FinalWin Prob.pScore
1822%96
94
578%105
101
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
103.39183.1
MIA logo MIA
109.892101.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR94
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)94
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot94
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0TORJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)94
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0TORJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 1:10TORPayton STEAL (3 STL)94
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 1:15TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)94
1.2%
101
98.8%
Q4 - 1:16MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 294
1.1%
101
98.9%
Q4 - 1:16MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)94
0.9%
101
99.1%
Q4 - 1:26TORJames Driving Layup (26 PTS)94
1.3%
100
98.7%
Q4 - 1:32TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)92
1.0%
100
99.0%
Q4 - 1:34MIAMISS Walker 8' Hook Shot92
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 1:55MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)92
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 1:57TORMISS Calderon Driving Layup92
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 2:14TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)92
1.4%
100
98.6%
Q4 - 2:16MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 192
1.3%
100
98.7%
Q4 - 2:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)92
1.8%
98
98.2%
Q4 - 2:18MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot92
2.8%
98
97.2%
Q4 - 2:28TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)92
1.8%
98
98.2%
Q4 - 2:28TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 291
1.6%
98
98.4%
Q4 - 2:44TORBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
2.2%
98
97.8%
Q4 - 2:46MIAMISS Walker 7' Running Jump Shot91
1.8%
98
98.2%
Q4 - 3:01MIAHEAT Rebound91
1.6%
98
98.4%
Q4 - 3:02TORMISS Peterson 18' Jump Shot91
1.9%
98
98.1%
Q4 - 3:18MIAWade Reverse Dunk (32 PTS)91
2.8%
98
97.2%
Q4 - 3:23TORWade STEAL (2 STL)91
3.5%
96
96.5%
Q4 - 3:39MIAAnderson 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)91
7.4%
96
92.6%
Q4 - 4:00TORVillanueva 6' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)91
10.0%
94
90.0%
Q4 - 4:08TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)89
7.2%
94
92.8%
Q4 - 4:10MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
6.5%
94
93.5%
Q4 - 4:27MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
4.9%
94
95.1%
Q4 - 4:29TORMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
5.5%
94
94.5%
Q4 - 4:40MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)89
7.1%
94
92.9%
Q4 - 4:40MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 289
8.3%
93
91.7%
Q4 - 4:49MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)89
7.0%
93
93.0%
Q4 - 4:51TORMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot89
7.8%
93
92.2%
Q4 - 5:16MIAO'Neal Dunk (23 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)89
10.9%
93
89.1%
Q4 - 5:31MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)89
14.4%
91
85.6%
Q4 - 5:33TORWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)89
15.8%
91
84.2%
Q4 - 5:42TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
19.3%
91
80.7%
Q4 - 5:44MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 289
18.6%
91
81.4%
Q4 - 5:44MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)89
16.5%
91
83.5%
Q4 - 5:44MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)89
19.1%
90
80.9%
Q4 - 5:45MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup89
23.1%
90
76.9%
Q4 - 6:05TORBosh 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS)89
18.5%
90
81.5%
Q4 - 6:21MIAO'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)87
14.9%
90
85.1%
Q4 - 6:40TORJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)87
18.6%
88
81.4%
Q4 - 6:54MIAAnderson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)84
11.5%
88
88.5%
Q4 - 7:08TORWalker STEAL (1 STL)84
14.9%
86
85.1%
Q4 - 7:22MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)84
19.3%
86
80.7%
Q4 - 7:22MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 284
20.1%
85
79.9%
Q4 - 7:41TORJames Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)84
18.7%
85
81.3%
Q4 - 7:53MIAWade Foul Turnover (P6.T17)84
24.0%
85
76.0%
Q4 - 8:12TORVillanueva 6' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 3 AST)84
19.4%
85
80.6%
Q4 - 8:37MIAPayton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)82
15.7%
85
84.3%
Q4 - 8:46MIAHEAT Rebound82
23.7%
82
76.3%
Q4 - 8:47MIAMISS Anderson Driving Layup82
27.1%
82
72.9%
Q4 - 8:48TORPayton STEAL (2 STL)82
