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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 26, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Rockets60%9089
28Magic40%8784
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.6
42.0
33.3
13
55%
5
10
1
1
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
3-8
38%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 35.3
38.9
31.8
8
48%
3
4
0
1
0
3
0
3
3-3
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
1-4
25%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.1
38.4
33.0
12
50%
5
0
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
6-12
5-10
50%
47%
0-0
-
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 25.5
34.5
34.4
29
71%
11
1
0
1
2
5
1
10
15-19
79%
7-12
8-15
58%
54%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 26.8
32.9
20.4
19
48%
9
5
3
1
1
1
1
8
6-9
67%
5-10
4-9
50%
47%
1-6
17%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 25.8
24.5
29.4
6
43%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-6
60%
43%
0-2
0%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 39.7
11.8
10.5
0
0%
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 22.7
10.9
10.8
0
0%
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.3
6.0
22.6
2
50%
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.6
5.6
0
0-1
44%
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 21.1
2.5
0
0-1
46%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 30.3
2.5
0
0-0
42%
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 32.9
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26.3
Gerald Fitch
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 33.4
36.2
22.8
22
64%
4
4
1
1
0
3
1
3
5-7
71%
7-13
4-9
54%
49%
1-1
100%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.2
35.5
33.6
7
34%
9
1
2
1
0
4
1
8
5-12
42%
1-5
5-10
20%
53%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.0
24.6
22.7
6
30%
5
0
1
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-10
3-6
30%
49%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 24.9
22.9
34.3
4
25%
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-8
5-10
25%
46%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.8
21.1
27.4
8
60%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
4-6
67%
2-4
4-8
50%
45%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 26.9
33.9
19.7
10
48%
4
4
1
0
0
2
2
2
2-3
67%
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
2-4
50%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.6
26.9
20.1
17
70%
5
3
1
1
0
1
2
3
5-7
71%
6-8
2-5
75%
41%
0-1
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.7
19.0
11.1
6
51%
3
1
2
0
4
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
45%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 29.5
8.9
20.2
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Mario Kasun
C · 7'1" 260 · 25.9
7.4
5.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 37.6
3.5
21.3
2
114%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
40%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 20.7
4.8
0
0-1
44%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.9
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 24.0
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.