Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 1, 2006

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	26	Bobcats	38%	90	104
	23	Jazz	62%	94	89

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
CHA	115.6	90	93.4
UTA	100.0	89	86.4

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

-9

UTA

+10

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.20 59.8%

UTA

1.05 52.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	UTA
Q4 - 0:00.0	CHA		104 100%	89 0%
Q4 - 0:23.0	UTA	D. Williams Driving Layup (15 PTS)	104 99.9%	89 0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0	UTA	D. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	104 99.9%	87 0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0	CHA	MISS Brezec 19' Jump Shot	104 99.9%	87 0.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0	UTA	Brown Driving Layup (7 PTS)	104 99.9%	87 0.1%
Q4 - 1:09	CHA	Brezec 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS)	104 99.9%	85 0.1%
Q4 - 1:30	UTA	Brown Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	102 99.9%	85 0.1%
Q4 - 1:30	UTA	Brown Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	102 99.9%	84 0.1%
Q4 - 1:33	UTA	Miles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	102 99.9%	83 0.1%
Q4 - 1:35	UTA	MISS D. Williams 19' Jump Shot	102 99.9%	83 0.1%
Q4 - 1:53	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)	102 99.9%	83 0.1%
Q4 - 1:53	CHA	MISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2	101 99.9%	83 0.1%
Q4 - 2:11	UTA	Ostertag Dunk (4 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)	101 99.9%	83 0.1%
Q4 - 2:22	CHA	Knight Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)	101 99.9%	81 0.1%
Q4 - 2:22	CHA	Knight Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)	100 99.9%	81 0.1%
Q4 - 2:32	UTA	D. Williams 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)	99 99.9%	81 0.1%
Q4 - 2:45	CHA	Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Felton 6 AST)	99 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 3:04	CHA	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	96 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 3:06	UTA	MISS Humphries 10' Fadeaway Jumper	96 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 3:26	CHA	Knight Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)	96 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 3:26	CHA	Knight Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)	95 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 3:45	UTA	Ostertag Layup (2 PTS) (D. Williams 4 AST)	94 99.5%	79 0.5%
Q4 - 4:04	UTA	Humphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	94 99.7%	77 0.3%
Q4 - 4:06	CHA	MISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 2	94 99.7%	77 0.3%
Q4 - 4:06	CHA	Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	94 99.8%	77 0.2%
Q4 - 4:23	UTA	Harpring Reverse Layup (22 PTS)	93 99.7%	77 0.3%
Q4 - 4:44	CHA	Felton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Knight 10 AST)	93 99.8%	75 0.2%
Q4 - 5:01	UTA	Jump Ball Palacio vs. Jones: Tip to Jones	90 99.1%	75 0.9%
Q4 - 5:08	UTA	Humphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	90 98.8%	75 1.2%
Q4 - 5:09	CHA	MISS Felton 16' Jump Shot	90 98.9%	75 1.1%
Q4 - 5:22	UTA	Miles Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)	90 99.2%	75 0.8%
Q4 - 5:24	UTA	Miles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	90 98.8%	75 1.2%
Q4 - 5:27	CHA	MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot	90 98.9%	75 1.1%
Q4 - 5:48	UTA	Harpring 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Ostertag 1 AST)	90 99.2%	75 0.8%
Q4 - 6:04	CHA	Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	90 98.9%	73 1.1%
Q4 - 6:04	CHA	Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	89 98.8%	73 1.2%
Q4 - 6:19	UTA	Harpring Driving Layup (18 PTS)	88 98.6%	73 1.4%
Q4 - 6:34	UTA	Okur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	88 98.9%	71 1.1%
Q4 - 6:36	CHA	MISS Brezec 20' Jump Shot	88 99.1%	71 0.9%
Q4 - 6:53	CHA	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	88 99.3%	71 0.7%
Q4 - 6:56	UTA	MISS McLeod 19' Jump Shot	88 99.2%	71 0.8%
Q4 - 7:09	UTA	Okur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	88 98.3%	71 1.7%
