93
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0ORLDoleac STEAL (1 STL)93
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)93
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)93
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0ORLKasun Layup (9 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T19)91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00ORLHill Dunk (12 PTS)91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00MIAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T18)89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 288
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12ORLDooling Foul Turnover (P1.T6)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18MIAWright Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21MIAMISS Kapono 21' Jump Shot88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53MIAWade Driving Layup (38 PTS)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02ORLMISS Howard 5' Jump Bank Shot85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22MIAHaslem Dunk (10 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39ORLMISS Francis 15' Jump Shot85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (36 PTS)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)85
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15ORLMISS Garrity 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18ORLHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)85
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 3:22ORLMISS Dooling 9' Jump Shot85
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)85
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 4:01MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)85
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 4:03ORLMISS Garrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 4:12MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)85
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 4:12MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)85
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 4:30ORLHill Dunk (9 PTS)85
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 4:33MIAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)83
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 4:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)83
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 4:41ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 283
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 4:41ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)83
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 4:44MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)82
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 4:47ORLMISS Howard Tip Shot82
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 4:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)82
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 4:47MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 4:48ORLMISS Francis Layup82
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 5:08MIAWade Dunk (31 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)82
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 5:25MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 5:27ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 182
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 5:44MIAWade 13' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)80
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 5:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)80
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 5:56ORLMISS Howard 6' Jump Shot80
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 5:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)80
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 6:00ORLMISS Francis 14' Fadeaway Jumper80
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 6:10MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T12)80
1.1%
92
98.9%
Q4 - 6:28ORLDooling 4' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)80
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 6:30ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 6:31ORLMISS Dooling Layup78
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 6:34MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)78
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 6:45ORLDooling Layup (13 PTS)78
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 6:48MIAPayton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)76
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 7:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 7:04ORLMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot76
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 7:20MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)76
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 7:20MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 276
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 7:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)76
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 7:30ORLMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot76
