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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 21, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Bobcats24%9384
11Nuggets76%102100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.0
38.5
34.5
13
40%
7
0
1
1
0
4
2
5
2-3
67%
4-8
3-7
50%
47%
1-7
14%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 21.7
34.3
33.2
14
40%
4
11
4
1
1
2
2
2
3-3
100%
4-13
3-8
31%
41%
1-3
33%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 30.3
32.7
32.3
7
26%
4
8
4
2
0
3
1
3
1-3
33%
3-12
4-10
25%
42%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.4
27.9
19.0
8
40%
6
2
2
0
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
4-10
4-7
40%
51%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 27.8
22.4
31.9
3
39%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
1-3
5-10
33%
46%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 25.5
24.7
22.9
13
50%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-9
2-6
44%
43%
1-3
33%
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 25.2
20.1
14.8
13
62%
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
6-10
2-4
60%
43%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.3
18.6
15.3
11
75%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
3-3
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
48%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.3
13.2
18.3
2
13%
7
0
0
0
1
0
0
7
0-1
0%
1-5
2-5
20%
41%
0-2
0%
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 27.1
3.4
6.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Kevin Burleson
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.9
2.0
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
2.0
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 23.4
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 21.9
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.9
43.0
34.4
11
49%
8
15
1
1
1
5
2
6
5-5
100%
3-9
5-10
33%
50%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.7
38.6
35.4
24
53%
4
3
0
1
0
5
2
2
4-6
67%
10-17
9-18
59%
49%
0-3
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
36.6
26.5
14
50%
12
4
1
1
5
3
2
10
6-9
67%
4-10
5-9
40%
49%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.0
36.0
17.9
10
73%
11
0
3
1
1
0
2
9
0-2
0%
5-6
2-3
83%
50%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.4
33.8
28.8
19
79%
7
2
2
1
0
4
0
7
0-0
-
5-6
2-3
83%
56%
3-6
50%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.1
25.0
15.8
13
55%
6
1
1
0
0
1
2
4
3-4
75%
5-10
2-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 29.7
21.3
24.4
9
41%
1
5
1
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
46%
1-3
33%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 26.7
5.7
15.7
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.1
20.5
1
4-8
51%
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 25.8
8.8
0
1-1
57%
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 32.8
4.0
0
1-1
45%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.1
3.8
0
0-0
40%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.6
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23.4
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.