FinalWin Prob.pScore
564%96
110
2636%92
100
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
118.39391.2
ORL logo ORL
107.59394.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA110
100%
100
0%
Q4 - 0:08.0ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)110
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)110
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)110
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0ORLMISS Stevenson 27' 3PT Jump Shot110
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (36 PTS)110
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (35 PTS)109
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)108
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)108
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)108
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0ORLMISS Stevenson 14' Jump Shot108
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)108
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)107
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0ORLFrancis Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)106
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAPayton 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)106
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:05ORLStevenson 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)103
99.3%
96
0.7%
Q4 - 1:20MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)103
99.4%
94
0.6%
Q4 - 1:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)102
99.3%
94
0.7%
Q4 - 1:34ORLBattie Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Stevenson 5 AST)101
98.7%
94
1.3%
Q4 - 1:55MIAPayton 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)101
99.0%
92
1.0%
Q4 - 2:13ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)98
97.5%
92
2.5%
Q4 - 2:13ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)98
97.8%
91
2.2%
Q4 - 2:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)98
98.1%
90
1.9%
Q4 - 2:16ORLMISS Francis 18' Jump Shot98
98.8%
90
1.2%
Q4 - 2:28ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)98
98.1%
90
1.9%
Q4 - 2:30MIAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot98
98.5%
90
1.5%
Q4 - 2:53ORLBattie 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Francis 6 AST)98
98.5%
90
1.5%
Q4 - 3:01ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)98
98.9%
88
1.1%
Q4 - 3:03ORLMISS Dooling 27' 3PT Jump Shot98
99.2%
88
0.8%
Q4 - 3:09ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)98
98.9%
88
1.1%
Q4 - 3:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)98
99.4%
88
0.6%
Q4 - 3:11MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot98
99.1%
88
0.9%
Q4 - 3:13MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot98
99.1%
88
0.9%
Q4 - 3:31ORLStevenson Dunk (12 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)98
98.7%
88
1.3%
Q4 - 3:35MIAFrancis STEAL (1 STL)98
99.1%
86
0.9%
Q4 - 3:51ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)98
99.4%
86
0.6%
Q4 - 3:59MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P3.T17)98
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 4:06MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 4:08ORLMISS Francis Layup98
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 4:18ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)98
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 4:19MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper98
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 4:34ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)98
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 4:34ORLHoward Tip Shot (14 PTS)98
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 4:35ORLMISS Francis Layup98
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 4:49MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (30 PTS)98
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 5:13ORLStevenson Dunk (10 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)96
99.7%
81
0.3%
Q4 - 5:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)96
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 5:19MIAMISS Walker Layup96
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 5:43ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)96
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 5:43ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)96
99.8%
78
0.2%
Q4 - 5:43ORLMAGIC Rebound96
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 5:43MIAMISS Payton 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 6:04ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)96
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 6:04ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 296
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 6:26MIAWalker 11' Running Jump Shot (26 PTS)96
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 6:52ORLDooling Dunk (6 PTS) (Stevenson 4 AST)94
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 6:56ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
99.8%
74
0.2%
