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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 21, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20SuperSonics19%9078
3Spurs81%102103
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.6
32.6
36.8
20
60%
5
1
0
1
0
3
4
1
6-6
100%
4-11
5-10
36%
45%
2-3
67%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.0
32.0
34.1
13
45%
4
8
2
1
1
2
1
3
3-3
100%
5-13
4-9
38%
42%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.3
27.8
23.5
14
44%
11
0
0
0
1
0
5
6
0-0
-
7-16
3-6
44%
50%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.1
26.7
17.2
3
17%
6
0
0
0
3
2
1
5
1-2
50%
1-8
2-4
13%
46%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.5
23.0
29.4
8
34%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
3-8
4-8
38%
47%
0-2
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.1
25.0
22.2
2
20%
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
46%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.6
23.0
19.1
6
34%
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-7
2-6
29%
41%
0-1
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.5
21.5
7.7
8
57%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
4-7
1-2
57%
48%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 30.3
16.6
4.8
4
40%
4
0
1
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
46%
0-0
-
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.7
8.4
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
35%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 25.8
3.4
7.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 29.9
Mateen Cleaves
G · 6'2" 210 · 28.5
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 30.9
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.7
34.7
32.3
17
61%
4
2
3
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
46%
5-9
56%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.8
32.6
34.0
13
45%
16
5
1
1
1
1
2
14
3-8
38%
5-11
7-14
45%
53%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.8
32.4
35.9
30
74%
1
6
1
1
0
3
1
0
4-5
80%
13-18
8-13
72%
56%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.6
23.5
30.3
3
15%
5
4
0
2
2
1
1
4
0-2
0%
0-5
4-8
0%
55%
1-4
25%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.5
21.0
23.8
11
54%
5
0
0
1
4
1
3
2
3-5
60%
4-8
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.0
22.4
22.0
14
70%
0
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
4-6
67%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.7
21.9
21.7
8
57%
6
2
0
0
1
0
5
1
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
53%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 30.9
17.6
5.8
0
0%
9
0
2
0
1
1
8
1
0-2
0%
0-1
1-1
0%
58%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.6
12.7
5.3
7
88%
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
51%
1-2
50%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.1
11.7
5.3
0
0%
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.2
6.7
15.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.5
2.9
5.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.