Q4 - 7:11	UTA	MISS McLeod 17' Jump Shot	88 98.7%	71 1.3%
Q4 - 7:34	UTA	Ostertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	88 98.4%	71 1.6%
Q4 - 7:35	CHA	MISS Rush Driving Layup	88 98.5%	71 1.5%
Q4 - 7:58	CHA	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	88 98.8%	71 1.2%
Q4 - 8:00	UTA	MISS Okur 24' 3PT Jump Shot	88 98.7%	71 1.3%
Q4 - 8:17	CHA	Voskuhl 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Felton 5 AST)	88 97.7%	71 2.3%
Q4 - 8:36	CHA	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	86 97.1%	71 2.9%
Q4 - 8:38	UTA	MISS McLeod 20' Jump Shot	86 96.9%	71 3.1%
Q4 - 8:59	CHA	Rush 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Felton 4 AST)	86 96.4%	71 3.6%
Q4 - 9:02	CHA	Felton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	83 92.8%	71 7.2%
Q4 - 9:04	CHA	MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot	83 91.5%	71 8.5%
Q4 - 9:26	UTA	Okur Layup (6 PTS) (Harpring 2 AST)	83 92.8%	71 7.2%
Q4 - 9:38	UTA	Okur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	83 94.2%	69 5.8%
Q4 - 9:39	CHA	MISS Rush 18' Jump Shot	83 94.6%	69 5.4%
Q4 - 9:54	UTA	D. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)	83 95.5%	69 4.5%
Q4 - 10:58	CHA	Rush Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	83 95.5%	67 4.5%
Q4 - 10:58	CHA	Rush Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	82 95.3%	67 4.7%
Q4 - 11:01	UTA	D. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)	81 93.6%	67 6.4%
Q4 - 11:06	UTA	Harpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	81 92.1%	67 7.9%
Q4 - 11:09	CHA	MISS Voskuhl 12' Jump Shot	81 92.6%	67 7.4%
Q4 - 11:10	CHA	Rush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	81 93.6%	67 6.4%
Q4 - 11:13	CHA	Ostertag BLOCK (1 BLK)	81 92.6%	67 7.4%
Q4 - 11:27	UTA	Harpring Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)	81 93.6%	67 6.4%
Q4 - 11:37	UTA	JAZZ Rebound	81 92.2%	67 7.8%
Q4 - 11:37	UTA	MISS Harpring 13' Jump Bank Shot	81 93.2%	67 6.8%
Q4 - 11:45	UTA	Ostertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	81 92.2%	67 7.8%
Q4 - 11:45	UTA	MISS Harpring 18' Jump Shot	81 93.2%	67 6.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0	CHA		81 92.2%	67 7.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0	UTA	Collins Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	81 93.7%	67 6.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0	UTA	MISS Collins Free Throw 1 of 2	81 94.0%	66 6.0%
Q3 - 0:21.0	CHA	Voskuhl Dunk (4 PTS) (Ely 2 AST)	81 92.5%	66 7.5%
Q3 - 0:45.0	CHA	Ely REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	79 91.0%	66 9.0%
Q3 - 0:47.0	UTA	Brown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	79 89.2%	66 10.8%
Q3 - 0:47.0	UTA	MISS Brown Layup	79 90.5%	66 9.5%
Q3 - 0:49.0	UTA	MISS Palacio 5' Jump Shot	79 90.5%	66 9.5%
Q3 - 0:54.0	CHA	Palacio STEAL (2 STL)	79 89.2%	66 10.8%
Q3 - 1:04	CHA	Felton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	79 89.7%	66 10.3%
Q3 - 1:04	UTA	MISS Palacio Free Throw 2 of 2	79 89.4%	66 10.6%
Q3 - 1:04	UTA	Palacio Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)	79 88.2%	66 11.8%
Q3 - 1:07	UTA	Collins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	79 89.6%	65 10.4%
Q3 - 1:08	CHA	MISS Rush 24' 3PT Jump Shot	79 90.2%	65 9.8%
Q3 - 1:17	CHA	Carroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	79 91.4%	65 8.6%
Q3 - 1:18	UTA	MISS Collins 7' Running Jump Shot	79 90.9%	65 9.1%
Q3 - 1:42	CHA	Carroll 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Knight 9 AST)	79 89.7%	65 10.3%
Q3 - 1:54	UTA	Okur Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)	77 87.8%	65 12.2%
Q3 - 2:10	CHA	Voskuhl 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rush 2 AST)	77 83.6%	65 16.4%
Q3 - 2:31	UTA	Okur Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	75 81.2%	65 18.8%
Q3 - 2:31	UTA	MISS Okur Free Throw 1 of 2	75 81.7%	64 18.3%
Q3 - 2:49	CHA	Knight Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	75 81.0%	64 19.0%
Q3 - 2:49	CHA	Knight Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	74 80.5%	64 19.5%
Q3 - 2:52	UTA	Harpring Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)	73 78.3%	64 21.7%
Q3 - 3:03	CHA	Ely Foul Turnover (P2.T7)	73 73.5%	64 26.5%
