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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 3, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Kings65%101102
27Hawks35%9693
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.8
42.1
38.9
17
51%
3
8
1
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
7-13
6-12
54%
49%
0-2
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.3
39.1
37.6
18
52%
6
3
0
2
0
1
2
4
2-3
67%
8-13
5-10
62%
47%
0-3
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 29.9
38.6
32.8
24
55%
10
3
1
1
1
1
4
6
7-9
78%
7-17
5-9
41%
53%
1-1
100%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 23.1
37.3
34.7
19
64%
9
1
1
1
0
0
2
7
3-4
75%
5-9
3-6
56%
54%
2-4
50%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 28.6
34.5
33.2
7
52%
9
2
1
1
1
4
4
5
3-4
75%
2-5
5-9
40%
50%
0-0
-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.2
22.9
19.6
12
58%
1
1
2
0
0
2
0
1
8-10
80%
2-6
3-6
33%
52%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.4
19.6
18.7
3
39%
2
1
2
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.8
5.9
3.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 32.2
5.7
0
1-2
48%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.7
3.3
0
0-1
48%
Sergei Monia
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.9
2.4
0
0-0
48%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 31.0
2.4
0
0-1
48%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 24.7
43.5
41.8
19
56%
2
6
0
1
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
7-10
6-12
70%
48%
1-6
17%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.0
42.3
32.7
23
52%
10
4
4
1
0
1
1
9
4-5
80%
5-17
7-14
29%
48%
3-3
100%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 20.2
34.4
36.5
8
51%
6
2
0
1
2
2
2
4
2-2
100%
3-6
4-10
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.1
24.6
25.6
9
68%
7
0
0
1
1
1
2
5
5-6
83%
2-4
3-7
50%
45%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.2
8.7
12.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.4
29.7
16.6
14
59%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
2-6
33%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 19.7
23.8
24.4
17
79%
6
0
0
1
0
3
2
4
3-4
75%
7-9
3-6
78%
47%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 22.7
22.7
36.1
3
31%
3
3
3
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-4
4-8
25%
54%
0-0
-
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 22.5
5.4
6.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.6
4.8
2.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.8
8.8
0
1-2
47%
James Lang
C · 6'10" 305 · 22.4
0.1
0
0-0
33%
Donta Smith
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.