Q4 - 6:58MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 7:13ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)94
99.8%
74
0.2%
Q4 - 7:13ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)94
99.8%
73
0.2%
Q4 - 7:30MIAKapono 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)94
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 7:45ORLBattie Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)92
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 7:45ORLBattie Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)92
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 7:58MIAWalker 4' Running Jump Shot (24 PTS)92
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 8:16MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
99.7%
70
0.3%
Q4 - 8:19ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 190
99.7%
70
0.3%
Q4 - 8:20ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)90
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 8:22MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot90
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 8:49ORLGarrity 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)90
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 9:09MIAGarrity STEAL (2 STL)90
99.8%
65
0.2%
Q4 - 9:27ORLStevenson 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)90
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 9:38ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 9:39MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 290
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 9:39MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)90
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 9:57ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Stevenson 3 AST)89
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 10:07MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (28 PTS)89
99.9%
60
0.1%
Q4 - 10:10ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)86
99.9%
60
0.1%
Q4 - 10:18ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)86
99.8%
60
0.2%
Q4 - 10:18ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)86
99.8%
60
0.2%
Q4 - 10:18ORLMISS Battie Tip Shot86
99.9%
60
0.1%
Q4 - 10:19ORLMISS Francis 17' Jump Shot86
99.9%
60
0.1%
Q4 - 10:31MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)86
99.8%
60
0.2%
Q4 - 10:31MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 285
99.8%
60
0.2%
Q4 - 10:42ORLGarrity Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)85
99.8%
60
0.2%
Q4 - 10:42ORLMISS Garrity Free Throw 1 of 285
99.8%
59
0.2%
Q4 - 11:06MIAWalker 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)85
99.8%
59
0.2%
Q4 - 11:21MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
99.7%
59
0.3%
Q4 - 11:24ORLMISS Battie 9' Turnaround Jump Shot82
99.6%
59
0.4%
Q4 - 11:47MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)82
99.6%
59
0.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA80
99.5%
59
0.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound80
99.5%
59
0.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Kasun Layup80
99.3%
59
0.7%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAWalker 27' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)80
99.2%
59
0.8%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)77
98.8%
59
1.2%
Q3 - 0:38.0ORLMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot77
98.7%
59
1.3%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAPayton Finger Roll (7 PTS)77
98.5%
59
1.5%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
98.2%
59
1.8%
Q3 - 1:01ORLMISS Hill 12' Turnaround Jump Shot75
97.8%
59
2.2%
Q3 - 1:23MIAPayton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)75
97.5%
59
2.5%
Q3 - 1:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)72
96.3%
59
3.7%
Q3 - 1:37MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 272
95.7%
59
4.3%
Q3 - 1:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)72
96.2%
59
3.8%
Q3 - 1:50ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)71
95.6%
59
4.4%
Q3 - 1:50ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)71
95.7%
58
4.3%
Q3 - 1:54MIAHoward STEAL (2 STL)71
96.3%
57
3.7%
Q3 - 2:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)71
96.5%
57
3.5%
Q3 - 2:10ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 271
96.4%
57
3.6%
Q3 - 2:10ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)71
96.0%
57
4.0%
Q3 - 2:21MIAWade Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T14)71
96.5%
56
3.5%
Q3 - 2:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)71
97.1%
56
2.9%
Q3 - 2:26MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
96.7%
56
3.3%
Q3 - 2:37ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)71
97.1%
56
2.9%
Q3 - 2:37ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)71
97.2%
55
2.8%
Q3 - 2:44MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)71
97.6%
54
2.4%
Q3 - 2:44MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 270
97.4%
54
2.6%
Q3 - 3:03ORLDooling 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS)70
97.3%
54
2.7%
Q3 - 3:18MIAWade Dunk (23 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)70
97.7%
52
2.3%
