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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 25, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23SuperSonics16%94106
5Heat84%106115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.0
37.8
33.1
14
41%
1
7
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
6-14
4-9
43%
43%
0-2
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.6
37.2
37.8
25
64%
9
1
1
1
0
2
1
8
5-6
83%
4-8
5-11
50%
47%
4-9
44%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.6
35.9
24.7
21
45%
5
3
2
1
1
3
2
3
7-8
88%
4-13
3-7
31%
46%
2-7
29%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.5
31.2
27.6
14
78%
8
1
2
1
0
0
4
4
0-0
-
7-9
4-8
78%
50%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.1
15.1
26.3
4
33%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.1
34.8
30.5
10
43%
4
2
3
1
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
2-8
4-8
25%
48%
1-2
50%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 30.3
25.3
18.9
6
39%
7
1
0
0
0
2
2
5
4-4
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26.8
22.8
1.1
12
73%
2
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-5
40%
5-6
0-0
83%
33%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.3
18.0
0
3-5
50%
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.7
8.5
0
1-2
36%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 26.7
5.7
0
0-1
42%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.2
1.3
0
0-0
36%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.2
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 29.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.1
41.9
32.6
26
54%
7
11
0
1
1
3
2
5
4-9
44%
11-20
8-15
55%
54%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.0
37.2
24.2
31
83%
9
4
0
0
4
2
2
7
1-6
17%
15-16
6-11
94%
61%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.7
34.2
33.7
16
80%
9
0
0
1
0
2
1
8
0-0
-
8-10
4-8
80%
55%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.3
32.6
33.8
13
51%
4
9
1
1
0
3
0
4
4-4
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
54%
1-6
17%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.1
27.9
21.3
13
60%
7
6
1
1
1
0
1
6
1-2
50%
3-4
0-1
75%
48%
2-6
33%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.5
22.2
25.3
8
50%
9
2
0
1
0
3
2
7
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
51%
0-2
0%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.6
21.5
24.9
2
14%
2
2
2
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
54%
0-4
0%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.2
11.8
12.8
2
100%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.0
10.6
19.2
4
50%
2
0
0
0
3
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
57%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.1
6.7
0
1-1
47%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.0
4.7
0
1-1
56%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.7
4.4
0
1-1
46%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.6
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24.5
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.