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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 28, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Magic22%8887
9Lakers78%98102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 33.4
38.0
27.9
23
78%
4
3
1
1
0
3
0
4
11-13
85%
6-8
5-11
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.2
32.8
33.9
15
70%
9
2
0
1
1
3
1
8
3-4
75%
6-9
5-10
67%
52%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 24.9
24.9
29.2
14
61%
1
1
2
1
0
3
0
1
4-8
50%
5-8
4-9
63%
45%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.0
22.8
23.2
5
53%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.8
20.6
24.4
3
31%
0
4
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
1-4
3-8
25%
45%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 26.9
31.8
25.9
7
50%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
45%
1-2
50%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.6
27.4
22.5
12
59%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-5
60%
3-7
2-6
43%
41%
1-1
100%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.7
24.4
14.3
6
50%
7
1
1
0
3
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 29.5
15.8
15.6
2
53%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-1
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 20.7
1.3
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 37.6
0.1
13.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
39%
0-0
-
Mario Kasun
C · 7'1" 260 · 25.9
6.2
0
1-2
48%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 24.1
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.0
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 27.5
43.9
38.9
28
67%
4
8
3
2
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
7-11
7-15
64%
50%
4-9
44%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.3
38.3
39.0
8
52%
12
5
2
1
0
4
2
10
4-4
100%
2-5
5-10
40%
51%
0-1
0%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.7
34.5
31.4
17
60%
1
7
3
1
0
0
0
1
4-5
80%
5-8
2-5
63%
50%
1-4
25%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.2
26.5
25.7
12
68%
2
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
5-8
4-7
63%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.6
21.1
18.8
12
50%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
6-12
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 24.0
20.1
18.6
11
51%
4
1
0
0
0
1
3
1
1-4
25%
5-9
2-3
56%
49%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.5
19.5
23.1
2
20%
6
1
0
1
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 23.1
13.3
8.4
10
85%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
51%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.0
10.8
17.0
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 18.3
8.9
2.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Devin Green
G-F · 6'7" 212 · 23.3
3.1
4.0
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.9
9.1
0
1-2
46%
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 33.4
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.6
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 26.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.