23.7%
82
76.3%
Q4 - 9:12MIAWade Driving Dunk (29 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)82
27.9%
82
72.1%
Q4 - 9:15TORPayton STEAL (1 STL)82
32.8%
80
67.2%
Q4 - 9:23TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)82
38.6%
80
61.4%
Q4 - 9:27MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 182
37.8%
80
62.2%
Q4 - 9:51TORBosh 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)82
44.3%
78
55.7%
Q4 - 10:13MIAMourning Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)80
37.6%
78
62.4%
Q4 - 10:29MIAHEAT Rebound80
42.6%
76
57.4%
Q4 - 10:30TORMISS Bosh Follow Up Dunk80
44.5%
76
55.5%
Q4 - 10:32TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
48.8%
76
51.2%
Q4 - 10:33TORMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot80
44.5%
76
55.5%
Q4 - 10:36MIAAnderson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)80
48.8%
76
51.2%
Q4 - 10:58TORVillanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)80
42.7%
76
57.3%
Q4 - 11:08TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
32.3%
76
67.7%
Q4 - 11:09MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot77
30.8%
76
69.2%
Q4 - 11:25TORWade STEAL (1 STL)77
27.5%
76
72.5%
Q4 - 11:39MIAAnderson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)77
32.3%
76
67.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA77
36.9%
74
63.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)77
35.8%
74
64.2%
Q3 - 0:06.0TORMISS Bonner 12' Jump Shot77
37.2%
74
62.8%
Q3 - 0:13.0TORBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
40.7%
74
59.3%
Q3 - 0:15.0TORMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
37.3%
74
62.7%
Q3 - 0:20.0TORRaptors Rebound77
40.7%
74
59.3%
Q3 - 0:22.0TORMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
37.3%
74
62.7%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAWade Reverse Dunk (27 PTS)77
40.8%
74
59.2%
Q3 - 0:59.0TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)77
45.9%
72
54.1%
Q3 - 0:59.0TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)76
45.0%
72
55.0%
Q3 - 1:17MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T15)75
39.2%
72
60.8%
Q3 - 1:23MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
34.5%
72
65.5%
Q3 - 1:24TORMISS Villanueva 6' Running Jump Shot75
35.9%
72
64.1%
Q3 - 1:30TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)75
39.2%
72
60.8%
Q3 - 1:31MIAMISS Anderson Layup75
37.8%
72
62.2%
Q3 - 1:47TORJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)75
34.6%
72
65.4%
Q3 - 1:47TORJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)74
33.8%
72
66.2%
Q3 - 1:53TORJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
30.4%
72
69.6%
Q3 - 1:55MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
29.1%
72
70.9%
Q3 - 2:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)73
25.4%
72
74.6%
Q3 - 2:13TORMISS Woods 17' Jump Shot73
26.6%
72
73.4%
Q3 - 2:27TORRaptors Rebound73
29.5%
72
70.5%
Q3 - 2:29TORMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot73
26.6%
72
73.4%
Q3 - 2:51MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS)73
29.5%
72
70.5%
Q3 - 2:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
33.2%
70
66.8%
Q3 - 2:55MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot73
36.4%
70
63.6%
Q3 - 3:11TORBosh 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)73
32.8%
70
67.2%
Q3 - 3:36MIAWalker Layup (11 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)71
29.2%
70
70.8%
Q3 - 3:54TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)71
32.8%
68
67.2%
Q3 - 3:54TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)70
32.1%
68
67.9%
Q3 - 3:56TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)69
29.2%
68
70.8%
Q3 - 3:58MIAMISS Walker 5' Jump Shot69
28.0%
68
72.0%
Q3 - 4:21TORBosh Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)69
24.5%
68
75.5%
Q3 - 4:38MIAWade Driving Layup (25 PTS)67
21.9%
68
78.1%
Q3 - 4:53TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)67
24.6%
66
75.4%
Q3 - 4:53TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)66
24.1%
66
75.9%
Q3 - 4:53MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw Technical65
22.0%
66
78.0%
Q3 - 5:17MIAWade Driving Dunk (23 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)65
21.7%
66
78.3%
Q3 - 5:19MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
24.5%
64
75.5%
Q3 - 5:22TORMISS Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
25.5%
64
74.5%
Q3 - 5:33MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)65
27.9%
64
72.1%
Q3 - 5:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
24.4%
64
75.6%
Q3 - 5:42TORMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
25.5%
64
74.5%
