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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 27, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Suns60%98111
13Rockets40%9594
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.4
45.3
40.1
14
48%
3
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
6-6
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
47%
2-8
25%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 27.8
41.6
40.1
30
72%
18
3
3
2
0
2
2
16
4-4
100%
10-13
7-12
77%
53%
2-6
33%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 32.1
35.1
34.0
23
76%
3
10
0
1
0
0
0
3
4-5
80%
8-11
5-9
73%
51%
1-2
50%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 23.9
32.0
38.2
16
62%
7
5
1
1
2
3
1
6
1-2
50%
6-10
5-11
60%
50%
1-2
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.4
25.3
20.4
9
57%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
2-3
67%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 23.2
27.8
28.9
3
25%
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
51%
1-4
25%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.8
22.0
15.6
12
55%
3
2
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
46%
4-7
57%
Pat Burke
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.2
10.9
5.3
4
50%
3
0
1
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 33.4
12.4
0
1-3
48%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 35.4
2.6
0
0-0
44%
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 22.9
1.7
0
0-0
35%
Dijon Thompson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 22.9
1.4
0
0-0
46%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.3
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 34.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 26.8
37.4
26.8
13
36%
1
6
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-14
6-12
36%
45%
1-4
25%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 25.5
36.4
34.1
27
61%
18
5
1
0
0
0
8
10
7-7
100%
10-19
8-15
53%
52%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.1
35.6
34.6
19
57%
7
2
1
1
1
1
2
5
3-4
75%
8-15
5-11
53%
45%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.6
33.1
36.5
5
28%
3
4
2
2
0
5
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-6
33%
43%
1-6
17%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 35.3
28.6
34.4
4
27%
3
3
0
1
0
3
1
2
1-1
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
42%
1-4
25%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.3
23.9
15.1
9
50%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
42%
1-5
20%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 25.8
23.1
26.8
10
63%
5
1
1
1
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
3-4
2-5
75%
42%
1-3
33%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 30.3
9.7
2.4
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
38%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 39.7
5.2
11.4
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 22.7
3.6
11.1
3
80%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 21.1
3.6
2.6
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.6
4.5
0
0-1
42%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26.3
Gerald Fitch
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.5
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 32.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.