FinalWin Prob.pScore
555%99
103
1245%98
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
118.48778.3
BOS logo BOS
111.68696.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA103
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)103
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0BOSMISS West 27' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0BOSSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)103
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0BOSMISS Pierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)103
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 0:44.0BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (38 PTS)100
96.5%
96
3.5%
Q4 - 0:44.0BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (37 PTS)100
96.9%
95
3.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)100
97.4%
94
2.6%
Q4 - 1:08MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)97
90.4%
94
9.6%
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot97
85.3%
94
14.7%
Q4 - 1:30MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)97
88.8%
94
11.2%
Q4 - 1:32MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
83.5%
94
16.5%
Q4 - 1:52MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)97
87.0%
94
13.0%
Q4 - 1:53BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 2 of 297
86.2%
94
13.8%
Q4 - 1:53BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)97
81.8%
94
18.2%
Q4 - 2:03BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)97
85.7%
93
14.3%
Q4 - 2:05MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 297
86.7%
93
13.3%
Q4 - 2:05MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)97
89.8%
93
10.2%
Q4 - 2:14MIAHeat Rebound96
87.9%
93
12.1%
Q4 - 2:17MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
82.0%
93
18.0%
Q4 - 2:33BOSWest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)96
88.0%
93
12.0%
Q4 - 2:40MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (23 PTS)96
78.5%
93
21.5%
Q4 - 3:01BOSPierce 3' Finger Roll (35 PTS) (Gomes 5 AST)94
71.5%
93
28.5%
Q4 - 3:22MIAAnderson 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)94
76.7%
91
23.3%
Q4 - 3:40BOSWest 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Szczerbiak 4 AST)92
68.1%
91
31.9%
Q4 - 4:01MIAO'Neal 1' Layup (16 PTS)92
81.7%
88
18.3%
Q4 - 4:20MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
75.9%
88
24.1%
Q4 - 4:22BOSMISS Gomes 13' Jump Shot90
73.6%
88
26.4%
Q4 - 4:44MIAWalker 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)90
67.9%
88
32.1%
Q4 - 4:59BOSGomes 1' Tip Shot (9 PTS)88
59.7%
88
40.3%
Q4 - 5:00BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)88
67.9%
86
32.1%
Q4 - 5:02BOSMISS Pierce 11' Jump Shot88
71.9%
86
28.1%
Q4 - 5:22MIAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)88
66.8%
86
33.2%
Q4 - 5:37BOSGomes 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (LaFrentz 2 AST)85
51.1%
86
48.9%
Q4 - 5:49BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)85
59.0%
84
41.0%
Q4 - 5:51MIAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot85
61.6%
84
38.4%
Q4 - 6:08BOSWest 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)85
66.7%
84
33.3%
Q4 - 6:14BOSSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
77.8%
81
22.2%
Q4 - 6:16MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot85
79.6%
81
20.4%
Q4 - 6:34BOSLaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)85
83.3%
81
16.7%
Q4 - 6:50MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)85
89.8%
78
10.2%
Q4 - 7:08BOSPierce Tip Shot (33 PTS)82
81.8%
78
18.2%
Q4 - 7:09BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
85.1%
76
14.9%
Q4 - 7:11BOSMISS Pierce Layup82
87.6%
76
12.4%
Q4 - 7:21MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)82
85.1%
76
14.9%
Q4 - 7:21MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)81
84.5%
76
15.5%
Q4 - 7:48BOSWest 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (LaFrentz 1 AST)80
81.9%
76
18.1%
Q4 - 8:01BOSWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