Q3 - 3:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)68
97.3%
52
2.7%
Q3 - 3:22ORLMISS Hill 16' Jump Shot68
97.2%
52
2.8%
Q3 - 3:30ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
96.8%
52
3.2%
Q3 - 3:32MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot68
97.0%
52
3.0%
Q3 - 3:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)68
97.3%
52
2.7%
Q3 - 3:41ORLMISS Kasun 4' Hook Shot68
97.2%
52
2.8%
Q3 - 4:02MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 6 AST)68
96.4%
52
3.6%
Q3 - 4:20ORLTurkoglu Driving Dunk (11 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)65
95.2%
52
4.8%
Q3 - 4:25ORLMAGIC Rebound65
95.8%
50
4.2%
Q3 - 4:26ORLMISS Kasun Layup65
96.3%
50
3.7%
Q3 - 4:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)65
95.8%
50
4.2%
Q3 - 4:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)64
95.7%
50
4.3%
Q3 - 4:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
95.2%
50
4.8%
Q3 - 4:57ORLMISS Francis 11' Jump Shot63
94.9%
50
5.1%
Q3 - 5:23MIAWade Layup (19 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)63
93.8%
50
6.2%
Q3 - 5:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)61
92.9%
50
7.1%
Q3 - 5:28ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Running Jump Shot61
92.5%
50
7.5%
Q3 - 5:39ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
91.6%
50
8.4%
Q3 - 5:41ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup61
92.5%
50
7.5%
Q3 - 5:59MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)61
91.6%
50
8.4%
Q3 - 6:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)59
89.8%
50
10.2%
Q3 - 6:18ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 259
89.6%
50
10.4%
Q3 - 6:18ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
88.5%
50
11.5%
Q3 - 6:38ORLMAGIC Rebound59
89.8%
49
10.2%
Q3 - 6:41ORLMISS Turkoglu Layup59
90.8%
49
9.2%
Q3 - 6:46ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
89.8%
49
10.2%
Q3 - 6:48MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
90.2%
49
9.8%
Q3 - 6:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
91.2%
49
8.8%
Q3 - 6:55ORLMISS Stevenson Driving Layup59
90.8%
49
9.2%
Q3 - 7:09ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
89.0%
49
11.0%
Q3 - 7:11ORLMISS Francis 3PT Jump Shot59
90.2%
49
9.8%
Q3 - 7:33ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
89.1%
49
10.9%
Q3 - 7:35MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 159
89.3%
49
10.7%
Q3 - 7:50ORLBattie 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)57
87.7%
49
12.3%
Q3 - 7:52ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
89.1%
47
10.9%
Q3 - 7:54ORLMISS Battie 19' Jump Shot57
90.2%
47
9.8%
Q3 - 8:09ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
88.9%
47
11.1%
Q3 - 8:12MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
89.4%
47
10.6%
Q3 - 8:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
90.5%
47
9.5%
Q3 - 8:29ORLMISS Battie 19' Jump Shot57
90.1%
47
9.9%
Q3 - 8:44MIAWalker 27' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (O'Neal 5 AST)57
88.9%
47
11.1%
Q3 - 8:59ORLFrancis Dunk (8 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)54
85.8%
47
14.2%
Q3 - 9:14MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T13)54
87.1%
45
12.9%
Q3 - 9:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
88.7%
45
11.3%
Q3 - 9:16MIAMISS Wade Layup54
87.6%
45
12.4%
Q3 - 9:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
88.7%
45
11.3%
Q3 - 9:25ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
88.3%
45
11.7%
Q3 - 9:38ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
87.1%
45
12.9%
Q3 - 9:39MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot54
87.6%
45
12.4%
Q3 - 9:53ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)54
88.7%
45
11.3%
Q3 - 10:03MIABattie STEAL (1 STL)54
86.9%
45
13.1%
Q3 - 10:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
88.6%
45
11.4%
Q3 - 10:20ORLMISS Francis 19' Jump Shot54
88.1%
45
11.9%
Q3 - 10:45MIAWilliams 6' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)54
86.9%
45
13.1%
Q3 - 10:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
85.4%
45
14.6%
Q3 - 10:52ORLMISS Stevenson 18' Jump Shot52
84.8%
45
15.2%
Q3 - 11:08ORLMAGIC Rebound52
83.4%
45
16.6%
Q3 - 11:09ORLMISS Stevenson 20' Jump Shot52
84.7%
45
15.3%
Q3 - 11:24MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)52
83.4%
45
16.6%
Q3 - 11:24MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 251
83.1%
45
16.9%
Q3 - 11:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
83.5%
45
16.5%
Q3 - 11:37ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Turnaround Jump Shot51
82.9%
45
17.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL51
81.4%
45
18.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound51
81.4%
45
18.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Stevenson 55' 3PT Jump Shot51
82.9%
45
17.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
81.4%
45
18.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot51
81.8%
45
18.2%
Q2 - 0:25.0ORLTurkoglu 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)51
82.8%
45