Q3 - 3:17	CHA	Brezec REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	73 77.1%	64 22.9%
Q3 - 3:20	UTA	MISS Boozer 17' Jump Shot	73 76.0%	64 24.0%
Q3 - 3:34	CHA	Ely Foul Turnover (P1.T6)	73 73.6%	64 26.4%
Q3 - 3:42	CHA	Ely REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	73 77.1%	64 22.9%
Q3 - 3:43	UTA	MISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot	73 76.1%	64 23.9%
Q3 - 4:01	CHA	Brezec 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)	73 71.8%	64 28.2%
Q3 - 4:25	UTA	D. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Palacio 2 AST)	71 68.9%	64 31.1%
Q3 - 4:43	UTA	D. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	71 75.3%	61 24.7%
Q3 - 4:46	CHA	MISS Knight 21' Jump Shot	71 76.5%	61 23.5%
Q3 - 5:10	UTA	Harpring Driving Layup (16 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST)	71 77.5%	61 22.5%
Q3 - 5:26	CHA	Brezec 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Felton 3 AST)	71 80.1%	59 19.9%
Q3 - 5:36	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	69 77.5%	59 22.5%
Q3 - 5:39	UTA	MISS Harpring 18' Jump Shot	69 76.6%	59 23.4%
Q3 - 5:58	CHA	Wallace 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Felton 2 AST)	69 74.3%	59 25.7%
Q3 - 6:17	UTA	Palacio Layup (16 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST)	67 69.7%	59 30.3%
Q3 - 6:20	CHA	D. Williams STEAL (1 STL)	67 72.8%	57 27.2%
Q3 - 6:40	UTA	Palacio Driving Layup (14 PTS)	67 76.1%	57 23.9%
Q3 - 6:43	UTA	Palacio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	67 78.7%	55 21.3%
Q3 - 6:45	CHA	MISS Felton 25' 3PT Jump Shot	67 79.6%	55 20.4%
Q3 - 6:58	UTA	Boozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	67 81.5%	55 18.5%
Q3 - 6:58	UTA	MISS Boozer Free Throw 1 of 2	67 82.0%	54 18.0%
Q3 - 7:15	CHA	Knight Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)	67 79.9%	54 20.1%
Q3 - 7:17	UTA	Boozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)	66 77.3%	54 22.7%
Q3 - 7:19	CHA	MISS Brezec 21' Jump Shot	66 78.2%	54 21.8%
Q3 - 7:43	UTA	Palacio Layup (12 PTS) (Boozer 2 AST)	66 80.3%	54 19.7%
Q3 - 8:08	CHA	Felton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)	66 81.5%	52 18.5%
Q3 - 8:24	UTA	Boozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	63 76.9%	52 23.1%
Q3 - 8:24	UTA	MISS Boozer Free Throw 1 of 2	63 77.5%	51 22.5%
Q3 - 8:36	CHA	Knight 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	63 76.6%	51 23.4%
Q3 - 8:44	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	61 74.2%	51 25.8%
Q3 - 8:48	CHA	MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot	61 71.8%	51 28.2%
Q3 - 9:07	UTA	Palacio Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)	61 72.5%	51 27.5%
Q3 - 9:19	UTA	D. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	61 69.5%	51 30.5%
Q3 - 9:21	CHA	MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot	61 70.5%	51 29.5%
Q3 - 9:31	CHA	Knight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	61 72.6%	51 27.4%
Q3 - 9:32	UTA	MISS Collins Free Throw 2 of 2	61 72.2%	51 27.8%
Q3 - 9:32	UTA	MISS Collins Free Throw 1 of 2	61 70.3%	51 29.7%
Q3 - 9:42	UTA	Collins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	61 69.5%	51 30.5%
Q3 - 9:44	CHA	MISS Jones 21' Jump Shot	61 70.5%	51 29.5%
Q3 - 9:54	CHA	Brezec REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	61 72.7%	51 27.3%
Q3 - 9:55	UTA	MISS Okur 8' Jump Shot	61 71.8%	51 28.2%
Q3 - 10:04	UTA	Collins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	61 68.2%	51 31.8%
Q3 - 10:07	CHA	MISS Brezec 19' Jump Shot	61 69.2%	51 30.8%
Q3 - 10:25	UTA	Palacio 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Okur 4 AST)	61 71.6%	51 28.4%
Q3 - 10:44	CHA	Knight 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)	61 74.1%	49 25.9%
Q3 - 10:59	UTA	Harpring 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Okur 3 AST)	59 71.6%	49 28.4%
Q3 - 11:17	CHA	Felton Driving Layup (5 PTS)	59 73.1%	47 26.9%
Q3 - 11:24	CHA	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	57 70.4%	47 29.6%
Q3 - 11:25	UTA	MISS Palacio Layup	57 69.5%	47 30.5%