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 7:55MIAPayton Driving Layup (2 PTS)76
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 8:12MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 8:14ORLMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)76
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 8:21MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)76
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 8:35ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)76
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 8:35ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)75
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 8:54ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 8:56MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 174
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 9:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)74
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q4 - 9:11ORLMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot74
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q4 - 9:28MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)74
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q4 - 9:28MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 274
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q4 - 9:37MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q4 - 9:39ORLMISS Battie 14' Jump Shot74
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q4 - 10:01ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q4 - 10:03MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot74
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q4 - 10:34MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q4 - 10:36ORLMISS Garrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
1.9%
86
98.1%
Q4 - 10:55MIAWade 22' Jump Bank Shot (27 PTS)74
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q4 - 11:04MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q4 - 11:06ORLMISS Hill 14' Turnaround Jump Shot74
3.3%
84
96.7%
Q4 - 11:23MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P3.T8)74
3.8%
84
96.2%
Q4 - 11:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)74
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q4 - 11:34MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot74
3.6%
84
96.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA74
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound74
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
3.9%
84
96.1%
Q3 - 0:08.0ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)74
3.4%
84
96.6%
Q3 - 0:08.0ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)73
3.3%
84
96.7%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAWade 20' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)72
2.7%
84
97.3%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
3.4%
82
96.6%
Q3 - 0:41.0ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot72
3.6%
82
96.4%
Q3 - 0:56.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)72
4.1%
82
95.9%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Bank Shot72
3.8%
82
96.2%
Q3 - 1:08MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
3.6%
82
96.4%
Q3 - 1:10ORLMISS Hill 20' Turnaround Jump Shot72
3.8%
82
96.2%
Q3 - 1:36MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)72
4.4%
82
95.6%
Q3 - 1:36MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)72
4.5%
81
95.5%
Q3 - 1:39ORLWilliams STEAL (1 STL)72
5.2%
80
94.8%
Q3 - 1:56ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)72
6.3%
80
93.7%
Q3 - 1:57MIAMISS Mourning 16' Jump Shot72
6.0%
80
94.0%
Q3 - 2:20ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)72
5.4%
80
94.6%
Q3 - 2:20ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)71
5.3%
80
94.7%
Q3 - 2:35ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
4.6%
80
95.4%
Q3 - 2:38MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
4.3%
80
95.7%
Q3 - 2:53ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)70
3.8%
80
96.2%
Q3 - 2:53ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 269
3.7%
80
96.3%
Q3 - 3:02MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)69
4.1%
80
95.9%
Q3 - 3:02MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 269
4.4%
79
95.6%
Q3 - 3:21ORLFrancis 15' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)69
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q3 - 3:24ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)67
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q3 - 3:26ORLO'Neal BLOCK (4 BLK)67
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q3 - 3:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)67
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q3 - 3:28ORLMISS Francis Layup67
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q3 - 3:34ORLMagic Rebound67
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q3 - 3:35ORLO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)67
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q3 - 3:50MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)67
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q3 - 3:50MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)67