86.9%
73
13.1%
Q4 - 8:03MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot80
87.7%
73
12.3%
Q4 - 8:19BOSGomes Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)80
89.6%
73
10.4%
Q4 - 8:41BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)80
87.0%
73
13.0%
Q4 - 8:42MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup80
87.9%
73
12.1%
Q4 - 9:01BOSWest 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)80
88.6%
73
11.4%
Q4 - 9:07BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)80
92.6%
70
7.4%
Q4 - 9:09MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
93.1%
70
6.9%
Q4 - 9:18MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
94.2%
70
5.8%
Q4 - 9:21BOSMISS Gomes 1' Layup80
93.7%
70
6.3%
Q4 - 9:22BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
92.6%
70
7.4%
Q4 - 9:25BOSMISS Pierce 2' Layup80
93.7%
70
6.3%
Q4 - 9:32MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)80
92.6%
70
7.4%
Q4 - 9:32MIAMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 279
92.3%
70
7.7%
Q4 - 9:46MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
92.7%
70
7.3%
Q4 - 9:47BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 2 of 279
92.5%
70
7.5%
Q4 - 9:47BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)79
91.2%
70
8.8%
Q4 - 9:47BOSPierce Free Throw Technical (30 PTS)79
92.6%
69
7.4%
Q4 - 10:02MIAWalker 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)79
93.2%
68
6.8%
Q4 - 10:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
91.7%
68
8.3%
Q4 - 10:09BOSMISS West 3PT Jump Shot77
91.1%
68
8.9%
Q4 - 10:31MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)77
89.7%
68
10.3%
Q4 - 10:31MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)76
89.3%
68
10.7%
Q4 - 10:45BOSJump Ball Greene vs. Walker: Tip to Anderson75
87.7%
68
12.3%
Q4 - 11:11MIAPayton 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)75
83.6%
68
16.4%
Q4 - 11:15BOSJefferson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)73
80.6%
68
19.4%
Q4 - 11:39BOSCELTICS Rebound73
76.8%
68
23.2%
Q4 - 11:40MIAMISS Mourning 3' Layup73
78.0%
68
22.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA73
80.6%
68
19.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0BOSCELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)73
79.7%
68
20.3%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAGreene STEAL (1 STL)73
76.3%
68
23.7%
Q3 - 0:40.0BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)73
79.8%
68
20.2%
Q3 - 0:40.0BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)73
80.4%
67
19.6%
Q3 - 1:00MIAPayton 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)73
82.9%
66
17.1%
Q3 - 1:15BOSCELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)70
75.6%
66
24.4%
Q3 - 1:39MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)70
71.8%
66
28.2%
Q3 - 1:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)69
71.0%
66
29.0%
Q3 - 1:51BOSJefferson 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Greene 2 AST)68
67.8%
66
32.2%
Q3 - 2:14MIAMourning 1' Layup (2 PTS)68
70.7%
64
29.3%
Q3 - 2:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
67.0%
64
33.0%
Q3 - 2:19MIAMISS Payton 4' Jump Shot66
63.8%
64
36.2%
Q3 - 2:46BOSWest 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)66
67.1%
64
32.9%
Q3 - 3:02MIAHaslem 1' Layup (10 PTS)66
70.4%
62
29.6%
Q3 - 3:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)64
66.8%
62
33.2%
Q3 - 3:06MIAMISS Walker 4' Jump Shot64
63.8%
62
36.2%
Q3 - 3:28BOSWest 2' Layup (6 PTS)64
66.8%
62
33.2%
Q3 - 3:32MIAWest STEAL (1 STL)64
70.4%
60
29.6%
Q3 - 3:50BOSPierce 1' Dunk (27 PTS) (Szczerbiak 3 AST)64
74.2%
60
25.8%
Q3 - 3:58MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)64
77.3%
58
22.7%
Q3 - 3:58MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)63
76.7%
58
23.3%
Q3 - 4:05MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)62
73.8%
58
26.2%
Q3 - 4:07BOSMISS Szczerbiak 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
72.6%
58
