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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 1, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Heat55%99103
12Celtics45%9896
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.1
40.1
40.0
24
54%
5
8
2
2
0
5
2
3
10-16
63%
7-15
9-18
47%
51%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.0
35.9
33.4
16
47%
9
3
0
0
3
0
4
5
2-9
22%
7-13
8-15
54%
58%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.3
32.3
26.5
13
72%
0
9
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
3-5
60%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.7
25.8
29.8
10
63%
7
1
0
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
5-8
4-7
63%
52%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.1
21.0
23.1
5
31%
8
1
3
1
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
46%
1-5
20%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.5
28.6
27.7
13
59%
4
0
3
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
3-7
43%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.2
23.1
12.9
15
74%
6
1
0
0
0
0
1
5
5-7
71%
5-7
1-2
71%
46%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.6
21.9
25.4
5
63%
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.1
11.2
11.8
2
50%
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.1
2.8
0
0-1
43%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.0
2.6
0
0-1
49%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.7
2.1
0
0-1
43%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.2
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.6
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.4
46.0
38.1
38
64%
6
3
2
1
0
2
1
5
16-18
89%
8-16
8-17
50%
49%
2-6
33%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 22.6
41.1
36.9
20
67%
3
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
4-8
67%
52%
4-9
44%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.0
38.9
31.3
12
60%
6
4
1
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
51%
2-4
50%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.5
38.7
36.7
9
57%
8
5
0
1
0
3
2
6
1-2
50%
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.8
34.8
28.2
8
57%
8
2
1
1
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
52%
2-3
67%
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 24.1
13.0
16.0
2
100%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 21.2
12.0
10.2
7
66%
5
0
0
0
0
2
0
5
3-3
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.0
9.3
18.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 24.1
4.9
16.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Michael Olowokandi
C · 7'0" 270 · 30.9
1.3
6.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.1
4.7
0
1-1
46%
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 22.7
1.1
0
0-0
50%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 27.5
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.