17.2%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIADoleac Foul Turnover (P1.T11)51
85.1%
43
14.9%
Q2 - 1:03ORLStevenson Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)51
85.7%
43
14.3%
Q2 - 1:06ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
87.9%
41
12.1%
Q2 - 1:08MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot51
88.1%
41
11.9%
Q2 - 1:23ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)51
88.6%
41
11.4%
Q2 - 1:23ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 251
89.0%
40
11.0%
Q2 - 1:39MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)51
89.2%
40
10.8%
Q2 - 1:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)50
89.0%
40
11.0%
Q2 - 1:43MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
87.3%
40
12.7%
Q2 - 1:45ORLMISS Turkoglu 14' Jump Shot49
87.0%
40
13.0%
Q2 - 1:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
86.5%
40
13.5%
Q2 - 2:00MIAMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot49
86.7%
40
13.3%
Q2 - 2:11ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)49
87.2%
40
12.8%
Q2 - 2:11ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 249
87.6%
39
12.4%
Q2 - 2:26MIAWade Dunk (13 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)49
87.3%
39
12.7%
Q2 - 2:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
85.7%
39
14.3%
Q2 - 2:40ORLMISS Francis 17' Jump Shot47
85.3%
39
14.7%
Q2 - 2:50ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
84.3%
39
15.7%
Q2 - 2:52MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 247
84.5%
39
15.5%
Q2 - 2:52MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 247
85.2%
39
14.8%
Q2 - 3:04MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)47
85.4%
39
14.6%
Q2 - 3:07ORLMISS Francis 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
84.9%
39
15.1%
Q2 - 3:29MIAHaslem Tip Shot (9 PTS)47
83.7%
39
16.3%
Q2 - 3:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
82.2%
39
17.8%
Q2 - 3:34MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot45
80.8%
39
19.2%
Q2 - 3:46ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
82.2%
39
17.8%
Q2 - 3:46ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)45
82.5%
38
17.5%
Q2 - 3:49MIAGarrity STEAL (1 STL)45
83.7%
37
16.3%
Q2 - 4:01MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)45
85.0%
37
15.0%
Q2 - 4:04ORLMISS Hill 22' Jump Shot45
84.6%
37
15.4%
Q2 - 4:18MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)45
83.5%
37
16.5%
Q2 - 4:31ORLGarrity Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)42
80.1%
37
19.9%
Q2 - 4:31ORLGarrity Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)42
80.3%
36
19.7%
Q2 - 4:31ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
81.9%
35
18.1%
Q2 - 4:32ORLMISS Howard 4' Hook Shot42
83.0%
35
17.0%
Q2 - 4:47MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)42
81.9%
35
18.1%
Q2 - 5:01MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
83.5%
35
16.5%
Q2 - 5:02ORLMISS Hill 7' Jump Shot42
83.0%
35
17.0%
Q2 - 5:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
81.7%
35
18.3%
Q2 - 5:15MIAMISS Wade Layup42
82.3%
35
17.7%
Q2 - 5:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
83.5%
35
16.5%
Q2 - 5:18MIAMISS Wade Layup42
82.3%
35
17.7%
Q2 - 5:37ORLHill Driving Layup (3 PTS)42
83.5%
35
16.5%
Q2 - 5:57ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
84.9%
33
15.1%
Q2 - 5:58MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
85.3%
33
14.7%
Q2 - 6:10MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)42
86.2%
33
13.8%
Q2 - 6:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)42
86.2%
33
13.8%
Q2 - 6:11MIAMISS O'Neal Tip Shot42
85.1%
33
14.9%
Q2 - 6:13MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot42
85.1%
33
14.9%
Q2 - 6:28ORLTurkoglu Backcourt Turnover (P2.T10)42
86.2%
33
13.8%
Q2 - 6:38ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw Technical42
84.6%
33
15.4%
Q2 - 6:53MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)42
84.6%
33
15.4%
Q2 - 7:12ORLFrancis Layup (4 PTS)42
85.7%
33
14.3%
Q2 - 7:15MIAHoward STEAL (1 STL)42
86.9%
31
13.1%
Q2 - 7:29ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)42
88.1%
31
11.9%
Q2 - 7:29ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)42
88.3%
30
11.7%
Q2 - 7:52MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)42
89.1%
29
10.9%
Q2 - 8:09ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
86.7%
29
13.3%
Q2 - 8:09ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
87.1%
28
12.9%
Q2 - 8:20MIAKapono Foul Turnover (P1.T6)39
87.7%
27
12.3%
Q2 - 8:29ORLFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)39
88.9%
27
11.1%
Q2 - 8:45MIAMourning 3' Layup (2 PTS)39
87.7%
27
12.3%
Q2 - 9:00ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)37
86.7%
27
13.3%
Q2 - 9:00ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 237
86.9%
26
13.1%
Q2 - 9:11MIAKapono 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)37
86.3%
26
13.7%
Q2 - 9:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
85.2%
26
14.8%
Q2 - 9:23ORLMISS Francis 16' Jump Shot35
84.8%
26
15.2%
Q2 - 9:53MIAHaslem Dunk (7 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)35
83.7%
26