Q3 - 5:56MIAWade 3' Driving Finger Roll (21 PTS)65
27.9%
64
72.1%
Q3 - 6:17TORJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Peterson 3 AST)65
30.3%
62
69.7%
Q3 - 6:28MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)62
24.2%
62
75.8%
Q3 - 6:52TORPeterson 15' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)62
21.2%
62
78.8%
Q3 - 7:20MIAWalker Layup (9 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)60
18.8%
62
81.2%
Q3 - 7:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
20.9%
60
79.1%
Q3 - 7:25MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot60
23.0%
60
77.0%
Q3 - 7:38TORDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)60
20.9%
60
79.1%
Q3 - 7:38TORMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 259
20.3%
60
79.7%
Q3 - 7:51MIAPosey Foul Turnover (P2.T12)59
21.2%
60
78.8%
Q3 - 8:08TORJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)59
18.3%
60
81.7%
Q3 - 8:17TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
14.5%
60
85.5%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
13.8%
60
86.2%
Q3 - 8:40TORO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)56
12.5%
60
87.5%
Q3 - 9:02MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (18 PTS)56
14.1%
60
85.9%
Q3 - 9:14TORJames 5' Finger Roll (13 PTS)56
15.9%
58
84.1%
Q3 - 9:27TORRaptors Rebound54
14.1%
58
85.9%
Q3 - 9:29TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
12.9%
58
87.1%
Q3 - 9:43TORDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)54
14.1%
58
85.9%
Q3 - 9:45MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot54
13.6%
58
86.4%
Q3 - 9:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
12.4%
58
87.6%
Q3 - 9:55TORMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
12.9%
58
87.1%
Q3 - 10:11MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T11)54
14.0%
58
86.0%
Q3 - 10:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
12.2%
58
87.8%
Q3 - 10:19TORO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)54
12.7%
58
87.3%
Q3 - 10:34MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)54
14.0%
58
86.0%
Q3 - 10:52TORDavis 15' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Peterson 2 AST)54
17.6%
55
82.4%
Q3 - 11:22MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)52
15.4%
55
84.6%
Q3 - 11:34TORPeterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)52
17.2%
53
82.8%
Q3 - 11:36TORDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)49
13.7%
53
86.3%
Q3 - 11:37TORO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)49
12.6%
53
87.4%
Q3 - 11:40TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)49
13.7%
53
86.3%
Q3 - 11:42TORMISS Bosh 8' Hook Shot49
12.6%
53
87.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
13.7%
53
86.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0TORJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)49
12.6%
53
87.4%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAO'Neal Layup (14 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)46
9.6%
53
90.4%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
11.2%
51
88.8%
Q2 - 0:30.0TORMISS James 10' Jump Shot46
11.5%
51
88.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)46
12.1%
51
87.9%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Posey Free Throw 1 of 146
12.0%
51
88.0%
Q2 - 1:03TORPeterson 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS)46
14.4%
49
85.6%
Q2 - 1:30MIAPosey Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)44
12.2%
49
87.8%
Q2 - 1:35MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)44
14.4%
47
85.6%
Q2 - 1:37TORMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot44
14.7%
47
85.3%
Q2 - 1:54MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS)44
15.3%
47
84.7%
Q2 - 2:11TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)44
17.5%
45
82.5%
Q2 - 2:11TORMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 243
17.0%
45
83.0%
Q2 - 2:20TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
17.3%
45
82.7%
Q2 - 2:22MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot43
16.8%
45
83.2%
Q2 - 2:41TORWilliams 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)43
15.8%
45
84.2%
Q2 - 2:57MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (12 PTS)41
14.0%
45
86.0%
Q2 - 3:01MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)41
15.4%
43
84.6%
Q2 - 3:03MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup41
16.7%
43
83.3%
Q2 - 3:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
15.5%
43
84.5%
Q2 - 3:20TORMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot41
16.0%
43
84.0%
Q2 - 3:36MIAPosey Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)41
17.3%
43
82.7%
Q2 - 3:39TORPosey STEAL (3 STL)41
