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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 15, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs62%93100
1776ers38%89103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.8
43.3
34.5
23
54%
4
5
0
1
0
5
0
4
3-3
100%
10-19
7-13
53%
53%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.8
40.9
32.6
19
50%
15
3
1
1
2
6
4
11
5-9
56%
7-15
7-14
47%
50%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.7
34.4
33.5
6
150%
2
2
2
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
2-2
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.6
34.1
30.3
12
31%
1
8
1
2
0
1
0
1
6-8
75%
3-13
4-8
23%
52%
0-3
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.7
26.1
20.5
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.4
36.5
18.4
18
77%
20
1
2
0
2
6
9
11
4-4
100%
7-10
2-5
70%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.9
29.8
19.3
12
47%
8
0
2
0
0
0
1
7
3-4
75%
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
1-5
20%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.2
18.9
14.2
8
50%
1
3
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
2-5
40%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.5
1.0
7.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.1
0.2
8.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 30.9
8.1
0
1-2
52%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.6
6.9
0
1-2
48%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 30.7
51.3
37.3
42
52%
8
9
2
2
0
4
1
7
8-8
100%
17-37
8-19
46%
44%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.1
42.5
37.1
16
62%
7
3
3
2
0
2
2
5
1-2
50%
6-11
3-6
55%
53%
1-1
100%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.0
39.1
36.8
21
46%
6
2
5
1
1
4
0
6
8-11
73%
5-16
7-17
31%
43%
1-2
50%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 25.8
38.1
29.0
4
67%
8
0
0
1
5
1
0
8
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.1
16.8
14.2
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
38%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 26.2
33.1
23.0
10
56%
1
4
5
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
44%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 24.9
17.0
27.5
6
61%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
41%
1-1
100%
Michael Bradley
F · 6'10" 245 · 26.8
13.9
6.5
0
0%
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 22.2
6.9
8.2
2
50%
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.3
6.3
13.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 25.9
5.9
0
1-1
45%
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 30.8
1.4
0
0-0
43%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 19.3
Jamal Mashburn
F · 6'8" 247 · 33.2
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.