27.4%
Q3 - 4:10BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
69.7%
58
30.3%
Q3 - 4:12BOSMISS Szczerbiak 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
72.6%
58
27.4%
Q3 - 4:29BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)62
69.8%
58
30.2%
Q3 - 4:31MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 162
70.4%
58
29.6%
Q3 - 4:44MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)60
66.6%
58
33.4%
Q3 - 4:46BOSMISS West 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
65.3%
58
34.7%
Q3 - 5:02BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
62.1%
58
37.9%
Q3 - 5:04MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot60
63.4%
58
36.6%
Q3 - 5:22MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
66.2%
58
33.8%
Q3 - 5:24BOSMISS Szczerbiak 18' Jump Shot60
65.0%
58
35.0%
Q3 - 5:34BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
62.1%
58
37.9%
Q3 - 5:37MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot60
63.3%
58
36.7%
Q3 - 5:57BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)60
66.2%
58
33.8%
Q3 - 5:57BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)60
66.9%
57
33.1%
Q3 - 6:18BOSSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
69.1%
56
30.9%
Q3 - 6:20MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot60
70.2%
56
29.8%
Q3 - 6:34BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)60
72.7%
56
27.3%
Q3 - 6:34BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)60
73.2%
55
26.8%
Q3 - 6:47MIAWade 1' Layup (15 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)60
75.5%
54
24.5%
Q3 - 7:05BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)58
71.9%
54
28.1%
Q3 - 7:24MIAWilliams Layup (10 PTS)58
68.3%
54
31.7%
Q3 - 7:29BOSGomes Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)56
65.3%
54
34.7%
Q3 - 7:48MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS)56
61.2%
54
38.8%
Q3 - 7:59BOSWest 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)54
58.0%
54
42.0%
Q3 - 8:04MIAPierce STEAL (2 STL)54
61.4%
52
38.6%
Q3 - 8:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)54
65.4%
52
34.6%
Q3 - 8:09MIAMISS O'Neal 1' Layup54
62.6%
52
37.4%
Q3 - 8:30BOSLaFrentz Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)54
65.4%
52
34.6%
Q3 - 8:43MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)54
61.4%
52
38.6%
Q3 - 8:51MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
54.5%
52
45.5%
Q3 - 8:52BOSMISS Pierce 1' Layup51
53.2%
52
46.8%
Q3 - 9:11MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS)51
50.6%
52
49.4%
Q3 - 9:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
47.1%
52
52.9%
Q3 - 9:16MIAMISS Williams 28' 3PT Jump Shot49
44.5%
52
55.5%
Q3 - 9:34BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)49
47.1%
52
52.9%
Q3 - 9:34BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)49
47.7%
51
52.3%
Q3 - 9:37BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
50.6%
50
49.4%
Q3 - 9:39MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot49
51.8%
50
48.2%
Q3 - 9:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)49
54.4%
50
45.6%
Q3 - 9:55MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot49
51.8%
50
48.2%
Q3 - 10:08MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
54.9%
50
45.1%
Q3 - 10:10MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 249
51.5%
50
48.5%
Q3 - 10:10MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)49
53.0%
50
47.0%
Q3 - 10:41BOSSzczerbiak Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)48
51.3%
50
48.7%
Q3 - 11:02MIAO'Neal 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)48
48.2%
50
51.8%
Q3 - 11:13BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)46
44.9%
50
55.1%
Q3 - 11:13BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)46
45.5%
49
54.5%
Q3 - 11:28BOSWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
48.1%
48
51.9%
Q3 - 11:29MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot46
49.2%
48
50.8%
Q3 - 11:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
