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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 25, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Warriors19%8775
4Spurs81%9892
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 31.5
32.7
38.3
11
42%
1
2
3
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-12
4-9
33%
40%
1-1
100%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.0
31.6
26.5
5
21%
1
0
0
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-10
3-6
10%
47%
1-2
50%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.8
28.8
29.9
12
45%
12
1
1
1
1
1
4
8
2-3
67%
5-12
4-8
42%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.1
27.6
37.1
10
42%
6
3
1
1
1
2
0
6
0-2
0%
2-7
6-12
29%
46%
2-4
50%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.0
17.8
20.2
6
43%
4
0
0
0
4
0
3
1
0-0
-
3-7
2-3
43%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 25.4
28.5
26.8
4
25%
4
1
4
1
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
2-8
3-6
25%
45%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 19.9
27.5
19.5
2
50%
7
0
0
1
1
0
5
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
56%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.3
23.6
18.4
16
51%
4
3
1
1
0
2
0
4
6-6
100%
5-10
2-4
50%
40%
0-3
0%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.5
13.3
12.4
8
48%
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
2-3
67%
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
0-0
-
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.8
8.7
5.0
1
10%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
0-4
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 26.9
8.9
0
1-3
43%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 34.6
4.1
0
0-1
43%
Chris Taft
F · 6'10" 261 · 21.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.8
33.4
34.1
9
25%
16
4
1
1
4
5
2
14
1-2
50%
4-17
7-14
24%
51%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.7
32.5
32.4
14
54%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
44%
2-5
40%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.5
31.9
22.5
15
49%
14
0
0
1
2
1
9
5
3-3
100%
6-14
3-6
43%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.8
29.7
29.4
14
57%
2
6
1
1
1
3
0
2
4-5
80%
5-10
6-11
50%
54%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.6
27.6
29.7
13
41%
3
4
2
2
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
4-11
4-8
36%
51%
1-4
25%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.7
23.4
11.4
10
78%
6
0
0
0
2
1
3
3
0-1
0%
5-6
1-3
83%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.0
19.8
24.5
0
0%
3
3
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.2
18.4
15.9
10
78%
7
2
2
0
1
2
1
6
1-1
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
3-5
60%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.2
15.8
9.0
5
83%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
1-2
50%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 30.9
2.5
14.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.6
2.5
12.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.5
2.5
2.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.