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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 27, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Knicks12%8493
4Spurs88%99121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 25.9
26.6
28.4
14
61%
3
1
2
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
5-10
2-6
50%
39%
1-1
100%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.0
24.4
28.0
2
11%
2
3
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-9
4-8
11%
45%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 23.2
20.5
22.1
13
85%
5
1
1
0
0
2
2
3
5-6
83%
4-5
3-7
80%
50%
0-0
-
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 33.1
20.1
24.8
8
52%
0
3
1
0
0
5
0
0
4-6
67%
2-5
3-6
40%
42%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 31.3
11.8
12.9
6
77%
2
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
40%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 22.8
24.8
11.6
4
100%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.9
24.6
22.7
8
58%
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
41%
0-2
0%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.0
23.4
24.7
12
55%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
6-9
67%
3-7
3-7
43%
41%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 22.8
22.8
26.1
11
61%
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
7-7
100%
2-6
5-10
33%
45%
0-0
-
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.0
17.2
13.7
11
41%
9
0
1
0
0
2
7
2
1-1
100%
5-13
2-4
38%
46%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 29.3
14.0
14.7
3
35%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-3
33%
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
0-0
-
Qyntel Woods
F-G · 6'8" 220 · 25.0
9.9
9.8
1
27%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 30.3
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.8
28.1
29.3
20
83%
0
12
1
1
0
4
0
0
6-7
86%
7-9
6-11
78%
55%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.8
25.9
33.3
12
46%
7
4
1
1
3
1
3
4
4-9
44%
4-9
7-14
44%
52%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.7
25.9
32.0
8
57%
2
1
2
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
45%
0-3
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.5
12.1
26.0
5
102%
5
0
0
1
1
0
0
5
1-1
100%
2-2
4-7
100%
52%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.6
10.0
28.4
6
87%
2
2
1
2
0
4
0
2
1-1
100%
1-1
4-7
100%
53%
1-2
50%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.2
27.5
16.6
3
38%
1
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
1-4
25%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.0
22.4
22.0
22
124%
4
3
1
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
3-3
2-4
100%
46%
5-5
100%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 30.9
22.1
9.3
7
62%
4
3
0
0
1
0
2
2
5-6
83%
1-3
1-2
33%
54%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.7
20.7
16.5
7
51%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
1-2
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.5
15.7
2.6
9
65%
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
5
1-2
50%
4-6
0-1
67%
49%
0-0
-
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.3
15.1
11.6
14
88%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-4
1-2
100%
45%
2-4
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.6
14.7
8.6
8
57%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.