51.8%
48
48.2%
Q3 - 11:47BOSMISS Gomes 2' Layup46
50.6%
48
49.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS46
48.1%
48
51.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAWilliams 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS)46
49.3%
48
50.7%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
44.9%
48
55.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0BOSMISS West 20' Jump Shot44
44.2%
48
55.8%
Q2 - 0:45.0BOSCELTICS Rebound44
42.6%
48
57.4%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 244
42.9%
48
57.1%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 244
45.2%
48
54.8%
Q2 - 1:04BOSPierce 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Gomes 4 AST)44
45.0%
48
55.0%
Q2 - 1:15MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)44
49.8%
46
50.2%
Q2 - 1:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)43
49.1%
46
50.9%
Q2 - 1:23BOSSzczerbiak 1' Finger Roll (12 PTS) (Gomes 3 AST)42
45.0%
46
55.0%
Q2 - 1:26BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
49.8%
44
50.2%
Q2 - 1:28MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup42
50.3%
44
49.7%
Q2 - 1:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
51.4%
44
48.6%
Q2 - 1:31MIAMISS O'Neal 2' Layup42
50.3%
44
49.7%
Q2 - 1:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)42
51.4%
44
48.6%
Q2 - 1:34MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
50.3%
44
49.7%
Q2 - 1:53BOSSzczerbiak 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Gomes 2 AST)42
51.4%
44
48.6%
Q2 - 2:06BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
58.6%
41
41.4%
Q2 - 2:07MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 242
59.0%
41
41.0%
Q2 - 2:07MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 242
61.0%
41
39.0%
Q2 - 2:16MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
61.4%
41
38.6%
Q2 - 2:18MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup42
59.5%
41
40.5%
Q2 - 2:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
61.4%
41
38.6%
Q2 - 2:21MIAMISS Posey 14' Jump Shot42
59.5%
41
40.5%
Q2 - 2:35MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
61.4%
41
38.6%
Q2 - 2:36BOSMISS West 3' Layup42
60.6%
41
39.4%
Q2 - 2:40MIASzczerbiak STEAL (1 STL)42
58.7%
41
41.3%
Q2 - 2:53BOSSzczerbiak 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)42
61.4%
41
38.6%
Q2 - 3:15MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)42
64.1%
39
35.9%
Q2 - 3:15MIAHeat Rebound42
67.1%
39
32.9%
Q2 - 3:17MIAMISS Posey 5' Hook Shot42
65.0%
39
35.0%
Q2 - 3:40BOSSzczerbiak Foul Turnover (P1.T6)42
67.1%
39
32.9%
Q2 - 3:53MIAPosey 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)42
64.1%
39
35.9%
Q2 - 3:59MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
61.6%
39
38.4%
Q2 - 4:01BOSMISS West 3PT Jump Shot40
60.6%
39
39.4%
Q2 - 4:10BOSWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
58.7%
39
41.3%
Q2 - 4:12BOSMISS West 3PT Jump Shot40
60.6%
39
39.4%
Q2 - 4:28BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
58.6%
39
41.4%
Q2 - 4:32MIAMISS Anderson 2' Layup40
59.5%
39
40.5%
Q2 - 4:38BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)40
61.4%
39
38.6%
Q2 - 4:55MIAAnderson 6' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)40
58.6%
39
41.4%
Q2 - 5:08MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
56.1%
39
43.9%
Q2 - 5:09BOSMISS Pierce 19' Jump Shot38
55.2%
39
44.8%
Q2 - 5:21MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)38
53.0%
39
47.0%
Q2 - 5:21MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
52.5%
39
47.5%
Q2 - 5:32MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
50.5%
39
49.5%
Q2 - 5:35BOSMISS LaFrentz 4' Jump Shot36
49.5%
39
50.5%
Q2 - 6:01MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)36
47.7%
39
52.3%
Q2 - 6:05MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
42.8%
39
57.2%
Q2 - 6:07BOSMISS LaFrentz 21' Jump Shot33
41.8%
39
58.2%
Q2 - 6:19BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
39.6%
39
60.4%