3.7%
78
96.3%
Q3 - 4:07ORLTurkoglu 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)67
4.2%
77
95.8%
Q3 - 4:23ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
3.6%
77
96.4%
Q3 - 4:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q3 - 4:25MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot65
3.4%
77
96.6%
Q3 - 4:27MIAMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot65
3.4%
77
96.6%
Q3 - 4:38ORLKasun Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)65
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q3 - 4:38ORLMISS Kasun Free Throw 1 of 264
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q3 - 4:51ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q3 - 4:53MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q3 - 5:11ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)64
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 5:11ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)63
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 5:32MIAWalker 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)62
2.4%
77
97.6%
Q3 - 5:53ORLStevenson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kasun 1 AST)62
3.2%
74
96.8%
Q3 - 6:12MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (23 PTS)60
2.9%
74
97.1%
Q3 - 6:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)60
3.4%
72
96.6%
Q3 - 6:22ORLMISS Kasun 10' Jump Shot60
3.6%
72
96.4%
Q3 - 6:40ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)60
4.0%
72
96.0%
Q3 - 6:42ORLMISS Turkoglu 19' Jump Shot60
3.6%
72
96.4%
Q3 - 7:00MIAWade 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS)60
4.0%
72
96.0%
Q3 - 7:14ORLKasun Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)60
4.8%
70
95.2%
Q3 - 7:14ORLKasun Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)59
4.6%
70
95.4%
Q3 - 7:28ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)58
4.2%
70
95.8%
Q3 - 7:29MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 258
4.1%
70
95.9%
Q3 - 7:29MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 258
3.9%
70
96.1%
Q3 - 7:45ORLStevenson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)58
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q3 - 8:01MIAHaslem Dunk (8 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)56
3.2%
70
96.8%
Q3 - 8:04MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)56
3.7%
68
96.3%
Q3 - 8:06ORLMISS Battie 20' Jump Shot56
3.9%
68
96.1%
Q3 - 8:09ORLMagic Rebound56
4.3%
68
95.7%
Q3 - 8:10ORLWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)56
3.9%
68
96.1%
Q3 - 8:22MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)56
4.3%
68
95.7%
Q3 - 8:38ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)56
5.6%
65
94.4%
Q3 - 8:54MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T7)54
5.0%
65
95.0%
Q3 - 9:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)54
4.3%
65
95.7%
Q3 - 9:05MIAMISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper54
4.8%
65
95.2%
Q3 - 9:24ORLBattie Dunk (6 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)54
4.3%
65
95.7%
Q3 - 9:42MIAWalker Driving Layup (9 PTS)52
3.8%
65
96.2%
Q3 - 10:03MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
4.4%
63
95.6%
Q3 - 10:05ORLMISS Battie Free Throw 2 of 252
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q3 - 10:05ORLMISS Battie Free Throw 1 of 252
4.8%
63
95.2%
Q3 - 10:12ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
5.1%
63
94.9%
Q3 - 10:13MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot52
4.8%
63
95.2%
Q3 - 10:22MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
4.4%
63
95.6%
Q3 - 10:24ORLO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)52
4.6%
63
95.4%
Q3 - 10:45ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
5.1%
63
94.9%
Q3 - 10:47MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot52
4.8%
63
95.2%
Q3 - 11:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)52
4.4%
63
95.6%
Q3 - 11:09ORLMISS Stevenson 14' Jump Shot52
4.6%
63
95.4%
Q3 - 11:29MIAO'Neal Layup (22 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)52
5.1%
63
94.9%
Q3 - 11:46ORLFrancis Foul Turnover (P3.T4)52
5.8%
61
94.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL52
6.6%
61
93.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWalker Layup (7 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)52
6.6%
61
93.4%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
7.9%
59
92.1%
Q2 - 0:07.0ORLMISS Francis Driving Layup52
8.1%
59
91.9%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS)52
8.6%
59
91.4%
Q2 - 0:40.0ORLHoward Tip Shot (10 PTS)52
10.0%
57
90.0%
Q2 - 0:41.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)50
8.6%
57
91.4%
Q2 - 0:42.0ORLMISS Howard Layup50
8.1%
57
91.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)50
8.6%
57
91.4%
Q2 - 0:52.0ORLMISS Dooling Free Throw 2 of 250
7.9%
57
92.1%
Q2 - 0:52.0ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)50
8.7%
57
91.3%
Q2 - 0:52.0ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
7.6%
57
92.4%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot49
7.4%
57
92.6%
Q2 - 1:10ORLAugmon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)49
