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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 24, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs52%8683
6Grizzlies48%8580
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.8
35.8
32.6
19
46%
16
1
2
1
3
3
4
12
5-11
45%
7-16
6-12
44%
49%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.6
32.8
25.6
13
56%
1
4
4
1
0
2
0
1
4-6
67%
0-5
3-6
0%
50%
3-4
75%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.7
32.7
33.0
5
42%
7
1
0
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
1-3
1-4
33%
42%
1-3
33%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.8
26.4
33.0
9
53%
1
3
2
1
0
5
0
1
1-1
100%
4-8
6-12
50%
52%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.5
23.6
21.4
5
43%
6
0
1
0
2
0
4
2
3-4
75%
1-4
3-5
25%
49%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.0
27.2
21.7
11
40%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
43%
1-5
20%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.2
20.6
9.4
7
70%
5
3
3
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
51%
1-2
50%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 30.9
15.4
13.2
6
38%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
3-8
1-2
38%
48%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.6
13.9
10.7
5
28%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
2-5
1-2
40%
46%
0-3
0%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.2
8.2
9.4
3
75%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
1-1
100%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.7
3.2
21.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.5
3.8
0
0-1
44%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.6
41.9
37.3
21
47%
12
1
2
1
1
4
2
10
5-10
50%
8-18
7-15
44%
48%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34.3
36.7
33.0
9
77%
4
4
1
1
2
2
0
4
2-2
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
45%
1-3
33%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.5
34.6
37.1
3
50%
7
1
0
1
0
4
1
6
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 31.5
30.1
24.8
12
56%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
3-7
2-4
43%
43%
1-2
50%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 26.7
21.8
16.1
7
44%
7
0
1
0
2
0
1
6
1-2
50%
3-7
2-3
43%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.0
28.9
25.9
14
84%
4
2
1
1
0
4
0
4
1-3
33%
2-3
3-5
67%
50%
3-4
75%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.0
21.6
28.8
3
26%
3
2
1
1
0
3
2
1
1-2
50%
1-4
3-7
25%
42%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 23.6
15.0
9.7
8
72%
2
1
1
0
1
2
0
2
6-8
75%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 30.3
5.0
17.6
3
85%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.2
4.5
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.8
4.9
0
0-1
41%
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 26.0
2.7
0
0-1
41%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 32.5
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.3
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.