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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 23, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Kings42%9585
8Lakers58%98106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.3
42.8
35.0
15
43%
6
7
2
2
0
4
1
5
1-1
100%
4-10
5-11
40%
46%
2-7
29%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.8
40.4
31.7
25
48%
2
5
0
1
0
4
0
2
4-5
80%
6-14
4-9
43%
47%
3-10
30%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 28.6
38.2
25.5
7
51%
13
2
0
1
0
1
4
9
1-2
50%
3-6
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 23.1
37.5
32.1
9
46%
3
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
3-4
75%
3-5
3-6
60%
51%
0-3
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 29.9
29.7
30.7
16
56%
2
3
0
1
1
1
2
0
2-3
67%
7-11
4-9
64%
51%
0-2
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.1
19.4
25.0
5
63%
1
0
0
1
4
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.2
18.1
21.6
2
25%
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.8
3.5
9.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 32.2
3.5
7.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.7
3.5
5.6
4
67%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.8
3.5
2.6
2
100%
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
47%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 29.8
10.7
0
1-2
51%
Sergei Monia
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.9
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.4
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 30.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.3
44.5
37.7
19
59%
6
9
1
1
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
8-14
5-9
57%
49%
1-2
50%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 27.5
36.4
40.7
36
63%
6
10
2
2
0
1
0
6
4-4
100%
10-20
8-16
50%
48%
4-7
57%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.7
33.0
33.5
7
39%
5
7
2
2
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.6
26.8
14.5
6
39%
1
1
0
0
3
1
0
1
2-4
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.2
24.3
23.3
12
82%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
3-5
4-7
60%
51%
1-1
100%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.5
26.2
27.9
15
72%
9
1
3
1
0
3
3
6
1-1
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
46%
2-2
100%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 24.0
22.5
26.5
6
74%
5
0
0
1
1
2
3
2
4-7
57%
1-1
3-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.0
18.1
16.7
3
150%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
1-1
100%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.9
3.9
11.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 18.3
1.6
4.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Devin Green
G-F · 6'7" 212 · 23.3
1.6
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 23.1
0.9
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 26.9
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.6
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 33.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.