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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 3, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Bulls52%97108
28Knicks48%96101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.9
43.5
32.4
32
67%
4
2
0
1
0
3
0
4
7-9
78%
8-14
5-11
57%
44%
3-6
50%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.9
39.9
38.1
17
44%
15
2
2
1
1
2
6
9
8-8
100%
3-13
6-12
23%
49%
1-3
33%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.2
35.6
41.0
33
73%
3
5
1
1
0
2
0
3
12-13
92%
6-13
5-11
46%
45%
3-4
75%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 23.4
35.1
26.2
8
44%
7
0
0
1
3
0
6
1
0-0
-
4-9
2-4
44%
54%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.7
8.6
16.4
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.5
24.5
17.6
6
31%
6
2
3
1
0
0
1
5
3-4
75%
0-5
1-2
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.0
23.6
19.9
6
30%
5
1
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-10
4-7
30%
51%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 26.3
10.3
21.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 32.1
9.4
9.3
6
61%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 35.4
8.0
4.7
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.4
1.6
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 29.0
12.7
0
2-3
46%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 23.4
7.9
0
1-3
49%
Eddie Basden
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.0
41.5
30.6
15
43%
1
4
3
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
3-12
4-9
25%
48%
2-4
50%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 31.3
35.9
15.6
15
54%
10
5
1
1
0
2
4
6
11-11
100%
2-9
2-4
22%
43%
0-0
-
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 33.1
30.2
15.4
13
87%
4
2
1
0
0
2
0
4
0-1
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
3-4
75%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 25.9
24.0
29.3
16
74%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
2-6
3-6
33%
43%
4-4
100%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 23.2
22.7
19.4
11
54%
7
2
0
0
0
4
4
3
3-5
60%
4-8
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.0
30.5
26.4
18
60%
4
5
1
1
0
4
1
3
1-2
50%
4-10
4-8
40%
44%
3-4
75%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.0
19.5
21.8
0
0%
5
3
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-1
0%
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
0-4
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 22.8
15.8
20.7
6
38%
6
0
0
0
2
0
3
3
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
49%
0-0
-
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 30.3
11.2
6.7
3
61%
2
0
0
0
2
3
1
1
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.0
8.7
16.4
4
52%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
51%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 22.8
16.1
0
2-3
54%
Qyntel Woods
F-G · 6'8" 220 · 25.0
14.7
0
2-3
47%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 21.8
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 29.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.