Q2 - 6:20MIAMISS Walker 6' Jump Shot33
40.6%
39
59.4%
Q2 - 6:37MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
42.8%
39
57.2%
Q2 - 6:38MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 233
40.0%
39
60.0%
Q2 - 6:38MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 233
41.1%
39
58.9%
Q2 - 6:55BOSPierce 1' Driving Finger Roll (15 PTS)33
42.7%
39
57.3%
Q2 - 7:03BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
45.9%
37
54.1%
Q2 - 7:04MIAMISS O'Neal 3' Jump Shot33
46.7%
37
53.3%
Q2 - 7:11MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
48.6%
37
51.4%
Q2 - 7:12BOSMISS Szczerbiak 7' Jump Shot33
47.8%
37
52.2%
Q2 - 7:16BOSSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
45.8%
37
54.2%
Q2 - 7:18BOSMISS Pierce 17' Jump Shot33
47.8%
37
52.2%
Q2 - 7:27BOSCELTICS Rebound33
45.8%
37
54.2%
Q2 - 7:29BOSMISS Pierce 1' Layup33
47.7%
37
52.3%
Q2 - 7:44MIAO'Neal 1' Layup (9 PTS)33
45.8%
37
54.2%
Q2 - 7:46MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
43.4%
37
56.6%
Q2 - 7:48MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
41.4%
37
58.6%
Q2 - 8:04BOSGreene 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
43.5%
37
56.5%
Q2 - 8:21BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
45.7%
35
54.3%
Q2 - 8:22MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 231
46.1%
35
53.9%
Q2 - 8:22MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)31
47.8%
35
52.2%
Q2 - 8:43BOSSzczerbiak 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Greene 1 AST)30
46.1%
35
53.9%
Q2 - 9:06BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
48.6%
33
51.4%
Q2 - 9:07MIAMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 130
49.0%
33
51.0%
Q2 - 9:16BOSAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)28
46.4%
33
53.6%
Q2 - 9:32BOSSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
43.6%
33
56.4%
Q2 - 9:33MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
44.4%
33
55.6%
Q2 - 9:39MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
46.4%
33
53.6%
Q2 - 9:41BOSMISS Allen 1' Layup28
45.5%
33
54.5%
Q2 - 9:54MIAWade 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS)28
43.5%
33
56.5%
Q2 - 10:30MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
41.5%
33
58.5%
Q2 - 10:31BOSMISS Jefferson 8' Jump Shot26
40.7%
33
59.3%
Q2 - 10:45BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
38.8%
33
61.2%
Q2 - 10:47MIAMISS Anderson 20' Jump Shot26
39.6%
33
60.4%
Q2 - 11:06BOSJefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)26
41.7%
33
58.3%
Q2 - 11:21BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
46.5%
30
53.5%
Q2 - 11:23MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
47.2%
30
52.8%
Q2 - 11:41BOSJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
48.9%
30
51.1%
Q2 - 11:41BOSJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
49.6%
29
50.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
51.3%
28
48.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
53.7%
28
46.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0BOSMISS Jefferson 8' Jump Shot26
52.8%
28
47.2%
Q1 - 0:24.0BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
51.5%
28
48.5%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup26
52.1%
28
47.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0BOSJefferson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)26
53.4%
28
46.6%
Q1 - 1:01MIAAnderson 4' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)26
51.6%
28
48.4%
Q1 - 1:20MIAHeat Rebound24
48.7%
28
51.3%
Q1 - 1:22BOSMISS Pierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
48.2%
28
51.8%
Q1 - 1:49MIAAnderson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)24
46.9%
28
53.1%
Q1 - 2:04BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)22
44.6%
28
55.4%
Q1 - 2:20BOSJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
49.4%
25
50.6%
Q1 - 2:22MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 222
49.7%
25
50.3%
Q1 - 2:22MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)22