15.5%
43
84.5%
Q2 - 3:43MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)41
17.3%
43
82.7%
Q2 - 4:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
15.4%
43
84.6%
Q2 - 4:03TORMISS Bosh 16' Turnaround Jump Shot41
15.8%
43
84.2%
Q2 - 4:17TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
16.9%
43
83.1%
Q2 - 4:20MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
16.4%
43
83.6%
Q2 - 4:27MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
15.4%
43
84.6%
Q2 - 4:29TORMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
15.8%
43
84.2%
Q2 - 4:44MIAO'Neal 8' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)41
16.9%
43
83.1%
Q2 - 4:47MIAHEAT Rebound41
18.6%
41
81.4%
Q2 - 4:48MIAMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot41
19.9%
41
80.1%
Q2 - 4:52MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
18.6%
41
81.4%
Q2 - 4:54TORMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot41
19.2%
41
80.8%
Q2 - 5:00TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
20.4%
41
79.6%
Q2 - 5:01TORMISS Bosh 22' Jump Shot41
18.9%
41
81.1%
Q2 - 5:30MIAWalker 9' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)41
20.2%
41
79.8%
Q2 - 5:35MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
22.0%
39
78.0%
Q2 - 5:37TORMISS Villanueva 14' Jump Shot41
22.6%
39
77.4%
Q2 - 5:59MIAWalker 5' Hook Shot (5 PTS)41
24.1%
39
75.9%
Q2 - 6:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
25.5%
37
74.5%
Q2 - 6:11TORMISS Villanueva 18' Jump Shot41
26.3%
37
73.7%
Q2 - 6:29MIAWade 4' Jump Shot (17 PTS)41
28.2%
37
71.8%
Q2 - 6:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
30.0%
35
70.0%
Q2 - 6:34MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
31.9%
35
68.1%
Q2 - 6:45TORPosey STEAL (2 STL)41
30.0%
35
70.0%
Q2 - 7:05TORBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
31.8%
35
68.2%
Q2 - 7:07MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
31.1%
35
68.9%
Q2 - 7:26TORVillanueva Dunk (9 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)41
29.5%
35
70.5%
Q2 - 7:43MIAMourning Layup (4 PTS)39
27.5%
35
72.5%
Q2 - 7:54MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
29.5%
33
70.5%
Q2 - 7:56TORMISS Bonner 12' Jump Shot39
30.2%
33
69.8%
Q2 - 8:15MIAWade Driving Dunk (15 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)39
31.6%
33
68.4%
Q2 - 8:18TORPosey STEAL (1 STL)39
33.5%
31
66.5%
Q2 - 8:20TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
36.2%
31
63.8%
Q2 - 8:23TORMISS Graham Driving Dunk39
34.3%
31
65.7%
Q2 - 8:45MIAWade 11' Jump Shot (13 PTS)39
36.2%
31
63.8%
Q2 - 9:09TORBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)39
37.3%
29
62.7%
Q2 - 9:17MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)36
33.0%
29
67.0%
Q2 - 9:40TORGraham 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
30.6%
29
69.4%
Q2 - 9:52TORWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
28.7%
29
71.3%
Q2 - 9:54MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
28.0%
29
72.0%
Q2 - 10:08MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
26.4%
29
73.6%
Q2 - 10:09TORMISS Calderon Free Throw 2 of 234
26.7%
29
73.3%
Q2 - 10:09TORMISS Calderon Free Throw 1 of 234
28.1%
29
71.9%
Q2 - 10:26MIAWade Reverse Layup (11 PTS)34
28.6%
29
71.4%
Q2 - 10:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
30.4%
27
69.6%
Q2 - 10:40TORMISS Graham 6' Running Jump Shot34
31.2%
27
68.8%
Q2 - 10:58MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)34
32.8%
27
67.2%
Q2 - 11:05MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
36.0%
24
64.0%
Q2 - 11:07TORMISS Villanueva 17' Jump Shot34
36.7%
24
63.3%
Q2 - 11:26MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
38.4%
24
61.6%
Q2 - 11:26MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
39.2%
23
60.8%
Q2 - 11:26TORMourning STEAL (1 STL)34
40.7%
22
59.3%
Q2 - 11:27TORWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
43.1%
22
56.9%
Q2 - 11:28MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 234
42.8%
22
57.2%
Q2 - 11:28MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)34
41.2%
22
58.8%
Q2 - 11:40TORPeterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)34
43.1%
21
56.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA31
38.5%
21
61.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound31
36.2%
21
63.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot31
37.8%
21
62.2%
Q1 - 0:09.0TORJames Driving Layup (8 PTS)31
35.7%
21
64.3%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAWade Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)29
33.1%
21
66.9%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
35.7%
19
64.3%
Q1 - 0:43.0TORMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