7.3%
57
92.7%
Q2 - 1:10ORLAugmon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)48
7.1%
57
92.9%
Q2 - 1:27MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)47
6.1%
57
93.9%
Q2 - 1:27MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)47
6.2%
56
93.8%
Q2 - 1:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
7.2%
55
92.8%
Q2 - 1:28MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
7.6%
55
92.4%
Q2 - 1:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
7.2%
55
92.8%
Q2 - 1:46ORLMISS Dooling Driving Layup47
7.4%
55
92.6%
Q2 - 1:59MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T6)47
7.7%
55
92.3%
Q2 - 2:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
7.2%
55
92.8%
Q2 - 2:16ORLMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot47
7.5%
55
92.5%
Q2 - 2:39MIAO'Neal 7' Hook Shot (20 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)47
8.0%
55
92.0%
Q2 - 3:04ORLFrancis Driving Layup (9 PTS)47
9.1%
53
90.9%
Q2 - 3:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)45
8.3%
53
91.7%
Q2 - 3:19MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)45
8.4%
52
91.6%
Q2 - 3:29MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)45
9.1%
51
90.9%
Q2 - 3:31ORLMISS Garrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
9.4%
51
90.6%
Q2 - 3:49MIAO'Neal Dunk (18 PTS)45
10.3%
51
89.7%
Q2 - 4:05ORLDooling Driving Layup (8 PTS)45
11.3%
49
88.7%
Q2 - 4:18MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
10.2%
49
89.8%
Q2 - 4:18MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 243
10.3%
48
89.7%
Q2 - 4:27ORLTurkoglu 15' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)43
10.2%
48
89.8%
Q2 - 4:45ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
9.2%
48
90.8%
Q2 - 4:47MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 141
9.0%
48
91.0%
Q2 - 4:48MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)41
10.2%
46
89.8%
Q2 - 4:49MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot41
10.9%
46
89.1%
Q2 - 5:08ORLTurkoglu 6' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)41
10.1%
46
89.9%
Q2 - 5:25MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)39
9.2%
46
90.8%
Q2 - 5:25MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 239
9.6%
45
90.4%
Q2 - 5:36ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
9.1%
45
90.9%
Q2 - 5:36ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 238
8.9%
45
91.1%
Q2 - 5:49MIAAnderson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)38
9.2%
45
90.8%
Q2 - 6:05ORLPayton STEAL (1 STL)38
10.1%
43
89.9%
Q2 - 6:12ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
11.3%
43
88.7%
Q2 - 6:14ORLMISS Kasun Tip Shot38
10.4%
43
89.6%
Q2 - 6:15ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
11.3%
43
88.7%
Q2 - 6:17ORLMISS Kasun Layup38
10.4%
43
89.6%
Q2 - 6:35MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS)38
11.3%
43
88.7%
Q2 - 6:52ORLKasun Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)38
12.2%
41
87.8%
Q2 - 6:52ORLKasun Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
11.9%
41
88.1%
Q2 - 7:05MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)36
11.4%
41
88.6%
Q2 - 7:05MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 236
11.6%
40
88.4%
Q2 - 7:23ORLKasun Layup (2 PTS)36
11.3%
40
88.7%
Q2 - 7:26ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
10.4%
40
89.6%
Q2 - 7:28ORLMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot34
9.7%
40
90.3%
Q2 - 7:41MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T5)34
10.4%
40
89.6%
Q2 - 7:50ORLDooling Driving Layup (6 PTS)34
9.4%
40
90.6%
Q2 - 8:08ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
8.7%
40
91.3%
Q2 - 8:10MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 232
8.5%
40
91.5%
Q2 - 8:10MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)32
8.2%
40
91.8%
Q2 - 8:25MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
8.5%
39
91.5%
Q2 - 8:27ORLMISS Dooling 18' Jump Shot32
8.8%
39
91.2%
Q2 - 8:39MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)32
9.5%
39
90.5%
Q2 - 8:56ORLDooling 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
11.3%
36
88.7%
Q2 - 9:10MIAWalker Driving Layup (5 PTS)30
10.4%
36
89.6%
Q2 - 9:26ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
11.3%
34
88.7%
Q2 - 9:26ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
11.1%
34
88.9%
Q2 - 9:29MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)28
10.4%
34
89.6%
Q2 - 9:50ORLFrancis 16' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)28
9.4%
34
90.6%
Q2 - 10:02MIAWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T3)26
8.8%
34
91.2%
Q2 - 10:15ORLHoward 4' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)26
8.0%
34
92.0%
Q2 - 10:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)24
7.3%
34
92.7%
Q2 - 10:29MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
7.1%
34
92.9%
Q2 - 10:35MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
6.6%
34
93.4%
Q2 - 10:36ORLMISS Garrity 3PT Jump Shot24
6.8%
34
93.2%
Q2 - 10:55MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T2)24
7.3%
34
92.7%
Q2 - 11:09ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)24
6.6%
