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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 2, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Mavericks40%8889
4Spurs60%9198
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.5
39.5
34.8
23
59%
2
1
0
1
1
3
1
1
8-8
100%
6-11
4-8
55%
47%
1-5
20%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.7
37.3
34.7
23
59%
11
1
0
1
1
2
3
8
10-10
100%
5-10
6-13
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.8
33.0
16.8
15
54%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
7-12
3-6
58%
47%
0-1
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.1
19.1
19.7
0
0%
5
0
0
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
39%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.7
18.0
23.4
2
20%
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.6
28.2
24.0
6
68%
8
1
0
0
2
2
5
3
0-1
0%
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.3
27.8
31.3
10
46%
7
2
1
1
1
3
1
6
2-2
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
42%
0-1
0%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.4
19.1
10.8
6
34%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-5
1-2
20%
46%
1-3
33%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.1
9.4
24.9
2
33%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
46%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.7
8.5
15.1
2
33%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-1
0%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.2
1.9
0
0-1
46%
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 24.0
0.8
0
0-0
44%
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 21.1
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.0
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.7
39.0
29.1
11
116%
8
3
1
1
1
0
1
7
4-4
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
43%
1-1
100%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.8
38.6
28.7
23
66%
0
4
0
1
0
4
0
0
7-8
88%
8-14
6-11
57%
53%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.9
37.8
30.0
15
49%
6
2
0
1
2
2
1
5
7-10
70%
4-11
6-12
36%
49%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.5
30.5
20.0
10
56%
5
1
0
0
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
5-9
3-5
56%
50%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.6
24.2
20.9
8
38%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
4-8
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.0
24.9
21.9
15
64%
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
3
4-6
67%
4-6
2-4
67%
44%
1-3
33%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.5
18.7
17.6
12
75%
4
2
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
44%
2-3
67%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.3
9.4
12.8
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.2
9.1
20.7
4
100%
5
1
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
52%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.8
7.9
18.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 30.9
14.4
0
1-3
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.7
11.3
0
1-3
47%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.