36.2%
19
63.8%
Q1 - 0:52.0TORWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
37.4%
19
62.6%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot29
36.9%
19
63.1%
Q1 - 1:19TORBonner Layup (2 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)29
35.6%
19
64.4%
Q1 - 1:33TORWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
33.0%
19
67.0%
Q1 - 1:34MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 227
32.7%
19
67.3%
Q1 - 1:34MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 227
31.8%
19
68.2%
Q1 - 1:53TORJames 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)27
31.4%
19
68.6%
Q1 - 2:16MIAHaslem 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)25
28.9%
19
71.1%
Q1 - 2:28MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
31.0%
17
69.0%
Q1 - 2:29TORMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
31.6%
17
68.4%
Q1 - 2:35MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)25
32.9%
17
67.1%
Q1 - 2:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
31.0%
17
69.0%
Q1 - 2:49TORMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
31.6%
17
68.4%
Q1 - 2:57MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
32.9%
17
67.1%
Q1 - 2:57MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 225
33.8%
16
66.2%
Q1 - 3:05TORVillanueva Driving Layup (7 PTS)25
31.8%
16
68.2%
Q1 - 3:18MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)23
30.1%
16
69.9%
Q1 - 3:35MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
28.1%
16
71.9%
Q1 - 3:37TORMISS James 6' Running Jump Shot23
28.7%
16
71.3%
Q1 - 3:49TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
30.2%
16
69.8%
Q1 - 3:50MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 223
29.9%
16
70.1%
Q1 - 3:50MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)23
29.1%
16
70.9%
Q1 - 3:50MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
30.0%
15
70.0%
Q1 - 3:51MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Turnaround Jump Shot23
31.5%
15
68.5%
Q1 - 4:11TORJames 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
29.1%
15
70.9%
Q1 - 4:20MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)21
27.7%
15
72.3%
Q1 - 4:35TORBosh 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)21
25.6%
15
74.4%
Q1 - 4:48MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T4)19
24.3%
15
75.7%
Q1 - 4:59TORPeterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)19
22.4%
15
77.6%
Q1 - 5:03TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)16
19.1%
15
80.9%
Q1 - 5:05TORMISS Peterson 20' Jump Shot16
18.1%
15
81.9%
Q1 - 5:33MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS)16
19.2%
15
80.8%
Q1 - 5:40MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
20.4%
13
79.6%
Q1 - 5:42TORMISS Davis 16' Turnaround Jump Shot16
20.8%
13
79.2%
Q1 - 6:01MIAWilliams Driving Layup (3 PTS)16
21.4%
13
78.6%
Q1 - 6:14TORBosh 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
22.7%
11
77.3%
Q1 - 6:17MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)14
21.4%
11
78.6%
Q1 - 6:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
20.0%
11
80.0%
Q1 - 6:20TORMISS Villanueva 3PT Jump Shot14
20.4%
11
79.6%
Q1 - 6:40TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
21.4%
11
78.6%
Q1 - 6:42MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Bank Shot14
21.0%
11
79.0%
Q1 - 6:52MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)14
20.0%
11
80.0%
Q1 - 7:06TORVillanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 1 AST)14
20.7%
10
79.3%
Q1 - 7:24MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)11
18.5%
10
81.5%
Q1 - 7:30TORJames 13' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
19.5%
8
80.5%
Q1 - 7:49MIAWade Driving Dunk (4 PTS)9
18.5%
8
81.5%
Q1 - 8:01TORPeterson 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
19.2%
6
80.8%
Q1 - 8:11TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
18.2%
6
81.8%
Q1 - 8:13MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
17.8%
6
82.2%
Q1 - 8:34TORBosh 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
17.0%
6
83.0%
Q1 - 8:54MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS)5
16.1%
6
83.9%
Q1 - 8:56MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
17.0%
4
83.0%
Q1 - 8:57MIAMISS O'Neal Layup5
17.9%
4
82.1%
Q1 - 9:07TORPeterson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)5
16.8%
4
83.2%
Q1 - 9:20MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)3
16.0%
4
84.0%
Q1 - 9:34MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
14.8%
4
85.2%
Q1 - 9:35TORMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 23
14.9%
4
85.1%
Q1 - 9:35TORDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
15.5%