Q3 - 11:47	CHA	Brezec Layup (10 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)	57 67.3%	47 32.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0	CHA		55 64.4%	47 35.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0	UTA	Boozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	55 64.4%	47 35.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0	UTA	Boozer Layup (7 PTS)	55 64.4%	47 35.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0	UTA	MISS McLeod 22' Jump Shot	55 68.0%	45 32.0%
Q2 - 0:24.0	CHA	Wallace Reverse Layup (16 PTS)	55 66.7%	45 33.3%
Q2 - 0:29.0	CHA	Ely REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	53 62.8%	45 37.2%
Q2 - 0:30.0	UTA	MISS Harpring Layup	53 62.1%	45 37.9%
Q2 - 0:41.0	CHA	Felton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)	53 60.6%	45 39.4%
Q2 - 1:06	UTA	Palacio Layup (8 PTS) (Harpring 1 AST)	50 52.3%	45 47.7%
Q2 - 1:22	CHA	Palacio STEAL (1 STL)	50 57.0%	43 43.0%
Q2 - 1:33	UTA	Harpring Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	50 58.7%	43 41.3%
Q2 - 1:33	UTA	MISS Harpring Free Throw 1 of 2	50 59.4%	42 40.6%
Q2 - 1:47	UTA	Boozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	50 60.2%	42 39.8%
Q2 - 1:49	CHA	MISS Brezec 19' Jump Shot	50 60.7%	42 39.3%
Q2 - 2:10	UTA	Collins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	50 61.5%	42 38.5%
Q2 - 2:10	UTA	Collins Tip Shot (4 PTS)	50 61.5%	42 38.5%
Q2 - 2:11	UTA	MISS Boozer Driving Layup	50 66.4%	40 33.6%
Q2 - 2:22	CHA	Ely Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	50 64.6%	40 35.4%
Q2 - 2:22	CHA	MISS Ely Free Throw 1 of 2	49 63.7%	40 36.3%
Q2 - 2:46	UTA	Harpring Layup (11 PTS) (McLeod 2 AST)	49 64.4%	40 35.6%
Q2 - 3:03	CHA	Knight 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	49 65.6%	38 34.4%
Q2 - 3:11	CHA	Brezec REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	47 63.2%	38 36.8%
Q2 - 3:13	UTA	MISS Boozer 17' Turnaround Jump Shot	47 62.2%	38 37.8%
Q2 - 3:26	UTA	Harpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	47 60.1%	38 39.9%
Q2 - 3:27	CHA	MISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot	47 61.1%	38 38.9%
Q2 - 3:48	CHA	Brezec REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	47 63.3%	38 36.7%
Q2 - 3:50	UTA	MISS Harpring Free Throw 2 of 2	47 62.9%	38 37.1%
Q2 - 3:50	UTA	Harpring Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	47 61.1%	38 38.9%
Q2 - 3:53	UTA	JAZZ Rebound	47 63.0%	37 37.0%
Q2 - 3:54	UTA	MISS Okur 25' 3PT Jump Shot	47 65.1%	37 34.9%
Q2 - 4:13	CHA	Carroll 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Knight 8 AST)	47 61.9%	37 38.1%
Q2 - 4:19	CHA	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	44 56.3%	37 43.7%
Q2 - 4:21	UTA	MISS McLeod 23' Jump Shot	44 55.4%	37 44.6%
Q2 - 4:42	CHA	Brezec Layup (8 PTS) (Knight 7 AST)	44 53.5%	37 46.5%
Q2 - 4:52	UTA	Harpring Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	42 50.6%	37 49.4%
Q2 - 4:52	UTA	Harpring Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	42 51.2%	36 48.8%
Q2 - 4:55	UTA	Okur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	42 53.5%	35 46.5%
Q2 - 5:00	CHA	MISS Jones 19' Jump Shot	42 54.4%	35 45.6%
Q2 - 5:06	UTA	D. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)	42 55.9%	35 44.1%
Q2 - 5:18	CHA	Wallace Reverse Dunk (14 PTS) (Knight 6 AST)	42 52.8%	35 47.2%
Q2 - 5:28	UTA	Okur Foul Turnover (P2.T7)	40 50.2%	35 49.8%
Q2 - 5:40	UTA	Boozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	40 47.2%	35 52.8%
Q2 - 5:42	CHA	MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot	40 48.1%	35 51.9%
Q2 - 5:48	CHA	Knight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	40 50.2%	35 49.8%
Q2 - 5:50	UTA	MISS Brown 13' Jump Shot	40 49.3%	35 50.7%
Q2 - 5:57	UTA	Boozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	40 47.2%	35 52.8%
Q2 - 5:59	CHA	MISS Knight Driving Layup	40 48.1%	35 51.9%
Q2 - 6:05	UTA	Brown Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)	40 49.9%	35 50.1%
Q2 - 6:18	CHA	Wallace Layup (12 PTS) (Knight 5 AST)	40 46.6%	35 53.4%
Q2 - 6:31	UTA	McLeod 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)	38 44.4%	35 55.6%
Q2 - 6:56	CHA	Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)	38 46.6%	33 53.4%
Q2 - 7:04	UTA	Boozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	35 41.3%	33 58.7%
Q2 - 7:04	UTA	MISS Boozer Free Throw 1 of 2	35 41.8%	32 58.2%