16.3%
Q2 - 10:01ORLDooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)33
82.1%
26
17.9%
Q2 - 10:03ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
80.4%
26
19.6%
Q2 - 10:04MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot33
81.0%
26
19.0%
Q2 - 10:16MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
82.2%
26
17.8%
Q2 - 10:17ORLMISS Dooling Layup33
81.7%
26
18.3%
Q2 - 10:21MIADooling STEAL (1 STL)33
80.5%
26
19.5%
Q2 - 10:23ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)33
82.2%
26
17.8%
Q2 - 10:23ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
80.5%
26
19.5%
Q2 - 10:23ORLMISS Kasun Layup33
81.7%
26
18.3%
Q2 - 10:54MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)33
80.5%
26
19.5%
Q2 - 11:10ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)33
81.9%
26
18.1%
Q2 - 11:10ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)33
82.1%
25
17.9%
Q2 - 11:35MIAPayton Layup (2 PTS)33
83.3%
24
16.7%
Q2 - 11:52ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
81.9%
24
18.1%
Q2 - 11:52ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
82.2%
23
17.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL31
83.3%
22
16.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAAnderson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)31
83.3%
22
16.7%
Q1 - 0:16.0ORLKasun Layup (2 PTS) (Augmon 1 AST)29
81.4%
22
18.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)29
83.1%
20
16.9%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)28
82.9%
20
17.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
81.4%
20
18.6%
Q1 - 0:38.0ORLMISS Stevenson Driving Layup27
81.1%
20
18.9%
Q1 - 0:47.0ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
80.3%
20
19.7%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper27
80.7%
20
19.3%
Q1 - 1:02ORLBattie 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)27
81.4%
20
18.6%
Q1 - 1:21MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)27
83.1%
18
16.9%
Q1 - 1:34ORLBattie 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)25
81.4%
18
18.6%
Q1 - 1:51MIAAugmon STEAL (1 STL)25
83.1%
16
16.9%
Q1 - 2:08ORLAugmon 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
84.3%
16
15.7%
Q1 - 2:25ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
85.6%
14
14.4%
Q1 - 2:28MIABattie BLOCK (1 BLK)25
85.9%
14
14.1%
Q1 - 2:54MIAHaslem Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)25
86.6%
14
13.4%
Q1 - 3:03ORLStevenson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)24
85.1%
14
14.9%
Q1 - 3:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)24
83.8%
14
16.2%
Q1 - 3:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)21
81.4%
14
18.6%
Q1 - 3:19MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot21
80.3%
14
19.7%
Q1 - 3:45ORLBattie 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)21
81.4%
14
18.6%
Q1 - 4:01MIAWade Dunk (4 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)21
82.5%
12
17.5%
Q1 - 4:06ORLStevenson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)19
81.4%
12
18.6%
Q1 - 4:27MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)19
79.8%
12
20.2%
Q1 - 4:32MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)17
78.6%
12
21.4%
Q1 - 4:33ORLMISS Stevenson 20' Jump Shot17
78.0%
12
22.0%
Q1 - 4:46MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)17
76.7%
12
23.3%
Q1 - 4:58ORLBattie 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)17
78.6%
12
21.4%
Q1 - 5:13MIAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)17
79.6%
10
20.4%
Q1 - 5:34ORLStevenson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Battie 1 AST)14
76.9%
10
23.1%
Q1 - 5:48ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
78.2%
8
21.8%
Q1 - 5:50MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot14
78.7%
8
21.3%
Q1 - 6:05ORLStevenson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)14
79.3%
8
20.7%
Q1 - 6:21MIAWalker Driving Layup (4 PTS)14
80.5%
6
19.5%
Q1 - 6:35MIAHeat Rebound12
79.3%
6
20.7%
Q1 - 6:35ORLMISS Francis Layup12
78.9%
6
21.1%
Q1 - 6:39ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
77.9%
6
22.1%
Q1 - 6:41MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
78.3%
6
21.7%
Q1 - 6:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
79.3%
6
20.7%
Q1 - 6:56ORLMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot12
78.9%
6
21.1%
Q1 - 7:19MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)12
77.5%
6
22.5%
Q1 - 7:35ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
76.4%
6
23.6%
Q1 - 7:35ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
76.8%
5
23.2%
Q1 - 7:38ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
77.6%
4
22.4%
Q1 - 7:39ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
78.6%
4
21.4%
Q1 - 7:46ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
77.6%
4
22.4%
Q1 - 7:47MIAMISS O'Neal Layup10
78.0%
4
22.0%
Q1 - 7:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)10
79.0%
4
21.0%
Q1 - 7:52MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot10
78.0%
4
22.0%
Q1 - 8:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
79.4%
4
20.6%
Q1 - 8:09ORLMISS Francis 13' Fadeaway Jumper10
