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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 1, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Pacers46%9499
13Wizards54%9593
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Sarunas Jasikevicius
· 6'4" 197 · 30.0
39.1
18.3
14
79%
0
11
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
46%
2-2
100%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 28.7
37.8
35.7
19
48%
9
1
0
1
0
2
3
6
9-9
100%
5-12
4-9
42%
47%
0-4
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 27.9
37.1
27.3
26
64%
6
2
2
1
0
3
0
6
3-3
100%
7-13
3-8
54%
45%
3-6
50%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.1
24.2
28.6
6
61%
13
2
1
1
0
3
6
7
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 31.0
20.5
19.0
4
33%
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
46%
0-0
-
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 27.0
31.6
29.6
14
42%
6
3
2
1
0
1
0
6
6-6
100%
4-11
4-8
36%
47%
0-3
0%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.5
22.1
16.7
12
104%
9
0
0
0
3
3
4
5
4-4
100%
4-4
3-5
100%
52%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 22.9
19.0
25.9
4
67%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.5
8.6
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-0
0%
39%
0-3
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.4
31.0
1
4-8
46%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 28.0
8.3
0
1-3
45%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 30.8
7.0
0
0-1
45%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27.4
Jonathan Bender
F · 7'0" 230 · 25.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.1
43.3
39.6
28
47%
1
7
4
2
0
3
1
0
11-13
85%
7-16
7-14
44%
47%
1-8
13%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
41.4
40.3
20
52%
12
3
0
1
1
2
2
10
3-5
60%
7-11
6-12
64%
46%
1-6
17%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 26.0
37.5
29.3
6
21%
5
2
2
1
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
3-14
4-9
21%
45%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 24.3
29.1
27.0
6
44%
8
4
1
1
0
1
5
3
2-4
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 26.3
21.4
20.4
10
56%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
53%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.0
29.4
28.7
11
51%
4
3
1
1
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
4-9
3-5
44%
47%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.9
23.1
18.0
6
48%
10
0
1
0
3
2
4
6
0-5
0%
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29.1
8.8
13.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 23.6
6.1
10.4
6
75%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
43%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 19.5
5.3
0
1-2
47%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.8
2.7
0
0-1
44%
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 28.9
2.2
0
0-1
45%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.6
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 20.8
Billy Thomas
G · 6'5" 220 · 30.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.