Q2 - 7:14	UTA	Boozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	35 41.1%	32 58.9%
Q2 - 7:16	CHA	MISS Rush 24' 3PT Jump Shot	35 41.9%	32 58.1%
Q2 - 7:43	UTA	Palacio Driving Layup (6 PTS)	35 43.9%	32 56.1%
Q2 - 8:05	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	35 45.8%	30 54.2%
Q2 - 8:05	CHA	MISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2	34 45.0%	30 55.0%
Q2 - 8:27	UTA	Boozer 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)	34 46.2%	30 53.8%
Q2 - 8:38	UTA	Boozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	34 48.4%	28 51.6%
Q2 - 8:39	CHA	MISS Wallace Layup	34 49.3%	28 50.7%
Q2 - 8:44	CHA	Voskuhl REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	34 51.4%	28 48.6%
Q2 - 8:46	UTA	MISS Brown Layup	34 50.5%	28 49.5%
Q2 - 8:53	CHA	Ely Driving Dunk (6 PTS)	34 48.5%	28 51.5%
Q2 - 9:02	CHA	Felton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	32 45.6%	28 54.4%
Q2 - 9:07	UTA	MISS Okur 24' Jump Shot	32 44.8%	28 55.2%
Q2 - 9:28	CHA	Ely Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	32 42.9%	28 57.1%
Q2 - 9:28	CHA	Ely Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	31 42.1%	28 57.9%
Q2 - 9:46	UTA	Brown Driving Layup (3 PTS) (Palacio 1 AST)	30 40.7%	28 59.3%
Q2 - 9:50	CHA	McLeod STEAL (2 STL)	30 42.9%	26 57.1%
Q2 - 10:08	UTA	Palacio 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)	30 45.5%	26 54.5%
Q2 - 10:25	UTA	Boozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	30 47.6%	24 52.4%
Q2 - 10:26	CHA	MISS Voskuhl 20' Jump Shot	30 48.5%	24 51.5%
Q2 - 10:40	UTA	JAZZ Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)	30 50.4%	24 49.6%
Q2 - 11:07	CHA	Ely 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)	30 47.1%	24 52.9%
Q2 - 11:22	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	28 44.7%	24 55.3%
Q2 - 11:24	UTA	MISS McLeod 19' Jump Shot	28 44.0%	24 56.0%
Q2 - 11:48	CHA	Felton Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)	28 42.3%	24 57.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0	CHA		28 44.7%	24 55.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0	CHA	Carroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	28 44.7%	24 55.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0	UTA	MISS Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot	28 44.0%	24 56.0%
Q1 - 0:15.0	UTA	Collins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	28 42.2%	24 57.8%
Q1 - 0:16.0	CHA	MISS Carroll 21' Jump Shot	28 42.8%	24 57.2%
Q1 - 0:32.0	UTA	Brown Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	28 44.0%	24 56.0%
Q1 - 0:32.0	UTA	MISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 2	28 44.5%	23 55.5%
Q1 - 0:45.0	CHA	Rush 15' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)	28 44.5%	23 55.5%
Q1 - 0:51.0	CHA	Carroll Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)	26 41.7%	23 58.3%
Q1 - 1:11	UTA	Harpring Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	25 39.4%	23 60.6%
Q1 - 1:11	UTA	Harpring Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	25 39.9%	22 60.1%
Q1 - 1:26	CHA	Rush Driving Layup (2 PTS)	25 42.2%	21 57.8%
Q1 - 1:48	UTA	Collins 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McLeod 1 AST)	23 39.4%	21 60.6%
Q1 - 1:57	UTA	Harpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	23 42.2%	19 57.8%
Q1 - 1:59	CHA	MISS Ely 7' Jump Hook Shot	23 42.7%	19 57.3%
Q1 - 2:13	UTA	Collins Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)	23 44.2%	19 55.8%
Q1 - 2:36	CHA	Brezec 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)	23 42.0%	19 58.0%
Q1 - 2:50	UTA	Boozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	21 39.6%	19 60.4%
Q1 - 2:50	UTA	Boozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	21 40.1%	18 59.9%
Q1 - 3:01	UTA	Palacio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	21 41.2%	17 58.8%
Q1 - 3:03	CHA	MISS Carroll 18' Jump Shot	21 42.0%	17 58.0%
Q1 - 3:09	CHA	Ely REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	21 43.7%	17 56.3%
Q1 - 3:09	UTA	MISS Palacio Layup	21 43.0%	17 57.0%
Q1 - 3:15	CHA	McLeod STEAL (1 STL)	21 41.3%	17 58.7%
Q1 - 3:27	UTA	Harpring 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)	21 43.7%	17 56.3%
Q1 - 3:42	UTA	Boozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	21 45.7%	15 54.3%
