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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 14, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Magic20%8993
5Heat80%100107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.2
37.3
39.9
13
39%
13
0
0
1
1
0
5
8
1-4
25%
6-15
6-11
40%
51%
0-0
-
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.0
37.0
35.6
15
52%
4
5
1
1
0
4
3
1
7-8
88%
4-11
4-10
36%
44%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 26.9
30.8
34.9
15
69%
1
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
4-7
4-9
57%
44%
2-3
67%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.0
16.1
26.5
6
44%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 24.9
13.8
34.4
6
75%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
4-10
75%
45%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.8
31.4
18.8
15
45%
2
0
3
1
0
1
1
1
5-6
83%
5-14
3-6
36%
43%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 29.5
24.2
22.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-5
0%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 33.4
20.0
15.1
12
50%
4
3
3
1
0
0
2
2
4-7
57%
4-9
3-6
44%
48%
0-0
-
Mario Kasun
C · 7'1" 260 · 25.9
15.5
2.8
9
47%
6
1
0
0
0
0
2
4
5-6
83%
2-7
0-1
29%
48%
0-0
-
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 37.5
11.8
5.4
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.0
1.6
3.6
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Terence Morris
F · 6'9" 221 · 27.1
0.6
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 24.0
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 31.5
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.7
41.8
30.7
10
52%
14
1
0
1
0
3
4
10
4-6
67%
3-7
4-8
43%
53%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.1
40.2
38.1
38
73%
5
3
0
2
0
2
1
4
12-14
86%
13-20
9-17
65%
52%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.5
38.7
22.1
12
68%
6
3
1
1
1
3
0
6
1-2
50%
4-4
2-5
100%
48%
1-4
25%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.2
31.4
22.9
10
56%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
2-6
33%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 33.9
30.5
31.5
25
69%
11
3
0
0
4
4
3
8
7-14
50%
9-12
8-14
75%
59%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.6
23.9
28.5
2
50%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.0
14.6
13.6
6
49%
4
0
0
0
1
3
0
4
4-7
57%
1-3
2-3
33%
55%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.1
12.8
15.1
2
100%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.7
2.9
5.6
2
114%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.0
1.6
5.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.2
1.6
2.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.9
5.0
0
1-1
52%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.1
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24.5
Gerald Fitch
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.