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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 3, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Nuggets41%9378
13Rockets59%9589
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.8
37.0
35.8
34
65%
4
0
4
1
0
2
1
3
7-7
100%
9-17
8-16
53%
47%
3-6
50%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.0
34.2
36.7
8
32%
5
3
0
1
0
6
3
2
2-3
67%
3-11
5-10
27%
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
34.0
32.1
10
45%
15
1
3
1
4
3
5
10
0-0
-
5-11
5-10
45%
47%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.2
30.8
29.6
5
26%
7
1
1
1
0
0
1
6
3-6
50%
1-6
6-11
17%
50%
0-1
0%
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 30.6
25.4
23.5
6
23%
5
0
0
1
0
1
5
0
2-3
67%
2-12
4-8
17%
50%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 29.7
26.4
20.5
7
26%
3
2
2
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
44%
0-5
0%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.5
18.4
11.7
2
17%
1
7
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
55%
0-4
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 25.8
18.1
16.7
0
0%
7
0
0
1
0
0
2
5
0-2
0%
0-2
2-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.6
10.9
13.0
6
75%
3
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
45%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.2
3.3
8.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-1
0%
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 25.8
1.4
19.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
55%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.0
9.6
0
1-2
49%
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.3
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.2
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 26.8
42.5
33.7
23
62%
11
4
0
1
4
3
1
10
3-6
50%
4-8
7-15
50%
47%
4-8
50%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 25.5
39.1
35.4
21
57%
9
1
0
1
3
1
2
7
3-3
100%
9-17
8-16
53%
53%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.6
33.6
35.7
6
30%
2
7
2
2
0
5
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
45%
2-7
29%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.1
31.8
33.2
6
38%
6
5
0
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
2-7
5-11
29%
47%
0-0
-
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 35.3
23.9
31.7
4
23%
1
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
1-4
25%
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
1-5
20%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 25.8
27.8
23.5
6
43%
6
3
0
1
1
3
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
43%
0-2
0%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26.3
20.6
9.7
15
77%
6
0
2
0
2
1
3
3
3-4
75%
6-8
2-3
75%
48%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.3
16.2
14.4
8
68%
1
4
3
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
2-3
67%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 22.7
4.3
10.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 30.3
0.2
3.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-1
0%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 39.7
9.1
0
0-1
48%
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 21.1
2.4
0
0-1
44%
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.7
Gerald Fitch
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.6
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 32.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.