Q1 - 3:43	CHA	MISS Brezec Free Throw 1 of 1	21 46.1%	15 53.9%
Q1 - 3:54	CHA	Carroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	19 43.8%	15 56.2%
Q1 - 4:00	UTA	MISS Okur 11' Jump Shot	19 43.0%	15 57.0%
Q1 - 4:24	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	19 40.8%	15 59.2%
Q1 - 4:24	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	18 40.1%	15 59.9%
Q1 - 4:27	UTA	Okur Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	17 39.1%	15 60.9%
Q1 - 4:46	CHA	Wallace Dunk (7 PTS) (Ely 1 AST)	17 36.6%	15 63.4%
Q1 - 4:49	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	15 35.0%	15 65.0%
Q1 - 4:52	UTA	MISS Okur Free Throw 2 of 2	15 34.7%	15 65.3%
Q1 - 4:52	UTA	Okur Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	15 33.3%	15 66.7%
Q1 - 4:52	UTA	Okur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	15 34.6%	14 65.4%
Q1 - 4:53	CHA	MISS Felton 20' Jump Shot	15 35.3%	14 64.7%
Q1 - 5:00	UTA	Harpring Layup (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)	15 37.0%	14 63.0%
Q1 - 5:22	CHA	Knight 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	15 38.2%	12 61.8%
Q1 - 5:38	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	13 36.5%	12 63.5%
Q1 - 5:39	UTA	MISS Palacio Layup	13 35.8%	12 64.2%
Q1 - 6:00	UTA	JAZZ Rebound	13 34.3%	12 65.7%
Q1 - 6:00	CHA	MISS Knight Layup	13 35.0%	12 65.0%
Q1 - 6:12	UTA	Palacio Driving Layup (2 PTS)	13 36.1%	12 63.9%
Q1 - 6:32	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	13 37.9%	10 62.1%
Q1 - 6:32	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	12 37.3%	10 62.7%
Q1 - 6:41	UTA	D. Williams 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	11 36.1%	10 63.9%
Q1 - 7:07	CHA	Knight Driving Layup (4 PTS)	11 37.3%	8 62.7%
Q1 - 7:19	UTA	Harpring Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)	9 35.8%	8 64.2%
Q1 - 7:32	CHA	Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	9 33.9%	8 66.1%
Q1 - 7:32	CHA	MISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2	8 33.3%	8 66.7%
Q1 - 7:36	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	8 34.0%	8 66.0%
Q1 - 7:38	UTA	MISS Brown 21' Jump Shot	8 33.5%	8 66.5%
Q1 - 7:56	UTA	Okur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 32.2%	8 67.8%
Q1 - 8:00	CHA	MISS Felton 22' Jump Shot	8 32.7%	8 67.3%
Q1 - 8:21	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 34.0%	8 66.0%
Q1 - 8:23	UTA	MISS D. Williams 19' Jump Shot	8 33.5%	8 66.5%
Q1 - 8:43	CHA	Wallace Dunk (2 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)	8 32.2%	8 67.8%
Q1 - 8:58	CHA	Brezec REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	6 30.7%	8 69.3%
Q1 - 9:00	UTA	MISS Okur 19' Jump Bank Shot	6 30.2%	8 69.8%
Q1 - 9:24	CHA	Jones 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)	6 28.7%	8 71.3%
Q1 - 9:34	UTA	Okur Layup (2 PTS)	4 27.6%	8 72.4%
Q1 - 9:48	CHA	Knight Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	4 28.7%	6 71.3%
Q1 - 9:48	CHA	Knight Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	3 28.4%	6 71.6%
Q1 - 10:02	UTA	D. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Okur 2 AST)	2 27.4%	6 72.6%
Q1 - 10:18	UTA	D. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 30.3%	3 69.7%
Q1 - 10:20	CHA	MISS Jones 22' Jump Shot	2 30.8%	3 69.2%
Q1 - 10:28	UTA	D. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Okur 1 AST)	2 32.1%	3 67.9%
Q1 - 10:41	UTA	Harpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 35.2%	0 64.8%
Q1 - 10:43	CHA	MISS Felton 21' Jump Shot	2 35.8%	0 64.2%
Q1 - 10:51	CHA	Brezec REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 37.2%	0 62.8%
Q1 - 10:54	UTA	MISS Okur 24' 3PT Jump Shot	2 36.6%	0 63.4%
Q1 - 11:04	UTA	Brown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	2 35.3%	0 64.7%
Q1 - 11:08	UTA	MISS D. Williams 20' Jump Shot	2 36.4%	0 63.6%
Q1 - 11:27	CHA	Brezec 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)	2 35.3%	0 64.7%
Q1 - 11:40	UTA	Harpring Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	0 33.5%	0 66.5%
Q1 - 11:44	UTA	JAZZ Rebound	0 32.0%	0 68.0%
Q1 - 11:45	UTA	MISS Harpring 16' Jump Shot	0 33.1%	0 66.9%
Q1 - 12:00	UTA	Jump Ball Collins vs. Wallace: Tip to Brown	0 32.0%	0 68.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.20 59.8%