79.0%
4
21.0%
Q1 - 8:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
78.0%
4
22.0%
Q1 - 8:22MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 110
78.2%
4
21.8%
Q1 - 8:38ORLTurkoglu 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)8
76.8%
4
23.2%
Q1 - 8:54MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
77.9%
2
22.1%
Q1 - 9:11ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)6
76.8%
2
23.2%
Q1 - 9:25MIAO'Neal Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)6
75.0%
2
25.0%
Q1 - 9:27MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
74.0%
2
26.0%
Q1 - 9:29MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot4
72.7%
2
27.3%
Q1 - 9:48ORLTurkoglu Foul Turnover (P1.T3)4
74.0%
2
26.0%
Q1 - 10:09MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
72.2%
2
27.8%
Q1 - 10:13ORLFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
73.8%
2
26.2%
Q1 - 10:32MIAWalker 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
72.1%
2
27.9%
Q1 - 10:47ORLTurkoglu 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)2
70.8%
2
29.2%
Q1 - 11:03MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
72.3%
0
27.7%
Q1 - 11:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
70.7%
0
29.3%
Q1 - 11:15MIAMISS O'Neal Layup0
69.7%
0
30.3%
Q1 - 11:31ORLStevenson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
70.7%
0
29.3%
Q1 - 11:42ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
69.3%
0
30.7%
Q1 - 11:44MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Hook Shot0
69.7%
0
30.3%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. O'Neal: Tip to Williams0
70.7%
0
29.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.25 62.5%
ORL
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
30
67%
ORL
13
27
48%
Midrange
MIA
10
23
43%
ORL
15
38
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
21
48%
71%
ORL
2
3.0
9
22%
33%
Free Throws
MIA
20
29
69%
ORL
38
47
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3667%18.0 / 27
A. Walker2676%13.0 / 17
G. Payton1381%6.5 / 8
U. Haslem1255%6.0 / 11
S. O'Neal735%3.5 / 10
J. Williams536%2.5 / 7
A. Mourning583%2.5 / 3
J. Kapono4100%2.0 / 2
S. Anderson2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard1667%8.0 / 12
T. Battie1667%8.0 / 12
H. Turkoglu1450%7.0 / 14
D. Stevenson1447%7.0 / 15
S. Francis1233%6.0 / 18
K. Dooling1169%5.5 / 8
G. Hill744%3.5 / 8
P. Garrity6100%3.0 / 3
M. Kasun220%1.0 / 5
S. Augmon2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+12
-18
87
ORL
81
+17
-12
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.25 62.5%
ORL
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
106.6
MIA 118.3 +10.8
ORL 107.5
Pace
92.2
88.1
MIA 91.2
ORL 94.8 +3.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.6
MIA 15.8
ORL 15.2 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
49.6%
MIA 60.8% +18.9%
ORL 41.9%
TO %
15.0%
16.2%
MIA 17.2%
ORL 12.1% +5.1%
ORB %
26.8%
28.6%
MIA 31.6%
ORL 31.7% +0.1%
FTrt
36.3
36.9
MIA 39.2
ORL 63.5 +24.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.7%
51.4%
MIA 65.0%
ORL 70.0% +5.0%
STL %
6.9%
7.3%
MIA 4.3%
ORL 8.6% +4.3%
BLK %
8.5%
7.2%
MIA 7.7% +5.8%
ORL 1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
52.5%
MIA 62.5% +12.0%
ORL 50.5%
Rim FG%
64.2%
57.7%
MIA 66.7% +18.6%
ORL 48.1%
Mid FG%
38.9%
41.0%
MIA 43.5% +4.0%
ORL 39.5%
3P %
34.5%
37.6%
MIA 47.6% +25.4%
ORL 22.2%
FT %
70.0%
73.0%
MIA 69.0%
ORL 80.9% +11.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
39.9%
MIA 40.5% +4.1%
ORL 36.5%
Mid Att. %
38.0%
47.2%
MIA 31.1% +20.3%
ORL 51.4%
3P Att. %
22.7%
12.9%
MIA 28.4% +16.2%
ORL 12.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points110100
Rebounds4039
Assists2621
Steals48
Blocks51
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (0)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)26 (1)
Field Goals40-7430-74
At-the-Rim FG20-3013-27
Midrange FG10-2315-38
2-Point FG30-5328-65
3-Point FG10-212-9
Free Throws20-2938-47
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 24
40.2
36
67%
10
9
1
1
5
3
4
6
16-19
84%
10-19
53%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 30
37.9
5
36%
1
3
0
0
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
35.6
26
76%
2
3
1
0
5
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
67%
6-11
55%
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
33.9
12
55%
12
2
1
1
0
2
2
10
2-3
67%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 325 · 34
31.2
7
35%
11
6
0
1
3
6
6
5
1-5
20%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 38
22.1
13
81%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
C · 6'10" 261 · 36
15.3
5
83%
2
0
0
2
1
6
0
2
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32
11.7
2
100%
0
1
1
0
1
5
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
10.8
4
100%
0
0
0
0
1
4
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20
#4 · G · 6'3" 188 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · F · 6'8" 217 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
63%
40
26
4
5
18
0
12
28
20-29
69%
30-53
57%
10-21
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.