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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 24, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16SuperSonics54%9889
29Magic46%97102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.1
45.5
20.3
21
63%
2
6
1
1
0
6
0
2
3-4
75%
9-14
3-5
64%
50%
0-1
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.5
43.9
34.5
14
41%
4
0
0
1
1
2
0
4
0-2
0%
4-12
5-10
33%
50%
2-4
50%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.5
38.1
21.0
20
68%
5
0
0
0
2
1
1
4
6-6
100%
7-12
3-6
58%
52%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.0
35.2
32.0
16
50%
3
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
6-7
86%
5-9
4-9
56%
45%
0-4
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.1
35.1
20.6
10
58%
12
0
0
0
1
0
2
10
4-6
67%
3-6
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 30.3
27.1
13.9
2
17%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-6
2-3
17%
49%
0-0
-
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.7
15.0
4.1
6
60%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
0-1
60%
38%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.6
37.4
1
5-10
48%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.3
27.6
1
4-8
53%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 26.7
9.2
0
0-1
45%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.2
2.1
0
0-0
36%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26.8
1.1
0
0-0
40%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 29.9
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 24.9
34.9
35.3
14
41%
6
2
0
1
1
0
1
5
2-2
100%
6-16
5-10
38%
49%
0-0
-
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.2
34.0
34.4
23
69%
16
2
0
1
1
3
4
12
3-6
50%
10-14
6-10
71%
55%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 33.4
30.9
16.9
19
72%
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
3-5
60%
8-11
3-7
73%
52%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.8
24.6
30.6
7
45%
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
2-6
5-10
33%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.0
20.9
24.6
2
14%
4
0
1
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-7
3-6
14%
52%
0-0
-
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 37.6
27.1
18.1
4
67%
3
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.6
26.6
15.9
18
73%
4
4
0
1
0
0
2
2
3-3
100%
6-10
2-4
60%
44%
1-1
100%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.7
22.0
2.4
8
82%
5
1
0
0
2
1
1
4
2-2
100%
3-4
0-1
75%
51%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 29.5
17.8
22.3
7
44%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
1-5
20%
Mario Kasun
C · 7'1" 260 · 25.9
1.3
7.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.0
6.6
0
0-0
49%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 20.7
5.4
0
0-1
47%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 26.9
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.9
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.