34
93.4%
Q2 - 11:09ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 223
6.5%
34
93.5%
Q2 - 11:20MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
6.6%
34
93.4%
Q2 - 11:20MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
6.8%
33
93.2%
Q2 - 11:20MIAHEAT Rebound23
7.3%
32
92.7%
Q2 - 11:20MIAMISS Mourning Layup23
7.7%
32
92.3%
Q2 - 11:37ORLHoward 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)23
7.3%
32
92.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL21
6.6%
32
93.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWilliams 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS)21
6.6%
32
93.4%
Q1 - 0:04.0ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
7.4%
30
92.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
7.3%
30
92.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)19
6.6%
30
93.4%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)19
6.7%
29
93.3%
Q1 - 0:46.0ORLHoward 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS)19
7.4%
28
92.6%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS)17
6.6%
28
93.4%
Q1 - 1:14ORLHoward Dunk (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)17
7.4%
26
92.6%
Q1 - 1:38MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)15
6.7%
26
93.3%
Q1 - 1:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)15
6.8%
25
93.2%
Q1 - 1:42ORLHill Driving Layup (2 PTS)15
7.4%
24
92.6%
Q1 - 2:02MIAWalker Layup (3 PTS)13
6.8%
24
93.2%
Q1 - 2:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
7.4%
22
92.6%
Q1 - 2:09ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup13
7.6%
22
92.4%
Q1 - 2:26MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T1)13
8.0%
22
92.0%
Q1 - 2:37ORLFrancis Driving Layup (2 PTS)13
7.4%
22
92.6%
Q1 - 2:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
6.7%
22
93.3%
Q1 - 2:53MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 211
6.7%
22
93.3%
Q1 - 2:53MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
6.4%
22
93.6%
Q1 - 3:12ORLFrancis Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)11
6.9%
21
93.1%
Q1 - 3:23ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
7.5%
21
92.5%
Q1 - 3:25MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
7.3%
21
92.7%
Q1 - 3:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
6.9%
21
93.1%
Q1 - 3:38ORLMISS Kasun 14' Jump Shot11
7.1%
21
92.9%
Q1 - 3:56MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
7.5%
21
92.5%
Q1 - 4:05MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
8.0%
19
92.0%
Q1 - 4:07ORLO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)11
8.2%
19
91.8%
Q1 - 4:25ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
8.8%
19
91.2%
Q1 - 4:27ORLMISS Dooling Reverse Layup11
8.3%
19
91.7%
Q1 - 4:48MIAO'Neal Dunk (9 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)11
8.8%
19
91.2%
Q1 - 4:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
9.4%
17
90.6%
Q1 - 4:55ORLMISS Dooling 18' Jump Shot11
9.7%
17
90.3%
Q1 - 5:07MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)11
10.2%
17
89.8%
Q1 - 5:07MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 211
10.6%
16
89.4%
Q1 - 5:21ORLBattie 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)11
10.2%
16
89.8%
Q1 - 5:41MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS)9
9.5%
16
90.5%
Q1 - 5:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)9
10.2%
14
89.8%
Q1 - 5:57MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot9
10.8%
14
89.2%
Q1 - 6:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
10.2%
14
89.8%
Q1 - 6:09ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
10.5%
14
89.5%
Q1 - 6:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
11.0%
14
89.0%
Q1 - 6:20MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot9
10.8%
14
89.2%
Q1 - 6:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
10.2%
14
89.8%
Q1 - 6:42ORLMISS Francis 20' Jump Shot9
10.5%
14
89.5%
Q1 - 7:06ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
11.1%
14
88.9%
Q1 - 7:07ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 29
10.4%
14
89.6%
Q1 - 7:07ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 29
10.8%
14
89.2%
Q1 - 7:22MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)9
11.1%
14
88.9%
Q1 - 7:44ORLBattie 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)9
11.8%
12
88.2%
Q1 - 7:56ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
11.1%
12
88.9%
Q1 - 7:58MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot7
10.8%
12
89.2%
Q1 - 8:13ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)7
10.1%
12
89.9%
Q1 - 8:29MIAHaslem Layup (3 PTS)4
8.9%
12
91.1%
Q1 - 8:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
9.5%
10
90.5%
Q1 - 8:32MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot4
10.0%
10
90.0%
Q1 - 8:41ORLWalker STEAL (1 STL)4
9.5%
10
90.5%
Q1 - 8:55MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)4
10.2%
10
89.8%
Q1 - 9:08MIAHEAT Rebound4
11.4%
7
88.6%
Q1 - 9:09MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot4
12.1%
7
87.9%
Q1 - 9:24ORLStevenson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)4
11.4%
7
88.6%
Q1 - 9:41MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
10.9%
7
89.1%
