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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 15, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Cavaliers52%97113
15Celtics48%96109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.1
53.9
41.0
43
56%
12
11
2
2
4
2
1
11
11-15
73%
16-27
10-19
59%
51%
0-5
0%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.8
46.7
30.5
4
18%
7
7
1
1
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
1-10
3-6
10%
44%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.4
39.9
26.0
19
62%
11
1
1
1
0
2
5
6
7-10
70%
6-11
4-8
55%
50%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.7
36.3
29.9
14
44%
5
1
3
1
0
2
2
3
2-7
29%
6-13
6-12
46%
49%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.3
24.9
23.2
9
51%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
2-6
33%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.5
39.6
28.4
13
74%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-4
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
3-5
60%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.7
32.6
22.5
11
61%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
49%
1-3
33%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.7
10.0
14.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.4
5.9
13.3
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26.8
0.1
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.2
2.8
0
0-0
51%
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 19.9
1.4
0
0-0
53%
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.3
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.1
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.3
54.2
39.7
50
56%
7
8
0
1
0
4
0
7
16-20
80%
17-32
7-15
53%
49%
0-4
0%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 22.6
50.1
36.4
15
53%
10
8
0
1
3
2
0
10
5-5
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
52%
0-4
0%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 28.9
46.1
38.8
17
41%
5
3
2
1
0
0
2
3
3-4
75%
7-16
5-10
44%
51%
0-3
0%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.5
46.0
29.5
14
89%
5
0
0
1
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
6-7
3-6
86%
45%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.7
30.1
26.4
6
61%
7
1
0
0
1
1
3
4
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
1-2
50%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
34.0
18.2
2
20%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-2
0%
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 24.0
20.1
14.7
5
50%
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
43%
1-1
100%
Michael Olowokandi
C · 7'0" 270 · 30.9
6.2
6.2
0
0%
4
1
0
0
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 24.1
3.2
7.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.1
0.1
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 21.3
11.5
0
1-2
52%
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 22.7
4.5
0
1-1
50%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 21.1
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 27.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.