50.7%
25
49.3%
Q1 - 2:36MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
49.3%
25
50.7%
Q1 - 2:38BOSMISS LaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
48.6%
25
51.4%
Q1 - 3:00MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)21
47.1%
25
52.9%
Q1 - 3:20BOSSzczerbiak 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)19
45.3%
25
54.7%
Q1 - 3:40MIAWade 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS)19
49.5%
22
50.5%
Q1 - 3:51BOSPierce 2' Layup (10 PTS)17
47.5%
22
52.5%
Q1 - 3:55MIAPierce STEAL (1 STL)17
49.5%
20
50.5%
Q1 - 4:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
52.3%
20
47.7%
Q1 - 4:04BOSMISS Pierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
51.5%
20
48.5%
Q1 - 4:19BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
49.6%
20
50.4%
Q1 - 4:21MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 217
50.0%
20
50.0%
Q1 - 4:21MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 217
50.9%
20
49.1%
Q1 - 4:34BOSGomes 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Szczerbiak 2 AST)17
52.3%
20
47.7%
Q1 - 4:47MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)17
54.0%
18
46.0%
Q1 - 4:58BOSPierce 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (West 3 AST)17
56.7%
18
43.3%
Q1 - 5:20MIAO'Neal 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS)17
58.5%
16
41.5%
Q1 - 5:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
56.7%
16
43.3%
Q1 - 5:23MIAMISS O'Neal 1' Layup15
55.1%
16
44.9%
Q1 - 5:38BOSWest 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
56.7%
16
43.3%
Q1 - 5:50BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
58.5%
14
41.5%
Q1 - 5:52MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot15
59.2%
14
40.8%
Q1 - 6:09BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gomes 1 AST)15
60.5%
14
39.5%
Q1 - 6:27MIAO'Neal 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)15
64.2%
11
35.8%
Q1 - 6:46BOSLaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)13
62.4%
11
37.6%
Q1 - 7:02MIAHaslem 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)13
65.5%
8
34.5%
Q1 - 7:20BOSGomes 1' Layup (3 PTS) (West 2 AST)11
64.0%
8
36.0%
Q1 - 7:26MIALaFrentz STEAL (1 STL)11
65.6%
6
34.4%
Q1 - 7:37BOSCELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)11
67.5%
6
32.5%
Q1 - 8:04MIAWade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)11
65.9%
6
34.1%
Q1 - 8:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
64.4%
6
35.6%
Q1 - 8:15BOSMISS Szczerbiak 7' Jump Shot9
63.8%
6
36.2%
Q1 - 8:29MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T1)9
62.4%
6
37.6%
Q1 - 8:49BOSGomes Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)9
64.4%
6
35.6%
Q1 - 8:56MIAO'Neal 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)9
62.4%
6
37.6%
Q1 - 9:19BOSGomes Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)7
60.8%
6
39.2%
Q1 - 9:19BOSMISS Gomes Free Throw 1 of 27
61.3%
5
38.7%
Q1 - 9:22BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
60.3%
5
39.7%
Q1 - 9:24MIAMISS Williams 8' Jump Shot7
61.0%
5
39.0%
Q1 - 9:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
62.6%
5
37.4%
Q1 - 9:32BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
61.9%
5
38.1%
Q1 - 9:42BOSLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
60.4%
5
39.6%
Q1 - 9:43MIAMISS Haslem 11' Jump Shot7
61.1%
5
38.9%
Q1 - 10:02BOSLaFrentz 1' Layup (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)7
62.4%
5
37.6%
Q1 - 10:12MIAHaslem 1' Finger Roll (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)7
63.9%
3
36.1%
Q1 - 10:29BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Szczerbiak 1 AST)5
62.4%
3
37.6%
Q1 - 10:36BOSSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
65.6%
0
34.4%
Q1 - 10:38MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
66.2%
0
33.8%
Q1 - 10:50MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
67.5%
0
32.5%
Q1 - 10:51BOSMISS LaFrentz 3' Layup5
66.9%
0
33.1%
Q1 - 11:06MIAWade 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)5