Q1 - 9:41MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 22
11.0%
6
89.0%
Q1 - 9:44MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
10.7%
6
89.3%
Q1 - 9:46ORLMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot2
11.0%
6
89.0%
Q1 - 10:07MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS)2
11.5%
6
88.5%
Q1 - 10:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
12.2%
4
87.8%
Q1 - 10:11MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
12.9%
4
87.1%
Q1 - 10:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.2%
4
87.8%
Q1 - 10:24ORLMISS Howard 8' Hook Shot2
12.5%
4
87.5%
Q1 - 10:40MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
13.2%
4
86.8%
Q1 - 10:40MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 22
13.3%
3
86.7%
Q1 - 10:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
13.0%
3
87.0%
Q1 - 10:55ORLMISS Battie 13' Jump Shot2
13.3%
3
86.7%
Q1 - 11:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
13.9%
3
86.1%
Q1 - 11:10MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot2
13.6%
3
86.4%
Q1 - 11:22ORLTurkoglu 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
13.1%
3
86.9%
Q1 - 11:45MIAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)0
12.2%
3
87.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Howard: Tip to Williams0
13.9%
0
86.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.91 45.6%
MIA
1.26 62.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
17
31
55%
MIA
21
24
88%
Midrange
ORL
14
42
33%
MIA
12
27
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
2
3.0
8
25%
38%
MIA
3
4.5
11
27%
41%
Free Throws
ORL
25
37
68%
MIA
32
47
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Francis1550%7.5 / 15
H. Turkoglu1568%7.5 / 11
K. Dooling1544%7.5 / 17
D. Howard1338%6.5 / 17
G. Hill1250%6.0 / 12
M. Kasun945%4.5 / 10
T. Battie643%3.0 / 7
D. Stevenson675%3.0 / 4
S. Augmon2100%1.0 / 1
P. Garrity0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3873%19.0 / 26
S. O'Neal2569%12.5 / 18
A. Walker1267%6.0 / 9
U. Haslem1050%5.0 / 10
J. Williams1056%5.0 / 9
A. Mourning650%3.0 / 6
G. Payton250%1.0 / 2
S. Anderson2100%1.0 / 1
M. Doleac2100%1.0 / 1
J. Kapono0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
84
+16
-7
100
MIA
72
+12
-19
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.91 45.6%
MIA
1.26 62.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
108.0
ORL 102.2
MIA 117.6 +15.4
Pace
88.1
92.2
ORL 86.2
MIA 96.4 +10.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.6
15.9
ORL 16.7
MIA 14.9 +1.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
51.7%
ORL 42.0%
MIA 60.5% +18.5%
TO %
16.2%
15.0%
ORL 6.7% +12.8%
MIA 19.5%
ORB %
28.6%
26.8%
ORL 27.5%
MIA 32.1% +4.6%
FTrt
36.9
36.3
ORL 45.7
MIA 75.8 +30.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.4%
55.7%
ORL 39.4%
MIA 44.4% +5.0%
STL %
7.3%
6.9%
ORL 8.8% +4.4%
MIA 4.4%
BLK %
7.2%
8.5%
ORL 2.0%
MIA 8.2% +6.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.5%
53.9%
ORL 45.6%
MIA 62.9% +17.3%
Rim FG%
57.7%
64.2%
ORL 54.8%
MIA 87.5% +32.7%
Mid FG%
41.0%
38.9%
ORL 33.3%
MIA 44.4% +11.1%
3P %
37.6%
34.5%
ORL 25.0%
MIA 27.3% +2.3%
FT %
73.0%
70.0%
ORL 67.6%
MIA 68.1% +0.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.9%
39.3%
ORL 38.3%
MIA 38.7% +0.4%
Mid Att. %
47.2%
38.0%
ORL 51.9%
MIA 43.5% +8.3%
3P Att. %
12.9%
22.7%
ORL 9.9%
MIA 17.7% +7.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points93107
Rebounds3346
Assists1316
Steals84
Blocks16
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)19 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (2)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)19 (0)37 (1)
Field Goals33-8136-62
At-the-Rim FG17-3121-24
Midrange FG14-4212-27
2-Point FG31-7333-51
3-Point FG2-83-11
Free Throws25-3732-47
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 265 · 20
37.3
13
38%
13
0
0
1
0
2
5
8
1-4
25%
6-15
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 210 · 29
37.0
15
50%
4
5
1
0
4
4
3
1
7-8
88%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 27
30.8
15
68%
1
3
0
0
1
4
1
0
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
2-3
67%
C · 6'11" 240 · 30
16.1
6
43%
1
0
0
0
0
5
0
1
0-2
0%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 218 · 25
13.8
6
75%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 26
31.4
15
44%
2
0
3
0
1
5
1
1
5-6
83%
5-14
36%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 238 · 29
24.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-5
0%
F · 6'8" 225 · 33
20.0
12
50%
4
3
3
0
0
3
2
2
4-7
57%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 260 · 26
15.5
9
45%
6
1
0
0
0
5
2
4
5-6
83%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 38
11.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 24
1.6
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 221 · 27
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#14 · G · 6'0" 190 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · C · 6'11" 275 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · F · 6'8" 220 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
46%
33
13
8
1
7
0
14
19
25-37
68%
31-73
42%
2-8
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.