4
84.5%
Q1 - 9:35TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
15.0%
4
85.0%
Q1 - 9:37TORMISS Davis 4' Hook Shot2
14.2%
4
85.8%
Q1 - 10:01MIAWade Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)2
14.9%
4
85.1%
Q1 - 10:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
15.7%
2
84.3%
Q1 - 10:20TORO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)2
16.1%
2
83.9%
Q1 - 10:37MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)2
16.9%
2
83.1%
Q1 - 10:49MIAHEAT Rebound2
17.8%
0
82.2%
Q1 - 10:50TORMISS Davis 21' Jump Shot2
18.2%
0
81.8%
Q1 - 10:59TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
19.1%
0
80.9%
Q1 - 11:01TORMISS Peterson 22' Jump Shot2
18.1%
0
81.9%
Q1 - 11:06MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
18.8%
0
81.2%
Q1 - 11:25TORVillanueva Dunk (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)2
17.8%
0
82.2%
Q1 - 11:42TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.7%
0
83.3%
Q1 - 11:43MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 20
16.6%
0
83.4%
Q1 - 11:43MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 20
16.1%
0
83.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Bosh: Tip to Haslem0
15.8%
0
84.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.03 51.6%
MIA
1.17 58.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
9
16
56%
MIA
30
38
79%
Midrange
TOR
18
40
45%
MIA
11
22
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
9
13.5
25
36%
54%
MIA
3
4.5
13
23%
35%
Free Throws
TOR
13
19
68%
MIA
10
25
40%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. James2665%13.0 / 20
M. Peterson1956%9.5 / 17
C. Bosh1959%9.5 / 16
C. Villanueva1653%8.0 / 15
M. Bonner542%2.5 / 6
A. Davis433%2.0 / 6
E. Williams338%1.5 / 4
J. Graham233%1.0 / 3
L. Woods0-0.0 / 1
J. Calderon0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3276%16.0 / 21
S. O'Neal2759%13.5 / 23
A. Walker1142%5.5 / 13
J. Posey758%3.5 / 6
S. Anderson660%3.0 / 5
A. Mourning6100%3.0 / 3
G. Payton563%2.5 / 4
U. Haslem450%2.0 / 4
J. Williams338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
78
+13
-13
91
MIA
75
+11
-17
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.03 51.6%
MIA
1.17 58.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.7
108.0
TOR 103.3
MIA 109.8 +6.5
Pace
91.8
92.2
TOR 83.1
MIA 101.7 +18.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.9
TOR 17.3
MIA 14.2 +3.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
51.7%
TOR 50.0%
MIA 62.3% +12.3%
TO %
13.4%
15.0%
TOR 12.7% +4.1%
MIA 16.8%
ORB %
25.5%
26.8%
TOR 22.5%
MIA 22.9% +0.4%
FTrt
31.5
36.3
TOR 23.5
MIA 34.2 +10.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.9%
55.7%
TOR 47.2%
MIA 52.3% +5.1%
STL %
7.0%
6.9%
TOR 12.1% +0.1%
MIA 12.0%
BLK %
5.3%
8.5%
TOR 3.3%
MIA 7.1% +3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.4%
53.9%
TOR 51.6%
MIA 58.7% +7.1%
Rim FG%
57.4%
64.2%
TOR 56.3%
MIA 78.9% +22.6%
Mid FG%
41.3%
38.9%
TOR 45.0%
MIA 50.0% +5.0%
3P %
37.5%
34.5%
TOR 36.0% +12.9%
MIA 23.1%
FT %
79.1%
70.0%
TOR 68.4% +28.4%
MIA 40.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.1%
39.3%
TOR 19.8%
MIA 52.1% +32.3%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
38.0%
TOR 49.4%
MIA 30.1% +19.2%
3P Att. %
24.4%
22.7%
TOR 30.9% +13.1%
MIA 17.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes26.321.7
Points94101
Rebounds3639
Assists1723
Steals1111
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (0)31 (3)
Field Goals36-8144-73
At-the-Rim FG9-1630-38
Midrange FG18-4011-22
2-Point FG27-5641-60
3-Point FG9-253-13
Free Throws13-1910-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 232 · 22
46.6
16
53%
11
1
2
0
3
1
3
8
0-0
-
5-10
50%
2-5
40%
G · 6'7" 220 · 29
41.9
19
56%
2
3
2
1
1
3
0
2
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
3-8
38%
G · 6'2" 188 · 31
39.3
26
65%
2
3
2
0
4
4
0
2
3-3
100%
7-10
70%
3-9
33%
F · 6'11" 235 · 22
35.4
19
59%
7
3
3
1
1
2
1
6
5-6
83%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 37
18.9
4
33%
6
3
1
0
1
2
4
2
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26
17.8
5
42%
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
C · 7'2" 260 · 28
15.2
0
0%
4
0
0
0
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 24
11.2
0
0%
0
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34
7.6
3
38%
1
0
0
0
0
4
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 24
6.1
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 250 · 24
G · 5'11" 170 · 35
#55 · C · 6'11" 270 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'5" 195 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
52%
36
17
11
2
13
0
9
27
13-19
68%
27-56
48%
9-25
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.