UTA

1.05 52.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

78%

UTA

71%

Midrange

CHA

43%

UTA

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

10.5

44%

66%

UTA

4.5

38%

56%

Free Throws

CHA

81%

UTA

60%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bobcats

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Wallace	19	79%	9.5 / 12
B. Knight	19	79%	9.5 / 12
P. Brezec	16	62%	8.0 / 13
R. Felton	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Jones	11	42%	5.5 / 13
K. Rush	9	56%	4.5 / 8
M. Ely	7	70%	3.5 / 5
M. Carroll	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Voskuhl	6	60%	3.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Harpring	22	65%	11.0 / 17
M. Palacio	17	65%	8.5 / 13
D. Williams	15	75%	7.5 / 10
C. Boozer	9	50%	4.5 / 9
D. Brown	7	39%	3.5 / 9
M. Okur	6	27%	3.0 / 11
J. Collins	5	50%	2.5 / 5
K. McLeod	4	29%	2.0 / 7
G. Ostertag	4	100%	2.0 / 2
K. Humphries	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

-9

UTA

+10

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.20 59.8%

UTA

1.05 52.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Season Averages		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	102.6 103.6	CHA 115.6 +15.6 UTA 100.0
Pace	93.4 88.3	CHA 93.4 +7.0 UTA 86.4
Avg. Poss. Time	14.9 17.4	CHA 15.4 +1.2 UTA 16.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	46.4% 46.7%	CHA 57.2% +6.5% UTA 50.7%
TO %	14.4% 16.6%	CHA 9.8% +6.3% UTA 16.1%
ORB %	27.2% 32.4%	CHA 8.8% UTA 20.0% +11.2%
FTrt	31.9 39.7	CHA 44.9 +2.0 UTA 42.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	58.0% 64.6%	CHA 63.9% UTA 64.7% +0.8%
STL %	10.6% 7.2%	CHA 11.1% +5.5% UTA 5.6%
BLK %	6.9% 10.3%	CHA 4.8% +2.9% UTA 1.9%

Season Averages		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	49.4% 50.0%	CHA 59.8% +7.4% UTA 52.4%
Rim FG%	55.0% 56.5%	CHA 77.8% +6.4% UTA 71.4%
Mid FG%	38.0% 37.5%	CHA 42.9% +10.5% UTA 32.4%
3P %	33.9% 33.6%	CHA 43.8% +6.3% UTA 37.5%
FT %	72.9% 71.9%	CHA 80.6% +20.6% UTA 60.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	35.4% 38.3%	CHA 26.1% UTA 40.0% +13.9%
Mid Att. %	46.2% 46.8%	CHA 50.7% UTA 48.6% +2.2%
3P Att. %	18.4% 14.9%	CHA 23.2% +11.8% UTA 11.4%

Game Totals	CHA	UTA
Possessions	90	89
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.7
Points	104	89
Rebounds	31	38
Assists	23	22
Steals	10	5
Blocks	3	1
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	3 (0)	7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (2)	31 (1)
Field Goals	36-69	34-70
At-the-Rim FG	14-18	20-28
Midrange FG	15-35	11-34
2-Point FG	29-53	31-62
3-Point FG	7-16	3-8
Free Throws	25-31	18-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORES

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26 Charlotte Bobcats

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 24	40.5	19	79%	5	2	4	2	0	3	1	4	7-10	70%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Raymond Felton G · 6'1" 205 · 22	38.4	11	61%	3	6	0	0	2	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	3-4	75%
Primoz Brezec C · 7'1" 255 · 26	34.7	16	62%	6	0	0	0	0	3	0	6	0-1	0%	8-13	62%	0-0	-
Brevin Knight G · 5'10" 166 · 30	34.0	19	79%	2	10	3	0	3	5	0	2	9-9	100%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Jumaine Jones F · 6'8" 230 · 27	27.5	11	42%	6	1	1	0	0	4	0	6	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	2-7	29%
Melvin Ely C-F · 6'10" 260 · 28	19.2	7	70%	4	2	0	0	2	2	0	4	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Kareem Rush G · 6'6" 215 · 25	18.8	9	56%	1	2	1	1	1	3	1	0	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Matt Carroll G · 6'6" 212 · 26	13.6	6	50%	3	0	0	0	1	3	0	3	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Jake Voskuhl C · 6'11" 255 · 28	13.3	6	60%	1	0	1	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Bernard Robinson G-F · 6'6" 210 · 25
Alan Anderson F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23
Lonny Baxter F · 6'8" 260 · 27
Emeka Okafor #50 · C · 6'10" 255 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Sean May #42 · C-F · 6'9" 266 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kevin Burleson #12 · G · 6'3" 205 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	60%	31	23	10	3	9	0	3	28	25-31	81%	29-53	55%	7-16	44%

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26 Charlotte Bobcats

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 24	40.5	19	79%	5	2	4	2	0	3	1	4	7-10	70%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Raymond Felton G · 6'1" 205 · 22	38.4	11	61%	3	6	0	0	2	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	3-4	75%
Primoz Brezec C · 7'1" 255 · 26	34.7	16	62%	6	0	0	0	0	3	0	6	0-1	0%	8-13	62%	0-0	-
Brevin Knight G · 5'10" 166 · 30	34.0	19	79%	2	10	3	0	3	5	0	2	9-9	100%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Jumaine Jones F · 6'8" 230 · 27	27.5	11	42%	6	1	1	0	0	4	0	6	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	2-7	29%
Melvin Ely C-F · 6'10" 260 · 28	19.2	7	70%	4	2	0	0	2	2	0	4	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Kareem Rush G · 6'6" 215 · 25	18.8	9	56%	1	2	1	1	1	3	1	0	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Matt Carroll G · 6'6" 212 · 26	13.6	6	50%	3	0	0	0	1	3	0	3	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Jake Voskuhl C · 6'11" 255 · 28	13.3	6	60%	1	0	1	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Bernard Robinson G-F · 6'6" 210 · 25
Alan Anderson F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23
Lonny Baxter F · 6'8" 260 · 27
Emeka Okafor #50 · C · 6'10" 255 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Sean May #42 · C-F · 6'9" 266 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kevin Burleson #12 · G · 6'3" 205 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	60%	31	23	10	3	9	0	3	28	25-31	81%	29-53	55%	7-16	44%

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23 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Matt Harpring F · 6'7" 230 · 30	34.0	22	65%	4	2	0	0	4	1	0	4	6-8	75%	8-13	62%	0-0	-
Mehmet Okur F · 6'11" 260 · 27	33.4	6	27%	6	4	0	0	3	4	1	5	2-4	50%	2-6	33%	0-3	0%
Deron Williams G · 6'3" 200 · 22	31.4	15	75%	4	4	1	0	3	3	0	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-4	75%
Devin Brown G · 6'5" 210 · 27	21.1	7	39%	2	3	0	0	1	2	2	0	3-4	75%	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Jarron Collins C · 6'11" 249 · 27	19.8	5	50%	5	1	0	0	1	3	1	4	1-4	25%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Milt Palacio G · 6'4" 210 · 28	28.6	17	65%	2	2	2	0	2	2	0	2	1-2	50%	8-12	67%	0-0	-
Carlos Boozer F · 6'9" 258 · 24	24.8	9	50%	9	2	0	0	0	2	1	8	5-8	63%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Keith McLeod G · 6'2" 190 · 26	22.8	4	29%	0	2	2	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Greg Ostertag C · 7'2" 280 · 33	12.0	4	100%	2	1	0	1	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Kris Humphries F · 6'9" 235 · 21	6.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
CJ Miles G · 6'6" 220 · 19	6.1	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Andrei Kirilenko F · 6'9" 235 · 25
Robert Whaley #54 · C · 6'10" 260 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Gordan Giricek #10 · G · 6'6" 220 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Andre Owens #30 · G · 6'4" 200 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	52%	38	22	5	1	15	0	7	31	18-30	60%	31-62	50%	3-8	38%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.