65.6%
0
34.4%
Q1 - 11:10MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
63.8%
0
36.2%
Q1 - 11:14BOSMISS Pierce 2' Layup3
63.4%
0
36.6%
Q1 - 11:35MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)3
62.3%
0
37.7%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball LaFrentz vs. O'Neal: Tip to Wade0
58.6%
0
41.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.6%
BOS
1.19 59.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
24
39
62%
BOS
15
26
58%
Midrange
MIA
7
19
37%
BOS
8
19
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
BOS
10
15.0
22
45%
68%
Free Throws
MIA
17
32
53%
BOS
20
23
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2452%12.0 / 23
S. O'Neal1647%8.0 / 17
S. Anderson1575%7.5 / 10
J. Williams1372%6.5 / 9
A. Walker1359%6.5 / 11
U. Haslem1063%5.0 / 8
J. Posey531%2.5 / 8
G. Payton563%2.5 / 4
A. Mourning250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce3863%19.0 / 30
D. West2067%10.0 / 15
W. Szczerbiak1260%6.0 / 10
R. Gomes956%4.5 / 8
R. LaFrentz857%4.0 / 7
A. Jefferson770%3.5 / 5
O. Greene2100%1.0 / 1
T. Allen0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+17
-8
96
BOS
73
+8
-13
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.6%
BOS
1.19 59.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Season Averages
Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
104.8
MIA 118.4 +6.8
BOS 111.6
Pace
92.2
92.6
MIA 78.3
BOS 96.8 +18.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
15.1
MIA 18.4
BOS 14.9 +3.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
50.4%
MIA 55.8%
BOS 56.7% +0.9%
TO %
15.0%
17.0%
MIA 9.0% +8.2%
BOS 17.2%
ORB %
26.8%
25.7%
MIA 34.1% +13.5%
BOS 20.6%
FTrt
36.3
34.9
MIA 41.6 +7.3
BOS 34.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.7%
58.1%
MIA 64.1% +6.5%
BOS 57.6%
STL %
6.9%
7.5%
MIA 11.5% +4.5%
BOS 7.0%
BLK %
8.5%
8.1%
MIA 13.3% +13.3%
BOS 0.0%
Season Averages
Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
53.6%
MIA 53.6%
BOS 59.3% +5.7%
Rim FG%
64.2%
57.3%
MIA 61.5% +3.8%
BOS 57.7%
Mid FG%
38.9%
41.6%
MIA 36.8%
BOS 42.1% +5.3%
3P %
34.5%
36.2%
MIA 42.1%
BOS 45.5% +3.4%
FT %
70.0%
75.5%
MIA 53.1%
BOS 87.0% +33.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
39.4%
MIA 50.6% +11.8%
BOS 38.8%
Mid Att. %
38.0%
40.2%
MIA 24.7% +3.7%
BOS 28.4%
3P Att. %
22.7%
20.4%
MIA 24.7%
BOS 32.8% +8.2%
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions8786
Possession Minutes26.721.3
Points10396
Rebounds4236
Assists2519
Steals106
Blocks60
Turnovers (Team)8 (1)13 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (2)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)29 (2)
Field Goals39-7733-67
At-the-Rim FG24-3915-26
Midrange FG7-198-19
2-Point FG31-5823-45
3-Point FG8-1910-22
Free Throws17-3220-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORES

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 24
40.1
24
52%
5
8
2
0
5
3
2
3
10-16
63%
7-15
47%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 325 · 34
35.9
16
47%
9
3
0
3
0
1
4
5
2-9
22%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 30
32.3
13
72%
0
9
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
3-5
60%
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
25.8
10
63%
7
1
0
0
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
5-8
63%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 217 · 29
21.0
5
31%
8
1
3
0
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
28.6
13
59%
4
0
3
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
3-7
43%
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32
23.1
15
75%
6
1
0
0
0
5
1
5
5-7
71%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 38
21.9
5
63%
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 261 · 36
11.2
2
50%
3
1
1
2
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'5" 195 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
54%
42
25
10
6
8
0
15
27
17-32
53%
31-58
53%
8-19
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.