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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 1, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Kings47%9697
15Cavaliers53%9790
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.3
44.5
33.3
11
51%
7
5
1
2
1
3
1
6
2-2
100%
3-6
4-10
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.8
43.6
36.2
16
36%
3
12
2
1
0
4
0
3
1-1
100%
6-15
5-10
40%
47%
1-7
14%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 28.6
40.5
27.8
22
66%
10
2
1
1
1
3
4
6
4-4
100%
9-15
4-7
60%
48%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 29.9
38.2
28.7
15
69%
9
2
2
1
1
4
2
7
2-2
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
51%
1-1
100%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 23.1
36.2
34.9
11
70%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
51%
1-1
100%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
19.6
23.4
11
138%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
3-3
100%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.2
17.3
22.3
11
66%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
50%
0-0
-
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 32.2
9.5
0
1-3
46%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.7
5.3
0
1-1
44%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.8
5.2
0
1-1
44%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.8
3.8
0
0-1
48%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 30.9
2.9
0
0-1
46%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.4
Sergei Monia
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.2
44.7
41.4
19
39%
7
12
1
2
2
5
1
6
4-7
57%
6-17
9-18
35%
51%
1-4
25%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.6
44.5
30.6
19
58%
3
4
1
1
0
5
1
2
1-1
100%
9-12
4-9
75%
44%
0-4
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.7
32.5
32.2
19
59%
6
1
1
1
2
2
4
2
7-7
100%
6-13
7-13
46%
50%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.9
30.8
26.5
6
50%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.4
23.9
26.4
8
57%
4
1
3
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
51%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.8
22.3
26.1
5
28%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
1-5
20%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.5
20.6
23.3
6
150%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
2-2
100%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.4
17.3
8.2
8
59%
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
4
2-4
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
51%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.3
3.5
15.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.1
7.8
0
1-1
44%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.7
5.9
0
1-1
47%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.2
2.8
0
0-0
52%
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.0
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.3
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.